MFI Stock Analysis: Maple Leaf Foods | TO

Poultry, Cured Meats, Deli Products, Plant-Based Foods

Total Rating 40

Safety 68

Buy Signal -0.62

Packaged Foods
Industry Rotation: +14.6

Market Cap: 2.35B
Avg Turnover: 5.98M

Risk 3d forecast

Volatility29.1%

VaR 5^th Pctl4.29%

VaR vs Median-7.74%

Reward TTM

Sharpe Ratio0.29

Rel. Str. IBD45.5

Rel. Str. Peer Group66.3 pctl

Character TTM

Beta-0.168

Beta Downside-0.438

Hurst Exponent0.386

Choppyness20.2%

Drawdowns 3y

Max DD25.09%

CAGR/Max DD0.47

CAGR/Mean DD1.19

EPS (Earnings per Share)

Last SUE: 0.26
Qual. Beats: 0

Revenue

Rev. CAGR: -4.70%
Rev. Trend: -63.8%

Last SUE: -0.58
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 11.8 years of data

Jan -0.2% 5

Feb +0.0% 7

Mar +5.4% 17

Apr -0.3% 7

May -1.4% 18

Jun +0.4% 10

Jul +2.7% 31

Aug -1.5% 8

Sep -3.5% 46

Oct -1.7% 37

Nov +2.5% 26

Dec -0.3% 13

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: MFI Maple Leaf Foods

Maple Leaf Foods is a Canadian packaged-foods company that makes and sells branded and private-label meat, poultry, and plant-based products across Canada and international markets. Its range includes fresh and frozen poultry, processed meats, deli foods, and plant-based alternatives. Founded in 1836, the company is headquartered in Mississauga, Ontario.

Headlines to Watch Out For

Pork spin-off refocuses Maple Leaf on branded prepared meats
Feed and livestock costs pressure poultry and meat margins
Prepared-meat pricing and volumes drive revenue and profitability

Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 4.0

Net Income: 521.2m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.03 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -7.78 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 8.77% < 20% (prev 3.28%; Δ 5.49% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.07 > 3% & CFO 246.7m > Net Income 521.2m
Net Debt (1.25b) to EBITDA (434.9m): 2.86 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.56 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (127.8m) vs 12m ago 1.75% < -2%
Gross Margin: 17.41% > 18% (prev 17.23%; Δ 0.18% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 98.67% > 50% (prev 114.3%; Δ -15.65% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 3.22 > 6 (EBIT TTM 232.6m / Interest Expense TTM 72.2m)

Altman Z'' 1.98

A: 0.10 (Total Current Assets 974.8m - Total Current Liabilities 625.4m) / Total Assets 3.63b
B: 0.10 (Retained Earnings 375.3m / Total Assets 3.63b)
C: 0.06 (EBIT TTM 232.6m / Avg Total Assets 4.04b)
D: 0.60 (Book Value of Equity 1.36b / Total Liabilities 2.27b)
Altman-Z'' = 1.98 = BBB

Beneish M -2.83

DSRI: 1.32 (Receivables 230.9m/223.5m, Revenue 3.98b/5.08b)
GMI: 0.99 (GM 17.23% / 17.41%)
AQI: 1.16 (AQ_t 0.25 / AQ_t-1 0.22)
SGI: 0.78 (Revenue 3.98b / 5.08b)
TATA: 0.08 (NI 521.2m - CFO 246.7m) / TA 3.63b)
Beneish M = -2.83 (Cap -4..+1) = A

What is the price of MFI shares?

As of November 04, 2026, the stock is trading at CAD 27.32 with a total of 271,034 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.16%, over one month by +11.60%, over three months by -5.04% and over the past year by +8.41%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 26.70 (which is 2.3% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).

Is MFI a buy, sell or hold?

Maple Leaf Foods has no consensus analysts rating.

Maple Leaf Foods (MFI) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 04 November 2026

Market Cap USD = 2.35b (3.29b CAD * 0.7147 CAD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 45.4138
P/E Forward = 14.6843
P/S = 0.8245
P/B = 2.412
P/EG = 1.8752
Revenue TTM = 3.98b CAD
EBIT TTM = 232.6m CAD
EBITDA TTM = 434.9m CAD
Long Term Debt = 1.24b CAD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 19.0m CAD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.41b CAD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 87.7m
Net Debt = 1.25b CAD (calculated: Debt 1.41b - CCE 167.9m)
Enterprise Value = 4.53b CAD (3.29b + Debt 1.41b - CCE 167.9m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.22 (Ebit TTM 232.6m / Interest Expense TTM 72.2m)
EV/FCF = 35.80x (Enterprise Value 4.53b / FCF TTM 126.6m)
FCF Yield = 2.79% (FCF TTM 126.6m / Enterprise Value 4.53b)
FCF Margin = 3.18% (FCF TTM 126.6m / Revenue TTM 3.98b)
Net Margin = 13.08% (Net Income TTM 521.2m / Revenue TTM 3.98b)
Gross Margin = 17.41% ((Revenue TTM 3.98b - Cost of Revenue TTM 3.29b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 18.84% (prev 18.73%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.25 (Enterprise Value 4.53b / Total Assets 3.63b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 5.11% (Interest Expense 72.2m / Debt 1.41b)
Taxrate = 48.49% (71.4m / 147.1m)
NOPAT = 119.8m (EBIT 232.6m * (1 - 48.49%))
Current Ratio = 1.56 (Total Current Assets 974.8m / Total Current Liabilities 625.4m)
Debt / Equity = 1.04 (Debt 1.41b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.36b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.86 (Net Debt 1.25b / EBITDA 434.9m)
Debt / FCF = 9.84 (Net Debt 1.25b / FCF TTM 126.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.41b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 12.90% (Net Income 521.2m / Total Assets 3.63b)
RoE = 36.83% (Net Income TTM 521.2m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.41b)
RoCE = 8.77% (EBIT 232.6m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.41b + L.T.Debt 1.24b))
RoIC = 4.20% (NOPAT 119.8m / Invested Capital 2.86b)
WACC = 4.33% (E(3.29b)/V(4.70b) * Re(5.06%) + D(1.41b)/V(4.70b) * Rd(5.11%) * (1-Tc(0.48)))
Discount Rate = 5.06% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 96.20 | Cagr: 1.50%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.10% ; FCFF base≈276.3m ; Y1≈242.3m ; Y5≈195.8m
[DCF] Fair Price = 15.21 (EV 3.14b - Net Debt 1.25b = Equity 1.90b / Shares 124.7m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow -15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: 0.26 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -63.84 | Revenue CAGR: -4.70% | SUE: -0.58 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.37 | Chg30d=-0.35% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=9
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.57 | Chg30d=-0.04% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+44.2% | GrowthRev=+4.0%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=1.80 | Chg30d=-0.18% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=+14.3% | GrowthRev=+4.4%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -17% (up=1, down=2)