CHP-UN Stock Analysis: Choice Properties Real | TO

REIT - Retail | TO, Canada | Market Cap: 10.778m CAD | 12M Return: 11.2% | CA17039A1066 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Retail, Industrial, Office, Residential
Total Rating 26
Safety 25
Buy Signal -0.54
REIT - Retail
Industry Rotation: +7.8
Market Cap: 7.71B
Avg Turnover: 7.91M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility16.5%
VaR 5th Pctl2.85%
VaR vs Median4.69%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.49
Rel. Str. IBD51.3
Rel. Str. Peer Group71.2 pctl
Character TTM
Beta-0.156
Beta Downside-0.337
Hurst Exponent0.407
Choppyness42.4%
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD14.10%
CAGR/Max DD0.80
CAGR/Mean DD2.66
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of CHP-UN over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-09": null, "2021-12": null, "2022-03": null, "2022-06": null, "2022-09": null, "2022-12": null, "2023-03": null, "2023-06": null, "2023-09": null, "2023-12": null, "2024-03": null, "2024-06": null, "2024-09": null, "2024-12": null, "2025-03": null, "2025-06": null, "2025-09": null, "2025-12": null, "2026-03": null, "2026-06": null,
Revenue Revenue of CHP-UN over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-09: 316.083, 2021-12: 325.763, 2022-03: 328.049, 2022-06: 313.081, 2022-09: 309.082, 2022-12: 314.382, 2023-03: 324.657, 2023-06: 330.327, 2023-09: 325.077, 2023-12: 354.743, 2024-03: 349.927, 2024-06: 355.48, 2024-09: 339.898, 2024-12: 344.861, 2025-03: 346.912, 2025-06: 350.779, 2025-09: 363.222, 2025-12: 355.657, 2026-03: 361.192, 2026-06: 362.634,
Rev. CAGR: 3.03%
Rev. Trend: 90.0%
Last SUE: -1.01
Qual. Beats: -1

Warnings

High Debt/EBITDA With Thin Interest Coverage
Interest Coverage Ratio Critical
Altman Z'' In Financial Distress Zone
Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 11.8 years of data

Jan +0.7% 28
Feb -0.5% 8
Mar -0.8% 5
Apr -0.4% 8
May +0.3% 5
Jun -0.0% 7
Jul +0.4% 17
Aug -0.5% 8
Sep -0.6% 8
Oct -2.3% 16
Nov -0.4% 0
Dec +0.3% 13

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: CHP-UN Choice Properties Real

Choice Properties Real Estate Investment Trust is a Canadian owner, operator and developer of commercial and residential properties, established in 2013. It emphasizes long-term value creation, sustainability and community engagement.

As a retail REIT, it owns commercial real estate leased to tenants; rental income is a central part of the sector’s business model.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Grocery-anchored leasing and rent escalators support recurring income
  • Loblaw concentration heightens exposure to tenant and retail trends
  • Borrowing costs and refinancing pressure funds from operations
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 1.5
Net Income: -74.3m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.03 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.78 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: -37.40% < 20% (prev -41.90%; Δ 4.50% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.04 > 3% & CFO 683.3m > Net Income -74.3m
Net Debt (6.75b) to EBITDA (342.0m): 19.72 < 3
Current Ratio: 0.46 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (723.8m) vs 12m ago 0.0% < -2%
Gross Margin: 71.43% > 18% (prev 71.75%; Δ -0.32% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 8.09% > 50% (prev 7.80%; Δ 0.29% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 0.91 > 6 (EBIT TTM 340.1m / Interest Expense TTM 372.9m)
Altman Z'' 1.05
A: -0.03 (Total Current Assets 457.6m - Total Current Liabilities 997.1m) / Total Assets 18.0b
B: 0.16 (Retained Earnings 2.84b / Total Assets 18.0b)
C: 0.02 (EBIT TTM 340.1m / Avg Total Assets 17.8b)
D: 0.57 (Book Value of Equity 4.19b / Total Liabilities 7.30b)
Altman-Z'' = 1.05 = BB
What is the price of CHP-UN shares?

As of November 01, 2026, the stock is trading at CAD 14.74 with a total of 1,013,870 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.51%, over one month by +4.93%, over three months by -0.82% and over the past year by +11.18%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 14.30 (which is 3% or 1.7 ATR below the current price).

Is CHP-UN a buy, sell or hold?

Choice Properties Real has no consensus analysts rating.

Choice Properties Real (CHP-UN) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 26 October 2026
Market Cap USD = 7.71b (10.8b CAD * 0.7156 CAD.USD)
P/E Forward = 13.7741
P/S = 7.4018
P/B = 1.0349
Revenue TTM = 1.44b CAD
EBIT TTM = 340.1m CAD
EBITDA TTM = 342.0m CAD
Long Term Debt = 5.72b CAD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 997.1m CAD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 6.79b CAD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 4.37m
Net Debt = 6.75b CAD (calculated: Debt 6.79b - CCE 45.7m)
Enterprise Value = 17.5b CAD (10.8b + Debt 6.79b - CCE 45.7m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.91 (Ebit TTM 340.1m / Interest Expense TTM 372.9m)
EV/FCF = 29.39x (Enterprise Value 17.5b / FCF TTM 596.2m)
FCF Yield = 3.40% (FCF TTM 596.2m / Enterprise Value 17.5b)
FCF Margin = 41.32% (FCF TTM 596.2m / Revenue TTM 1.44b)
Net Margin = -5.15% (Net Income TTM -74.3m / Revenue TTM 1.44b)
Gross Margin = 71.43% ((Revenue TTM 1.44b - Cost of Revenue TTM 412.2m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 70.64% (prev 70.90%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.98 (Enterprise Value 17.5b / Total Assets 18.0b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 5.49% (Interest Expense 372.9m / Debt 6.79b)
Taxrate = 25.0% (non-US conservative default 25%)
NOPAT = 255.1m (EBIT 340.1m * (1 - 25.00%))
Current Ratio = 0.46 (Total Current Assets 457.6m / Total Current Liabilities 997.1m)
Debt / Equity = 1.62 (Debt 6.79b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 4.19b)
Debt / EBITDA = 19.72 (Net Debt 6.75b / EBITDA 342.0m)
Debt / FCF = 11.32 (Net Debt 6.75b / FCF TTM 596.2m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 6.00b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -0.42% (Net Income -74.3m / Total Assets 18.0b)
RoE = -1.24% (Net Income TTM -74.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 6.00b)
RoCE = 2.90% (EBIT 340.1m / Capital Employed (Equity 6.00b + L.T.Debt 5.72b))
RoIC = 1.42% (NOPAT 255.1m / Invested Capital 17.9b)
WACC = 4.74% (E(10.8b)/V(17.6b) * Re(5.13%) + D(6.79b)/V(17.6b) * Rd(5.49%) * (1-Tc(0.25)))
Discount Rate = 5.13% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 85.82 | Cagr: 0.01%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.10% ; FCFF base≈648.3m ; Y1≈568.5m ; Y5≈459.3m
[DCF] Fair Price = 1.91 (EV 7.37b - Net Debt 6.75b = Equity 627.2m / Shares 328.0m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow -15.0% → 2.50% )
Revenue Correlation: 89.98 | Revenue CAGR: 3.03% | SUE: -1.01 | # QB: -1
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.38 | Chg30d=-51.90% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=-34.4% | GrowthRev=+8.2%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=1.04 | Chg30d=-0.95% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=+173.7% | GrowthRev=+20.8%