PEY Stock Analysis: Peyto | TO
Oil & Gas E&P | TO, Canada | Market Cap: 5.109m CAD | 12M Return: 26% | CA7170461064 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 19.4M
EPS Trend: 65.8%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 53.3%
Qual. Beats: 1
Warnings
Tailwinds
Seasonality 11.8 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Peyto Exploration & Development Corp. is a Calgary-based Canadian energy company that explores for, develops, and produces natural gas, oil, and natural gas liquids in Alberta’s Deep Basin. As an exploration and production company, it focuses on finding and extracting hydrocarbon resources. Founded in 1997, it was formerly known as Peyto Energy Trust and adopted its current name in 2011.
- AECO gas prices and basis drive realized revenue and cash flow
- Deep Basin drilling efficiency supports low-cost production growth
- LNG export demand and pipeline capacity influence Alberta gas prices
| Net Income: 494.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.08 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 3.16 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 11.50% < 20% (prev 0.39%; Δ 11.11% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.17 > 3% & CFO 958.7m > Net Income 494.0m |
| Net Debt (1.01b) to EBITDA (1.06b): 0.96 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.63 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (208.6m) vs 12m ago 3.13% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 58.15% > 18% (prev 54.09%; Δ 4.06% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 22.67% > 50% (prev 18.65%; Δ 4.01% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 10.27 > 6 (EBIT TTM 653.1m / Interest Expense TTM 63.6m) |
| A: 0.03 (Total Current Assets 370.7m - Total Current Liabilities 227.9m) / Total Assets 5.54b |
| B: 0.14 (Retained Earnings 798.9m / Total Assets 5.54b) |
| C: 0.12 (EBIT TTM 653.1m / Avg Total Assets 5.48b) |
| D: 1.22 (Book Value of Equity 3.04b / Total Liabilities 2.49b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 2.72 = A |
| DSRI: 0.85 (Receivables 137.5m/131.2m, Revenue 1.24b/1.01b) |
| GMI: 0.93 (GM 54.09% / 58.15%) |
| AQI: 5.38 (AQ_t 0.01 / AQ_t-1 0.00) |
| SGI: 1.23 (Revenue 1.24b / 1.01b) |
| TATA: -0.08 (NI 494.0m - CFO 958.7m) / TA 5.54b) |
| Beneish M = -0.46 (Cap -4..+1) = D |
As of November 04, 2026, the stock is trading at CAD 24.69 with a total of 1,139,427 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.38%, over one month by +5.20%, over three months by -0.70% and over the past year by +26.01%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 23.80 (which is 3.6% or 1.6 ATR below the current price).
Peyto has no consensus analysts rating.
P/E Trailing = 10.437
P/E Forward = 13.9665
P/S = 4.1622
P/B = 1.7463
P/EG = 2.3762
Revenue TTM = 1.24b CAD
EBIT TTM = 653.1m CAD
EBITDA TTM = 1.06b CAD
Long Term Debt = 1.06b CAD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.02m CAD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.07b CAD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 7.07m
Net Debt = 1.01b CAD (calculated: Debt 1.07b - CCE 63.0m)
Enterprise Value = 6.12b CAD (5.11b + Debt 1.07b - CCE 63.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 10.27 (Ebit TTM 653.1m / Interest Expense TTM 63.6m)
EV/FCF = 13.38x (Enterprise Value 6.12b / FCF TTM 457.1m)
FCF Yield = 7.47% (FCF TTM 457.1m / Enterprise Value 6.12b)
FCF Margin = 36.81% (FCF TTM 457.1m / Revenue TTM 1.24b)
Net Margin = 39.78% (Net Income TTM 494.0m / Revenue TTM 1.24b)
Gross Margin = 58.15% ((Revenue TTM 1.24b - Cost of Revenue TTM 519.7m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 40.95% (prev 70.32%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.10 (Enterprise Value 6.12b / Total Assets 5.54b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 5.93% (Interest Expense 63.6m / Debt 1.07b)
Taxrate = 22.16% (140.7m / 634.6m)
NOPAT = 508.4m (EBIT 653.1m * (1 - 22.16%))
Current Ratio = 1.63 (Total Current Assets 370.7m / Total Current Liabilities 227.9m)
Debt / Equity = 0.35 (Debt 1.07b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.04b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.96 (Net Debt 1.01b / EBITDA 1.06b)
Debt / FCF = 2.21 (Net Debt 1.01b / FCF TTM 457.1m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.91b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 9.02% (Net Income 494.0m / Total Assets 5.54b)
RoE = 16.96% (Net Income TTM 494.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.91b)
RoCE = 16.45% (EBIT 653.1m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.91b + L.T.Debt 1.06b))
RoIC = 9.68% (NOPAT 508.4m / Invested Capital 5.25b)
WACC = 5.18% (E(5.11b)/V(6.18b) * Re(5.30%) + D(1.07b)/V(6.18b) * Rd(5.93%) * (1-Tc(0.22)))
Discount Rate = 5.30% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 99.29 | Cagr: 3.00%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈384.7m ; Y1≈441.0m ; Y5≈649.1m
[DCF] Fair Price = 42.58 (EV 9.77b - Net Debt 1.01b = Equity 8.76b / Shares 205.7m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 65.77 | EPS CAGR: 13.52% | SUE: 0.39 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 53.30 | Revenue CAGR: 6.93% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.49 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=+25% | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.43 | Chg30d=+1.25% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=+18.0% | GrowthRev=+12.2%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=2.06 | Chg30d=-4.63% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=-15.2% | GrowthRev=-0.7%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -17% (up=1, down=2)