(PKN) Polski Koncern Naftowy ORLEN - Ratings and Ratios
Fuel, Oil, Chemicals, Petrochemicals, Electricity, Gas
PKN EPS (Earnings per Share)
PKN Revenue
Description: PKN Polski Koncern Naftowy ORLEN
Polski Koncern Naftowy ORLEN SA, now known as Orlen S.A., is a Polish multinational oil refiner and petrol retailer operating in the refining, petrochemical, energy, retail, gas, and upstream business. The company engages in a wide range of activities, including the processing and wholesale of refinery products, production and sale of fuel, oil, chemicals, and petrochemicals, as well as the provision of supporting services.
The companys diverse product portfolio includes petrol, diesel, LPG, and biofuels, as well as aviation and marine fuels, heating oils, aromatics, olefins, polyolefins, plastics, glycols, nitrogen fertilizers, and other products. Additionally, Orlen S.A. provides various services, including transportation, maintenance and overhaul, laboratory, security, design, administrative, courier, insurance, and financial services.
From a financial perspective, Orlen S.A. has a market capitalization of approximately 98.1 billion PLN, with a price-to-earnings ratio of 32.88 and a forward P/E of 5.92. The companys return on equity is 6.18%. To further analyze the companys performance, key performance indicators (KPIs) such as revenue growth, EBITDA margin, debt-to-equity ratio, and dividend yield can be examined. For instance, Orlen S.A.s revenue growth can be assessed to determine its ability to expand its operations and increase its market share.
Other relevant KPIs for Orlen S.A. include its refining margin, which indicates the companys ability to maintain profitability in the refining business, and its retail sales volume, which reflects the companys market share in the retail fuel market. Furthermore, the companys investment in renewable energy sources, such as solar photovoltaics, can be evaluated to assess its commitment to reducing its carbon footprint and adapting to the changing energy landscape.
PKN Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 26,388m |
| Sub-Industry | Integrated Oil & Gas |
| IPO / Inception |
PKN Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | 66.5% |
| Fundamental | 50.1% |
| Dividend Rating | 75.6% |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | 20.1% |
| Analyst Rating | - |
PKN Dividends
| Dividend Yield 12m | 6.10% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 11.31% |
| Annual Growth 5y | 32.93% |
| Payout Consistency | 64.8% |
| Payout Ratio | 104.8% |
PKN Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | 67.7% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | 83.6% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | 39.1% |
| CAGR 5y | 16.34% |
| CAGR/Max DD 5y | 0.39 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | 2.64 |
| Alpha | 32.93 |
| Beta | 0.357 |
| Volatility | 36.47% |
| Current Volume | 2094.5k |
| Average Volume 20d | 2385.2k |
| Stop Loss | 75.2 (-3.3%) |
| Signal | -0.38 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.5
| Net Income (9.12b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 17.29b TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.04 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -1.88pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 4.94% (prev 6.06%; Δ -1.12pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.16 (>3.0%) and CFO 40.71b > Net Income 9.12b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (7.10b) to EBITDA (10.40b) ratio: 0.68 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.24 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (1.16b) change vs 12m ago 0.0% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 15.12% (prev 14.82%; Δ 0.30pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 110.0% (prev 125.8%; Δ -15.76pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 8.13 (EBITDA TTM 10.40b / Interest Expense TTM 1.28b) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 2.86
| (A) 0.05 = (Total Current Assets 73.78b - Total Current Liabilities 59.55b) / Total Assets 260.75b |
| (B) 0.39 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 101.24b / Total Assets 260.75b |
| (C) 0.04 = EBIT TTM 10.40b / Avg Total Assets 261.87b |
| (D) 0.92 = Book Value of Equity 101.24b / Total Liabilities 110.09b |
| Total Rating: 2.86 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 50.09
| 1. Piotroski 5.50pt = 0.50 |
| 2. FCF Yield 11.78% = 5.0 |
| 3. FCF Margin 3.90% = 0.98 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.12 = 2.49 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 1.77 = 0.45 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC -5.05% = -6.32 |
| 7. RoE 6.18% = 0.52 |
| 8. Rev. Trend -9.50% = -0.47 |
| 9. Rev. CAGR 9.15% = 1.14 |
| 10. EPS Trend -67.52% = -1.69 |
| 11. EPS CAGR -62.64% = -2.50 |
What is the price of PKN shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -6.74%, over one month by -1.36%, over three months by +15.20% and over the past year by +40.45%.
Is Polski Koncern Naftowy ORLEN a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of PKN is around 85.10 PLN . This means that PKN is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of 9.41%.
Is PKN a buy, sell or hold?
What are the forecasts/targets for the PKN price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 78.4 | 0.8% |
| Analysts Target Price | - | - |
| ValueRay Target Price | 92.9 | 19.5% |
PKN Fundamental Data Overview
Market Cap PLN = 96.59b (96.59b PLN * 1.0 PLN.PLN)
CCE Cash And Equivalents = 19.64b PLN (Cash only, last quarter)
P/E Trailing = 32.3735
P/E Forward = 5.9207
P/S = 0.3375
P/B = 0.6221
Beta = 0.931
Revenue TTM = 288.15b PLN
EBIT TTM = 10.40b PLN
EBITDA TTM = 10.40b PLN
Long Term Debt = 16.66b PLN (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.78b PLN (from shortLongTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 18.44b PLN (Calculated: Short Term 1.78b + Long Term 16.66b)
Net Debt = 7.10b PLN (from netDebt column, last fiscal year)
Enterprise Value = 95.39b PLN (96.59b + Debt 18.44b - CCE 19.64b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 8.13 (Ebit TTM 10.40b / Interest Expense TTM 1.28b)
FCF Yield = 11.78% (FCF TTM 11.24b / Enterprise Value 95.39b)
FCF Margin = 3.90% (FCF TTM 11.24b / Revenue TTM 288.15b)
Net Margin = 3.17% (Net Income TTM 9.12b / Revenue TTM 288.15b)
Gross Margin = 15.12% ((Revenue TTM 288.15b - Cost of Revenue TTM 244.57b) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.94 (Enterprise Value 95.39b / Book Value Of Equity 101.24b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.93% (Interest Expense 356.0m / Debt 18.44b)
Taxrate = 81.85% (from yearly Tax Provision: 6.24b / 7.62b)
NOPAT = 1.89b (EBIT 10.40b * (1 - 81.85%))
Current Ratio = 1.24 (Total Current Assets 73.78b / Total Current Liabilities 59.55b)
Debt / Equity = 0.12 (Debt 18.44b / last Quarter total Stockholder Equity 149.64b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.77 (Net Debt 7.10b / EBITDA 10.40b)
Debt / FCF = 1.64 (Debt 18.44b / FCF TTM 11.24b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 147.64b (last 4 quarters mean)
RoA = 3.50% (Net Income 9.12b, Total Assets 260.75b )
RoE = 6.18% (Net Income TTM 9.12b / Total Stockholder Equity 147.64b)
RoCE = 6.33% (Ebit 10.40b / (Equity 147.64b + L.T.Debt 16.66b))
RoIC = 1.16% (NOPAT 1.89b / Invested Capital 162.92b)
WACC = 6.21% (E(96.59b)/V(115.03b) * Re(7.33%)) + (D(18.44b)/V(115.03b) * Rd(1.93%) * (1-Tc(0.82)))
Shares Correlation 5-Years: 70.0 | Cagr: 10.04%
Discount Rate = 7.33% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + ERP 8.05%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 73.10% ; FCFE base≈13.25b ; Y1≈9.83b ; Y5≈5.74b
Fair Price DCF = 93.69 (DCF Value 108.77b / Shares Outstanding 1.16b; 5y FCF grow -30.52% → 3.0% )
Revenue Correlation: -9.50 | Revenue CAGR: 9.15%
Rev Growth-of-Growth: -18.82
EPS Correlation: -67.52 | EPS CAGR: -62.64%
EPS Growth-of-Growth: 158.7