ALE Stock Analysis: Allegro.eu S.A. | WAR

Internet Retail | WAR, Poland | Market Cap: 55.681m PLN | 12M Return: 65.9% | LU2237380790 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Online Marketplaces, Price Comparison, Event Ticketing, Consumer Lending
Total Rating 45
Safety 32
Buy Signal 1.83
Internet Retail
Industry Rotation: +12.8
Market Cap: 14.3B
Avg Turnover: 210M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility31.8%
VaR 5th Pctl5.12%
VaR vs Median-2.17%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio1.69
Rel. Str. IBD96.1
Rel. Str. Peer Group96.4 pctl
Character TTM
Beta0.899
Beta Downside0.906
Hurst Exponent0.434
Choppyness11.6%
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD35.82%
CAGR/Max DD0.69
CAGR/Mean DD1.80
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of ALE over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-09": 0.33, "2021-12": 0.23, "2022-03": 0.16, "2022-06": -0.03, "2022-09": -2.04, "2022-12": 0.21, "2023-03": 0.15, "2023-06": 0.13, "2023-09": 0.25, "2023-12": -0.17, "2024-03": 0.26, "2024-06": 0.35, "2024-09": 0.24, "2024-12": null, "2025-03": null, "2025-06": 0.39, "2025-09": null, "2025-12": null, "2026-03": null, "2026-06": 0.52,
Last SUE: -4.00
Qual. Beats: -2
Revenue Revenue of ALE over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-09: 1233.869, 2021-12: 1600.677, 2022-03: 1392.599, 2022-06: 2210.056, 2022-09: 2319.46, 2022-12: 3082.801, 2023-03: 2321.163, 2023-06: 2397.708, 2023-09: 2431.8, 2023-12: 3034.717, 2024-03: 2445.2, 2024-06: 2671.797, 2024-09: 2599.7, 2024-12: 3104.631, 2025-03: 2593.6, 2025-06: 2922.379, 2025-09: 2878, 2025-12: 3064.121, 2026-03: 2897.8, 2026-06: 3278.1,
Rev. CAGR: 6.42%
Rev. Trend: 98.8%
Last SUE: -0.21
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Beneish M-Score Likely Earnings Manipulation
Extended 1w

Tailwinds

Supp Ema8
Rs Leader
Idiosyncratic Leader
Confidence
Tailwind

Seasonality

Not enough history
Description: ALE Allegro.eu S.A.

Allegro.eu S.A. operates online marketplaces serving consumers and businesses in Poland, Czechia, Slovakia, Hungary, and other markets. Its platforms include Allegro and Ceneo, alongside event ticketing through eBilet.

The company also offers price comparison, advertising, logistics, payment, and consumer lending services. Like many e-commerce marketplace operators, it connects buyers with third-party sellers and can generate revenue from services such as marketplace fees and advertising.

Allegro.eu is headquartered in Luxembourg and is classified in the Consumer Discretionary sector.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Polish marketplace growth and advertising support revenue and margins
  • International expansion weighs on profits as regional operations scale
  • Temu and Amazon intensify competition for shoppers and sellers
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 8.5
Net Income: 1.71b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.11 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 3.82 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 21.40% < 20% (prev 30.08%; Δ -8.68% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.17 > 3% & CFO 3.56b > Net Income 1.71b
Net Debt (3.29b) to EBITDA (3.50b): 0.94 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.78 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (1.02b) vs 12m ago -3.63% < -2%
Gross Margin: 73.90% > 18% (prev 74.00%; Δ -0.09% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 59.21% > 50% (prev 54.99%; Δ 4.22% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 6.27 > 6 (EBIT TTM 2.47b / Interest Expense TTM 394.5m)
Altman Z'' 3.51
A: 0.13 (Total Current Assets 5.94b - Total Current Liabilities 3.35b) / Total Assets 20.5b
B: 0.19 (Retained Earnings 3.98b / Total Assets 20.5b)
C: 0.12 (EBIT TTM 2.47b / Avg Total Assets 20.5b)
D: 1.18 (Book Value of Equity 11.1b / Total Liabilities 9.42b)
Altman-Z'' = 3.51 = A
Beneish M -1.34
DSRI: 3.0 (Receivables 1.47b/133.3m, Revenue 12.1b/11.2b)
GMI: 1.00 (GM 74.00% / 73.90%)
AQI: 0.98 (AQ_t 0.63 / AQ_t-1 0.65)
SGI: 1.08 (Revenue 12.1b / 11.2b)
TATA: -0.09 (NI 1.71b - CFO 3.56b) / TA 20.5b)
Beneish M = -1.34 (Cap -4..+1) = D
What is the price of ALE shares?

As of October 18, 2026, the stock is trading at PLN 55.66 with a total of 7,046,187 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +7.56%, over one month by +12.59%, over three months by +28.25% and over the past year by +65.93%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 54.10 (which is 2.8% or 1.2 ATR below the current price).

Is ALE a buy, sell or hold?

Allegro.eu S.A. has no consensus analysts rating.

Allegro.eu S.A. (ALE) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 18 October 2026
Market Cap USD = 14.3b (55.7b PLN * 0.25720000267029 PLN.USD)
P/E Trailing = 28.6907
P/E Forward = 17.1233
P/S = 4.5256
P/B = 4.3786
P/EG = 0.2321
Revenue TTM = 12.1b PLN
EBIT TTM = 2.47b PLN
EBITDA TTM = 3.50b PLN
Long Term Debt = 4.97b PLN (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 192.2m PLN (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 6.54b PLN (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 784.7m
Net Debt = 3.29b PLN (calculated: Debt 6.54b - CCE 3.25b)
Enterprise Value = 59.0b PLN (55.7b + Debt 6.54b - CCE 3.25b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 6.27 (Ebit TTM 2.47b / Interest Expense TTM 394.5m)
EV/FCF = 25.61x (Enterprise Value 59.0b / FCF TTM 2.30b)
FCF Yield = 3.91% (FCF TTM 2.30b / Enterprise Value 59.0b)
FCF Margin = 19.00% (FCF TTM 2.30b / Revenue TTM 12.1b)
Net Margin = 14.07% (Net Income TTM 1.71b / Revenue TTM 12.1b)
Gross Margin = 73.90% ((Revenue TTM 12.1b - Cost of Revenue TTM 3.16b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 94.22% (prev none%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.87 (Enterprise Value 59.0b / Total Assets 20.5b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 6.03% (Interest Expense 394.5m / Debt 6.54b)
Taxrate = 9.56% (210.0m / 2.20b)
NOPAT = 2.24b (EBIT 2.47b * (1 - 9.56%))
Current Ratio = 1.78 (Total Current Assets 5.94b / Total Current Liabilities 3.35b)
Debt / Equity = 0.59 (Debt 6.54b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 11.1b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.94 (Net Debt 3.29b / EBITDA 3.50b)
Debt / FCF = 1.43 (Net Debt 3.29b / FCF TTM 2.30b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 10.7b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 8.33% (Net Income 1.71b / Total Assets 20.5b)
RoE = 16.00% (Net Income TTM 1.71b / Total Stockholder Equity 10.7b)
RoCE = 15.82% (EBIT 2.47b / Capital Employed (Equity 10.7b + L.T.Debt 4.97b))
RoIC = 13.34% (NOPAT 2.24b / Invested Capital 16.8b)
WACC = 8.32% (E(55.7b)/V(62.2b) * Re(8.66%) + D(6.54b)/V(62.2b) * Rd(6.03%) * (1-Tc(0.10)))
Discount Rate = 8.66% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -75.91 | Cagr: -1.42%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈1.99b ; Y1≈2.28b ; Y5≈3.35b
[DCF] Fair Price = 47.11 (EV 50.4b - Net Debt 3.29b = Equity 47.1b / Shares 1.00b; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: -2
Revenue Correlation: 98.83 | Revenue CAGR: 6.42% | SUE: -0.21 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=3.99 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.19 | Chg30d=+6.59% | Revisions=+62% | GrowthEPS=+38.4% | GrowthRev=+15.9%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=2.62 | Chg30d=+2.55% | Revisions=+50% | GrowthEPS=+19.6% | GrowthRev=+12.8%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +67% (up=11, down=1)