SRAIL Stock Analysis: Stadler Rail | SW
Railroads | SW, Switzerland | Market Cap: 3.068m CHF | 12M Return: 51.7% | CH0002178181 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 4.30M
Warnings
Tailwinds
Seasonality 7.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Stadler Rail AG is a Swiss manufacturer of rail vehicles headquartered in Bussnang and founded in 1942, operating through three business segments: Rolling Stock, Service & Components, and Signalling. The Rolling Stock segment produces high-speed trains, intercity and regional trains, locomotives, light rails, trams, passenger coaches, and tailor-made vehicles, while the Service & Components segment provides revision, repair, modernization, overhauling, and maintenance services along with vehicle components such as car bodies and bogies. The Signalling segment develops train protection, communication-based train control (CBTC), automatic train operation (ATO), driving assistance systems, and interlocking technologies for rail infrastructure. The company sells its products across Switzerland, Germany, Austria, Western and Eastern Europe, the Americas, the CIS countries, and other international markets.
Stadler competes in the global rail equipment industry alongside larger rivals such as Siemens Mobility, Alstom, and CRRC. The Service & Components segment typically generates more stable, recurring aftermarket revenue compared with the project-driven, lumpy order flow of the Rolling Stock business.
- Rolling stock order backlog expands on European rail demand
- Service and signalling segments boost recurring revenue mix
- Competition from Siemens Mobility and Alstom pressures margins
| Net Income: 105.3m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.02 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 4.94 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -6.18% < 20% (prev 3.64%; Δ -9.82% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.05 > 3% & CFO 291.7m > Net Income 105.3m |
| Net Debt (427.0m) to EBITDA (334.8m): 1.28 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.94 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (100.0m) vs 12m ago -0.00% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 11.37% > 18% (prev 11.29%; Δ 0.09% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 72.17% > 50% (prev 60.34%; Δ 11.83% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 4.20 > 6 (EBIT TTM 210.5m / Interest Expense TTM 50.2m) |
| A: -0.04 (Total Current Assets 4.42b - Total Current Liabilities 4.68b) / Total Assets 6.18b |
| B: 0.13 (Retained Earnings 812.8m / Total Assets 6.18b) |
| C: 0.04 (EBIT TTM 210.5m / Avg Total Assets 5.88b) |
| D: 0.15 (Book Value of Equity 792.7m / Total Liabilities 5.35b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 0.55 = B |
| DSRI: 0.84 (Receivables 1.52b/1.43b, Revenue 4.24b/3.36b) |
| GMI: 0.99 (GM 11.29% / 11.37%) |
| AQI: 0.99 (AQ_t 0.09 / AQ_t-1 0.09) |
| SGI: 1.26 (Revenue 4.24b / 3.36b) |
| TATA: -0.03 (NI 105.3m - CFO 291.7m) / TA 6.18b) |
| Beneish M = -2.99 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of October 09, 2026, the stock is trading at CHF 29.56 with a total of 107,238 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.92%, over one month by +0.82%, over three months by +24.41% and over the past year by +51.65%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 28.20 (which is 4.6% or 1.7 ATR below the current price).
Stadler Rail has no consensus analysts rating.
P/E Trailing = 29.2191
P/E Forward = 16.9205
P/S = 0.7231
P/B = 3.792
Revenue TTM = 4.24b CHF
EBIT TTM = 210.5m CHF
EBITDA TTM = 334.8m CHF
Long Term Debt = 503.1m CHF (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 468.2m CHF (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 957.2m CHF (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 3.03m
Net Debt = 427.0m CHF (calculated: Debt 957.2m - CCE 530.2m)
Enterprise Value = 3.49b CHF (3.07b + Debt 957.2m - CCE 530.2m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.20 (Ebit TTM 210.5m / Interest Expense TTM 50.2m)
EV/FCF = 36.68x (Enterprise Value 3.49b / FCF TTM 95.3m)
FCF Yield = 2.73% (FCF TTM 95.3m / Enterprise Value 3.49b)
FCF Margin = 2.25% (FCF TTM 95.3m / Revenue TTM 4.24b)
Net Margin = 2.48% (Net Income TTM 105.3m / Revenue TTM 4.24b)
Gross Margin = 11.37% ((Revenue TTM 4.24b - Cost of Revenue TTM 3.76b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 11.45% (prev 11.31%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.57 (Enterprise Value 3.49b / Total Assets 6.18b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 5.24% (Interest Expense 50.2m / Debt 957.2m)
Taxrate = 36.31% (57.6m / 158.5m)
NOPAT = 134.1m (EBIT 210.5m * (1 - 36.31%))
Current Ratio = 0.94 (Total Current Assets 4.42b / Total Current Liabilities 4.68b)
Debt / Equity = 1.21 (Debt 957.2m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 792.7m)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.28 (Net Debt 427.0m / EBITDA 334.8m)
Debt / FCF = 4.48 (Net Debt 427.0m / FCF TTM 95.3m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 767.1m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.79% (Net Income 105.3m / Total Assets 6.18b)
RoE = 13.73% (Net Income TTM 105.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 767.1m)
RoCE = 16.57% (EBIT 210.5m / Capital Employed (Equity 767.1m + L.T.Debt 503.1m))
RoIC = 7.63% (NOPAT 134.1m / Invested Capital 1.76b)
WACC = 6.05% (E(3.07b)/V(4.03b) * Re(6.89%) + D(957.2m)/V(4.03b) * Rd(5.24%) * (1-Tc(0.36)))
Discount Rate = 6.89% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 4.70 | Cagr: 0.01%
[DCF] Terminal Value 75.44% ; FCFF base≈95.3m ; Y1≈95.7m ; Y5≈101.3m
[DCF] Fair Price = 11.49 (EV 1.58b - Net Debt 427.0m = Equity 1.15b / Shares 100.0m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 0.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 52.29 | Revenue CAGR: 5.26% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.58 | Chg30d=-3.10% | Revisions=+29% | GrowthEPS=+79.4% | GrowthRev=+38.5%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=2.10 | Chg30d=+3.22% | Revisions=+10% | GrowthEPS=+32.7% | GrowthRev=+7.3%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +21% (up=7, down=4)