CGG Stock Analysis: China Gold International | TO

Other Precious Metals & Mining | TO, Canada | Market Cap: 12.713m CAD | 12M Return: 16.1% | CA16890P1036 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Gold, Copper, Molybdenum, Silver
Total Rating 55
Safety 26
Buy Signal -0.14
Diversified Metals & Mining
Sub-Industry Rotation: -13.2
Market Cap: 8.91B
Avg Turnover: 2.48M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility54.6%
VaR 5th Pctl9.36%
VaR vs Median4.01%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.56
Rel. Str. IBD26.5
Rel. Str. Peer Group78.8 pctl
Character TTM
Beta0.829
Beta Downside0.326
Hurst Exponent0.499
Choppyness50.4%
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD49.12%
CAGR/Max DD1.62
CAGR/Mean DD5.32
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of CGG over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-09": 0.1652, "2021-12": 0.1861, "2022-03": 0.2276, "2022-06": 0.2615, "2022-09": 0.0763, "2022-12": null, "2023-03": 0.1615, "2023-06": -0.1819, "2023-09": -0.1072, "2023-12": -0.0615, "2024-03": -0.0895, "2024-06": -0.0186, "2024-09": 0.0933, "2024-12": 0.2374, "2025-03": 0.3077, "2025-06": 0.4025, "2025-09": 0.4904, "2025-12": null, "2026-03": 0.4415, "2026-06": 0.9548,
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of CGG over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-09: 248.326, 2021-12: 312.016, 2022-03: 304.021, 2022-06: 291.994, 2022-09: 255.03, 2022-12: 253.904, 2023-03: 252.778, 2023-06: 73.016, 2023-09: 62.325, 2023-12: 71.315, 2024-03: 60.543, 2024-06: 147.955, 2024-09: 254.581, 2024-12: 293.567, 2025-03: 273.096, 2025-06: 307.269, 2025-09: 345.026, 2025-12: 384.734, 2026-03: 445.775278, 2026-06: 460.231023,
Rev. CAGR: 76.95%
Rev. Trend: 86.4%
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Beneish M-Score Likely Earnings Manipulation
Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

Idiosyncratic Leader

Seasonality 11.9 years of data, until 10/2026

Jan +5.5% 39
Feb +6.6% 14
Mar -3.6% 0
Apr +8.1% 14
May -5.3% 14
Jun -6.7% 4
Jul -4.0% 14
Aug +4.7% 14
Sep -4.8% 14
Oct -4.0% 28
Nov +3.9% 9
Dec +1.5% 0

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, ≥40 worth a closer look and ≥60 is strong.

Description: CGG China Gold International

China Gold International Resources is a Canada-based mining company focused on gold and base metals in China. It owns a 96.5% interest in the CSH gold mine in Inner Mongolia and 100% of the Jiama copper-gold polymetallic mine in Tibet, which contains copper, gold, molybdenum, silver, lead, and zinc.

Alongside mining, the company has logistics and transport-related businesses and investment-holding and bond-issuing activities. Its diversified metals exposure means its results can be affected by changes in prices for the commodities it produces.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Gold-price strength lifts CSH revenue and mining margins
  • Jiama output recovery faces safety and regulatory scrutiny
  • Copper-price swings influence Jiama’s polymetallic revenue mix
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 7.5
Net Income: 767.9m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.27 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 12.03 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 55.58% < 20% (prev 31.36%; Δ 24.22% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.26 > 3% & CFO 927.6m > Net Income 767.9m
Net Debt (-541.9m) to EBITDA (1.08b): -0.50 < 3
Current Ratio: 3.17 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (396.4m) vs 12m ago 0.0% < -2%
Gross Margin: 61.94% > 18% (prev 38.95%; Δ 22.99% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 48.80% > 50% (prev 36.30%; Δ 12.50% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 65.02 > 6 (EBIT TTM 915.8m / Interest Expense TTM 14.1m)
Altman Z'' 7.47
A: 0.25 (Total Current Assets 1.33b - Total Current Liabilities 418.7m) / Total Assets 3.59b
B: 0.31 (Retained Earnings 1.13b / Total Assets 3.59b)
C: 0.27 (EBIT TTM 915.8m / Avg Total Assets 3.35b)
D: 2.81 (Book Value of Equity 2.63b / Total Liabilities 935.7m)
Altman-Z'' = 7.47 = AAA
Beneish M 1.00
DSRI: 0.93 (Receivables 16.2m/12.1m, Revenue 1.64b/1.13b)
GMI: 0.63 (GM 38.95% / 61.94%)
AQI: 8.55 (AQ_t 0.23 / AQ_t-1 0.03)
SGI: 1.45 (Revenue 1.64b / 1.13b)
TATA: -0.04 (NI 767.9m - CFO 927.6m) / TA 3.59b)
Beneish M = 1.37 (Cap -4..+1) = D
What is the price of CGG shares?

As of November 14, 2026, the stock is trading at CAD 29.58 with a total of 61,619 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -9.12%, over one month by -24.27%, over three months by -13.53% and over the past year by +16.13%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 27.40 (which is 7.4% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).

Is CGG a buy, sell or hold?

China Gold International has no consensus analysts rating.

China Gold International (CGG) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 14 November 2026
Market Cap USD = 8.91b (12.7b CAD * 0.7007 CAD.USD)
Market Cap USD = 8.91b (12.7b CAD * 0.7007 CAD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 10.9355
P/E Forward = 10.4712
P/S = 7.3569
P/B = 3.3493
Revenue TTM = 1.64b USD
EBIT TTM = 915.8m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.08b USD
Long Term Debt = 264.9m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 199.8m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 490.9m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 14.0m
Net Debt = -541.9m USD (calculated: Debt 490.9m - CCE 1.03b)
Enterprise Value = 8.37b USD (8.91b + Debt 490.9m - CCE 1.03b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 65.02 (Ebit TTM 915.8m / Interest Expense TTM 14.1m)
EV/FCF = 8.67x (Enterprise Value 8.37b / FCF TTM 965.4m)
FCF Yield = 11.54% (FCF TTM 965.4m / Enterprise Value 8.37b)
FCF Margin = 59.02% (FCF TTM 965.4m / Revenue TTM 1.64b)
Net Margin = 46.95% (Net Income TTM 767.9m / Revenue TTM 1.64b)
Gross Margin = 61.94% ((Revenue TTM 1.64b - Cost of Revenue TTM 622.6m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 70.53% (prev 64.05%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.33 (Enterprise Value 8.37b / Total Assets 3.59b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.87% (Interest Expense 14.1m / Debt 490.9m)
Taxrate = 13.59% (122.4m / 900.3m)
NOPAT = 791.4m (EBIT 915.8m * (1 - 13.59%))
Current Ratio = 3.17 (Total Current Assets 1.33b / Total Current Liabilities 418.7m)
Debt / Equity = 0.19 (Debt 490.9m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.63b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.50 (Net Debt -541.9m / EBITDA 1.08b)
Debt / FCF = -0.56 (Net Debt -541.9m / FCF TTM 965.4m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.37b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 22.91% (Net Income 767.9m / Total Assets 3.59b)
RoE = 32.43% (Net Income TTM 767.9m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.37b)
RoCE = 34.78% (EBIT 915.8m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.37b + L.T.Debt 264.9m))
RoIC = 24.02% (NOPAT 791.4m / Invested Capital 3.29b)
WACC = 8.12% (E(8.91b)/V(9.40b) * Re(8.43%) + D(490.9m)/V(9.40b) * Rd(2.87%) * (1-Tc(0.14)))
Discount Rate = 8.43% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -87.04 | Cagr: -0.00%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈763.6m ; Y1≈875.3m ; Y5≈1.29b
[DCF] Fair Price = 50.27 (EV 19.4b - Net Debt -541.9m = Equity 19.9b / Shares 396.4m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 86.38 | Revenue CAGR: 76.95% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=3.36 | Chg30d=+19.04% | Revisions=+40% | GrowthEPS=+104.7% | GrowthRev=+37.4%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=3.26 | Chg30d=+2.10% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=-2.9% | GrowthRev=+3.1%