DOL Stock Analysis: Dollarama | TO

Discount Stores | TO, Canada | Market Cap: 55.673m CAD | 12M Return: 14.9% | CA25675T1075 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

General Merchandise, Consumables, Seasonal Goods
Total Rating 63
Safety 74
Buy Signal 0.24
Discount Stores
Industry Rotation: +5.4
Market Cap: 39.8B
Avg Turnover: 113M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility21.3%
VaR 5th Pctl3.47%
VaR vs Median-1.33%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.52
Rel. Str. IBD74
Rel. Str. Peer Group63 pctl
Character TTM
Beta-0.177
Beta Downside-0.527
Hurst Exponent0.515
Choppyness43.1%
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD19.58%
CAGR/Max DD1.50
CAGR/Mean DD6.13
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of DOL over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-10": 0.61, "2022-01": 0.74, "2022-04": 0.49, "2022-07": 0.66, "2022-10": 0.7, "2023-01": 0.91, "2023-04": 0.63, "2023-07": 0.86, "2023-10": 0.92, "2024-01": 1.15, "2024-04": 0.77, "2024-07": 1.02, "2024-10": 0.98, "2025-01": 1.4, "2025-04": 0.95, "2025-07": 1.16, "2025-10": 1.17, "2026-01": 1.43, "2026-04": 1.05, "2026-07": 1.29,
EPS CAGR: 15.30%
EPS Trend: 98.8%
Last SUE: 0.79
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of DOL over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-10: 1122.267, 2022-01: 1224.9, 2022-04: 1072.884, 2022-07: 1217.06, 2022-10: 1289.574, 2023-01: 1473.223, 2023-04: 1294.549, 2023-07: 1455.936, 2023-10: 1477.692, 2024-01: 1639.171, 2024-04: 1405.772, 2024-07: 1563.384, 2024-10: 1562.644, 2025-01: 1881.345, 2025-04: 1521.21, 2025-07: 1723.838, 2025-10: 1909.442, 2026-01: 2101.264, 2026-04: 1846.089, 2026-07: 2026.645,
Rev. CAGR: 12.17%
Rev. Trend: 98.8%
Last SUE: 0.24
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

No concerns identified

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 11.8 years of data

Jan -0.8% 8
Feb +2.2% 8
Mar +1.1% 15
Apr +2.0% 30
May +0.9% 31
Jun +0.5% 17
Jul +0.2% 17
Aug +0.3% 26
Sep -2.0% 18
Oct -0.5% 11
Nov +1.7% 15
Dec -3.6% 44

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: DOL Dollarama

Dollarama Inc. operates general merchandise stores in Canada, Latin America-including Colombia, Peru, and Mexico-and Australia, and also sells products online. Its assortment includes general merchandise, consumables, and seasonal goods, supported by logistics and administrative operations. As a general merchandise retailer in the consumer discretionary sector, it serves shoppers across a range of product categories. Founded in 1992, the company is headquartered in Mount Royal, Canada.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Store expansion and comparable sales growth sustain Canadian revenue
  • Consumer trade-down lifts traffic, while import costs pressure margins
  • Dollarcity expansion adds international growth and execution risk
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 7.0
Net Income: 1.37b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.19 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.74 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 7.57% < 20% (prev 5.40%; Δ 2.17% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.24 > 3% & CFO 1.97b > Net Income 1.37b
Net Debt (8.34b) to EBITDA (2.55b): 3.27 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.55 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (271.5m) vs 12m ago -2.43% < -2%
Gross Margin: 41.61% > 18% (prev 46.91%; Δ -5.30% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 99.39% > 50% (prev 87.07%; Δ 12.33% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 8.76 > 6 (EBIT TTM 2.02b / Interest Expense TTM 230.9m)
Altman Z'' 2.45
A: 0.07 (Total Current Assets 1.68b - Total Current Liabilities 1.08b) / Total Assets 8.18b
B: 0.01 (Retained Earnings 71.4m / Total Assets 8.18b)
C: 0.25 (EBIT TTM 2.02b / Avg Total Assets 7.93b)
D: 0.22 (Book Value of Equity 1.48b / Total Liabilities 6.70b)
Altman-Z'' = 2.45 = A
Beneish M -3.03
DSRI: 0.66 (Receivables 47.5m/60.6m, Revenue 7.88b/6.69b)
GMI: 1.13 (GM 46.91% / 41.61%)
AQI: 1.06 (AQ_t 0.31 / AQ_t-1 0.30)
SGI: 1.18 (Revenue 7.88b / 6.69b)
TATA: -0.07 (NI 1.37b - CFO 1.97b) / TA 8.18b)
Beneish M = -3.03 (Cap -4..+1) = AA
What is the price of DOL shares?

As of November 02, 2026, the stock is trading at CAD 207.50 with a total of 611,780 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.02%, over one month by +12.45%, over three months by +8.46% and over the past year by +14.87%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 198.40 (which is 4.4% or 2.4 ATR below the current price).

Is DOL a buy, sell or hold?

Dollarama has no consensus analysts rating.

Dollarama (DOL) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 26 October 2026
Market Cap USD = 39.8b (55.7b CAD * 0.7156 CAD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 41.3247
P/E Forward = 32.7869
P/S = 7.0621
P/B = 37.7395
P/EG = 2.4074
Revenue TTM = 7.88b CAD
EBIT TTM = 2.02b CAD
EBITDA TTM = 2.55b CAD
Long Term Debt = 2.97b CAD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 421.5m CAD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 8.82b CAD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 2.91b
Net Debt = 8.34b CAD (calculated: Debt 8.82b - CCE 479.7m)
Enterprise Value = 64.0b CAD (55.7b + Debt 8.82b - CCE 479.7m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 8.76 (Ebit TTM 2.02b / Interest Expense TTM 230.9m)
EV/FCF = 40.61x (Enterprise Value 64.0b / FCF TTM 1.58b)
FCF Yield = 2.46% (FCF TTM 1.58b / Enterprise Value 64.0b)
FCF Margin = 20.00% (FCF TTM 1.58b / Revenue TTM 7.88b)
Net Margin = 17.32% (Net Income TTM 1.37b / Revenue TTM 7.88b)
Gross Margin = 41.61% ((Revenue TTM 7.88b - Cost of Revenue TTM 4.60b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 44.45% (prev 43.88%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 7.82 (Enterprise Value 64.0b / Total Assets 8.18b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.62% (Interest Expense 230.9m / Debt 8.82b)
Taxrate = 25.52% (468.1m / 1.83b)
NOPAT = 1.51b (EBIT 2.02b * (1 - 25.52%))
Current Ratio = 1.55 (Total Current Assets 1.68b / Total Current Liabilities 1.08b)
Debt / Equity = 5.96 (Debt 8.82b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.48b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.27 (Net Debt 8.34b / EBITDA 2.55b)
Debt / FCF = 5.29 (Net Debt 8.34b / FCF TTM 1.58b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.40b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 17.22% (Net Income 1.37b / Total Assets 8.18b)
RoE = 97.52% (Net Income TTM 1.37b / Total Stockholder Equity 1.40b)
RoCE = 46.29% (EBIT 2.02b / Capital Employed (Equity 1.40b + L.T.Debt 2.97b))
RoIC = 21.13% (NOPAT 1.51b / Invested Capital 7.13b)
WACC = 4.63% (E(55.7b)/V(64.5b) * Re(5.06%) + D(8.82b)/V(64.5b) * Rd(2.62%) * (1-Tc(0.26)))
Discount Rate = 5.06% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -92.72 | Cagr: -1.32%
[DCF] Terminal Value 76.74% ; FCFF base≈1.52b ; Y1≈1.66b ; Y5≈2.08b
[DCF] Fair Price = 87.37 (EV 31.8b - Net Debt 8.34b = Equity 23.4b / Shares 268.4m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 10.71% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 98.84 | EPS CAGR: 15.30% | SUE: 0.79 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 98.79 | Revenue CAGR: 12.17% | SUE: 0.24 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-10-31): EPS=1.23 | Chg30d=-1.48% | Revisions=-55% | Analysts=9
EPS current Year (2027-01-31): EPS=5.16 | Chg30d=-0.03% | Revisions=+55% | GrowthEPS=+9.7% | GrowthRev=+12.1%
EPS next Year (2028-01-31): EPS=5.85 | Chg30d=+0.26% | Revisions=+36% | GrowthEPS=+13.5% | GrowthRev=+6.8%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +17% (up=16, down=11)