NESN Stock Analysis: Nestle S.A. | SW
Packaged Foods | SW, Switzerland | Market Cap: 195.489m CHF | 12M Return: 5.6% | CH0038863350 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 230M
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Nestlé S.A. is a Swiss-headquartered multinational that manufactures and distributes food, beverage, and nutritional science products across more than a dozen major markets, including the United States, Brazil, Mexico, Greater China, and key European countries. Founded in 1866 and based in Vevey, Switzerland, the company operates one of the broadest brand portfolios in the global packaged foods industry, spanning cereals, chocolate, coffee, dairy, ice cream, nutrition, petcare, water, and culinary products under names such as Nescafé, KitKat, Maggi, Purina, and S.Pellegrino.
As a mega-cap consumer staples issuer, Nestlé generates revenue across multiple product categories and geographies, with petcare, coffee, and nutrition representing core growth segments. The packaged foods and meats sub-industry is typically characterized by stable, recurring demand and brand-led pricing power, though it faces ongoing pressure from shifting consumer preferences toward healthier, plant-based, and premium offerings, as reflected in Nestlés expansion of plant-based and nutrition-focused product lines.
- Purina pet care drives organic growth above group average
- Cocoa costs surge pressures confectionery and chocolate margins
- Greater China sales decline weighs on emerging markets revenue
| Net Income: 7.44b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.10 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 2.57 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -8.73% < 20% (prev -14.76%; Δ 6.03% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.13 > 3% & CFO 16.4b > Net Income 7.44b |
| Net Debt (56.7b) to EBITDA (16.6b): 3.41 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.83 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (2.57b) vs 12m ago -1.53% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 45.45% > 18% (prev 46.55%; Δ -1.10% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 68.37% > 50% (prev 69.72%; Δ -1.35% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 7.41 > 6 (EBIT TTM 13.0b / Interest Expense TTM 1.76b) |
| A: -0.06 (Total Current Assets 37.6b - Total Current Liabilities 45.3b) / Total Assets 128b |
| B: 0.46 (Retained Earnings 58.8b / Total Assets 128b) |
| C: 0.10 (EBIT TTM 13.0b / Avg Total Assets 129b) |
| D: 0.30 (Book Value of Equity 29.2b / Total Liabilities 98.9b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 2.09 = BBB |
| DSRI: 1.08 (Receivables 11.3b/10.7b, Revenue 88.4b/90.7b) |
| GMI: 1.02 (GM 46.55% / 45.45%) |
| AQI: 0.93 (AQ_t 0.47 / AQ_t-1 0.50) |
| SGI: 0.97 (Revenue 88.4b / 90.7b) |
| TATA: -0.07 (NI 7.44b - CFO 16.4b) / TA 128b) |
| Beneish M = -3.00 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of October 12, 2026, the stock is trading at CHF 76.04 with a total of 2,539,585 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.68%, over one month by -2.17%, over three months by -8.73% and over the past year by +5.55%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 74.60 (which is 1.9% or 1.2 ATR below the current price).
Nestle S.A. has no consensus analysts rating.
P/E Trailing = 26.2976
P/E Forward = 16.1551
P/S = 2.2021
P/B = 6.7847
P/EG = 1.8775
Revenue TTM = 88.4b CHF
EBIT TTM = 13.0b CHF
EBITDA TTM = 16.6b CHF
Long Term Debt = 44.0b CHF (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 16.3b CHF (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 62.8b CHF (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 56.7b CHF (calculated: Debt 62.8b - CCE 6.13b)
Enterprise Value = 252b CHF (195b + Debt 62.8b - CCE 6.13b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 7.41 (Ebit TTM 13.0b / Interest Expense TTM 1.76b)
EV/FCF = 20.15x (Enterprise Value 252b / FCF TTM 12.5b)
FCF Yield = 4.96% (FCF TTM 12.5b / Enterprise Value 252b)
FCF Margin = 14.17% (FCF TTM 12.5b / Revenue TTM 88.4b)
Net Margin = 8.42% (Net Income TTM 7.44b / Revenue TTM 88.4b)
Gross Margin = 45.45% ((Revenue TTM 88.4b - Cost of Revenue TTM 48.2b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 46.37% (prev 44.58%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.96 (Enterprise Value 252b / Total Assets 128b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.80% (Interest Expense 1.76b / Debt 62.8b)
Taxrate = 22.88% (2.28b / 9.96b)
NOPAT = 10.0b (EBIT 13.0b * (1 - 22.88%))
Current Ratio = 0.83 (Total Current Assets 37.6b / Total Current Liabilities 45.3b)
Debt / Equity = 2.15 (Debt 62.8b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 29.2b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.41 (Net Debt 56.7b / EBITDA 16.6b)
Debt / FCF = 4.53 (Net Debt 56.7b / FCF TTM 12.5b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 31.7b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.76% (Net Income 7.44b / Total Assets 128b)
RoE = 23.47% (Net Income TTM 7.44b / Total Stockholder Equity 31.7b)
RoCE = 17.22% (EBIT 13.0b / Capital Employed (Equity 31.7b + L.T.Debt 44.0b))
RoIC = 10.57% (NOPAT 10.0b / Invested Capital 95.0b)
WACC = 4.33% (E(195b)/V(258b) * Re(5.03%) + D(62.8b)/V(258b) * Rd(2.80%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 5.03% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -94.67 | Cagr: -3.44%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈11.2b ; Y1≈12.9b ; Y5≈19.0b
[DCF] Fair Price = 88.97 (EV 286b - Net Debt 56.7b = Equity 229b / Shares 2.57b; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 39.99 | EPS CAGR: 13.68% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -99.16 | Revenue CAGR: -2.10% | SUE: 1.08 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.00 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=N/A | Analysts=0
EPS next Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.00 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=N/A | Analysts=0
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=4.50 | Chg30d=+0.41% | Revisions=+57% | GrowthEPS=+1.7% | GrowthRev=+0.6%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=4.82 | Chg30d=+0.09% | Revisions=+50% | GrowthEPS=+7.2% | GrowthRev=+3.1%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +70% (up=7, down=0)