H Stock Analysis: Hydro One | TO

Utilities - Regulated Electric | TO, Canada | Market Cap: 34.476m CAD | 12M Return: 12.1% | CA4488112083 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Electric Transmission, Power Distribution, Telecom Support, ICT Services
Total Rating 39
Safety 58
Buy Signal 0.20
Electric Utilities
Sub-Industry Rotation: +11.4
Market Cap: 24.2B
Avg Turnover: 73.6M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility13.9%
VaR 5th Pctl2.50%
VaR vs Median8.94%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.56
Rel. Str. IBD53
Rel. Str. Peer Group56.4 pctl
Character TTM
Beta-0.319
Beta Downside-0.549
Hurst Exponent0.497
Choppyness51.8%
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD15.31%
CAGR/Max DD1.14
CAGR/Mean DD4.25
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of H over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-09": 0.5, "2021-12": 0.26, "2022-03": 0.52, "2022-06": 0.42, "2022-09": 0.51, "2022-12": 0.3, "2023-03": 0.47, "2023-06": 0.44, "2023-09": 0.59, "2023-12": 0.3, "2024-03": 0.49, "2024-06": 0.49, "2024-09": 0.62, "2024-12": 0.33, "2025-03": 0.6, "2025-06": 0.54, "2025-09": 0.7, "2025-12": 0.39, "2026-03": 0.65, "2026-06": 0.62, "2026-09": 0.68,
EPS CAGR: 11.51%
EPS Trend: 99.1%
Last SUE: -1.16
Qual. Beats: -1
Revenue Revenue of H over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-09: 1913, 2021-12: 1779, 2022-03: 2047, 2022-06: 1840, 2022-09: 2031, 2022-12: 1862, 2023-03: 2074, 2023-06: 1857, 2023-09: 1934, 2023-12: 1979, 2024-03: 2166, 2024-06: 2031, 2024-09: 2192, 2024-12: 2095, 2025-03: 2408, 2025-06: 2066, 2025-09: 2299, 2025-12: 2268, 2026-03: 2648, 2026-06: 2302, 2026-09: null,
Rev. CAGR: 7.74%
Rev. Trend: 99.5%
Last SUE: -0.37
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

High Debt While Negative Cash Flow
Below Avwap Earnings

Tailwinds

Supp Ema8

Seasonality 11 years of data, until 10/2026

Jan -0.1% 0
Feb -0.8% 21
Mar +4.1% 9
Apr +0.1% 0
May -0.2% 0
Jun -0.9% 9
Jul -0.3% 0
Aug +0.6% 0
Sep -0.6% 21
Oct -0.1% 0
Nov +1.0% 32
Dec +0.2% 0

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, ≥40 worth a closer look and ≥60 is strong.

Description: H Hydro One

Hydro One (TSX: H) is a Toronto-based electric utility that operates transmission and distribution networks across Ontario. Its business is organized into Transmission, Distribution, and Other segments, with telecommunications and information technology services supporting its core operations.

The company owns about 30,000 circuit kilometers of high-voltage transmission lines and 126,000 circuit kilometers of primary distribution lines. It serves households, businesses, industrial customers, and municipal utilities. Like other electric utilities, Hydro One’s networks carry electricity from generators toward end users; its core business is delivering power rather than generating it.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Grid investment expands regulated rate base and earnings
  • Ontario rate decisions shape allowed returns and revenue growth
  • Higher interest rates increase financing costs and pressure earnings
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 4.0
Net Income: 1.42b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: -0.01 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.46 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: -3.31% < 20% (prev -31.75%; Δ 28.44% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.06 > 3% & CFO 2.66b > Net Income 1.42b
Net Debt (19.5b) to EBITDA (3.41b): 5.72 < 3
Current Ratio: 0.88 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (600.8m) vs 12m ago -0.00% < -2%
Gross Margin: 27.33% > 18% (prev 24.14%; Δ 3.19% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 24.13% > 50% (prev 23.17%; Δ 0.96% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 3.26 > 6 (EBIT TTM 2.33b / Interest Expense TTM 715.0m)
Altman Z'' 1.41
A: -0.01 (Total Current Assets 2.36b - Total Current Liabilities 2.67b) / Total Assets 41.1b
B: 0.18 (Retained Earnings 7.26b / Total Assets 41.1b)
C: 0.06 (EBIT TTM 2.33b / Avg Total Assets 39.4b)
D: 0.46 (Book Value of Equity 13.0b / Total Liabilities 28.0b)
Altman-Z'' = 1.41 = BB
Beneish M -3.06
DSRI: 1.04 (Receivables 1.53b/1.35b, Revenue 9.52b/8.76b)
GMI: 0.88 (GM 24.14% / 27.33%)
AQI: 0.97 (AQ_t 0.15 / AQ_t-1 0.16)
SGI: 1.09 (Revenue 9.52b / 8.76b)
TATA: -0.03 (NI 1.42b - CFO 2.66b) / TA 41.1b)
Beneish M = -3.06 (Cap -4..+1) = AA
What is the price of H shares?

As of November 12, 2026, the stock is trading at CAD 57.04 with a total of 723,800 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.24%, over one month by +10.84%, over three months by +2.54% and over the past year by +12.12%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 55.60 (which is 2.5% or 1.5 ATR below the current price).

Is H a buy, sell or hold?

Hydro One has no consensus analysts rating.

Hydro One (H) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 12 November 2026
Market Cap USD = 24.2b (34.5b CAD * 0.7017 CAD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 24.5513
P/E Forward = 24.1546
P/S = 3.5478
P/B = 2.6125
P/EG = 3.6561
Revenue TTM = 9.52b CAD
EBIT TTM = 2.33b CAD
EBITDA TTM = 3.41b CAD
Long Term Debt = 19.5b CAD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 536.0m CAD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 20.2b CAD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 63.0m
Net Debt = 19.5b CAD (calculated: Debt 20.2b - CCE 643.0m)
Enterprise Value = 54.0b CAD (34.5b + Debt 20.2b - CCE 643.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.26 (Ebit TTM 2.33b / Interest Expense TTM 715.0m)
EV/FCF = -217.7x (Enterprise Value 54.0b / FCF TTM -248.0m)
FCF Yield = -0.46% (FCF TTM -248.0m / Enterprise Value 54.0b)
FCF Margin = -2.61% (FCF TTM -248.0m / Revenue TTM 9.52b)
Net Margin = 14.87% (Net Income TTM 1.42b / Revenue TTM 9.52b)
Gross Margin = 27.33% ((Revenue TTM 9.52b - Cost of Revenue TTM 6.92b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 26.93% (prev 23.49%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.31 (Enterprise Value 54.0b / Total Assets 41.1b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.55% (Interest Expense 715.0m / Debt 20.2b)
Taxrate = 12.29% (200.0m / 1.63b)
NOPAT = 2.04b (EBIT 2.33b * (1 - 12.29%))
Current Ratio = 0.88 (Total Current Assets 2.36b / Total Current Liabilities 2.67b)
Debt / Equity = 1.55 (Debt 20.2b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 13.0b)
Debt / EBITDA = 5.72 (Net Debt 19.5b / EBITDA 3.41b)
 Debt / FCF = -78.67 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 19.5b / FCF TTM -248.0m)
 Total Stockholder Equity = 12.8b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.59% (Net Income 1.42b / Total Assets 41.1b)
RoE = 11.08% (Net Income TTM 1.42b / Total Stockholder Equity 12.8b)
RoCE = 7.22% (EBIT 2.33b / Capital Employed (Equity 12.8b + L.T.Debt 19.5b))
RoIC = 5.31% (NOPAT 2.04b / Invested Capital 38.5b)
WACC = 4.04% (E(34.5b)/V(54.6b) * Re(4.58%) + D(20.2b)/V(54.6b) * Rd(3.55%) * (1-Tc(0.12)))
Discount Rate = 4.58% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 4.50 | Cagr: 0.02%
 [DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -248.0m)
 EPS Correlation: 99.09 | EPS CAGR: 11.51% | SUE: -1.16 | # QB: -1
Revenue Correlation: 99.50 | Revenue CAGR: 7.74% | SUE: -0.37 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2027-03-31): EPS=0.70 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=+25% | Analysts=2
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.31 | Chg30d=-0.50% | Revisions=-29% | GrowthEPS=+3.6% | GrowthRev=+5.2%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=2.39 | Chg30d=+0.36% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+3.6% | GrowthRev=+3.5%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -10% (up=3, down=4)