(OPL) OrangePL - Ratings and Ratios
Telecommunications Services, Internet, TV, Mobile, IT Services
OPL EPS (Earnings per Share)
OPL Revenue
Description: OPL OrangePL
Orange Polska S.A. is a leading telecommunications provider in Poland, offering a wide range of services including mobile and fixed telecommunications, information technology, and integration services. The companys diverse portfolio caters to individuals, businesses, and wholesale customers, generating revenue through various channels such as calls, messaging, content, and internet access.
From a business perspective, Orange Polskas key performance indicators (KPIs) include Average Revenue Per User (ARPU), customer acquisition and retention rates, and the growth of its fiber infrastructure. The companys ability to expand its fiber infrastructure and provide high-speed internet services is a significant driver of its revenue growth. Additionally, Orange Polskas diversification into new areas such as cybersecurity services, including penetration testing, DDoS protection, and network security, presents opportunities for growth.
Orange Polskas financial KPIs, such as revenue growth, EBITDA margin, and capital expenditures, are crucial in assessing its financial health. The companys market capitalization of 12.11 billion PLN and a price-to-earnings ratio of 13.55 indicate its market valuation. The return on equity (RoE) of 6.49% suggests that the company is generating returns for its shareholders, although this is relatively modest.
As a subsidiary of Orange S.A., Orange Polska benefits from its parent companys expertise and resources, potentially enhancing its competitiveness in the Polish telecommunications market. The companys diverse distribution channels, including online, tele sales, and door-to-door sales, enable it to reach a wide customer base.
OPL Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 3,431m |
| Sub-Industry | Integrated Telecommunication Services |
| IPO / Inception |
OPL Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | 61.5% |
| Fundamental | 56.3% |
| Dividend Rating | 73.5% |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -3.17% |
| Analyst Rating | - |
OPL Dividends
| Dividend Yield 12m | 6.02% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 9.52% |
| Annual Growth 5y | 24.29% |
| Payout Consistency | 54.4% |
| Payout Ratio | 75.6% |
OPL Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | -8.5% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | 71.5% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | 81.3% |
| CAGR 5y | 10.82% |
| CAGR/Max DD 5y | 0.28 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | -0.59 |
| Alpha | 5.57 |
| Beta | 0.325 |
| Volatility | 24.62% |
| Current Volume | 1100.8k |
| Average Volume 20d | 1100.8k |
| Stop Loss | 8.9 (-4%) |
| Signal | -1.19 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.0
| Net Income (920.0m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 770.3m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.03 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -0.50pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -29.70% (prev -7.38%; Δ -22.32pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.13 (>3.0%) and CFO 3.58b > Net Income 920.0m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (3.78b) to EBITDA (1.22b) ratio: 3.09 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.50 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (1.31b) change vs 12m ago 0.0% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 40.91% (prev 40.43%; Δ 0.49pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 47.89% (prev 48.25%; Δ -0.37pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 4.04 (EBITDA TTM 1.22b / Interest Expense TTM 303.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 1.05
| (A) -0.14 = (Total Current Assets 3.89b - Total Current Liabilities 7.70b) / Total Assets 27.07b |
| (B) 0.31 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 8.46b / Total Assets 27.07b |
| (C) 0.05 = EBIT TTM 1.22b / Avg Total Assets 26.81b |
| (D) 0.61 = Book Value of Equity 8.46b / Total Liabilities 13.78b |
| Total Rating: 1.05 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 56.34
| 1. Piotroski 5.0pt = 0.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield 5.23% = 2.62 |
| 3. FCF Margin 6.66% = 1.66 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.33 = 2.45 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 3.62 = -2.39 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC -0.20% = -0.25 |
| 7. RoE 6.80% = 0.57 |
| 8. Rev. Trend -5.88% = -0.29 |
| 9. Rev. CAGR 0.41% = 0.05 |
| 10. EPS Trend 22.79% = 0.57 |
| 11. EPS CAGR 13.58% = 1.36 |
What is the price of OPL shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.11%, over one month by +5.12%, over three months by -0.53% and over the past year by +13.26%.
Is OrangePL a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of OPL is around 9.99 PLN . This means that OPL is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of 7.77%.
Is OPL a buy, sell or hold?
What are the forecasts/targets for the OPL price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 9.4 | 1.7% |
| Analysts Target Price | - | - |
| ValueRay Target Price | 10.9 | 17.2% |
OPL Fundamental Data Overview
Market Cap PLN = 12.56b (12.56b PLN * 1.0 PLN.PLN)
CCE Cash And Equivalents = 648.0m PLN (Cash only, last quarter)
P/E Trailing = 13.6714
P/S = 0.9782
P/B = 0.9447
Beta = 0.212
Revenue TTM = 12.84b PLN
EBIT TTM = 1.22b PLN
EBITDA TTM = 1.22b PLN
Long Term Debt = 1.71b PLN (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 2.71b PLN (from shortLongTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 4.43b PLN (Calculated: Short Term 2.71b + Long Term 1.71b)
Net Debt = 3.78b PLN (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 16.34b PLN (12.56b + Debt 4.43b - CCE 648.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.04 (Ebit TTM 1.22b / Interest Expense TTM 303.0m)
FCF Yield = 5.23% (FCF TTM 855.0m / Enterprise Value 16.34b)
FCF Margin = 6.66% (FCF TTM 855.0m / Revenue TTM 12.84b)
Net Margin = 7.17% (Net Income TTM 920.0m / Revenue TTM 12.84b)
Gross Margin = 40.91% ((Revenue TTM 12.84b - Cost of Revenue TTM 7.59b) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.93 (Enterprise Value 16.34b / Book Value Of Equity 8.46b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.06% (Interest Expense 91.0m / Debt 4.43b)
Taxrate = 19.06% (from yearly Tax Provision: 215.0m / 1.13b)
NOPAT = 989.9m (EBIT 1.22b * (1 - 19.06%))
Current Ratio = 0.50 (Total Current Assets 3.89b / Total Current Liabilities 7.70b)
Debt / Equity = 0.33 (Debt 4.43b / last Quarter total Stockholder Equity 13.29b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.62 (Net Debt 3.78b / EBITDA 1.22b)
Debt / FCF = 5.18 (Debt 4.43b / FCF TTM 855.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 13.54b (last 4 quarters mean)
RoA = 3.40% (Net Income 920.0m, Total Assets 27.07b )
RoE = 6.80% (Net Income TTM 920.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 13.54b)
RoCE = 8.02% (Ebit 1.22b / (Equity 13.54b + L.T.Debt 1.71b))
RoIC = 5.56% (NOPAT 989.9m / Invested Capital 17.80b)
WACC = 5.76% (E(12.56b)/V(16.99b) * Re(7.21%)) + (D(4.43b)/V(16.99b) * Rd(2.06%) * (1-Tc(0.19)))
Shares Correlation 5-Years: 35.40 | Cagr: 0.0%
Discount Rate = 7.21% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + ERP 8.05%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 76.65% ; FCFE base≈901.8m ; Y1≈811.7m ; Y5≈697.7m
Fair Price DCF = 9.61 (DCF Value 12.61b / Shares Outstanding 1.31b; 5y FCF grow -12.38% → 3.0% )
Revenue Correlation: -5.88 | Revenue CAGR: 0.41%
Rev Growth-of-Growth: 0.34
EPS Correlation: 22.79 | EPS CAGR: 13.58%
EPS Growth-of-Growth: 62.01