(FRO) Ferro S.A. - Ratings and Ratios
Sanitary Fixtures, Heating Solutions, Installation Accessories
Description: FRO Ferro S.A.
FERRO S.A. is a leading manufacturer and distributor of sanitary and plumbing fixtures, operating globally with a significant presence in Poland. The companys extensive product portfolio includes mixers, showers, sinks, bathroom accessories, and sanitary ware, as well as heating installation services and solutions. FERRO S.A. also offers a range of heating systems, including water systems, measurement and control devices, brass and gas fittings, and PEX systems. The companys products are marketed under several well-known brands, including FERRO, Metalia, Novaservis, Nobless, FDesign, and Titania, catering to diverse customer needs.
With its headquarters in Skawina, Poland, FERRO S.A. was founded in 1992 and has since established itself as a prominent player in the building products industry. The companys global reach is supported by its international distribution network, allowing it to serve customers beyond Poland. FERRO S.A.s commitment to quality and innovation is reflected in its diverse product offerings, which are designed to meet the evolving needs of the construction and renovation markets.
Analyzing the
Examining the
Forecasting FERRO S.A.s future performance, we can combine insights from both technical and fundamental analyses. Given the stocks upward trend and stable price range, we expect the price to continue its positive trajectory. With a P/E ratio of 9.89 and an RoE of 17.11%, the company appears to be undervalued relative to its profitability. Assuming the companys financial performance remains stable, we forecast a potential price target of 40-42 PLN in the next 6-12 months, representing a 9-14% increase from the current price. However, this forecast is contingent upon the companys ability to maintain its profitability and continue to innovate and expand its product offerings.
FRO Stock Overview
Market Cap in USD | 198m |
Sub-Industry | Building Products |
IPO / Inception |
FRO Stock Ratings
Growth Rating | 68.1 |
Fundamental | 62.0% |
Dividend Rating | 84.1 |
Rel. Strength | 4.23 |
Analysts | - |
Fair Price Momentum | 40.52 PLN |
Fair Price DCF | 72.63 PLN |
FRO Dividends
Dividend Yield 12m | 9.05% |
Yield on Cost 5y | 22.32% |
Annual Growth 5y | 51.19% |
Payout Consistency | 80.4% |
Payout Ratio | 113.8% |
FRO Growth Ratios
Growth Correlation 3m | 8.5% |
Growth Correlation 12m | 39.5% |
Growth Correlation 5y | 73.9% |
CAGR 5y | 19.95% |
CAGR/Max DD 5y | 0.43 |
Sharpe Ratio 12m | -0.15 |
Alpha | -1.41 |
Beta | 0.253 |
Volatility | 23.46% |
Current Volume | 159.2k |
Average Volume 20d | 30.5k |
Stop Loss | 33.9 (-3.4%) |
Signal | 2.52 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.5
Net Income (75.5m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 46.8m TTM) |
FCFTA 0.03 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -22.46pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
NWC/Revenue 27.07% (prev 27.81%; Δ -0.73pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
CFO/TA 0.04 (>3.0%) and CFO 29.8m <= Net Income 75.5m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
Net Debt (115.7m) to EBITDA (82.0m) ratio: 1.41 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
Current Ratio 1.74 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
Outstanding Shares last Quarter (21.2m) change vs 12m ago 0.0% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
Gross Margin 39.35% (prev 38.46%; Δ 0.89pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
Asset Turnover 104.0% (prev 112.2%; Δ -8.22pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
Interest Coverage Ratio 12.75 (EBITDA TTM 82.0m / Interest Expense TTM 6.43m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 5.16
(A) 0.27 = (Total Current Assets 497.7m - Total Current Liabilities 286.7m) / Total Assets 791.1m |
(B) 0.46 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 361.0m / Total Assets 791.1m |
(C) 0.11 = EBIT TTM 82.0m / Avg Total Assets 749.9m |
(D) 1.13 = Book Value of Equity 361.0m / Total Liabilities 319.9m |
Total Rating: 5.16 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 62.03
1. Piotroski 5.50pt = 0.50 |
2. FCF Yield 2.69% = 1.34 |
3. FCF Margin 2.90% = 0.72 |
4. Debt/Equity 0.33 = 2.45 |
5. Debt/Ebitda 1.85 = 0.29 |
6. ROIC - WACC 6.45% = 8.07 |
7. RoE 17.11% = 1.43 |
8. Rev. Trend -59.57% = -2.98 |
9. Rev. CAGR -4.42% = -0.74 |
10. EPS Trend 27.94% = 0.70 |
11. EPS CAGR 2.52% = 0.25 |
What is the price of FRO shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.24%, over one month by -4.62%, over three months by +2.33% and over the past year by +5.64%.
Is Ferro S.A. a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of FRO is around 40.52 PLN . This means that FRO is currently undervalued and has a potential upside of +15.44% (Margin of Safety).
Is FRO a buy, sell or hold?
What are the forecasts/targets for the FRO price?
Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
---|---|---|
Wallstreet Target Price | 43 | 22.5% |
Analysts Target Price | - | - |
ValueRay Target Price | 44.2 | 25.8% |
FRO Fundamental Data Overview
Market Cap PLN = 724.4m (724.4m PLN * 1.0 PLN.PLN)
CCE Cash And Equivalents = 36.0m PLN (Cash only, last quarter)
P/E Trailing = 9.6056
P/S = 0.9283
P/B = 1.5482
Beta = 0.761
Revenue TTM = 779.8m PLN
EBIT TTM = 82.0m PLN
EBITDA TTM = 82.0m PLN
Long Term Debt = 7.67m PLN (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 144.1m PLN (from shortLongTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 151.8m PLN (Calculated: Short Term 144.1m + Long Term 7.67m)
Net Debt = 115.7m PLN (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 840.1m PLN (724.4m + Debt 151.8m - CCE 36.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 12.75 (Ebit TTM 82.0m / Interest Expense TTM 6.43m)
FCF Yield = 2.69% (FCF TTM 22.6m / Enterprise Value 840.1m)
FCF Margin = 2.90% (FCF TTM 22.6m / Revenue TTM 779.8m)
Net Margin = 9.69% (Net Income TTM 75.5m / Revenue TTM 779.8m)
Gross Margin = 39.35% ((Revenue TTM 779.8m - Cost of Revenue TTM 472.9m) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.33 (Enterprise Value 840.1m / Book Value Of Equity 361.0m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.44% (Interest Expense 2.19m / Debt 151.8m)
Taxrate = 18.31% (from yearly Tax Provision: 16.3m / 88.8m)
NOPAT = 67.0m (EBIT 82.0m * (1 - 18.31%))
Current Ratio = 1.74 (Total Current Assets 497.7m / Total Current Liabilities 286.7m)
Debt / Equity = 0.33 (Debt 151.8m / last Quarter total Stockholder Equity 466.5m)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.85 (Net Debt 115.7m / EBITDA 82.0m)
Debt / FCF = 6.72 (Debt 151.8m / FCF TTM 22.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 441.6m (last 4 quarters mean)
RoA = 9.55% (Net Income 75.5m, Total Assets 791.1m )
RoE = 17.11% (Net Income TTM 75.5m / Total Stockholder Equity 441.6m)
RoCE = 18.25% (Ebit 82.0m / (Equity 441.6m + L.T.Debt 7.67m))
RoIC = 12.40% (NOPAT 67.0m / Invested Capital 539.9m)
WACC = 5.95% (E(724.4m)/V(876.1m) * Re(6.95%)) + (D(151.8m)/V(876.1m) * Rd(1.44%) * (1-Tc(0.18)))
Shares Correlation 5-Years: 0.0 | Cagr: 0.0%
Discount Rate = 6.95% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + ERP 8.05%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 78.09% ; FCFE base≈85.3m ; Y1≈84.2m ; Y5≈87.0m
Fair Price DCF = 72.63 (DCF Value 1.54b / Shares Outstanding 21.2m; 5y FCF grow -2.15% → 3.0% )
Revenue Correlation: -59.57 | Revenue CAGR: -4.42%
Revenue Growth Correlation: 74.77%
EPS Correlation: 27.94 | EPS CAGR: 2.52%
EPS Growth Correlation: -1.62%