(MDI) MDI Energia S.A. - Ratings and Ratios
Wind, Solar, Biogas, Energy Storage
MDI EPS (Earnings per Share)
MDI Revenue
Description: MDI MDI Energia S.A.
MDI Energia S.A. is a Polish company that operates in the renewable energy sector, both domestically and internationally. Its primary activities include the construction and installation of wind and solar farms, as well as biogas power plants, positioning the company at the forefront of the green energy transition. Beyond renewable energy, MDI Energia S.A. diversifies its portfolio by developing commercial and residential properties, warehouses, and offering energy storage solutions and design services. Established in 2001 and headquartered in Warsaw, Poland, the company has been a significant player in the Polish energy and real estate markets.
Analyzing the companys stock, MDI Energia S.A.s shares are listed under the ticker symbol MDI on the Warsaw Stock Exchange. As a common stock, it falls under the GICS sub-industry of Independent Power Producers & Energy Traders, reflecting its core business in energy production and trading. The companys international operations and diversified energy portfolio underscore its growth potential in a sector increasingly driven by renewable energy demand.
From a technical analysis perspective, the stocks recent price movements indicate a stable trend, with the last price, SMA20, and SMA50 all converging at 1.32 PLN. However, the SMA200 at 1.39 PLN suggests a longer-term downtrend. The ATR of 0.06, or 4.67%, indicates moderate volatility. With a 52-week high of 1.64 PLN and a low of 1.22 PLN, the stock has shown resilience. Considering these technical indicators, a potential trading range could be anticipated around the current SMA20 and SMA50 levels, with a potential resistance near the SMA200 level.
Fundamentally, MDI Energia S.A.s market capitalization stands at 56.21M PLN, indicating a relatively small-cap stock with potential for growth. The absence of P/E and forward P/E ratios complicates valuation, likely due to negative earnings. The return on equity (RoE) of -18.70% is a concern, suggesting the company is currently unprofitable. This negative RoE could be attributed to significant investments in growth areas such as renewable energy projects and real estate development.
Forecasting the future performance of MDI Energia S.A. involves integrating both technical and fundamental analyses. Given the current technical stability and the fundamental aspects of the companys operations in a growing sector, a potential upside could be anticipated if the company achieves profitability. Assuming a successful transition towards more profitable projects, especially in renewable energy, and a recovery in RoE, the stock could attract more investors. A potential price target could be near the 52-week high of 1.64 PLN if the company demonstrates strong earnings growth and improves its RoE. However, risks associated with negative earnings and high volatility must be considered, suggesting a cautious investment approach.
MDI Stock Overview
Market Cap in USD | 13m |
Sub-Industry | Independent Power Producers & Energy Traders |
IPO / Inception |
MDI Stock Ratings
Growth Rating | -90.5 |
Fundamental | 43.6% |
Dividend Rating | 1.0 |
Rel. Strength | -38.7 |
Analysts | - |
Fair Price Momentum | 0.75 PLN |
Fair Price DCF | 5.54 PLN |
MDI Dividends
Currently no dividends paidMDI Growth Ratios
Growth Correlation 3m | -94.7% |
Growth Correlation 12m | -89.7% |
Growth Correlation 5y | -95.9% |
CAGR 5y | -26.01% |
CAGR/Max DD 5y | -0.33 |
Sharpe Ratio 12m | -0.10 |
Alpha | -37.15 |
Beta | 0.340 |
Volatility | 45.66% |
Current Volume | 3.2k |
Average Volume 20d | 2.3k |
Stop Loss | 1 (-8.3%) |
Signal | 1.00 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 2.5
Net Income (-2.96m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 12.9m TTM) |
FCFTA 0.09 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -25.03pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
NWC/Revenue 3.67% (prev 5.76%; Δ -2.09pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
CFO/TA -0.00 (>3.0%) and CFO -383.0k > Net Income -2.96m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
NO Net Debt/EBITDA fails (EBITDA <= 0) |
Current Ratio 1.11 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
Outstanding Shares last Quarter (42.1m) change vs 12m ago 0.0% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
Gross Margin 1.34% (prev 3.83%; Δ -2.49pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
Asset Turnover 242.9% (prev 224.4%; Δ 18.51pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
Interest Coverage Ratio -163.4 (EBITDA TTM -2.94m / Interest Expense TTM 18.0k) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 0.83
(A) 0.09 = (Total Current Assets 80.1m - Total Current Liabilities 72.2m) / Total Assets 90.6m |
(B) 0.11 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 9.72m / Total Assets 90.6m |
(C) -0.03 = EBIT TTM -2.94m / Avg Total Assets 88.3m |
(D) 0.13 = Book Value of Equity 9.72m / Total Liabilities 77.1m |
Total Rating: 0.83 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 43.57
1. Piotroski 2.50pt = -2.50 |
2. FCF Yield 18.61% = 5.0 |
3. FCF Margin 3.97% = 0.99 |
4. Debt/Equity 0.36 = 2.44 |
5. Debt/Ebitda -1.65 = -2.50 |
6. ROIC - WACC -26.77% = -12.50 |
7. RoE -20.23% = -2.50 |
8. Rev. Trend 36.59% = 1.83 |
9. Rev. CAGR 6.50% = 0.81 |
10. EPS Trend data missing |
11. EPS CAGR 28.41% = 2.50 |
What is the price of MDI shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.88%, over one month by +2.36%, over three months by -19.63% and over the past year by -26.44%.
Is MDI Energia S.A. a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of MDI is around 0.75 PLN . This means that MDI is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -31.19%.
Is MDI a buy, sell or hold?
What are the forecasts/targets for the MDI price?
Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
---|---|---|
Wallstreet Target Price | - | - |
Analysts Target Price | - | - |
ValueRay Target Price | 0.8 | -24.8% |
MDI Fundamental Data Overview
Market Cap PLN = 46.3m (46.3m PLN * 1.0 PLN.PLN)
CCE Cash And Equivalents = 5.40m PLN (Cash only, last quarter)
P/S = 0.2159
P/B = 3.4268
Beta = 0.635
Revenue TTM = 214.5m PLN
EBIT TTM = -2.94m PLN
EBITDA TTM = -2.94m PLN
Long Term Debt = 4.84m PLN (from nonCurrentLiabilitiesTotal, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = unknown (0.0)
Debt = 4.84m PLN (Calculated: Short Term 0.0 + Long Term 4.84m)
Net Debt = -553.0k PLN (calculated as Total Debt 4.84m - CCE 5.40m)
Enterprise Value = 45.8m PLN (46.3m + Debt 4.84m - CCE 5.40m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -163.4 (Ebit TTM -2.94m / Interest Expense TTM 18.0k)
FCF Yield = 18.61% (FCF TTM 8.52m / Enterprise Value 45.8m)
FCF Margin = 3.97% (FCF TTM 8.52m / Revenue TTM 214.5m)
Net Margin = -1.38% (Net Income TTM -2.96m / Revenue TTM 214.5m)
Gross Margin = 1.34% ((Revenue TTM 214.5m - Cost of Revenue TTM 211.7m) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 4.71 (Enterprise Value 45.8m / Book Value Of Equity 9.72m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.24% (Interest Expense 60.0k / Debt 4.84m)
Taxrate = 27.78% (from quarterly Tax Provision: 65.0k / 234.0k)
NOPAT = -2.94m (EBIT -2.94m, no tax applied on loss)
Current Ratio = 1.11 (Total Current Assets 80.1m / Total Current Liabilities 72.2m)
Debt / Equity = 0.36 (Debt 4.84m / last Quarter total Stockholder Equity 13.5m)
Debt / EBITDA = -1.65 (Net Debt -553.0k / EBITDA -2.94m)
Debt / FCF = 0.57 (Debt 4.84m / FCF TTM 8.52m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 14.6m (last 4 quarters mean)
RoA = -3.27% (Net Income -2.96m, Total Assets 90.6m )
RoE = -20.23% (Net Income TTM -2.96m / Total Stockholder Equity 14.6m)
RoCE = -15.11% (Ebit -2.94m / (Equity 14.6m + L.T.Debt 4.84m))
RoIC = -20.11% (NOPAT -2.94m / Invested Capital 14.6m)
WACC = 6.67% (E(46.3m)/V(51.2m) * Re(7.27%)) + (D(4.84m)/V(51.2m) * Rd(1.24%) * (1-Tc(0.28)))
Shares Correlation 5-Years: -66.70 | Cagr: -4.62%
Discount Rate = 7.27% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + ERP 8.05%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 76.56% ; FCFE base≈17.0m ; Y1≈15.2m ; Y5≈12.9m
Fair Price DCF = 5.54 (DCF Value 233.5m / Shares Outstanding 42.1m; 5y FCF grow -12.96% → 3.0% )
Revenue Correlation: 36.59 | Revenue CAGR: 6.50%
Revenue Growth Correlation: 29.27%
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: 28.41%
EPS Growth Correlation: -43.85%