(MTSR) Metsera, Common Stock - Ratings and Ratios
Injectable, Oral, Obesity, Peptides
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 128% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 173% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -18.11% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.84 |
| Alpha | 277.18 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.599 |
| Beta | 1.270 |
| Beta Downside | 1.834 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 59.23% |
| Mean DD | 15.42% |
| Median DD | 14.94% |
Description: MTSR Metsera, Common Stock November 07, 2025
Metsera, Inc. (NASDAQ: MTSR) is a clinical-stage biotech founded in 2022 and headquartered in New York. Its core platform centers on injectable and oral nutrient-stimulated hormone analog peptides aimed at obesity, overweight, and related metabolic disorders. The lead candidates are MET-097i and MET-233i for weight reduction, with additional programs (e.g., MET-002, MET-224o, MET-067i, MET-034i, MET-815i) targeting diabetes, obesity, and weight-gain prevention.
Key metrics (as of the latest 10-Q) show a market capitalization of roughly $150 million and a cash runway of about $30 million, sufficient for ~12 months of R&D spend at current burn rates (~$2.5 M / quarter). The obesity therapeutics market is projected to grow > 10 % CAGR through 2030, driven by rising prevalence of metabolic disease and increasing payer willingness to reimburse weight-loss drugs with demonstrated cardiovascular benefit. Within biotech, early-stage peptide programs typically face a 15-20 % probability of reaching market approval, underscoring the high-risk/high-reward profile of Metsera’s pipeline.
If you’re looking for a deeper quantitative assessment of Metsera’s valuation and risk profile, the analysis on ValueRay provides a data-rich perspective worth exploring.
MTSR Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 7,429m |
| Sub-Industry | Biotechnology |
| IPO / Inception | 2025-01-31 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | 250% |
| Analyst Rating | 5.0 of 5 |
MTSR Dividends
Currently no dividends paidMTSR Growth Ratios
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| CAGR 3y | 458.57% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | 7.74 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | 29.75 |
| Current Volume | 0k |
| Average Volume | 1923.3k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 0.5
| error: Net Income check cannot be calculated (needs Net Income TTM and Revenue TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.41 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -13.99pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| error: NWC/Revenue cannot be calculated (needs Current Assets/Liabilities and Revenue current+prev) |
| CFO/TA -0.41 (>3.0%) and CFO -231.4m > Net Income -314.4m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| NO Net Debt/EBITDA fails (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio 4.25 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (105.0m) change vs 12m ago 35.53% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| error: Gross Margin (current vs previous) cannot be calculated (needs Total Revenue and Cost Of Revenue) |
| Asset Turnover 0.0% (prev 0.0%; Δ 0.0pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -2592 (EBITDA TTM -393.9m / Interest Expense TTM 152.0k) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -7.41
| (A) 0.62 = (Total Current Assets 461.4m - Total Current Liabilities 108.5m) / Total Assets 567.6m |
| (B) -0.91 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -518.7m / Total Assets 567.6m |
| (C) -0.92 = EBIT TTM -394.0m / Avg Total Assets 427.5m |
| (D) -2.20 = Book Value of Equity -508.1m / Total Liabilities 230.5m |
| Total Rating: -7.41 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 49.05
| 1. Piotroski 0.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield -3.32% |
| 3. FCF Margin data missing |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.01 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 1.13 |
| 7. RoE -79.64% |
| 8. Revenue Trend data missing |
| 9. EPS Trend 72.61% |
What is the price of MTSR shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.00%, over one month by +33.14%, over three months by +119.01% and over the past year by +291.67%.
Is MTSR a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 4
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the MTSR price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 57 | -19.1% |
| Analysts Target Price | 57 | -19.1% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 79.8 | 13.2% |
MTSR Fundamental Data Overview November 21, 2025
P/B = 22.0322
Beta = None
Revenue TTM = 0.0 USD
EBIT TTM = -394.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = -393.9m USD
Long Term Debt = 431.0k USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 2.77m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.84m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -445.6m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 6.98b USD (7.43b + Debt 2.84m - CCE 448.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -2592 (Ebit TTM -394.0m / Interest Expense TTM 152.0k)
FCF Yield = -3.32% (FCF TTM -231.6m / Enterprise Value 6.98b)
FCF Margin = unknown (Revenue TTM is 0 or missing)
Net Margin = unknown
Gross Margin = unknown ((Revenue TTM 0.0 - Cost of Revenue TTM 12.0k) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 12.30 (Enterprise Value 6.98b / Total Assets 567.6m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.28% (Interest Expense 8000 / Debt 2.84m)
Taxrate = -0.0% (0.0 / -116.2m)
NOPAT = -394.0m (EBIT -394.0m * (1 - -0.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 4.25 (Total Current Assets 461.4m / Total Current Liabilities 108.5m)
Debt / Equity = 0.01 (Debt 2.84m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 337.2m)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.13 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -445.6m / EBITDA -393.9m)
Debt / FCF = 1.92 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -445.6m / FCF TTM -231.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 394.8m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -55.39% (Net Income -314.4m / Total Assets 567.6m)
RoE = -79.64% (Net Income TTM -314.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 394.8m)
RoCE = -99.68% (out of range, set to none) (EBIT -394.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 394.8m + L.T.Debt 431.0k))
RoIC = -149.0% (out of range, set to none) (NOPAT -394.0m / Invested Capital 264.4m)
WACC = 10.70% (E(7.43b)/V(7.43b) * Re(10.70%) + D(2.84m)/V(7.43b) * Rd(0.28%) * (1-Tc(-0.0)))
Discount Rate = 10.70% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 45.01%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -231.6m)
EPS Correlation: 72.61 | EPS CAGR: 6640 % | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: N/A | Revenue CAGR: 0.0% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for MTSR Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle