CJT Stock Analysis: Cargojet | TO
Airlines | TO, Canada | Market Cap: 1.267m CAD | 12M Return: 7% | CA14179V5036 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 5.88M
EPS Trend: 49.3%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 83.5%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
Seasonality
Cargojet Inc. is a Canadian air-freight and logistics company providing time-sensitive overnight cargo services, including a domestic network linking cities across Canada. It also operates scheduled and charter flights in Canada and internationally, and leases aircraft with crew, maintenance, and insurance.
Its services include aircraft operations, maintenance, flight planning, ground handling, and cargo management. Cargojet operates a fleet of 41 aircraft and is headquartered in Mississauga, Ontario.
- Domestic network volumes and pricing drive core revenue growth
- ACMI and international charter demand lift aircraft utilization
- Fuel, labor and fleet investment pressure operating margins
| Net Income: 46.5m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 10.57 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -3.25% < 20% (prev -6.13%; Δ 2.89% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.15 > 3% & CFO 307.9m > Net Income 46.5m |
| Net Debt (1.04b) to EBITDA (323.5m): 3.23 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.83 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (14.9m) vs 12m ago -3.25% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 18.79% > 18% (prev 23.21%; Δ -4.42% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 50.56% > 50% (prev 49.63%; Δ 0.93% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 2.43 > 6 (EBIT TTM 119.4m / Interest Expense TTM 49.2m) |
| A: -0.02 (Total Current Assets 168.8m - Total Current Liabilities 202.4m) / Total Assets 2.03b |
| B: 0.08 (Retained Earnings 155.1m / Total Assets 2.03b) |
| C: 0.06 (EBIT TTM 119.4m / Avg Total Assets 2.05b) |
| D: 0.57 (Book Value of Equity 734.3m / Total Liabilities 1.29b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 1.13 = BB |
| DSRI: 1.16 (Receivables 120.7m/102.9m, Revenue 1.04b/1.03b) |
| GMI: 1.23 (GM 23.21% / 18.79%) |
| AQI: 1.04 (AQ_t 0.08 / AQ_t-1 0.07) |
| SGI: 1.01 (Revenue 1.04b / 1.03b) |
| TATA: -0.13 (NI 46.5m - CFO 307.9m) / TA 2.03b) |
| Beneish M = -2.66 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of October 19, 2026, the stock is trading at CAD 85.62 with a total of 36,731 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.27%, over one month by +6.66%, over three months by +0.01% and over the past year by +6.99%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 82.30 (which is 3.9% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).
Cargojet has no consensus analysts rating.
P/E Trailing = 27.9804
P/E Forward = 19.9601
P/S = 1.2242
P/B = 1.742
Revenue TTM = 1.04b CAD
EBIT TTM = 119.4m CAD
EBITDA TTM = 323.5m CAD
Long Term Debt = 703.5m CAD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 24.9m CAD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.05b CAD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 172.3m
Net Debt = 1.04b CAD (calculated: Debt 1.05b - CCE 4.00m)
Enterprise Value = 2.31b CAD (1.27b + Debt 1.05b - CCE 4.00m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.43 (Ebit TTM 119.4m / Interest Expense TTM 49.2m)
EV/FCF = 27.10x (Enterprise Value 2.31b / FCF TTM 85.3m)
FCF Yield = 3.69% (FCF TTM 85.3m / Enterprise Value 2.31b)
FCF Margin = 8.24% (FCF TTM 85.3m / Revenue TTM 1.04b)
Net Margin = 4.49% (Net Income TTM 46.5m / Revenue TTM 1.04b)
Gross Margin = 18.79% ((Revenue TTM 1.04b - Cost of Revenue TTM 840.6m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 21.32% (prev 15.70%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.14 (Enterprise Value 2.31b / Total Assets 2.03b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.69% (Interest Expense 49.2m / Debt 1.05b)
Taxrate = 25.12% (15.6m / 62.1m)
NOPAT = 89.4m (EBIT 119.4m * (1 - 25.12%))
Current Ratio = 0.83 (Total Current Assets 168.8m / Total Current Liabilities 202.4m)
Debt / Equity = 1.43 (Debt 1.05b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 734.3m)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.23 (Net Debt 1.04b / EBITDA 323.5m)
Debt / FCF = 12.24 (Net Debt 1.04b / FCF TTM 85.3m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 738.5m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.27% (Net Income 46.5m / Total Assets 2.03b)
RoE = 6.30% (Net Income TTM 46.5m / Total Stockholder Equity 738.5m)
RoCE = 8.28% (EBIT 119.4m / Capital Employed (Equity 738.5m + L.T.Debt 703.5m))
RoIC = 4.85% (NOPAT 89.4m / Invested Capital 1.84b)
WACC = 6.79% (E(1.27b)/V(2.32b) * Re(9.50%) + D(1.05b)/V(2.32b) * Rd(4.69%) * (1-Tc(0.25)))
Discount Rate = 9.50% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -85.04 | Cagr: -10.45%
[DCF] Terminal Value 75.44% ; FCFF base≈85.3m ; Y1≈85.7m ; Y5≈90.7m
[DCF] Fair Price = 24.80 (EV 1.41b - Net Debt 1.04b = Equity 367.1m / Shares 14.8m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 0.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 49.34 | EPS CAGR: 20.88% | SUE: -0.21 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 83.51 | Revenue CAGR: 5.98% | SUE: 0.84 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.85 | Chg30d=+5.97% | Revisions=+50% | Analysts=10
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=3.57 | Chg30d=+1.95% | Revisions=+12% | GrowthEPS=-19.7% | GrowthRev=+11.2%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=4.52 | Chg30d=-0.60% | Revisions=-38% | GrowthEPS=+26.4% | GrowthRev=+1.9%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +6% (up=7, down=6)