(ZEP) Zespol Elektrowni Patnow - Ratings and Ratios
Electricity, Heat, Energy, Biomass, Coal
ZEP EPS (Earnings per Share)
ZEP Revenue
Description: ZEP Zespol Elektrowni Patnow
ZE PAK SA is a Polish energy company that generates and distributes electricity and heat through a mix of conventional and renewable sources, including lignite-fired power plants and biomass co-combustion. With a history dating back to 1958, the company is headquartered in Konin, Poland, and operates under the umbrella of Argumenol Investment Company Limited. Its diversified activities encompass construction, installation, maintenance, manufacturing, and commercial services, making it a multifaceted player in the energy sector.
Beyond its core operations, ZE PAK SAs strategic position in Polands energy market is noteworthy. Polands energy landscape is evolving, with a growing emphasis on reducing carbon emissions and increasing the share of renewable energy sources. As a major energy producer, ZE PAK SA is poised to play a significant role in this transition, potentially benefiting from investments in renewable energy and adjustments to its traditional coal and lignite-based generation.
Analyzing the companys stock, ZEP, we observe a bullish trend indicated by its current price of 27.05 PLN, which is above its SMA20 (25.30 PLN) and SMA50 (21.61 PLN), and significantly above its SMA200 (17.86 PLN). The Average True Range (ATR) of 1.35, representing a 5.00% volatility, suggests moderate price movements. Given the 52-week high and low of 27.30 PLN and 13.40 PLN, respectively, the stock is near its peak, indicating strong recent performance.
Fundamentally, ZE PAK SAs market capitalization stands at 1387.48M PLN, with a low P/E ratio of 3.09, suggesting the stock might be undervalued relative to its earnings. The Return on Equity (RoE) of 6.16% is modest but indicates the company is generating profits from its equity. The absence of a forward P/E ratio complicates future earnings expectations, but the current low P/E could imply potential for growth if earnings improve.
Forecasting ZEPs future performance, we can anticipate a continued upward trend if the company successfully navigates the energy transition and maintains its profitability. The technical indicators suggest a strong short-term outlook, with potential resistance near its 52-week high. Fundamentally, a rise in energy prices or a successful adaptation to renewable energy could boost earnings, potentially leading to a revaluation of the stock. Assuming a moderate increase in earnings and a stable P/E ratio, a potential target price could be around 30-35 PLN in the next 6-12 months, representing a 10-30% increase from current levels. However, this forecast is contingent upon the companys ability to adapt to changing energy policies and market conditions.
ZEP Stock Overview
Market Cap in USD | 305m |
Sub-Industry | Independent Power Producers & Energy Traders |
IPO / Inception |
ZEP Stock Ratings
Growth Rating | 61.4 |
Fundamental | 54.9% |
Dividend Rating | 3.50 |
Rel. Strength | 4.39 |
Analysts | - |
Fair Price Momentum | 22.55 PLN |
Fair Price DCF | - |
ZEP Dividends
Currently no dividends paidZEP Growth Ratios
Growth Correlation 3m | -56.5% |
Growth Correlation 12m | 62.1% |
Growth Correlation 5y | 47.4% |
CAGR 5y | 19.30% |
CAGR/Max DD 5y | 0.30 |
Sharpe Ratio 12m | -0.65 |
Alpha | 11.69 |
Beta | 0.690 |
Volatility | 54.04% |
Current Volume | 15.5k |
Average Volume 20d | 17.6k |
Stop Loss | 21.6 (-4.6%) |
Signal | -1.27 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.0
Net Income (253.8m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 118.5m TTM) |
FCFTA -0.00 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 27.76pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
NWC/Revenue 16.11% (prev 35.40%; Δ -19.30pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
CFO/TA 0.12 (>3.0%) and CFO 472.3m > Net Income 253.8m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
error: Net Debt/EBITDA cannot be calculated |
Current Ratio 1.28 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
Outstanding Shares last Quarter (50.8m) change vs 12m ago 0.0% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
Gross Margin 17.68% (prev 53.07%; Δ -35.38pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
Asset Turnover 52.24% (prev 67.77%; Δ -15.53pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
Interest Coverage Ratio 10.32 (EBITDA TTM 281.0m / Interest Expense TTM 27.2m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 2.05
(A) 0.08 = (Total Current Assets 1.45b - Total Current Liabilities 1.13b) / Total Assets 3.91b |
(B) 0.18 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 707.6m / Total Assets 3.91b |
(C) 0.07 = EBIT TTM 281.0m / Avg Total Assets 3.78b |
(D) 0.40 = Book Value of Equity 707.6m / Total Liabilities 1.75b |
Total Rating: 2.05 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 54.94
1. Piotroski 5.0pt = 0.0 |
2. FCF Yield -0.26% = -0.13 |
3. FCF Margin -0.09% = -0.03 |
4. Debt/Equity data missing |
5. Debt/Ebitda data missing |
6. ROIC - WACC 11.40% = 12.50 |
7. RoE 12.08% = 1.01 |
8. Rev. Trend -68.14% = -3.41 |
9. Rev. CAGR -31.44% = -2.50 |
10. EPS Trend data missing |
11. EPS CAGR -31.64% = -2.50 |
What is the price of ZEP shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +8.37%, over one month by -7.17%, over three months by +17.97% and over the past year by +25.28%.
Is Zespol Elektrowni Patnow a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of ZEP is around 22.55 PLN . This means that ZEP is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -0.44%.
Is ZEP a buy, sell or hold?
What are the forecasts/targets for the ZEP price?
Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
---|---|---|
Wallstreet Target Price | 39 | 72.2% |
Analysts Target Price | - | - |
ValueRay Target Price | 25.2 | 11.1% |
ZEP Fundamental Data Overview
Market Cap PLN = 1.12b (1.12b PLN * 1.0 PLN.PLN)
CCE Cash And Equivalents = 412.0m PLN (Cash only, last quarter)
P/E Trailing = 4.4088
P/S = 0.5823
P/B = 0.5176
Beta = 0.173
Revenue TTM = 1.98b PLN
EBIT TTM = 281.0m PLN
EBITDA TTM = 281.0m PLN
Long Term Debt = unknown (0.0)
Short Term Debt = unknown (0.0)
Debt = unknown
Net Debt = unknown
Enterprise Value = 706.1m PLN (1.12b + (null Debt) - CCE 412.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 10.32 (Ebit TTM 281.0m / Interest Expense TTM 27.2m)
FCF Yield = -0.26% (FCF TTM -1.81m / Enterprise Value 706.1m)
FCF Margin = -0.09% (FCF TTM -1.81m / Revenue TTM 1.98b)
Net Margin = 12.85% (Net Income TTM 253.8m / Revenue TTM 1.98b)
Gross Margin = 17.68% ((Revenue TTM 1.98b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.63b) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.00 (Enterprise Value 706.1m / Book Value Of Equity 707.6m)
Interest Expense / Debt = unknown (Interest Expense 7.18m / Debt none)
Taxrate = -8.87% (set to none) (from yearly Tax Provision: -21.4m / 241.5m)
NOPAT = unknown (EBIT/Op.Income or Taxrate missing)
Current Ratio = 1.28 (Total Current Assets 1.45b / Total Current Liabilities 1.13b)
Debt / Equity = unknown Debt (none)
Debt / EBITDA = unknown (Net Debt none / EBITDA 281.0m)
Debt / FCF = none (Debt none / FCF TTM -1.81m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.10b (last 4 quarters mean)
RoA = 6.49% (Net Income 253.8m, Total Assets 3.91b )
RoE = 12.08% (Net Income TTM 253.8m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.10b)
RoCE = 13.38% (Ebit 281.0m / (Equity 2.10b + L.T.Debt 0.0))
RoIC = 11.40% (Ebit 281.0m / (Assets 3.91b - Current Assets 1.45b))
WACC = unknown (E(1.12b)/V(0.0) * Re(8.56%)) + (D(none)/V(0.0) * Rd(none%) * (1-Tc(none)))
Discount Rate = 8.56% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -1.81m)
Revenue Correlation: -68.14 | Revenue CAGR: -31.44%
Revenue Growth Correlation: 20.92%
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: -31.64%
EPS Growth Correlation: -2.91%