IDIA Stock Analysis: Idorsia | SW

Biotechnology | SW, Switzerland | Market Cap: 1.631m CHF | 12M Return: 186% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Insomnia, Cardiovascular, Immunology, Orphan Diseases
Total Rating 44
Safety 46
Buy Signal 1.22
Biotechnology
Industry Rotation: +30.9
Market Cap: 2.02B
Avg Turnover: 10.2M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility94.3%
VaR 5th Pctl14.0%
VaR vs Median-8.30%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio1.66
Rel. Str. IBD96.7
Rel. Str. Peer Group77.8
Character TTM
Beta0.669
Beta Downside0.211
Hurst Exponent0.408
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD91.21%
CAGR/Max DD0.03
CAGR/Mean DD0.04
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of IDIA over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": -0.77, "2021-09": -0.74, "2021-12": -1.32, "2022-03": -1.07, "2022-06": -1.16, "2022-09": -1.14, "2022-12": -1.05, "2023-03": -1.06, "2023-06": -1.01, "2023-09": -0.29, "2023-12": -0.65, "2024-03": -0.65, "2024-06": -0.6, "2024-09": -0.55, "2024-12": -0.4432, "2025-03": 0.2331, "2025-06": 0.03, "2025-09": -0.4, "2025-12": -0.31, "2026-03": -0.18,
Last SUE: 0.10
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of IDIA over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 6.965, 2021-09: 16.54, 2021-12: 4.978, 2022-03: 5.183, 2022-06: 17.078, 2022-09: 20.739, 2022-12: 54.102, 2023-03: 21.025, 2023-06: 29.93, 2023-09: 79.917, 2023-12: 21.514, 2024-03: 10.058, 2024-06: 16.349, 2024-09: 26.202, 2024-12: 59.9, 2025-03: 58.883, 2025-06: 72.241, 2025-09: 41.488, 2025-12: 48, 2026-03: 57.394,
Rev. CAGR: 21.48%
Rev. Trend: 51.2%
Last SUE: 0.28
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Negative Equity With Losses: Insolvent Profile
Strong Share Dilution
Interest Coverage Ratio Critical
Altman Z'' In Financial Distress Zone

Tailwinds

Supp Ema8
Rs Leader
Idiosyncratic Leader
Tailwind
Pullback 52w

Seasonality 9 years of data

Jan +2.7% 12
Feb -8.6% 31
Mar -2.0% 15
Apr -1.3% 17
May +7.3% 45
Jun +0.2% 16
Jul -6.3% 13
Aug -1.4% 17
Sep -8.2% 29
Oct -18.7% 51
Nov -0.2% 2
Dec +6.0% 34

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: IDIA Idorsia

Idorsia Ltd is a Swiss biopharmaceutical company that discovers, develops, and commercializes drugs targeting unmet medical needs across Switzerland, the United States, Japan, Europe, China, and Canada. Its lead commercial product is QUVIVIQ (daridorexant), a treatment for insomnia, and the company maintains a clinical pipeline spanning CNS, cardiovascular, immunological, and orphan disease indications, including late-stage candidates such as Lucerastat in Phase 3 for Fabry disease and earlier-stage programs in areas like psoriasis, vitiligo, and multiple sclerosis. The business model is typical of small-cap biotechs, relying on long, capital-intensive R&D cycles, a mix of in-house development and licensing revenues, and strategic collaborations with larger pharmaceutical partners-Idorsia has partnership agreements with Neuro, Janssen Biotech, and Viatris to co-develop and commercialize assets such as clazosentan, aprocitentan, selatogrel, and cenerimod. The company was incorporated in 2017 and is headquartered in Allschwil, Switzerland.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • QUVIVIQ daridorexant launch drives insomnia revenue growth
  • Lucerastat Phase 3 Fabry disease readout approaches
  • Cash burn and potential capital raise pressure shares
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 2.0
Net Income: -220.8m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: -0.29 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 42.97 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 41.01% < 20% (prev -87.42%; Δ 128.4% < -1%)
CFO/TA -0.26 > 3% & CFO -125.9m > Net Income -220.8m
Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0)
Current Ratio: 1.60 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (252.7m) vs 12m ago 38.48% < -2%
Gross Margin: 86.00% > 18% (prev 30.68%; Δ 55.32% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 46.79% > 50% (prev 35.37%; Δ 11.42% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: -2.95 > 6 (EBIT TTM -160.5m / Interest Expense TTM 54.4m)
Altman Z'' -15.00
A: 0.19 (Total Current Assets 239.6m - Total Current Liabilities 149.7m) / Total Assets 480.5m
B: -7.42 (Retained Earnings -3.56b / Total Assets 480.5m)
C: -0.34 (EBIT TTM -160.5m / Avg Total Assets 468.3m)
D: -0.71 (Book Value of Equity -1.18b / Total Liabilities 1.66b)
Altman-Z'' = -26.01 = D
Beneish M -3.29
DSRI: 1.20 (Receivables 55.3m/33.9m, Revenue 219.1m/161.3m)
GMI: 0.36 (GM 30.68% / 86.00%)
AQI: 0.87 (AQ_t 0.11 / AQ_t-1 0.13)
SGI: 1.36 (Revenue 219.1m / 161.3m)
TATA: -0.20 (NI -220.8m - CFO -125.9m) / TA 480.5m)
Beneish M = -3.29 (Cap -4..+1) = AA
What is the price of IDIA shares?

As of July 08, 2026, the stock is trading at CHF 6.55 with a total of 1,413,986 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -4.59%, over one month by +55.21%, over three months by +92.31% and over the past year by +186.03%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 6.00 (which is 8.4% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).

Is IDIA a buy, sell or hold?

Idorsia has no consensus analysts rating.

Idorsia (IDIA) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 03 July 2026
Market Cap USD = 2.02b (1.63b CHF * 1.2359 CHF.USD)
P/S = 7.5082
P/B = 27.6461
Revenue TTM = 219.1m CHF
EBIT TTM = -160.5m CHF
EBITDA TTM = -143.6m CHF
Long Term Debt = 1.21b CHF (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 22.7m CHF (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.43b CHF (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 109.5m
Net Debt = 1.33b CHF (calculated: Debt 1.43b - CCE 94.7m)
Enterprise Value = 2.97b CHF (1.63b + Debt 1.43b - CCE 94.7m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -2.95 (Ebit TTM -160.5m / Interest Expense TTM 54.4m)
EV/FCF = -21.13x (Enterprise Value 2.97b / FCF TTM -140.3m)
FCF Yield = -4.73% (FCF TTM -140.3m / Enterprise Value 2.97b)
FCF Margin = -64.04% (FCF TTM -140.3m / Revenue TTM 219.1m)
Net Margin = -100.7% (Net Income TTM -220.8m / Revenue TTM 219.1m)
Gross Margin = 86.00% ((Revenue TTM 219.1m - Cost of Revenue TTM 30.7m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 85.95% (prev 80.44%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 6.17 (Enterprise Value 2.97b / Total Assets 480.5m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.81% (Interest Expense 54.4m / Debt 1.43b)
Taxrate = 25.0% (non-US conservative default 25%)
NOPAT = -120.4m (EBIT -160.5m * (1 - 25.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 1.60 (Total Current Assets 239.6m / Total Current Liabilities 149.7m)
 Debt / Equity = -1.21 (negative equity) (Debt 1.43b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -1.18b)
 Debt / EBITDA = -9.29 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 1.33b / EBITDA -143.6m)
 Debt / FCF = -9.51 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 1.33b / FCF TTM -140.3m)
 Total Stockholder Equity = -1.15b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -47.14% (Net Income -220.8m / Total Assets 480.5m)
 RoE = 19.23% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM -220.8m / Total Stockholder Equity -1.15b)
 RoCE = -257.5% (out of range, set to none) (EBIT -160.5m / Capital Employed (Equity -1.15b + L.T.Debt 1.21b))
 RoIC = -35.15% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -120.4m / Invested Capital 342.5m)
 WACC = 5.78% (E(1.63b)/V(3.06b) * Re(8.34%) + D(1.43b)/V(3.06b) * Rd(3.81%) * (1-Tc(0.25)))
Discount Rate = 8.34% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 68.89 | Cagr: 16.67%
 [DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -140.3m)
 EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: 0.10 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 51.18 | Revenue CAGR: 21.48% | SUE: 0.28 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=-0.23 | Chg30d=-21.05% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=1
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=-0.22 | Chg30d=-22.22% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-0.13 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+7.9% | GrowthRev=-0.2%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=0.06 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+142.8% | GrowthRev=+23.7%