BIR Stock Analysis: Birchcliff Energy | TO
Oil & Gas E&P | TO, Canada | Market Cap: 2.025m CAD | 12M Return: 8.3% | CA0906971035 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 9.43M
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: -8.3%
Qual. Beats: 2
Warnings
No concerns identified
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.8 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Birchcliff Energy Ltd. (TO: BIR) is a Calgary-based Canadian oil and natural gas producer focused on exploration, development, and production in Western Canada. Its interests include the Pouce Coupe, Gordondale, and Elmworth areas near Grande Prairie, Alberta.
As an oil and gas exploration and production company, Birchcliff sells natural gas, light oil, condensate, and other natural gas liquids. Its business is influenced by commodity prices and the costs of developing and operating its assets.
- AECO gas prices and basis differentials drive operating cash flow
- LNG export growth may lift Western Canadian gas realizations
- Capital spending, debt repayment and dividends shape shareholder returns
| Net Income: 95.8m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.02 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.23 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -0.26% < 20% (prev 7.64%; Δ -7.89% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.12 > 3% & CFO 424.0m > Net Income 95.8m |
| Net Debt (669.0m) to EBITDA (437.0m): 1.53 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.99 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (275.5m) vs 12m ago 1.16% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 34.96% > 18% (prev 56.57%; Δ -21.61% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 20.54% > 50% (prev 18.68%; Δ 1.86% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 4.19 > 6 (EBIT TTM 164.7m / Interest Expense TTM 39.3m) |
| A: -0.00 (Total Current Assets 139.0m - Total Current Liabilities 140.9m) / Total Assets 3.54b |
| B: 0.21 (Retained Earnings 738.3m / Total Assets 3.54b) |
| C: 0.05 (EBIT TTM 164.7m / Avg Total Assets 3.51b) |
| D: 1.89 (Book Value of Equity 2.31b / Total Liabilities 1.23b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 2.97 = A |
| DSRI: 1.05 (Receivables 81.4m/70.0m, Revenue 720.0m/648.2m) |
| GMI: 1.62 (GM 56.57% / 34.96%) |
| AQI: 0.78 (AQ_t 0.01 / AQ_t-1 0.01) |
| SGI: 1.11 (Revenue 720.0m / 648.2m) |
| TATA: -0.09 (NI 95.8m - CFO 424.0m) / TA 3.54b) |
| Beneish M = -2.49 (Cap -4..+1) = BBB |
As of November 04, 2026, the stock is trading at CAD 7.12 with a total of 1,298,972 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.42%, over one month by +9.88%, over three months by +15.01% and over the past year by +8.32%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 6.80 (which is 4.5% or 1.5 ATR below the current price).
Birchcliff Energy has no consensus analysts rating.
P/E Trailing = 21.0857
P/E Forward = 12.987
P/S = 2.8283
P/B = 0.8468
P/EG = 0.6204
Revenue TTM = 720.0m CAD
EBIT TTM = 164.7m CAD
EBITDA TTM = 437.0m CAD
Long Term Debt = 459.2m CAD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 12.0m CAD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 669.1m CAD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 105.0m
Net Debt = 669.0m CAD (calculated: Debt 669.1m - CCE 126k)
Enterprise Value = 2.69b CAD (2.03b + Debt 669.1m - CCE 126k)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.19 (Ebit TTM 164.7m / Interest Expense TTM 39.3m)
EV/FCF = 37.00x (Enterprise Value 2.69b / FCF TTM 72.8m)
FCF Yield = 2.70% (FCF TTM 72.8m / Enterprise Value 2.69b)
FCF Margin = 10.11% (FCF TTM 72.8m / Revenue TTM 720.0m)
Net Margin = 13.31% (Net Income TTM 95.8m / Revenue TTM 720.0m)
Gross Margin = 34.96% ((Revenue TTM 720.0m - Cost of Revenue TTM 468.3m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 21.92% (prev 38.85%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.76 (Enterprise Value 2.69b / Total Assets 3.54b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 5.88% (Interest Expense 39.3m / Debt 669.1m)
Taxrate = 23.71% (29.8m / 125.6m)
NOPAT = 125.7m (EBIT 164.7m * (1 - 23.71%))
Current Ratio = 0.99 (Total Current Assets 139.0m / Total Current Liabilities 140.9m)
Debt / Equity = 0.29 (Debt 669.1m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.31b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.53 (Net Debt 669.0m / EBITDA 437.0m)
Debt / FCF = 9.19 (Net Debt 669.0m / FCF TTM 72.8m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.27b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.73% (Net Income 95.8m / Total Assets 3.54b)
RoE = 4.22% (Net Income TTM 95.8m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.27b)
RoCE = 6.03% (EBIT 164.7m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.27b + L.T.Debt 459.2m))
RoIC = 3.68% (NOPAT 125.7m / Invested Capital 3.41b)
WACC = 5.68% (E(2.03b)/V(2.69b) * Re(6.08%) + D(669.1m)/V(2.69b) * Rd(5.88%) * (1-Tc(0.24)))
Discount Rate = 6.08% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 88.45 | Cagr: 1.25%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈55.2m ; Y1≈63.2m ; Y5≈93.1m
[DCF] Fair Price = 2.67 (EV 1.40b - Net Debt 669.0m = Equity 731.6m / Shares 274.5m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: -0.42 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -8.31 | Revenue CAGR: -0.77% | SUE: 1.57 | # QB: 2
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.04 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=2
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.49 | Chg30d=+5.80% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+138.7% | GrowthRev=+15.1%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=0.56 | Chg30d=-10.59% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=+15.8% | GrowthRev=+7.7%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -25% (up=0, down=1)