TPE Stock Analysis: Tauron Polska Energia S.A. | WAR

Utilities - Renewable | WAR, Poland | Market Cap: 15.370m PLN | 12M Return: -8.9% | PLTAURN00011 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Electricity, Heat, Natural Gas, Renewable Power
Total Rating 39
Safety 72
Buy Signal -0.91
Utilities - Renewable
Industry Rotation: -10.7
Market Cap: 3.89B
Avg Turnover: 28.3M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility36.5%
VaR 5th Pctl5.79%
VaR vs Median-3.55%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio-0.14
Rel. Str. IBD21.6
Rel. Str. Peer Group55 pctl
Character TTM
Beta0.465
Beta Downside0.091
Hurst Exponent0.470
Choppyness71.0%
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD35.72%
CAGR/Max DD0.90
CAGR/Mean DD2.48
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of TPE over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-09": 0.02, "2021-12": -0.07, "2022-03": 0.51, "2022-06": -0.1558, "2022-09": -0.1324, "2022-12": -0.3018, "2023-03": 0.59, "2023-06": 0.4787, "2023-09": 0.2197, "2023-12": null, "2024-03": -0.3338, "2024-06": -0.7851, "2024-09": 0.3623, "2024-12": 0.4536, "2025-03": 0.6448, "2025-06": 0.5267, "2025-09": 0.4816, "2025-12": 0.2374, "2026-03": 0.5586, "2026-06": 0.3344,
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of TPE over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-09: 5989.841, 2021-12: 7748.778, 2022-03: 9813, 2022-06: 8311, 2022-09: 8692, 2022-12: 9979, 2023-03: 15863, 2023-06: 11698, 2023-09: 11063, 2023-12: 12091, 2024-03: 9662, 2024-06: 8080, 2024-09: 8126, 2024-12: 9873, 2025-03: 9632, 2025-06: 7667, 2025-09: 7819, 2025-12: 9240, 2026-03: 9507, 2026-06: 7755,
Rev. CAGR: -13.27%
Rev. Trend: -90.1%
Last SUE: 0.19
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Below Avwap Earnings
Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 11.8 years of data

Jan +0.8% 25
Feb -1.7% 27
Mar -1.0% 7
Apr +3.5% 8
May -0.9% 2
Jun +9.2% 33
Jul -0.3% 10
Aug -3.9% 36
Sep -6.6% 46
Oct +0.8% 13
Nov +2.7% 24
Dec -0.7% 2

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: TPE Tauron Polska Energia S.A.

TAURON Polska Energia is a Poland-based utility that generates, distributes, and supplies electricity and heat, with operations also in the Czech Republic. Its business spans conventional and renewable generation, including hydro, wind, and solar power, as well as electricity and natural gas trading.

The company also operates electricity distribution networks and provides related metering and technical services. Like many integrated utilities, TAURON combines power generation, network operations, and energy supply to serve customers across different parts of the electricity value chain.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Regulated distribution returns support earnings as grid investment accelerates
  • Coal generation faces rising carbon costs and phaseout pressure
  • Retail tariff regulation and wholesale power prices drive supply margins
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 5.5
Net Income: 2.83b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.06 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 5.06 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: -12.52% < 20% (prev -11.62%; Δ -0.89% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.17 > 3% & CFO 8.59b > Net Income 2.83b
Net Debt (10.6b) to EBITDA (7.01b): 1.52 < 3
Current Ratio: 0.64 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (1.78b) vs 12m ago 1.97% < -2%
Gross Margin: 17.39% > 18% (prev 18.79%; Δ -1.40% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 70.40% > 50% (prev 76.36%; Δ -5.96% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 7.46 > 6 (EBIT TTM 4.43b / Interest Expense TTM 594.0m)
Altman Z'' 1.32
A: -0.08 (Total Current Assets 7.69b - Total Current Liabilities 12.0b) / Total Assets 51.3b
B: 0.14 (Retained Earnings 7.39b / Total Assets 51.3b)
C: 0.09 (EBIT TTM 4.43b / Avg Total Assets 48.8b)
D: 0.75 (Book Value of Equity 22.0b / Total Liabilities 29.2b)
Altman-Z'' = 1.32 = BB
Beneish M -2.93
DSRI: 1.09 (Receivables 3.75b/3.52b, Revenue 34.3b/35.3b)
GMI: 1.08 (GM 18.79% / 17.39%)
AQI: 0.96 (AQ_t 0.06 / AQ_t-1 0.06)
SGI: 0.97 (Revenue 34.3b / 35.3b)
TATA: -0.11 (NI 2.83b - CFO 8.59b) / TA 51.3b)
Beneish M = -2.93 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of TPE shares?

As of November 04, 2026, the stock is trading at PLN 8.84 with a total of 2,528,274 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -4.64%, over one month by -4.46%, over three months by -3.18% and over the past year by -8.91%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 8.40 (which is 5% or 1.5 ATR below the current price).

Is TPE a buy, sell or hold?

Tauron Polska Energia S.A. has no consensus analysts rating.

Tauron Polska Energia S.A. (TPE) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 04 November 2026
Market Cap USD = 3.89b (15.4b PLN * 0.25318378210068 PLN.USD)
P/E Trailing = 5.4472
P/E Forward = 2.1815
P/S = 0.4479
P/B = 0.7179
P/EG = 0.6172
Revenue TTM = 34.3b PLN
EBIT TTM = 4.43b PLN
EBITDA TTM = 7.01b PLN
Long Term Debt = 12.0b PLN (estimated: total debt 13.1b - short term 1.09b)
Short Term Debt = 1.09b PLN (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 13.1b PLN (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 26.0k
Net Debt = 10.6b PLN (calculated: Debt 13.1b - CCE 2.42b)
Enterprise Value = 26.0b PLN (15.4b + Debt 13.1b - CCE 2.42b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 7.46 (Ebit TTM 4.43b / Interest Expense TTM 594.0m)
EV/FCF = 8.72x (Enterprise Value 26.0b / FCF TTM 2.98b)
FCF Yield = 11.46% (FCF TTM 2.98b / Enterprise Value 26.0b)
FCF Margin = 8.69% (FCF TTM 2.98b / Revenue TTM 34.3b)
Net Margin = 8.23% (Net Income TTM 2.83b / Revenue TTM 34.3b)
Gross Margin = 17.39% ((Revenue TTM 34.3b - Cost of Revenue TTM 28.4b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 16.32% (prev 19.06%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.51 (Enterprise Value 26.0b / Total Assets 51.3b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.55% (Interest Expense 594.0m / Debt 13.1b)
Taxrate = 26.83% (1.04b / 3.86b)
NOPAT = 3.24b (EBIT 4.43b * (1 - 26.83%))
Current Ratio = 0.64 (Total Current Assets 7.69b / Total Current Liabilities 12.0b)
Debt / Equity = 0.59 (Debt 13.1b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 22.0b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.52 (Net Debt 10.6b / EBITDA 7.01b)
Debt / FCF = 3.57 (Net Debt 10.6b / FCF TTM 2.98b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 21.3b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.79% (Net Income 2.83b / Total Assets 51.3b)
RoE = 13.26% (Net Income TTM 2.83b / Total Stockholder Equity 21.3b)
RoCE = 13.32% (EBIT 4.43b / Capital Employed (Equity 21.3b + L.T.Debt 12.0b))
RoIC = 8.39% (NOPAT 3.24b / Invested Capital 38.7b)
WACC = 5.43% (E(15.4b)/V(28.4b) * Re(7.21%) + D(13.1b)/V(28.4b) * Rd(4.55%) * (1-Tc(0.27)))
Discount Rate = 7.21% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 32.30 | Cagr: 0.59%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈1.93b ; Y1≈2.21b ; Y5≈3.25b
[DCF] Fair Price = 21.86 (EV 48.9b - Net Debt 10.6b = Equity 38.3b / Shares 1.75b; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -90.11 | Revenue CAGR: -13.27% | SUE: 0.19 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.00 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=N/A | Analysts=0
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.44 | Chg30d=-14.29% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=-23.8% | GrowthRev=-8.7%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=1.62 | Chg30d=-6.90% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=+12.5% | GrowthRev=+10.8%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +0% (up=1, down=1)