SIA Stock Analysis: Sienna Senior Living | TO

Medical Care Facilities | TO, Canada | Market Cap: 2.273m CAD | 12M Return: 8.1% | CA82621K1021 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Independent Living, Assisted Living, Memory Care, Long-Term Care
Total Rating 23
Safety 40
Buy Signal -0.88
Health Care Facilities
Sub-Industry Rotation: +3.2
Market Cap: 1.59B
Avg Turnover: 7.77M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility19.3%
VaR 5th Pctl3.32%
VaR vs Median4.15%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.29
Rel. Str. IBD28
Rel. Str. Peer Group20.5 pctl
Character TTM
Beta0.002
Beta Downside-0.166
Hurst Exponent0.473
Choppyness64.2%
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD17.29%
CAGR/Max DD1.73
CAGR/Mean DD7.31
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of SIA over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-09": 0.0676, "2021-12": 0.07, "2022-03": 0.3848, "2022-06": -0.1536, "2022-09": 0.07, "2022-12": 0.07, "2023-03": 0.07, "2023-06": 0.07, "2023-09": 0.07, "2023-12": 0.0059, "2024-03": 0.2704, "2024-06": 0.0834, "2024-09": 0.0618, "2024-12": 0.0952, "2025-03": 0.1834, "2025-06": 0.0585, "2025-09": 0.1116, "2025-12": 0.1361, "2026-03": 0.1645, "2026-06": 0.1131,
EPS CAGR: 23.23%
EPS Trend: 73.1%
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of SIA over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-09: 170.423, 2021-12: 174.175, 2022-03: 174.282, 2022-06: 176.545, 2022-09: 181.893, 2022-12: 185.87, 2023-03: 192.054, 2023-06: 190.598, 2023-09: 191.974, 2023-12: 210.742, 2024-03: 230.95, 2024-06: 210.523, 2024-09: 215.332, 2024-12: 236.353, 2025-03: 234.245, 2025-06: 243.754, 2025-09: 252.694, 2025-12: 274.244, 2026-03: 275.413, 2026-06: 277.076,
Rev. CAGR: 12.96%
Rev. Trend: 99.5%
Last SUE: -0.89
Qual. Beats: -1

Warnings

Strong Share Dilution
Altman Z'' In Financial Distress Zone
Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 11.8 years of data, until 10/2026

Jan +0.8% 0
Feb +2.2% 14
Mar -0.5% 4
Apr +0.3% 4
May +0.9% 14
Jun +0.3% 4
Jul +0.1% 4
Aug -0.0% 4
Sep -1.2% 4
Oct -0.4% 14
Nov +0.2% 0
Dec -0.7% 9

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, ≥40 worth a closer look and ≥60 is strong.

Description: SIA Sienna Senior Living

Sienna Senior Living Inc. operates retirement residences and long-term care services across Canada. Its offerings include independent and assisted living, memory care, and continuing care, alongside management, consulting, and training services for senior living operators.

The company serves an aging population through both retirement and long-term care segments, which typically combine accommodation with varying levels of personal and health-related support. Founded in 1972 and headquartered in Markham, Ontario, Sienna changed its name from Leisureworld Senior Care Corporation in 2015.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Retirement occupancy and rental-rate growth lift segment revenue
  • Long-term care funding faces staffing-cost and regulatory pressure
  • Higher interest costs and redevelopment spending constrain cash flow
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 1.5
Net Income: 52.1m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.00 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 3.15 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: -20.77% < 20% (prev -47.87%; Δ 27.10% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.04 > 3% & CFO 123.6m > Net Income 52.1m
Net Debt (1.20b) to EBITDA (195.7m): 6.14 < 3
Current Ratio: 0.56 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (107.0m) vs 12m ago 16.07% < -2%
Gross Margin: 14.05% > 18% (prev 18.73%; Δ -4.68% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 43.73% > 50% (prev 43.06%; Δ 0.67% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 2.23 > 6 (EBIT TTM 121.7m / Interest Expense TTM 54.5m)
Altman Z'' -0.45
A: -0.08 (Total Current Assets 286.7m - Total Current Liabilities 510.9m) / Total Assets 2.78b
B: -0.25 (Retained Earnings -687.7m / Total Assets 2.78b)
C: 0.05 (EBIT TTM 121.7m / Avg Total Assets 2.47b)
D: 0.52 (Book Value of Equity 955.2m / Total Liabilities 1.82b)
Altman-Z'' = -0.45 = B
Beneish M -2.31
DSRI: 1.41 (Receivables 45.0m/27.5m, Revenue 1.08b/929.7m)
GMI: 1.33 (GM 18.73% / 14.05%)
AQI: 0.95 (AQ_t 0.22 / AQ_t-1 0.23)
SGI: 1.16 (Revenue 1.08b / 929.7m)
TATA: -0.03 (NI 52.1m - CFO 123.6m) / TA 2.78b)
Beneish M = -2.31 (Cap -4..+1) = BBB
What is the price of SIA shares?

As of November 13, 2026, the stock is trading at CAD 20.16 with a total of 465,242 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.42%, over one month by +4.76%, over three months by -7.22% and over the past year by +8.05%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 19.60 (which is 2.8% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).

Is SIA a buy, sell or hold?

Sienna Senior Living has no consensus analysts rating.

Sienna Senior Living (SIA) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 13 November 2026
Market Cap USD = 1.59b (2.27b CAD * 0.7017 CAD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 38.6793
P/E Forward = 32.5733
P/S = 2.1057
P/B = 2.3797
P/EG = 24.619
Revenue TTM = 1.08b CAD
EBIT TTM = 121.7m CAD
EBITDA TTM = 195.7m CAD
Long Term Debt = 1.25b CAD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 172.9m CAD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.42b CAD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.20b CAD (calculated: Debt 1.42b - CCE 220.7m)
Enterprise Value = 3.48b CAD (2.27b + Debt 1.42b - CCE 220.7m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.23 (Ebit TTM 121.7m / Interest Expense TTM 54.5m)
EV/FCF = 309.1x (Enterprise Value 3.48b / FCF TTM 11.2m)
FCF Yield = 0.32% (FCF TTM 11.2m / Enterprise Value 3.48b)
FCF Margin = 1.04% (FCF TTM 11.2m / Revenue TTM 1.08b)
Net Margin = 4.83% (Net Income TTM 52.1m / Revenue TTM 1.08b)
Gross Margin = 14.05% ((Revenue TTM 1.08b - Cost of Revenue TTM 927.8m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 14.45% (prev 12.62%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.25 (Enterprise Value 3.48b / Total Assets 2.78b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.83% (Interest Expense 54.5m / Debt 1.42b)
Taxrate = 23.85% (16.3m / 68.4m)
NOPAT = 92.7m (EBIT 121.7m * (1 - 23.85%))
Current Ratio = 0.56 (Total Current Assets 286.7m / Total Current Liabilities 510.9m)
Debt / Equity = 1.49 (Debt 1.42b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 955.2m)
Debt / EBITDA = 6.14 (Net Debt 1.20b / EBITDA 195.7m)
Debt / FCF = 106.9 (Net Debt 1.20b / FCF TTM 11.2m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 791.2m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.11% (Net Income 52.1m / Total Assets 2.78b)
RoE = 6.58% (Net Income TTM 52.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 791.2m)
RoCE = 5.96% (EBIT 121.7m / Capital Employed (Equity 791.2m + L.T.Debt 1.25b))
RoIC = 3.89% (NOPAT 92.7m / Invested Capital 2.39b)
WACC = 4.60% (E(2.27b)/V(3.70b) * Re(5.66%) + D(1.42b)/V(3.70b) * Rd(3.83%) * (1-Tc(0.24)))
Discount Rate = 5.66% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 98.97 | Cagr: 18.55%
[DCF] Terminal Value 75.44% ; FCFF base≈11.2m ; Y1≈11.3m ; Y5≈12.0m
 [DCF] Fair Price = N/A (negative equity: EV 186.0m - Net Debt 1.20b = -1.02b; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
 EPS Correlation: 73.09 | EPS CAGR: 23.23% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 99.46 | Revenue CAGR: 12.96% | SUE: -0.89 | # QB: -1
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.00 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=N/A | Analysts=0
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.54 | Chg30d=-5.26% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=+10.2% | GrowthRev=+14.2%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=0.63 | Chg30d=-3.08% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=+16.7% | GrowthRev=+8.7%