SRAIL Stock Analysis: Stadler Rail | SW
Railroads | SW, Switzerland | Market Cap: 2.436m CHF | 12M Return: 16.2% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 3.51M
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 7.2 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Stadler Rail AG, founded in 1942 and headquartered in Bussnang, Switzerland, is a global manufacturer of rail vehicles operating through three segments: Rolling Stock (high-speed, intercity, regional and city trains, locomotives, passenger coaches, light rails and trams); Service & Components (maintenance, overhauls, spare parts and components such as car bodies and bogies); and Signalling (train protection, driverless and automated train control, interlocking and trackside safety systems). The company sells across Switzerland, Germany, Austria, Western and Eastern Europe, the Americas, the CIS countries and other international markets. As a Swiss mid-cap industrial in the rail transportation sector, Stadler benefits from high barriers to entry driven by capital intensity, long product lifecycles and stringent safety certification, while its signalling business positions it to capture demand from rail operators modernizing networks with digital and automated control technologies.
- Swiss federal rail framework contract bolsters multi-year order backlog
- Service and Components segment margins expand on growing installed base
- European green mobility spending accelerates rail infrastructure demand
| Net Income: 88.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.09 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -11.45 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -5.21% < 20% (prev 6.15%; Δ -11.35% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA -0.06 > 3% & CFO -349.1m > Net Income 88.0m |
| Net Debt (278.5m) to EBITDA (282.6m): 0.99 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.96 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (100.0m) vs 12m ago -1.57% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 11.42% > 18% (prev 11.39%; Δ 0.03% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 62.30% > 50% (prev 55.60%; Δ 6.70% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 3.41 > 6 (EBIT TTM 164.7m / Interest Expense TTM 48.3m) |
| A: -0.03 (Total Current Assets 4.24b - Total Current Liabilities 4.43b) / Total Assets 5.96b |
| B: 0.14 (Retained Earnings 828.8m / Total Assets 5.96b) |
| C: 0.03 (EBIT TTM 164.7m / Avg Total Assets 5.91b) |
| D: 0.16 (Book Value of Equity 812.3m / Total Liabilities 5.10b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 0.60 = B |
| DSRI: 0.95 (Receivables 1.39b/1.30b, Revenue 3.68b/3.26b) |
| GMI: 1.00 (GM 11.39% / 11.42%) |
| AQI: 1.07 (AQ_t 0.09 / AQ_t-1 0.08) |
| SGI: 1.13 (Revenue 3.68b / 3.26b) |
| TATA: 0.07 (NI 88.0m - CFO -349.1m) / TA 5.96b) |
| Beneish M = -2.93 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of July 10, 2026, the stock is trading at CHF 23.28 with a total of 169,842 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -5.21%, over one month by +8.28%, over three months by +15.99% and over the past year by +16.22%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 22.30 (which is 4.2% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).
Stadler Rail has no consensus analysts rating.
P/E Trailing = 27.6818
P/E Forward = 16.8634
P/S = 0.6621
P/B = 3.1269
Revenue TTM = 3.68b CHF
EBIT TTM = 164.7m CHF
EBITDA TTM = 282.6m CHF
Long Term Debt = 503.1m CHF (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 433.9m CHF (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 942.7m CHF (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 3.03m
Net Debt = 278.5m CHF (calculated: Debt 942.7m - CCE 664.2m)
Enterprise Value = 2.71b CHF (2.44b + Debt 942.7m - CCE 664.2m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.41 (Ebit TTM 164.7m / Interest Expense TTM 48.3m)
EV/FCF = -4.83x (Enterprise Value 2.71b / FCF TTM -561.7m)
FCF Yield = -20.69% (FCF TTM -561.7m / Enterprise Value 2.71b)
FCF Margin = -15.27% (FCF TTM -561.7m / Revenue TTM 3.68b)
Net Margin = 2.39% (Net Income TTM 88.0m / Revenue TTM 3.68b)
Gross Margin = 11.42% ((Revenue TTM 3.68b - Cost of Revenue TTM 3.26b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 11.31% (prev 11.60%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.46 (Enterprise Value 2.71b / Total Assets 5.96b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 5.12% (Interest Expense 48.3m / Debt 942.7m)
Taxrate = 33.01% (49.6m / 150.3m)
NOPAT = 110.4m (EBIT 164.7m * (1 - 33.01%))
Current Ratio = 0.96 (Total Current Assets 4.24b / Total Current Liabilities 4.43b)
Debt / Equity = 1.16 (Debt 942.7m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 812.3m)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.99 (Net Debt 278.5m / EBITDA 282.6m)
Debt / FCF = -0.50 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 278.5m / FCF TTM -561.7m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 753.9m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.49% (Net Income 88.0m / Total Assets 5.96b)
RoE = 11.68% (Net Income TTM 88.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 753.9m)
RoCE = 13.10% (EBIT 164.7m / Capital Employed (Equity 753.9m + L.T.Debt 503.1m))
RoIC = 6.21% (NOPAT 110.4m / Invested Capital 1.78b)
WACC = 6.42% (E(2.44b)/V(3.38b) * Re(7.57%) + D(942.7m)/V(3.38b) * Rd(5.12%) * (1-Tc(0.33)))
Discount Rate = 7.57% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 24.44 | Cagr: -0.00%
[DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -561.7m)
EPS Correlation: -60.30 | EPS CAGR: -27.85% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -17.80 | Revenue CAGR: -0.91% | SUE: 0.06 | # QB: 0
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.70 | Chg30d=+0.19% | Revisions=-30% | GrowthEPS=+93.7% | GrowthRev=+34.8%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=2.08 | Chg30d=+0.22% | Revisions=-30% | GrowthEPS=+21.9% | GrowthRev=+7.4%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -35% (up=4, down=10)