(4MS) 4Mass - Ratings and Ratios
Cosmetics, Personal, Care, Hygiene, Consumer
Description: 4MS 4Mass
4Mass SA (WAR:4MS) is a Polish personal care products company with a market capitalization of 105.19M PLN. The companys stock is characterized by high volatility, as reflected in its beta of 9.961, indicating that its price movements are nearly 10 times more sensitive to market fluctuations than the overall market.
From a fundamental perspective, 4Mass SA has a relatively low Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio of 6.89, suggesting that the stock may be undervalued compared to its earnings. The Return on Equity (RoE) of 22.23% indicates that the company is generating strong profits from shareholder equity. Key drivers of the companys financial performance likely include consumer demand for personal care products, competition in the Polish market, and the companys ability to maintain profit margins.
To further evaluate 4Mass SAs performance, relevant KPIs to monitor may include revenue growth, gross margin, and operating expenses as a percentage of revenue. Economic drivers that could impact the companys financials include GDP growth in Poland, consumer spending habits, and trends in the personal care products industry. A thorough analysis of these factors could provide insights into the companys future prospects and potential stock performance.
Given the companys low P/E ratio and relatively high RoE, potential areas of investigation include the companys product portfolio, pricing strategy, and cost structure. A detailed examination of these factors could help identify opportunities for improvement and inform investment decisions. Additionally, monitoring the companys cash flow generation and debt levels could provide further insights into its financial health and stability.
4MS Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 32m |
| Sub-Industry | Personal Care Products |
| IPO / Inception |
4MS Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | -20.8% |
| Fundamental | 78.8% |
| Dividend Rating | - |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -32.3% |
| Analyst Rating | - |
4MS Dividends
Currently no dividends paid4MS Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | 60.3% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | -65.5% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | 54.3% |
| CAGR 5y | -3.89% |
| CAGR/Max DD 5y | -0.05 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | -1.08 |
| Alpha | -26.56 |
| Beta | 0.229 |
| Volatility | 40.96% |
| Current Volume | 13.7k |
| Average Volume 20d | 30.8k |
| Stop Loss | 4.8 (-4%) |
| Signal | -0.01 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.0
| Net Income (15.6m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 6.97m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.07 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -12.54pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 40.33% (prev 37.59%; Δ 2.74pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.10 (>3.0%) and CFO 9.82m <= Net Income 15.6m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (-4.21m) to EBITDA (16.3m) ratio: -0.26 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 5.22 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (23.5m) change vs 12m ago -2.21% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 59.88% (prev 60.81%; Δ -0.92pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 130.3% (prev 121.0%; Δ 9.30pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 24.66 (EBITDA TTM 16.3m / Interest Expense TTM 659.1k) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 6.00
| (A) 0.48 = (Total Current Assets 57.9m - Total Current Liabilities 11.1m) / Total Assets 96.6m |
| (B) 0.20 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 19.7m / Total Assets 96.6m |
| (C) 0.18 = EBIT TTM 16.3m / Avg Total Assets 89.1m |
| (D) 0.88 = Book Value of Equity 19.7m / Total Liabilities 22.3m |
| Total Rating: 6.00 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 78.79
| 1. Piotroski 5.0pt = 0.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield 5.77% = 2.89 |
| 3. FCF Margin 5.68% = 1.42 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.04 = 2.50 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 0.19 = 2.47 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC 13.37% = 12.50 |
| 7. RoE 22.23% = 1.85 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 78.44% = 3.92 |
| 9. Rev. CAGR 0.0% = 0.0 |
| 10. EPS Trend 31.43% = 0.79 |
| 11. EPS CAGR 4.56% = 0.46 |
What is the price of 4MS shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.71%, over one month by +7.30%, over three months by +15.09% and over the past year by -20.84%.
Is 4Mass a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of 4MS is around 4.35 PLN . This means that 4MS is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -13%.
Is 4MS a buy, sell or hold?
What are the forecasts/targets for the 4MS price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | - | - |
| Analysts Target Price | - | - |
| ValueRay Target Price | 4.8 | -4.4% |
4MS Fundamental Data Overview
Market Cap PLN = 118.3m (118.3m PLN * 1.0 PLN.PLN)
CCE Cash And Equivalents = 7.31m PLN (Cash only, last quarter)
P/E Trailing = 7.7538
P/S = 1.0194
P/B = 1.5778
Beta = -0.242
Revenue TTM = 116.1m PLN
EBIT TTM = 16.3m PLN
EBITDA TTM = 16.3m PLN
Long Term Debt = 2.67m PLN (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 438.7k PLN (from shortLongTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.11m PLN (Calculated: Short Term 438.7k + Long Term 2.67m)
Net Debt = -4.21m PLN (calculated as Total Debt 3.11m - CCE 7.31m)
Enterprise Value = 114.1m PLN (118.3m + Debt 3.11m - CCE 7.31m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 24.66 (Ebit TTM 16.3m / Interest Expense TTM 659.1k)
FCF Yield = 5.77% (FCF TTM 6.59m / Enterprise Value 114.1m)
FCF Margin = 5.68% (FCF TTM 6.59m / Revenue TTM 116.1m)
Net Margin = 13.43% (Net Income TTM 15.6m / Revenue TTM 116.1m)
Gross Margin = 59.88% ((Revenue TTM 116.1m - Cost of Revenue TTM 46.6m) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 5.78 (Enterprise Value 114.1m / Book Value Of Equity 19.7m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 5.49% (Interest Expense 170.6k / Debt 3.11m)
Taxrate = 8.91% (from yearly Tax Provision: 1.71m / 19.2m)
NOPAT = 14.8m (EBIT 16.3m * (1 - 8.91%))
Current Ratio = 5.22 (Total Current Assets 57.9m / Total Current Liabilities 11.1m)
Debt / Equity = 0.04 (Debt 3.11m / last Quarter total Stockholder Equity 74.3m)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.19 (Net Debt -4.21m / EBITDA 16.3m)
Debt / FCF = 0.47 (Debt 3.11m / FCF TTM 6.59m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 70.1m (last 4 quarters mean)
RoA = 16.14% (Net Income 15.6m, Total Assets 96.6m )
RoE = 22.23% (Net Income TTM 15.6m / Total Stockholder Equity 70.1m)
RoCE = 22.32% (Ebit 16.3m / (Equity 70.1m + L.T.Debt 2.67m))
RoIC = 20.18% (NOPAT 14.8m / Invested Capital 73.4m)
WACC = 6.81% (E(118.3m)/V(121.5m) * Re(6.86%)) + (D(3.11m)/V(121.5m) * Rd(5.49%) * (1-Tc(0.09)))
Discount Rate = 6.86% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + ERP 8.05%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 70.46% ; FCFE base≈10.3m ; Y1≈6.75m ; Y5≈3.09m
Fair Price DCF = 2.58 (DCF Value 60.7m / Shares Outstanding 23.5m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
Revenue Correlation: 78.44 | Revenue CAGR: 0.0%
Rev Growth-of-Growth: -1.47
EPS Correlation: 31.43 | EPS CAGR: 4.56%
EPS Growth-of-Growth: -95.73