MTY Stock Analysis: MTY Food | TO
Restaurants | TO, Canada | Market Cap: 748m CAD | 12M Return: 12.5% | CA55378N1078 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 3.56M
EPS Trend: 61.6%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: -23.4%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.8 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
MTY Food Group Inc. franchises and operates quick-service, fast-casual, and casual dining restaurants across Canada, the United States, and other international markets. It also sells branded retail products and operates food distribution centers and processing plants.
Founded in 1979 and headquartered in Saint-Laurent, Canada, MTY operates in the consumer discretionary restaurant industry. Restaurant businesses typically depend on consumer dining demand and manage costs such as food, labor, and rent.
- Franchisee sales and new openings drive royalty revenue growth
- Food, wage, and occupancy costs pressure restaurant margins
- Consumer spending and acquisition debt shape cash flow and earnings
| Net Income: 109.2m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.06 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.37 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -8.76% < 20% (prev -14.60%; Δ 5.84% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.07 > 3% & CFO 166.5m > Net Income 109.2m |
| Net Debt (1.47b) to EBITDA (257.3m): 5.70 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.75 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (22.8m) vs 12m ago 0.0% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 22.64% > 18% (prev 24.77%; Δ -2.13% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 45.64% > 50% (prev 47.14%; Δ -1.50% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 4.31 > 6 (EBIT TTM 171.9m / Interest Expense TTM 39.8m) |
| A: -0.04 (Total Current Assets 293.9m - Total Current Liabilities 392.8m) / Total Assets 2.46b |
| B: 0.23 (Retained Earnings 566.6m / Total Assets 2.46b) |
| C: 0.07 (EBIT TTM 171.9m / Avg Total Assets 2.47b) |
| D: 0.58 (Book Value of Equity 899.3m / Total Liabilities 1.56b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 1.56 = BB |
| DSRI: 1.03 (Receivables 178.8m/180.5m, Revenue 1.13b/1.17b) |
| GMI: 1.09 (GM 24.77% / 22.64%) |
| AQI: 1.01 (AQ_t 0.80 / AQ_t-1 0.79) |
| SGI: 0.96 (Revenue 1.13b / 1.17b) |
| TATA: -0.02 (NI 109.2m - CFO 166.5m) / TA 2.46b) |
| Beneish M = -2.94 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of November 04, 2026, the stock is trading at CAD 36.35 with a total of 640,734 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +16.41%, over one month by +18.92%, over three months by +9.02% and over the past year by +12.47%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 35.50 (which is 2.3% or 1.2 ATR below the current price).
MTY Food has no consensus analysts rating.
P/E Trailing = 6.8372
P/E Forward = 7.2939
P/S = 0.6667
P/B = 0.8245
P/EG = 1.02
Revenue TTM = 1.13b CAD
EBIT TTM = 171.9m CAD
EBITDA TTM = 257.3m CAD
Long Term Debt = 585.7m CAD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 105.3m CAD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.54b CAD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 475.3m
Net Debt = 1.47b CAD (calculated: Debt 1.54b - CCE 70.6m)
Enterprise Value = 2.21b CAD (748.1m + Debt 1.54b - CCE 70.6m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.31 (Ebit TTM 171.9m / Interest Expense TTM 39.8m)
EV/FCF = 14.47x (Enterprise Value 2.21b / FCF TTM 153.0m)
FCF Yield = 6.91% (FCF TTM 153.0m / Enterprise Value 2.21b)
FCF Margin = 13.55% (FCF TTM 153.0m / Revenue TTM 1.13b)
Net Margin = 9.67% (Net Income TTM 109.2m / Revenue TTM 1.13b)
Gross Margin = 22.64% ((Revenue TTM 1.13b - Cost of Revenue TTM 873.3m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 23.00% (prev 19.97%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.90 (Enterprise Value 2.21b / Total Assets 2.46b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.59% (Interest Expense 39.8m / Debt 1.54b)
Taxrate = 11.02% (13.5m / 122.9m)
NOPAT = 152.9m (EBIT 171.9m * (1 - 11.02%))
Current Ratio = 0.75 (Total Current Assets 293.9m / Total Current Liabilities 392.8m)
Debt / Equity = 1.71 (Debt 1.54b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 899.3m)
Debt / EBITDA = 5.70 (Net Debt 1.47b / EBITDA 257.3m)
Debt / FCF = 9.58 (Net Debt 1.47b / FCF TTM 153.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 871.1m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.42% (Net Income 109.2m / Total Assets 2.46b)
RoE = 12.54% (Net Income TTM 109.2m / Total Stockholder Equity 871.1m)
RoCE = 11.80% (EBIT 171.9m / Capital Employed (Equity 871.1m + L.T.Debt 585.7m))
RoIC = 7.22% (NOPAT 152.9m / Invested Capital 2.12b)
WACC = 3.78% (E(748.1m)/V(2.28b) * Re(6.81%) + D(1.54b)/V(2.28b) * Rd(2.59%) * (1-Tc(0.11)))
Discount Rate = 6.81% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -90.22 | Cagr: -2.43%
[DCF] Terminal Value 74.51% ; FCFF base≈157.3m ; Y1≈149.3m ; Y5≈141.5m
[DCF] Fair Price = 33.35 (EV 2.23b - Net Debt 1.47b = Equity 761.8m / Shares 22.8m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow -6.48% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 61.62 | EPS CAGR: 7.31% | SUE: 0.17 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -23.42 | Revenue CAGR: -0.33% | SUE: 0.09 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2027-02-28): EPS=0.90 | Chg30d=-4.26% | Revisions=+25% | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-11-30): EPS=4.25 | Chg30d=+2.25% | Revisions=+40% | GrowthEPS=-27.5% | GrowthRev=-9.0%
EPS next Year (2027-11-30): EPS=4.48 | Chg30d=-0.37% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+5.4% | GrowthRev=-4.9%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +38% (up=4, down=1)