(TPE) Tauron Polska Energia S.A. - Ratings and Ratios
Electricity, Heat, Renewable Energy, Natural Gas
TPE EPS (Earnings per Share)
TPE Revenue
Description: TPE Tauron Polska Energia S.A.
TAURON Polska Energia S.A. is a Polish energy company that generates, distributes, and supplies electricity and heat in Poland and the Czech Republic, operating through multiple segments including Generation, Heat, Renewable Energy Sources, Distribution, and Supply. The companys diversified portfolio includes conventional and renewable energy sources, as well as heat generation and distribution.
From a business perspective, TAURONs operations can be analyzed through key performance indicators (KPIs) such as revenue growth, EBITDA margin, and return on equity (RoE). Given the companys RoE of 6.65%, it indicates a relatively moderate return on shareholders equity. To further analyze the companys performance, we can look at its capacity utilization, generation mix, and grid reliability metrics. For instance, the companys renewable energy capacity as a percentage of total capacity could provide insights into its transition towards cleaner energy sources.
The companys supply segment is also involved in the wholesale trade of electricity, natural gas, and derivative products, as well as trading and management of CO2 emission allowances. This suggests that TAURON is actively managing its exposure to carbon pricing and potentially benefiting from the European Unions emissions trading system. Key metrics to monitor here include the companys carbon intensity, CO2 emissions reduction targets, and the proportion of revenue derived from renewable energy sources.
From a valuation perspective, TAURONs P/E ratio of 17.45 and forward P/E of 1.95 indicate a potential disconnect between current and expected earnings. This discrepancy warrants further investigation into the companys earnings growth prospects, dividend yield, and payout ratio. Additionally, the companys market capitalization of 15.6 billion PLN suggests a significant market presence, and its liquidity profile can be assessed through metrics such as trading volume and bid-ask spreads.
Overall, TAURON Polska Energia S.A.s diversified energy portfolio, operational segments, and exposure to renewable energy sources and carbon pricing present a complex picture that requires careful analysis of various KPIs to uncover underlying trends and drivers of value.
TPE Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 3,943m |
| Sub-Industry | Renewable Electricity |
| IPO / Inception |
TPE Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | 84.3% |
| Fundamental | 54.1% |
| Dividend Rating | 5.92% |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | 106% |
| Analyst Rating | - |
TPE Dividends
Currently no dividends paidTPE Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | 57.7% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | 96.8% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | 64.8% |
| CAGR 5y | 27.51% |
| CAGR/Max DD 5y | 0.51 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | 1.84 |
| Alpha | 123.29 |
| Beta | 0.056 |
| Volatility | 39.44% |
| Current Volume | 3129.5k |
| Average Volume 20d | 1399.8k |
| Stop Loss | 7.9 (-6.5%) |
| Signal | -2.02 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 2.5
| Net Income (1.18b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 2.14b TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.05 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 0.11pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -9.47% (prev -5.16%; Δ -4.31pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.16 (>3.0%) and CFO 7.64b > Net Income 1.18b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (28.59b) to EBITDA (1.86b) ratio: 15.38 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.74 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (1.75b) change vs 12m ago 0.0% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 13.22% (prev 10.77%; Δ 2.45pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 73.13% (prev 90.85%; Δ -17.72pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 2.75 (EBITDA TTM 1.86b / Interest Expense TTM 675.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 0.57
| (A) -0.07 = (Total Current Assets 9.81b - Total Current Liabilities 13.19b) / Total Assets 48.67b |
| (B) 0.15 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 7.51b / Total Assets 48.67b |
| (C) 0.04 = EBIT TTM 1.86b / Avg Total Assets 48.84b |
| (D) 0.25 = Book Value of Equity 7.51b / Total Liabilities 29.81b |
| Total Rating: 0.57 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 54.06
| 1. Piotroski 2.50pt = -2.50 |
| 2. FCF Yield 5.76% = 2.88 |
| 3. FCF Margin 6.94% = 1.74 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.58 = 1.36 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 16.04 = -2.50 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC 1.11% = 1.39 |
| 7. RoE 6.65% = 0.55 |
| 8. Rev. Trend -16.14% = -0.81 |
| 9. Rev. CAGR 5.51% = 0.69 |
| 10. EPS Trend 14.57% = 0.36 |
| 11. EPS CAGR 8.90% = 0.89 |
What is the price of TPE shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.24%, over one month by +0.55%, over three months by +16.37% and over the past year by +140.63%.
Is Tauron Polska Energia S.A. a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of TPE is around 10.53 PLN . This means that TPE is currently undervalued and has a potential upside of +24.62% (Margin of Safety).
Is TPE a buy, sell or hold?
What are the forecasts/targets for the TPE price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 7.5 | -10.9% |
| Analysts Target Price | - | - |
| ValueRay Target Price | 11.1 | 31.5% |
TPE Fundamental Data Overview
Market Cap PLN = 14.43b (14.43b PLN * 1.0 PLN.PLN)
CCE Cash And Equivalents = 1.22b PLN (Cash only, last quarter)
P/E Trailing = 16.149
P/E Forward = 1.9531
P/S = 0.4081
P/B = 0.767
Beta = 0.888
Revenue TTM = 35.71b PLN
EBIT TTM = 1.86b PLN
EBITDA TTM = 1.86b PLN
Long Term Debt = 16.62b PLN (from nonCurrentLiabilitiesTotal, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 13.19b PLN (from totalCurrentLiabilities, last quarter)
Debt = 29.81b PLN (Calculated: Short Term 13.19b + Long Term 16.62b)
Net Debt = 28.59b PLN (calculated as Total Debt 29.81b - CCE 1.22b)
Enterprise Value = 43.02b PLN (14.43b + Debt 29.81b - CCE 1.22b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.75 (Ebit TTM 1.86b / Interest Expense TTM 675.0m)
FCF Yield = 5.76% (FCF TTM 2.48b / Enterprise Value 43.02b)
FCF Margin = 6.94% (FCF TTM 2.48b / Revenue TTM 35.71b)
Net Margin = 3.32% (Net Income TTM 1.18b / Revenue TTM 35.71b)
Gross Margin = 13.22% ((Revenue TTM 35.71b - Cost of Revenue TTM 30.99b) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 5.73 (Enterprise Value 43.02b / Book Value Of Equity 7.51b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.60% (Interest Expense 178.0m / Debt 29.81b)
Taxrate = 68.72% (from yearly Tax Provision: 1.30b / 1.89b)
NOPAT = 581.6m (EBIT 1.86b * (1 - 68.72%))
Current Ratio = 0.74 (Total Current Assets 9.81b / Total Current Liabilities 13.19b)
Debt / Equity = 1.58 (Debt 29.81b / last Quarter total Stockholder Equity 18.82b)
Debt / EBITDA = 16.04 (Net Debt 28.59b / EBITDA 1.86b)
Debt / FCF = 12.02 (Debt 29.81b / FCF TTM 2.48b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 17.80b (last 4 quarters mean)
RoA = 2.43% (Net Income 1.18b, Total Assets 48.67b )
RoE = 6.65% (Net Income TTM 1.18b / Total Stockholder Equity 17.80b)
RoCE = 5.40% (Ebit 1.86b / (Equity 17.80b + L.T.Debt 16.62b))
RoIC = 3.27% (NOPAT 581.6m / Invested Capital 17.80b)
WACC = 2.16% (E(14.43b)/V(44.24b) * Re(6.22%)) + (D(29.81b)/V(44.24b) * Rd(0.60%) * (1-Tc(0.69)))
Discount Rate = 6.22% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + ERP 8.05%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 70.46% ; FCFE base≈2.46b ; Y1≈1.62b ; Y5≈739.9m
Fair Price DCF = 8.30 (DCF Value 14.54b / Shares Outstanding 1.75b; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
Revenue Correlation: -16.14 | Revenue CAGR: 5.51%
Rev Growth-of-Growth: -28.45
EPS Correlation: 14.57 | EPS CAGR: 8.90%
EPS Growth-of-Growth: -10.83