SAP Stock Analysis: Saputo | TO
Packaged Foods | TO, Canada | Market Cap: 16.068m CAD | 12M Return: 24% | CA8029121057 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 21.3M
EPS Trend: 42.8%
Qual. Beats: 1
Rev. Trend: 69.3%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
No concerns identified
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.8 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Saputo Inc. is a Montreal-based Canadian dairy producer, marketer, and distributor operating in Canada, the United States, Australia, and the United Kingdom. Its products include cheese, milk, cream, cultured dairy, butter, dairy ingredients, and plant-based alternatives.
The company sells branded products to retail, foodservice, and industrial customers, and also distributes selected third-party products. Its portfolio spans consumer foods and ingredients used by food manufacturers; dairy processing typically turns raw milk into both finished products and ingredients such as whey and milk powders.
- North American cheese pricing and milk-cost spreads drive margins
- Plant rationalization and automation target lower costs and improve profitability
- Whey and dairy ingredient demand supports higher-value product mix
| Net Income: 510.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.08 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.36 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 8.80% < 20% (prev 6.97%; Δ 1.83% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.10 > 3% & CFO 1.34b > Net Income 510.0m |
| Net Debt (2.98b) to EBITDA (1.72b): 1.73 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.51 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (404.7m) vs 12m ago -2.76% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 13.96% > 18% (prev 8.43%; Δ 5.54% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 137.5% > 50% (prev 144.1%; Δ -6.59% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 7.83 > 6 (EBIT TTM 1.13b / Interest Expense TTM 144.0m) |
| A: 0.12 (Total Current Assets 4.72b - Total Current Liabilities 3.12b) / Total Assets 13.2b |
| B: 0.24 (Retained Earnings 3.21b / Total Assets 13.2b) |
| C: 0.09 (EBIT TTM 1.13b / Avg Total Assets 13.2b) |
| D: 1.15 (Book Value of Equity 7.09b / Total Liabilities 6.14b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 3.37 = A |
| DSRI: 1.03 (Receivables 1.38b/1.41b, Revenue 18.2b/19.1b) |
| GMI: 0.60 (GM 8.43% / 13.96%) |
| AQI: 1.02 (AQ_t 0.28 / AQ_t-1 0.28) |
| SGI: 0.95 (Revenue 18.2b / 19.1b) |
| TATA: -0.06 (NI 510.0m - CFO 1.34b) / TA 13.2b) |
| Beneish M = -3.39 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of November 04, 2026, the stock is trading at CAD 41.10 with a total of 451,959 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.83%, over one month by +7.39%, over three months by +4.87% and over the past year by +24.03%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 39.90 (which is 2.9% or 1.5 ATR below the current price).
Saputo has no consensus analysts rating.
P/E Trailing = 23.2644
P/E Forward = 17.6367
P/S = 0.9121
P/B = 2.0974
P/EG = 0.5055
Revenue TTM = 18.2b CAD
EBIT TTM = 1.13b CAD
EBITDA TTM = 1.72b CAD
Long Term Debt = 1.58b CAD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 958.0m CAD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.47b CAD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 498.0m
Net Debt = 2.98b CAD (calculated: Debt 3.47b - CCE 488.0m)
Enterprise Value = 19.0b CAD (16.1b + Debt 3.47b - CCE 488.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 7.83 (Ebit TTM 1.13b / Interest Expense TTM 144.0m)
EV/FCF = 18.69x (Enterprise Value 19.0b / FCF TTM 1.02b)
FCF Yield = 5.35% (FCF TTM 1.02b / Enterprise Value 19.0b)
FCF Margin = 5.60% (FCF TTM 1.02b / Revenue TTM 18.2b)
Net Margin = 2.80% (Net Income TTM 510.0m / Revenue TTM 18.2b)
Gross Margin = 13.96% ((Revenue TTM 18.2b - Cost of Revenue TTM 15.7b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 16.78% (prev 5.68%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.44 (Enterprise Value 19.0b / Total Assets 13.2b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.15% (Interest Expense 144.0m / Debt 3.47b)
Taxrate = 25.87% (260.0m / 1.00b)
NOPAT = 836.2m (EBIT 1.13b * (1 - 25.87%))
Current Ratio = 1.51 (Total Current Assets 4.72b / Total Current Liabilities 3.12b)
Debt / Equity = 0.49 (Debt 3.47b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 7.09b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.73 (Net Debt 2.98b / EBITDA 1.72b)
Debt / FCF = 2.92 (Net Debt 2.98b / FCF TTM 1.02b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 6.84b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.85% (Net Income 510.0m / Total Assets 13.2b)
RoE = 7.45% (Net Income TTM 510.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 6.84b)
RoCE = 13.39% (EBIT 1.13b / Capital Employed (Equity 6.84b + L.T.Debt 1.58b))
RoIC = 7.90% (NOPAT 836.2m / Invested Capital 10.6b)
WACC = 4.50% (E(16.1b)/V(19.5b) * Re(4.81%) + D(3.47b)/V(19.5b) * Rd(4.15%) * (1-Tc(0.26)))
Discount Rate = 4.81% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -96.68 | Cagr: -2.08%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈947.4m ; Y1≈1.09b ; Y5≈1.60b
[DCF] Fair Price = 53.09 (EV 24.1b - Net Debt 2.98b = Equity 21.1b / Shares 396.9m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 42.81 | EPS CAGR: 4.84% | SUE: 1.31 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 69.32 | Revenue CAGR: 3.02% | SUE: 0.15 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.50 | Chg30d=-0.22% | Revisions=-50% | Analysts=9
EPS next Quarter (2026-12-31): EPS=0.56 | Chg30d=-4.87% | Revisions=-50% | Analysts=9
EPS current Year (2027-03-31): EPS=2.05 | Chg30d=-1.62% | Revisions=-50% | GrowthEPS=+12.4% | GrowthRev=-0.8%
EPS next Year (2028-03-31): EPS=2.31 | Chg30d=-1.56% | Revisions=-40% | GrowthEPS=+13.2% | GrowthRev=+1.9%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -79% (up=0, down=11)