(BMW) Bayerische Motoren Werke - Ratings and Ratios
Automobiles, Motorcycles, Spare Parts, Financial Services
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 32.0% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 50.1% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -4.91% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.94 |
| Alpha | 27.66 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.568 |
| Beta | 0.199 |
| Beta Downside | 0.358 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 41.22% |
| Mean DD | 15.70% |
| Median DD | 15.54% |
Description: BMW Bayerische Motoren Werke September 29, 2025
Bayerische Motoren Werke AG (BMW) designs, manufactures, and sells premium automobiles, motorcycles, spare parts, and accessories worldwide, operating through three core segments: Automotive, Motorcycles, and Financial Services.
Its automotive portfolio comprises the BMW, MINI, and Rolls-Royce brands, while the BMW Motorrad division produces motorcycles for private and specialized operational use.
The Financial Services segment, branded as Alphabet, offers a suite of solutions-including car rentals, credit financing, leasing with insurance and service products, and fleet financing for corporate customers-supporting both dealership and end-consumer liquidity.
BMW distributes its products exclusively via independent dealerships, a model that preserves brand positioning but also exposes the company to dealer-level inventory risk and regional sales cycle variability.
Founded in 1916 and headquartered in Munich, Germany, BMW remains a key player in the GICS Automobile Manufacturers sub-industry, with a market-cap that places it among the top-tier European automakers.
**Recent KPI snapshot (Q2 2024):** Revenue of €36.1 bn (+7% YoY), EBIT margin of 11.3% (up from 10.1% in Q2 2023), and a free cash flow conversion rate of 92%, reflecting strong demand for electric-drive models and effective cost-control.
**Key economic driver:** The European Union’s tightening CO₂ emission standards are accelerating the shift toward premium EVs, a trend BMW is capitalising on through its “i” sub-brand, which now accounts for roughly 15% of total vehicle deliveries.
**Sector trend:** Supply-chain resilience, particularly semiconductor availability, remains a material risk; however, BMW’s “dual-sourcing” strategy for critical components has mitigated production disruptions relative to many peers.
For a deeper, data-driven assessment of BMW’s valuation dynamics and scenario analysis, exploring the detailed dashboards on ValueRay can provide the quantitative context needed for an informed investment decision.
BMW Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 57,321m |
| Sub-Industry | Automobile Manufacturers |
| IPO / Inception | |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | 16.6% |
| Analyst Rating | - |
BMW Dividends
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.94% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 7.94% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 24.47% |
| Payout Consistency | 91.6% |
| Payout Ratio | 37.8% |
BMW Growth Ratios
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| CAGR 3y | 8.52% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | 0.21 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | 0.54 |
| Current Volume | 543.7k |
| Average Volume | 760.3k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.0
| Net Income (5.74b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 8.19b TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.01 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -1.09pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 8.71% (prev 5.94%; Δ 2.77pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.04 (>3.0%) and CFO 9.41b > Net Income 5.74b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (-18.09b) to EBITDA (19.16b) ratio: -0.94 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.15 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (613.9m) change vs 12m ago -3.92% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 15.20% (prev 18.07%; Δ -2.87pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 52.62% (prev 59.82%; Δ -7.19pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 14.48 (EBITDA TTM 19.16b / Interest Expense TTM 620.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 2.25
| (A) 0.05 = (Total Current Assets 93.14b - Total Current Liabilities 81.25b) / Total Assets 259.71b |
| (B) 0.35 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 91.92b / Total Assets 259.71b |
| (C) 0.03 = EBIT TTM 8.98b / Avg Total Assets 259.40b |
| (D) 0.54 = Book Value of Equity 89.47b / Total Liabilities 165.76b |
| Total Rating: 2.25 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 49.78
| 1. Piotroski 4.0pt = -1.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield -2.14% = -1.07 |
| 3. FCF Margin -2.16% = -0.81 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.16 = 1.87 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -0.94 = 2.50 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 3.39)% = 4.24 |
| 7. RoE 6.22% = 0.52 |
| 8. Rev. Trend -58.63% = -4.40 |
| 9. EPS Trend -41.31% = -2.07 |
What is the price of BMW shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.09%, over one month by +8.45%, over three months by -2.60% and over the past year by +33.58%.
Is BMW a buy, sell or hold?
What are the forecasts/targets for the BMW price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 87.9 | 1.1% |
| Analysts Target Price | - | - |
| ValueRay Target Price | 98.1 | 12.8% |
BMW Fundamental Data Overview November 15, 2025
Market Cap EUR = 49.38b (49.38b EUR * 1.0 EUR.EUR)
P/E Trailing = 7.8032
P/E Forward = 7.7942
P/S = 0.362
P/B = 0.5815
P/EG = 0.6439
Beta = 0.774
Revenue TTM = 136.51b EUR
EBIT TTM = 8.98b EUR
EBITDA TTM = 19.16b EUR
Long Term Debt = 66.45b EUR (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 39.90b EUR (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 106.34b EUR (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -18.09b EUR (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 137.64b EUR (49.38b + Debt 106.34b - CCE 18.09b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 14.48 (Ebit TTM 8.98b / Interest Expense TTM 620.0m)
FCF Yield = -2.14% (FCF TTM -2.95b / Enterprise Value 137.64b)
FCF Margin = -2.16% (FCF TTM -2.95b / Revenue TTM 136.51b)
Net Margin = 4.20% (Net Income TTM 5.74b / Revenue TTM 136.51b)
Gross Margin = 15.20% ((Revenue TTM 136.51b - Cost of Revenue TTM 115.76b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 16.43% (prev 16.30%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.53 (Enterprise Value 137.64b / Total Assets 259.71b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.15% (Interest Expense 159.0m / Debt 106.34b)
Taxrate = 29.53% (772.0m / 2.61b)
NOPAT = 6.33b (EBIT 8.98b * (1 - 29.53%))
Current Ratio = 1.15 (Total Current Assets 93.14b / Total Current Liabilities 81.25b)
Debt / Equity = 1.16 (Debt 106.34b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 91.79b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.94 (Net Debt -18.09b / EBITDA 19.16b)
Debt / FCF = 6.13 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -18.09b / FCF TTM -2.95b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 92.15b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.21% (Net Income 5.74b / Total Assets 259.71b)
RoE = 6.22% (Net Income TTM 5.74b / Total Stockholder Equity 92.15b)
RoCE = 5.66% (EBIT 8.98b / Capital Employed (Equity 92.15b + L.T.Debt 66.45b))
RoIC = 5.60% (NOPAT 6.33b / Invested Capital 112.89b)
WACC = 2.21% (E(49.38b)/V(155.72b) * Re(6.75%) + D(106.34b)/V(155.72b) * Rd(0.15%) * (1-Tc(0.30)))
Discount Rate = 6.75% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -1.58%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -2.95b)
EPS Correlation: -41.31 | EPS CAGR: -7.84% | SUE: 0.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -58.63 | Revenue CAGR: -3.27% | SUE: -0.53 | # QB: 0