(BMW) Bayerische Motoren Werke - Overview
Stock: Automobiles, Motorcycles, Parts, Financial-Services
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 5.54% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 8.40% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 4.87% |
| Payout Consistency | 90.9% |
| Payout Ratio | 37.8% |
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 24.7% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -5.55% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.53 |
| Alpha | 8.26 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.225 |
| Beta Downside | 0.351 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 41.22% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.05 |
Description: BMW Bayerische Motoren Werke January 29, 2026
Bayerische Motoren Werke Aktiengesellschaft (BMW) designs, manufactures, and sells automobiles, motorcycles, spare parts, and related services worldwide through its Automotive, Motorcycles, and Financial Services segments. Its core brands include BMW, MINI, and Rolls-Royce for cars, and BMW Motorrad for motorcycles, while its financial arm offers leasing, credit, and fleet solutions via the Alphabet brand.
Key recent metrics (FY 2025): revenue reached €150.6 bn, EBIT €14.2 bn (margin 9.4 %), and free cash flow €5.8 bn. Electric vehicles now account for 38 % of total deliveries, and R&D spending rose to €7.4 bn, reflecting intensified competition in the premium EV market. The luxury-auto sector is projected by McKinsey to grow at a 5 % CAGR through 2029, driven by strong demand in China and tightening EU emissions standards.
For a deeper quantitative dive, the ValueRay platform offers a consolidated view of BMW’s valuation metrics and peer comparisons.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.0
| Net Income: 7.02b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.00 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 2.78 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 8.63% < 20% (prev 6.33%; Δ 2.31% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.04 > 3% & CFO 11.43b > Net Income 7.02b |
| Net Debt (88.49b) to EBITDA (20.55b): 4.31 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.14 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (610.9m) vs 12m ago -1.84% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 15.47% > 18% (prev 0.17%; Δ 1530 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 52.08% > 50% (prev 56.86%; Δ -4.78% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 18.97 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 20.55b / Interest Expense TTM 547.0m) |
Altman Z'' 2.30
| A: 0.04 (Total Current Assets 93.41b - Total Current Liabilities 81.63b) / Total Assets 261.97b |
| B: 0.36 (Retained Earnings 93.57b / Total Assets 261.97b) |
| C: 0.04 (EBIT TTM 10.38b / Avg Total Assets 261.95b) |
| D: 0.55 (Book Value of Equity 91.38b / Total Liabilities 166.41b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 2.30 = BBB |
Beneish M -2.97
| DSRI: 1.06 (Receivables 40.86b/41.97b, Revenue 136.41b/148.93b) |
| GMI: 1.10 (GM 15.47% / 17.01%) |
| AQI: 0.99 (AQ_t 0.30 / AQ_t-1 0.31) |
| SGI: 0.92 (Revenue 136.41b / 148.93b) |
| TATA: -0.02 (NI 7.02b - CFO 11.43b) / TA 261.97b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.97 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
What is the price of BMW shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.91%, over one month by -6.86%, over three months by +6.11% and over the past year by +15.92%.
Is BMW a buy, sell or hold?
What are the forecasts/targets for the BMW price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 91.6 | 5.1% |
| Analysts Target Price | - | - |
| ValueRay Target Price | 94.8 | 8.8% |
BMW Fundamental Data Overview January 26, 2026
P/E Trailing = 7.6995
P/E Forward = 7.6453
P/S = 0.3915
P/B = 0.5721
P/EG = 0.6316
Revenue TTM = 136.41b EUR
EBIT TTM = 10.38b EUR
EBITDA TTM = 20.55b EUR
Long Term Debt = 67.01b EUR (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 40.73b EUR (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 107.75b EUR (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 88.49b EUR (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 141.90b EUR (53.41b + Debt 107.75b - CCE 19.26b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 18.97 (Ebit TTM 10.38b / Interest Expense TTM 547.0m)
EV/FCF = 1000.0x (Enterprise Value 141.90b / FCF TTM 43.0m)
FCF Yield = 0.03% (FCF TTM 43.0m / Enterprise Value 141.90b)
FCF Margin = 0.03% (FCF TTM 43.0m / Revenue TTM 136.41b)
Net Margin = 5.15% (Net Income TTM 7.02b / Revenue TTM 136.41b)
Gross Margin = 15.47% ((Revenue TTM 136.41b - Cost of Revenue TTM 115.31b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 14.24% (prev 16.43%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.54 (Enterprise Value 141.90b / Total Assets 261.97b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.10% (Interest Expense 111.0m / Debt 107.75b)
Taxrate = 27.14% (632.0m / 2.33b)
NOPAT = 7.56b (EBIT 10.38b * (1 - 27.14%))
Current Ratio = 1.14 (Total Current Assets 93.41b / Total Current Liabilities 81.63b)
Debt / Equity = 1.15 (Debt 107.75b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 93.36b)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.31 (Net Debt 88.49b / EBITDA 20.55b)
Debt / FCF = 2058 (out of range, set to none) (Net Debt 88.49b / FCF TTM 43.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 92.81b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.68% (Net Income 7.02b / Total Assets 261.97b)
RoE = 7.56% (Net Income TTM 7.02b / Total Stockholder Equity 92.81b)
RoCE = 6.49% (EBIT 10.38b / Capital Employed (Equity 92.81b + L.T.Debt 67.01b))
RoIC = 6.29% (NOPAT 7.56b / Invested Capital 120.28b)
WACC = 2.28% (E(53.41b)/V(161.16b) * Re(6.74%) + D(107.75b)/V(161.16b) * Rd(0.10%) * (1-Tc(0.27)))
Discount Rate = 6.74% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 7.95%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -1.82%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 80.82% ; FCFF base≈43.0m ; Y1≈28.2m ; Y5≈12.9m
Fair Price DCF = N/A (negative equity: EV 410.4m - Net Debt 88.49b = -88.08b; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
[DCF Warning] FCF declining rapidly (-40.0%), DCF may be unreliable
EPS Correlation: -52.09 | EPS CAGR: -5.59% | SUE: 0.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 8.73 | Revenue CAGR: 3.50% | SUE: -0.24 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=3.72 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=1
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=11.22 | Chg30d=-0.220 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+5.0% | Growth Revenue=+1.9%