(UHR) Swatch - Ratings and Ratios
Watches,Jewelry,Miniature Batteries,Sports,Tech
Description: UHR Swatch
The Swatch Group AG is a global leader in the design, manufacture, and sale of luxury watches, jewelry, and watch components. The company operates through two main segments: Watches & Jewelry and Electronic Systems. The Watches & Jewelry segment is the primary driver of revenue, with a diverse portfolio of luxury brands, including Breguet, Omega, and Longines, among others.
From a business perspective, Swatch Group AG has a diversified revenue stream, with a presence in multiple markets and a range of products that cater to different customer segments. The companys Electronic Systems segment provides a unique opportunity for diversification, with a range of electronic components and sports timing activities that can be leveraged across various industries.
In terms of key performance indicators (KPIs), Swatch Group AGs revenue growth, gross margin, and operating margin are critical metrics to monitor. The companys ability to maintain its pricing power, manage costs, and invest in brand development will be essential in driving future growth. Additionally, metrics such as same-store sales growth, brand mix, and geographic diversification will provide insights into the companys operational performance.
From a valuation perspective, Swatch Group AGs price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 37.55 suggests that the stock may be trading at a premium to its historical average. However, the forward P/E ratio of 26.32 indicates that the companys earnings are expected to grow in the future. The return on equity (RoE) of 1.62% is relatively low, suggesting that the company may not be generating sufficient returns on shareholder capital.
Overall, Swatch Group AGs diversified portfolio of luxury brands, global presence, and electronic components business make it an attractive investment opportunity. However, investors should closely monitor the companys operational performance, valuation, and return on equity to ensure that the investment thesis remains intact.
UHR Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 9,769m |
| Sub-Industry | Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods |
| IPO / Inception |
UHR Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | -44.0% |
| Fundamental | 41.0% |
| Dividend Rating | 47.0% |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -28.3% |
| Analyst Rating | - |
UHR Dividends
| Dividend Yield 12m | 2.98% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 2.66% |
| Annual Growth 5y | 3.40% |
| Payout Consistency | 93.9% |
| Payout Ratio | 381.4% |
UHR Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | 58.6% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | -70.1% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | -62% |
| CAGR 5y | -3.11% |
| CAGR/Max DD 5y | -0.05 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | -1.10 |
| Alpha | -29.50 |
| Beta | 0.603 |
| Volatility | 41.01% |
| Current Volume | 121.9k |
| Average Volume 20d | 125.2k |
| Stop Loss | 139.5 (-3.5%) |
| Signal | -0.59 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.0
| Net Income (196.0m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 587.6m TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.02 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -0.35pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 91.73% (prev 117.7%; Δ -25.94pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.04 (>3.0%) and CFO 513.0m > Net Income 196.0m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (-1.09b) to EBITDA (743.0m) ratio: -1.47 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 9.79 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (51.9m) change vs 12m ago NaN% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 83.28% (prev 66.62%; Δ 16.66pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 69.41% (prev 55.44%; Δ 13.97pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 81.75 (EBITDA TTM 743.0m / Interest Expense TTM 4.00m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 17.03
| (A) 0.64 = (Total Current Assets 10.01b - Total Current Liabilities 1.02b) / Total Assets 13.99b |
| (B) 1.09 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 15.27b / Total Assets 13.99b |
| warn (B) unusual magnitude: 1.09 — check mapping/units |
| (C) 0.02 = EBIT TTM 327.0m / Avg Total Assets 14.11b |
| (D) 8.67 = Book Value of Equity 15.39b / Total Liabilities 1.77b |
| Total Rating: 17.03 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 40.96
| 1. Piotroski 5.0pt = 0.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield -2.81% = -1.40 |
| 3. FCF Margin -2.21% = -0.83 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.00 = 2.50 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 0.02 = 2.50 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC -6.55% = -8.18 |
| 7. RoE 1.62% = 0.13 |
| 8. Rev. Trend -70.35% = -3.52 |
| 9. Rev. CAGR 0.0% = 0.0 |
| 10. EPS Trend -9.89% = -0.25 |
| 11. EPS CAGR 0.0% = 0.0 |
What is the price of UHR shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.17%, over one month by -1.57%, over three months by +4.33% and over the past year by -16.18%.
Is Swatch a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of UHR is around 137.61 CHF . This means that UHR is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -4.8%.
Is UHR a buy, sell or hold?
What are the forecasts/targets for the UHR price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 133.2 | -7.8% |
| Analysts Target Price | - | - |
| ValueRay Target Price | 153.1 | 5.9% |
UHR Fundamental Data Overview
Market Cap CHF = 7.83b (7.83b CHF * 1.0 CHF.CHF)
CCE Cash And Equivalents = 147.0m CHF (last quarter)
P/E Trailing = 125.0424
P/E Forward = 34.7222
P/S = 1.2336
P/B = 0.6709
P/EG = 1.1708
Beta = 0.78
Revenue TTM = 9.79b CHF
EBIT TTM = 327.0m CHF
EBITDA TTM = 743.0m CHF
Long Term Debt = 2.00m CHF (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 11.0m CHF (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 13.0m CHF (Calculated: Short Term 11.0m + Long Term 2.00m)
Net Debt = -1.09b CHF (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 7.70b CHF (7.83b + Debt 13.0m - CCE 147.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 81.75 (Ebit TTM 327.0m / Interest Expense TTM 4.00m)
FCF Yield = -2.81% (FCF TTM -216.0m / Enterprise Value 7.70b)
FCF Margin = -2.21% (FCF TTM -216.0m / Revenue TTM 9.79b)
Net Margin = 2.00% (Net Income TTM 196.0m / Revenue TTM 9.79b)
Gross Margin = 83.28% ((Revenue TTM 9.79b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.64b) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.50 (Enterprise Value 7.70b / Book Value Of Equity 15.39b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 23.08% (Interest Expense 3.00m / Debt 13.0m)
Taxrate = 36.52% (from yearly Income Tax Expense: 126.0m / 345.0m)
NOPAT = 207.6m (EBIT 327.0m * (1 - 36.52%))
Current Ratio = 9.79 (Total Current Assets 10.01b / Total Current Liabilities 1.02b)
Debt / Equity = 0.00 (Debt 13.0m / last Quarter total Stockholder Equity 12.11b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.02 (Net Debt -1.09b / EBITDA 743.0m)
Debt / FCF = -0.06 (Debt 13.0m / FCF TTM -216.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 12.11b (last 4 quarters mean)
RoA = 1.40% (Net Income 196.0m, Total Assets 13.99b )
RoE = 1.62% (Net Income TTM 196.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 12.11b)
RoCE = 2.70% (Ebit 327.0m / (Equity 12.11b + L.T.Debt 2.00m))
RoIC = 1.70% (NOPAT 207.6m / Invested Capital 12.18b)
WACC = 8.25% (E(7.83b)/V(7.85b) * Re(8.24%)) + (D(13.0m)/V(7.85b) * Rd(23.08%) * (1-Tc(0.37)))
Shares Correlation 5-Years: 90.0 | Cagr: 0.07%
Discount Rate = 8.24% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -216.0m)
Revenue Correlation: -70.35 | Revenue CAGR: 0.0%
Rev Growth-of-Growth: -46.83
EPS Correlation: -9.89 | EPS CAGR: 0.0%
EPS Growth-of-Growth: -251.8