ATD Stock Analysis: Alimentation Couchen Tard | TO
Specialty Retail | TO, Canada | Market Cap: 74.337m CAD | 12M Return: 19.3% | CA01626P1484 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 101M
EPS Trend: 8.0%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 86.6%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
No concerns identified
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.8 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Alimentation Couche-Tard operates and licenses convenience stores across North America, Europe, and Asia under banners including Circle K, Couche-Tard, and Ingo. Its stores sell snacks, beverages, fresh food, tobacco and nicotine products, and other convenience items.
The company also sells transportation fuels and aviation fuel, operates electric-vehicle charging stations, and offers services such as car washes and ATMs. Its business combines retail sales with income from franchise and license fees and royalties. Founded in 1980, it is headquartered in Laval, Canada.
- Fuel volumes and margins fluctuate with gasoline prices and demand
- Fresh food and merchandise growth strengthen higher-margin earnings
- Acquisitions and buybacks shape growth, leverage and valuation
| Net Income: 3.18b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.09 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.26 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 2.52% < 20% (prev -2.37%; Δ 4.89% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.13 > 3% & CFO 5.57b > Net Income 3.18b |
| Net Debt (17.2b) to EBITDA (7.19b): 2.39 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.26 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (918.9m) vs 12m ago -3.13% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 17.57% > 18% (prev 18.30%; Δ -0.73% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 193.1% > 50% (prev 176.8%; Δ 16.33% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 6.65 > 6 (EBIT TTM 4.81b / Interest Expense TTM 723.0m) |
| A: 0.05 (Total Current Assets 9.78b - Total Current Liabilities 7.76b) / Total Assets 42.7b |
| B: 0.39 (Retained Earnings 16.8b / Total Assets 42.7b) |
| C: 0.12 (EBIT TTM 4.81b / Avg Total Assets 41.7b) |
| D: 0.64 (Book Value of Equity 16.7b / Total Liabilities 25.9b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 3.05 = A |
| DSRI: 1.00 (Receivables 3.37b/3.01b, Revenue 80.5b/71.9b) |
| GMI: 1.04 (GM 18.30% / 17.57%) |
| AQI: 0.95 (AQ_t 0.30 / AQ_t-1 0.32) |
| SGI: 1.12 (Revenue 80.5b / 71.9b) |
| TATA: -0.06 (NI 3.18b - CFO 5.57b) / TA 42.7b) |
| Beneish M = -2.94 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of November 03, 2026, the stock is trading at CAD 82.14 with a total of 725,496 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.69%, over one month by +6.81%, over three months by -11.56% and over the past year by +19.26%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 78.60 (which is 4.3% or 2.2 ATR below the current price).
Alimentation Couchen Tard has no consensus analysts rating.
Market Cap USD = 53.1b (74.3b CAD * 0.7147 CAD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 16.9769
P/E Forward = 20.8333
P/S = 0.9193
P/B = 3.1505
P/EG = 1.9534
Revenue TTM = 80.5b USD
EBIT TTM = 4.81b USD
EBITDA TTM = 7.19b USD
Long Term Debt = 10.3b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 552.8m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 20.4b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 5.05b
Net Debt = 17.2b USD (calculated: Debt 20.4b - CCE 3.25b)
Enterprise Value = 70.3b USD (53.1b + Debt 20.4b - CCE 3.25b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 6.65 (Ebit TTM 4.81b / Interest Expense TTM 723.0m)
EV/FCF = 19.17x (Enterprise Value 70.3b / FCF TTM 3.67b)
FCF Yield = 5.22% (FCF TTM 3.67b / Enterprise Value 70.3b)
FCF Margin = 4.55% (FCF TTM 3.67b / Revenue TTM 80.5b)
Net Margin = 3.95% (Net Income TTM 3.18b / Revenue TTM 80.5b)
Gross Margin = 17.57% ((Revenue TTM 80.5b - Cost of Revenue TTM 66.4b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 14.06% (prev 17.97%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.65 (Enterprise Value 70.3b / Total Assets 42.7b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.54% (Interest Expense 723.0m / Debt 20.4b)
Taxrate = 22.92% (946.6m / 4.13b)
NOPAT = 3.71b (EBIT 4.81b * (1 - 22.92%))
Current Ratio = 1.26 (Total Current Assets 9.78b / Total Current Liabilities 7.76b)
Debt / Equity = 1.22 (Debt 20.4b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 16.7b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.39 (Net Debt 17.2b / EBITDA 7.19b)
Debt / FCF = 4.68 (Net Debt 17.2b / FCF TTM 3.67b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 16.0b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 7.62% (Net Income 3.18b / Total Assets 42.7b)
RoE = 19.91% (Net Income TTM 3.18b / Total Stockholder Equity 16.0b)
RoCE = 18.29% (EBIT 4.81b / Capital Employed (Equity 16.0b + L.T.Debt 10.3b))
RoIC = 11.49% (NOPAT 3.71b / Invested Capital 32.3b)
WACC = 4.85% (E(53.1b)/V(73.6b) * Re(5.67%) + D(20.4b)/V(73.6b) * Rd(3.54%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 5.67% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -92.62 | Cagr: -2.04%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈3.39b ; Y1≈3.89b ; Y5≈5.72b
[DCF] Fair Price = 75.10 (EV 86.1b - Net Debt 17.2b = Equity 68.9b / Shares 918.0m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 8.04 | EPS CAGR: 0.60% | SUE: 0.14 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 86.57 | Revenue CAGR: 4.64% | SUE: 0.01 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-10-31): EPS=0.81 | Chg30d=-0.76% | Revisions=-72% | Analysts=16
EPS next Quarter (2027-01-31): EPS=0.87 | Chg30d=-0.73% | Revisions=+12% | Analysts=16
EPS current Year (2027-04-30): EPS=3.23 | Chg30d=-0.39% | Revisions=-44% | GrowthEPS=+4.3% | GrowthRev=+14.6%
EPS next Year (2028-04-30): EPS=3.60 | Chg30d=-0.35% | Revisions=+11% | GrowthEPS=+11.2% | GrowthRev=-0.5%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -26% (up=21, down=37)