OPL Stock Analysis: OrangePL | WAR

Mobile Telephony, Broadband Internet, Television, IT Integration

Total Rating 51

Safety 45

Buy Signal 1.24

Telecom Services
Industry Rotation: -10.1

Market Cap: 5.46B
Avg Turnover: 19.7M

Risk 3d forecast

Volatility33.4%

VaR 5^th Pctl5.53%

VaR vs Median0.52%

Reward TTM

Sharpe Ratio1.97

Rel. Str. IBD89.4

Rel. Str. Peer Group89.6 pctl

Character TTM

Beta-0.117

Beta Downside-0.689

Hurst Exponent0.466

Choppyness58.3%

Drawdowns 3y

Max DD21.59%

CAGR/Max DD1.71

CAGR/Mean DD6.74

EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS CAGR: 10.61%
EPS Trend: 60.3%

Qual. Beats: 0

Revenue

Rev. CAGR: 2.06%
Rev. Trend: 77.1%

Last SUE: 0.75
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Earnings Expected To Drop (P/E To P/E Forward)

Tailwinds

Supp Ema8

Rs Leader

Idiosyncratic Leader

Tailwind

Seasonality 11.8 years of data

Jan +2.9% 46

Feb -1.7% 36

Mar +0.8% 8

Apr +1.2% 8

May -3.2% 21

Jun -0.8% 17

Jul +7.2% 44

Aug +2.4% 29

Sep -5.3% 58

Oct +0.2% 13

Nov +2.8% 16

Dec +3.5% 26

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: OPL OrangePL

Orange Polska provides mobile and fixed-line telecommunications, internet and TV, data transmission, and IT integration services to consumers and businesses in Poland. It also sells telecom equipment and develops and operates fibre infrastructure. Integrated telecom providers typically combine network access with communications and digital services. Founded in 1991 and based in Warsaw, Orange Polska is a subsidiary of Orange S.A.

Headlines to Watch Out For

Fiber and convergent customer growth support service revenue and margins
Mobile price competition constrains ARPU growth
5G and fiber investment weigh on free cash flow and dividends

Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 5.0

Net Income: 973.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.03 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.81 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: -10.92% < 20% (prev -29.19%; Δ 18.27% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.13 > 3% & CFO 3.60b > Net Income 973.0m
Net Debt (9.43b) to EBITDA (4.02b): 2.34 < 3
Current Ratio: 0.72 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (1.31b) vs 12m ago -0.03% < -2%
Gross Margin: 14.72% > 18% (prev 32.33%; Δ -17.61% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 50.84% > 50% (prev 48.25%; Δ 2.59% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 3.90 > 6 (EBIT TTM 1.39b / Interest Expense TTM 355.0m)

Altman Z'' 2.02

A: -0.06 (Total Current Assets 3.87b - Total Current Liabilities 5.37b) / Total Assets 27.1b
B: 0.32 (Retained Earnings 8.54b / Total Assets 27.1b)
C: 0.05 (EBIT TTM 1.39b / Avg Total Assets 27.1b)
D: 0.96 (Book Value of Equity 13.3b / Total Liabilities 13.8b)
Altman-Z'' = 2.02 = BBB

Beneish M -1.92

DSRI: 0.99 (Receivables 2.18b/2.10b, Revenue 13.8b/13.1b)
GMI: 2.20 (GM 32.33% / 14.72%)
AQI: 1.01 (AQ_t 0.37 / AQ_t-1 0.37)
SGI: 1.05 (Revenue 13.8b / 13.1b)
TATA: -0.10 (NI 973.0m - CFO 3.60b) / TA 27.1b)
Beneish M = -1.92 (Cap -4..+1) = B

What is the price of OPL shares?

As of October 30, 2026, the stock is trading at PLN 16.64 with a total of 1,724,354 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.84%, over one month by +27.72%, over three months by +4.62% and over the past year by +86.21%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 15.80 (which is 5% or 1.6 ATR below the current price).

Is OPL a buy, sell or hold?

OrangePL has no consensus analysts rating.

OrangePL (OPL) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 29 October 2026

Market Cap USD = 5.46b (21.5b PLN * 0.25354647636414 PLN.USD)
P/E Trailing = 24.8485
P/E Forward = 62.1118
P/S = 1.5937
P/B = 1.5601
P/EG = 0.7153
Revenue TTM = 13.8b PLN
EBIT TTM = 1.39b PLN
EBITDA TTM = 4.02b PLN
Long Term Debt = 4.18b PLN (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 713.0m PLN (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 10.2b PLN (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 2.99b
Net Debt = 9.43b PLN (calculated: Debt 10.2b - CCE 754.0m)
Enterprise Value = 31.0b PLN (21.5b + Debt 10.2b - CCE 754.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.90 (Ebit TTM 1.39b / Interest Expense TTM 355.0m)
EV/FCF = 40.25x (Enterprise Value 31.0b / FCF TTM 769.0m)
FCF Yield = 2.48% (FCF TTM 769.0m / Enterprise Value 31.0b)
FCF Margin = 5.59% (FCF TTM 769.0m / Revenue TTM 13.8b)
Net Margin = 7.07% (Net Income TTM 973.0m / Revenue TTM 13.8b)
Gross Margin = 14.72% ((Revenue TTM 13.8b - Cost of Revenue TTM 11.7b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 31.49% (prev 9.80%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.14 (Enterprise Value 31.0b / Total Assets 27.1b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.49% (Interest Expense 355.0m / Debt 10.2b)
Taxrate = 17.82% (211.0m / 1.18b)
NOPAT = 1.14b (EBIT 1.39b * (1 - 17.82%))
Current Ratio = 0.72 (Total Current Assets 3.87b / Total Current Liabilities 5.37b)
Debt / Equity = 0.77 (Debt 10.2b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 13.3b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.34 (Net Debt 9.43b / EBITDA 4.02b)
Debt / FCF = 12.26 (Net Debt 9.43b / FCF TTM 769.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 13.6b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.59% (Net Income 973.0m / Total Assets 27.1b)
RoE = 7.18% (Net Income TTM 973.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 13.6b)
RoCE = 7.81% (EBIT 1.39b / Capital Employed (Equity 13.6b + L.T.Debt 4.18b))
RoIC = 5.24% (NOPAT 1.14b / Invested Capital 21.7b)
WACC = 4.49% (E(21.5b)/V(31.7b) * Re(5.26%) + D(10.2b)/V(31.7b) * Rd(3.49%) * (1-Tc(0.18)))
Discount Rate = 5.26% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 23.28 | Cagr: 0.01%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.10% ; FCFF base≈857.0m ; Y1≈751.5m ; Y5≈607.2m
[DCF] Fair Price = 0.24 (EV 9.75b - Net Debt 9.43b = Equity 317.4m / Shares 1.31b; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow -15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 60.30 | EPS CAGR: 10.61% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 77.14 | Revenue CAGR: 2.06% | SUE: 0.75 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.00 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=N/A | Analysts=0
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.83 | Chg30d=+10.28% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+17.5% | GrowthRev=+4.5%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=0.85 | Chg30d=+2.42% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+2.0% | GrowthRev=+3.1%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +25% (up=1, down=0)