PCO Stock Analysis: Pepco B.V. | WAR

Discount Stores | WAR, Poland | Market Cap: 26.210m PLN | 12M Return: 68.4% | NL0015000AU7 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Apparel, Household Goods, Toys, Home Décor
Total Rating 62
Safety 59
Buy Signal 1.69
Discount Stores
Industry Rotation: +18.3
Market Cap: 6.74B
Avg Turnover: 39.2M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility36.1%
VaR 5th Pctl5.88%
VaR vs Median-1.03%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio1.73
Rel. Str. IBD93.4
Rel. Str. Peer Group97.7 pctl
Character TTM
Beta0.525
Beta Downside0.211
Hurst Exponent0.516
Choppyness43.9%
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD46.95%
CAGR/Max DD0.79
CAGR/Mean DD2.02
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of PCO over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-09": null, "2021-12": null, "2022-03": null, "2022-06": null, "2022-09": null, "2022-12": null, "2023-03": null, "2023-06": null, "2023-09": null, "2023-12": null, "2024-03": null, "2024-06": null, "2024-09": null, "2024-12": null, "2025-03": null, "2025-06": null, "2025-09": null, "2025-12": null, "2026-03": null,
Revenue Revenue of PCO over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-09: 1063.3705, 2021-12: 1185.896, 2022-03: 1185.896, 2022-06: 1225.5135, 2022-09: 1225.5135, 2022-12: 1406.14, 2023-03: 1406.14, 2023-06: 1405.0475, 2023-09: 1405.0475, 2023-12: 1599.9445, 2024-03: 1599.9445, 2024-06: 1483.43, 2024-09: 1483.43, 2024-12: 1669.1665, 2025-03: 1669.1665, 2025-06: 592.565, 2025-09: 592.565, 2025-12: 1235.169, 2026-03: 1235.169,
Rev. CAGR: -12.33%
Rev. Trend: -65.9%
Last SUE: 0.33
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

No concerns identified

Tailwinds

Rs Leader
Idiosyncratic Leader
Confidence
Tailwind
Pullback 52w

Seasonality

Not enough history
Description: PCO Pepco B.V.

Pepco Group N.V. is a UK-based variety discount retailer operating Pepco, Poundland and Dealz stores across the UK, Ireland, Poland and other European markets. Its range includes family clothing, household goods, toys, homeware, décor and seasonal products.

The company also handles product sourcing, development and technical services. Its broad assortment combines everyday household essentials with discretionary merchandise, a common model in general merchandise retail.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Pepco store growth and like-for-like sales drive core revenue
  • Poundland disposal removes losses and focuses capital on Pepco expansion
  • Wage, rent and sourcing costs pressure margins across European markets
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 5.5
Net Income: 492.2m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.20 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 2.11 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 0.77% < 20% (prev -0.10%; Δ 0.87% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.23 > 3% & CFO 790.1m > Net Income 492.2m
Net Debt (3.50b) to EBITDA (823.0m): 4.25 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.02 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (564.3m) vs 12m ago -2.03% < -2%
Gross Margin: 53.29% > 18% (prev 43.97%; Δ 9.32% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 103.8% > 50% (prev 178.4%; Δ -74.61% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 4.73 > 6 (EBIT TTM 528.9m / Interest Expense TTM 111.7m)
Altman Z'' 1.39
A: 0.01 (Total Current Assets 1.33b - Total Current Liabilities 1.30b) / Total Assets 3.51b
B: 0.08 (Retained Earnings 285.4m / Total Assets 3.51b)
C: 0.15 (EBIT TTM 528.9m / Avg Total Assets 3.52b)
D: 0.06 (Book Value of Equity 201.8m / Total Liabilities 3.31b)
Altman-Z'' = 1.39 = BB
Beneish M -1.95
DSRI: 3.0 (Receivables 38.7m/20.3m, Revenue 3.66b/6.31b)
GMI: 0.83 (GM 43.97% / 53.29%)
AQI: 0.82 (AQ_t 0.04 / AQ_t-1 0.05)
SGI: 0.58 (Revenue 3.66b / 6.31b)
TATA: -0.08 (NI 492.2m - CFO 790.1m) / TA 3.51b)
Beneish M = -1.95 (Cap -4..+1) = B
What is the price of PCO shares?

As of October 21, 2026, the stock is trading at PLN 46.30 with a total of 1,043,200 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.66%, over one month by +9.46%, over three months by +10.90% and over the past year by +68.38%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 44.10 (which is 4.8% or 1.6 ATR below the current price).

Is PCO a buy, sell or hold?

Pepco B.V. has no consensus analysts rating.

Pepco B.V. (PCO) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 18 October 2026
Market Cap USD = 6.74b (26.2b PLN * 0.25725457072258 PLN.USD)
P/E Trailing = 13.079
P/S = 5.6481
P/B = 26.9785
Revenue TTM = 3.66b PLN
EBIT TTM = 528.9m PLN
EBITDA TTM = 823.0m PLN
Long Term Debt = 602.0m PLN (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 329.7m PLN (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.96b PLN (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 1.68b
Net Debt = 3.50b PLN (calculated: Debt 3.96b - CCE 463.6m)
Enterprise Value = 29.7b PLN (26.2b + Debt 3.96b - CCE 463.6m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.73 (Ebit TTM 528.9m / Interest Expense TTM 111.7m)
EV/FCF = 42.79x (Enterprise Value 29.7b / FCF TTM 694.3m)
FCF Yield = 2.34% (FCF TTM 694.3m / Enterprise Value 29.7b)
FCF Margin = 18.99% (FCF TTM 694.3m / Revenue TTM 3.66b)
Net Margin = 13.46% (Net Income TTM 492.2m / Revenue TTM 3.66b)
Gross Margin = 53.29% ((Revenue TTM 3.66b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.71b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 49.62% (prev 49.62%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 8.47 (Enterprise Value 29.7b / Total Assets 3.51b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.82% (Interest Expense 111.7m / Debt 3.96b)
Taxrate = 19.34% (119.5m / 618.0m)
NOPAT = 426.6m (EBIT 528.9m * (1 - 19.34%))
Current Ratio = 1.02 (Total Current Assets 1.33b / Total Current Liabilities 1.30b)
Debt / Equity = 19.63 (Debt 3.96b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 201.8m)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.25 (Net Debt 3.50b / EBITDA 823.0m)
Debt / FCF = 5.04 (Net Debt 3.50b / FCF TTM 694.3m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 182.4m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 13.98% (Net Income 492.2m / Total Assets 3.51b)
RoE = 269.9% (Net Income TTM 492.2m / Total Stockholder Equity 182.4m)
RoCE = 67.44% (EBIT 528.9m / Capital Employed (Equity 182.4m + L.T.Debt 602.0m))
RoIC = 18.14% (NOPAT 426.6m / Invested Capital 2.35b)
WACC = 6.74% (E(26.2b)/V(30.2b) * Re(7.41%) + D(3.96b)/V(30.2b) * Rd(2.82%) * (1-Tc(0.19)))
Discount Rate = 7.41% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 5.01 | Cagr: -1.11%
[DCF] Terminal Value 76.79% ; FCFF base≈666.4m ; Y1≈730.8m ; Y5≈923.5m
[DCF] Fair Price = 19.44 (EV 14.1b - Net Debt 3.50b = Equity 10.6b / Shares 546.0m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 11.16% → 2.50% )
Revenue Correlation: -65.94 | Revenue CAGR: -12.33% | SUE: 0.33 | # QB: 0
EPS current Year (2027-09-30): EPS=0.75 | Chg30d=+3.10% | Revisions=+50% | GrowthEPS=+17.2% | GrowthRev=+5.8%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +50% (up=3, down=0)