(PKN) Polski Koncern Naftowy ORLEN - Ratings and Ratios
Fuel, Oil, Chemicals, Petrochemicals, Electricity, Gas
PKN EPS (Earnings per Share)
PKN Revenue
Description: PKN Polski Koncern Naftowy ORLEN
Polski Koncern Naftowy ORLEN SA, now known as Orlen S.A., is a Polish multinational oil refiner and petrol retailer operating in the refining, petrochemical, energy, retail, gas, and upstream business. The company engages in a wide range of activities, including the processing and wholesale of refinery products, production and sale of fuel, oil, chemicals, and petrochemicals, as well as the provision of supporting services.
The companys diverse product portfolio includes petrol, diesel, LPG, and biofuels, as well as aviation and marine fuels, heating oils, aromatics, olefins, polyolefins, plastics, glycols, nitrogen fertilizers, and other products. Additionally, Orlen S.A. provides various services, including transportation, maintenance and overhaul, laboratory, security, design, administrative, courier, insurance, and financial services.
From a financial perspective, Orlen S.A. has a market capitalization of approximately 98.1 billion PLN, with a price-to-earnings ratio of 32.88 and a forward P/E of 5.92. The companys return on equity is 6.18%. To further analyze the companys performance, key performance indicators (KPIs) such as revenue growth, EBITDA margin, debt-to-equity ratio, and dividend yield can be examined. For instance, Orlen S.A.s revenue growth can be assessed to determine its ability to expand its operations and increase its market share.
Other relevant KPIs for Orlen S.A. include its refining margin, which indicates the companys ability to maintain profitability in the refining business, and its retail sales volume, which reflects the companys market share in the retail fuel market. Furthermore, the companys investment in renewable energy sources, such as solar photovoltaics, can be evaluated to assess its commitment to reducing its carbon footprint and adapting to the changing energy landscape.
PKN Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 24,866m |
| Sub-Industry | Integrated Oil & Gas |
| IPO / Inception |
PKN Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | 80.0% |
| Fundamental | 46.9% |
| Dividend Rating | 85.3% |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | 31.7% |
| Analyst Rating | - |
PKN Dividends
| Dividend Yield 12m | 14.41% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 28.65% |
| Annual Growth 5y | 32.93% |
| Payout Consistency | 64.8% |
| Payout Ratio | 104.8% |
PKN Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | 52.6% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | 87.9% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | 39.1% |
| CAGR 5y | 21.52% |
| CAGR/Max DD 3y | 0.68 |
| CAGR/Mean DD 3y | 3.12 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | 2.70 |
| Alpha | 37.49 |
| Beta | 0.676 |
| Volatility | 29.19% |
| Current Volume | 1441.4k |
| Average Volume 20d | 2347.8k |
| Stop Loss | 78.6 (-3.2%) |
| Signal | -1.16 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.5
| Net Income (10.73b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 16.76b TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.06 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -0.20pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 3.52% (prev 3.53%; Δ -0.02pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.17 (>3.0%) and CFO 45.23b > Net Income 10.73b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (7.10b) to EBITDA (12.12b) ratio: 0.59 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.15 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (1.16b) change vs 12m ago 0.0% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 16.87% (prev 13.81%; Δ 3.06pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 106.4% (prev 125.4%; Δ -19.05pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 8.76 (EBITDA TTM 12.12b / Interest Expense TTM 1.38b) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 2.57
| (A) 0.04 = (Total Current Assets 75.16b - Total Current Liabilities 65.34b) / Total Assets 265.33b |
| (B) 0.36 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 95.82b / Total Assets 265.33b |
| (C) 0.05 = EBIT TTM 12.12b / Avg Total Assets 262.49b |
| (D) 0.80 = Book Value of Equity 95.82b / Total Liabilities 119.57b |
| Total Rating: 2.57 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 46.91
| 1. Piotroski 4.50pt = -0.50 |
| 2. FCF Yield 19.01% = 5.0 |
| 3. FCF Margin 5.77% = 1.44 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.14 = 2.49 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 1.66 = 0.66 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC -5.67% = -7.09 |
| 7. RoE 7.31% = 0.61 |
| 8. Rev. Trend -58.79% = -2.94 |
| 9. Rev. CAGR -6.51% = -1.09 |
| 10. EPS Trend -67.33% = -1.68 |
| 11. EPS CAGR 0.0% = 0.0 |
What is the price of PKN shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.20%, over one month by +2.50%, over three months by +12.67% and over the past year by +56.77%.
Is Polski Koncern Naftowy ORLEN a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of PKN is around 98.42 PLN . This means that PKN is currently undervalued and has a potential upside of +21.15% (Margin of Safety).
Is PKN a buy, sell or hold?
What are the forecasts/targets for the PKN price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 78.7 | -3.1% |
| Analysts Target Price | - | - |
| ValueRay Target Price | 108.3 | 33.3% |
PKN Fundamental Data Overview
Market Cap PLN = 90.19b (90.19b PLN * 1.0 PLN.PLN)
CCE Cash And Equivalents = 25.57b PLN (Cash only, last quarter)
P/E Trailing = 19.9205
P/E Forward = 5.9207
P/S = 0.3252
P/B = 0.6244
Beta = 0.931
Revenue TTM = 279.30b PLN
EBIT TTM = 12.12b PLN
EBITDA TTM = 12.12b PLN
Long Term Debt = 18.30b PLN (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.78b PLN (from shortLongTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 20.09b PLN (Calculated: Short Term 1.78b + Long Term 18.30b)
Net Debt = 7.10b PLN (from netDebt column, last fiscal year)
Enterprise Value = 84.71b PLN (90.19b + Debt 20.09b - CCE 25.57b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 8.76 (Ebit TTM 12.12b / Interest Expense TTM 1.38b)
FCF Yield = 19.01% (FCF TTM 16.11b / Enterprise Value 84.71b)
FCF Margin = 5.77% (FCF TTM 16.11b / Revenue TTM 279.30b)
Net Margin = 3.84% (Net Income TTM 10.73b / Revenue TTM 279.30b)
Gross Margin = 16.87% ((Revenue TTM 279.30b - Cost of Revenue TTM 232.19b) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.88 (Enterprise Value 84.71b / Book Value Of Equity 95.82b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.62% (Interest Expense 325.0m / Debt 20.09b)
Taxrate = 81.85% (6.24b / 7.62b)
NOPAT = 2.20b (EBIT 12.12b * (1 - 81.85%))
Current Ratio = 1.15 (Total Current Assets 75.16b / Total Current Liabilities 65.34b)
Debt / Equity = 0.14 (Debt 20.09b / last Quarter total Stockholder Equity 144.69b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.66 (Net Debt 7.10b / EBITDA 12.12b)
Debt / FCF = 1.25 (Debt 20.09b / FCF TTM 16.11b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 146.84b (last 4 quarters mean)
RoA = 4.04% (Net Income 10.73b, Total Assets 265.33b )
RoE = 7.31% (Net Income TTM 10.73b / Total Stockholder Equity 146.84b)
RoCE = 7.34% (Ebit 12.12b / (Equity 146.84b + L.T.Debt 18.30b))
RoIC = 1.34% (NOPAT 2.20b / Invested Capital 163.94b)
WACC = 7.01% (E(90.19b)/V(110.28b) * Re(8.51%)) + (D(20.09b)/V(110.28b) * Rd(1.62%) * (1-Tc(0.82)))
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 21.54 | Cagr: 3.53%
Discount Rate = 8.51% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 68.38% ; FCFE base≈16.17b ; Y1≈10.62b ; Y5≈4.86b
Fair Price DCF = 76.01 (DCF Value 88.24b / Shares Outstanding 1.16b; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
Revenue Correlation: -58.79 | Revenue CAGR: -6.51%
Rev Growth-of-Growth: -7.11
EPS Correlation: -67.33 | EPS CAGR: 0.0%
EPS Growth-of-Growth: 158.7