BMW Stock Analysis: Bayerische Motoren Werke | XETRA

Auto Manufacturers | XETRA, Germany | Market Cap: 34.764m EUR | 12M Return: -17.9% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Automobiles, Motorcycles, Financing, Spare Parts
Total Rating 25
Safety 71
Buy Signal -0.83
Auto Manufacturers
Industry Rotation: -17.4
Market Cap: 39.8B
Avg Turnover: 119M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility33.4%
VaR 5th Pctl5.70%
VaR vs Median3.44%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio-0.69
Rel. Str. IBD5.6
Rel. Str. Peer Group22
Character TTM
Beta0.455
Beta Downside0.409
Hurst Exponent0.490
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD41.22%
CAGR/Max DD-0.31
CAGR/Mean DD-0.67
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of BMW over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": 7.24, "2021-09": 3.89, "2021-12": 3.39, "2022-03": 15.33, "2022-06": 4.3, "2022-09": 4.25, "2022-12": 3.43, "2023-03": 5.31, "2023-06": 4.39, "2023-09": 4.2, "2023-12": 3.77, "2024-03": 4.42, "2024-06": 4.15, "2024-09": 0.64, "2024-12": 2.41, "2025-03": 3.38, "2025-06": 2.85, "2025-09": 2.74, "2025-12": 2.92, "2026-03": 2.68,
EPS CAGR: -19.74%
EPS Trend: -85.5%
Last SUE: 0.40
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of BMW over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 28582, 2021-09: 27471, 2021-12: 28408, 2022-03: 31142, 2022-06: 34770, 2022-09: 37176, 2022-12: 39522, 2023-03: 36853, 2023-06: 37219, 2023-09: 38458, 2023-12: 42968, 2024-03: 36614, 2024-06: 36944, 2024-09: 32406, 2024-12: 36416, 2025-03: 33758, 2025-06: 33927, 2025-09: 32314, 2025-12: 33454, 2026-03: 31007,
Rev. CAGR: -6.32%
Rev. Trend: -91.8%
Last SUE: -0.49
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

High Debt While Negative Cash Flow
Below Avwap Earnings
Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 10.5 years of data

Jan -1.0% 0
Feb +0.2% 5
Mar -3.8% 32
Apr +0.0% 5
May +0.4% 16
Jun -1.6% 17
Jul +0.3% 8
Aug -0.8% 8
Sep -2.5% 13
Oct -1.4% 9
Nov +3.3% 25
Dec +1.3% 12

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: BMW Bayerische Motoren Werke

Bayerische Motoren Werke Aktiengesellschaft (BMW) is a German premium automaker that develops, manufactures, and sells automobiles, motorcycles, spare parts, and accessories worldwide. The company operates through three segments-Automotive, Motorcycles, and Financial Services-and markets vehicles under the BMW, MINI, Rolls-Royce, and BMW Motorrad brands. Founded in 1916 and headquartered in Munich, BMW distributes its products through a global network of retail outlets, agents, and independent dealerships.

The business model combines premium vehicle manufacturing with a captive financial services arm that provides credit financing, leasing, insurance, and fleet management (under the Alphabet brand). This integrated vehicle-and-financing structure is typical of large global automakers and supports recurring revenue and customer retention beyond the initial vehicle sale.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Chinese premium EV competition pressures BMW automotive margins
  • Neue Klasse platform launch drives 2025 EV volume growth
  • US auto tariff escalation threatens European export revenue
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 2.0
Net Income: 6.82b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: -0.02 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.06 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 10.73% < 20% (prev 10.68%; Δ 0.05% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.02 > 3% & CFO 5.61b > Net Income 6.82b
Net Debt (95.7b) to EBITDA (18.9b): 5.06 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.17 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (605.2m) vs 12m ago -2.45% < -2%
Gross Margin: 15.04% > 18% (prev 15.65%; Δ -0.61% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 48.77% > 50% (prev 52.57%; Δ -3.80% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 19.53 > 6 (EBIT TTM 9.98b / Interest Expense TTM 511.0m)
Altman Z'' 2.36
A: 0.05 (Total Current Assets 95.3b - Total Current Liabilities 81.2b) / Total Assets 271b
B: 0.36 (Retained Earnings 97.2b / Total Assets 271b)
C: 0.04 (EBIT TTM 9.98b / Avg Total Assets 268b)
D: 0.57 (Book Value of Equity 97.3b / Total Liabilities 171b)
Altman-Z'' = 2.36 = BBB
Beneish M -2.95
DSRI: 1.11 (Receivables 42.4b/40.6b, Revenue 131b/140b)
GMI: 1.04 (GM 15.65% / 15.04%)
AQI: 0.98 (AQ_t 0.30 / AQ_t-1 0.31)
SGI: 0.94 (Revenue 131b / 140b)
TATA: 0.00 (NI 6.82b - CFO 5.61b) / TA 271b)
Beneish M = -2.95 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of BMW shares?

As of July 06, 2026, the stock is trading at EUR 60.56 with a total of 1,319,749 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.54%, over one month by -13.95%, over three months by -18.13% and over the past year by -17.94%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 57.90 (which is 4.4% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).

Is BMW a buy, sell or hold?

Bayerische Motoren Werke has no consensus analysts rating.

Bayerische Motoren Werke (BMW) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 02 July 2026
Market Cap USD = 39.8b (34.8b EUR * 1.1438 EUR.USD)
P/E Trailing = 5.1171
P/E Forward = 8.1566
P/S = 0.266
P/B = 0.3589
P/EG = 0.7142
Revenue TTM = 131b EUR
EBIT TTM = 9.98b EUR
EBITDA TTM = 18.9b EUR
Long Term Debt = 58.9b EUR (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 40.7b EUR (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 115b EUR (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 2.49b
Net Debt = 95.7b EUR (calculated: Debt 115b - CCE 19.0b)
Enterprise Value = 130b EUR (34.8b + Debt 115b - CCE 19.0b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 19.53 (Ebit TTM 9.98b / Interest Expense TTM 511.0m)
EV/FCF = -30.82x (Enterprise Value 130b / FCF TTM -4.23b)
FCF Yield = -3.24% (FCF TTM -4.23b / Enterprise Value 130b)
FCF Margin = -3.24% (FCF TTM -4.23b / Revenue TTM 131b)
Net Margin = 5.22% (Net Income TTM 6.82b / Revenue TTM 131b)
Gross Margin = 15.04% ((Revenue TTM 131b - Cost of Revenue TTM 111b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 14.73% (prev 14.70%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.48 (Enterprise Value 130b / Total Assets 271b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.45% (Interest Expense 511.0m / Debt 115b)
Taxrate = 26.62% (2.52b / 9.47b)
NOPAT = 7.32b (EBIT 9.98b * (1 - 26.62%))
Current Ratio = 1.17 (Total Current Assets 95.3b / Total Current Liabilities 81.2b)
Debt / Equity = 1.18 (Debt 115b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 97.3b)
Debt / EBITDA = 5.06 (Net Debt 95.7b / EBITDA 18.9b)
 Debt / FCF = -22.60 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 95.7b / FCF TTM -4.23b)
 Total Stockholder Equity = 94.5b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.54% (Net Income 6.82b / Total Assets 271b)
RoE = 7.21% (Net Income TTM 6.82b / Total Stockholder Equity 94.5b)
RoCE = 6.51% (EBIT 9.98b / Capital Employed (Equity 94.5b + L.T.Debt 58.9b))
RoIC = 3.28% (NOPAT 7.32b / Invested Capital 224b)
WACC = 2.01% (E(34.8b)/V(149b) * Re(7.58%) + D(115b)/V(149b) * Rd(0.45%) * (1-Tc(0.27)))
Discount Rate = 7.58% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -85.40 | Cagr: -2.03%
 [DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -4.23b)
 EPS Correlation: -85.55 | EPS CAGR: -19.74% | SUE: 0.40 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -91.81 | Revenue CAGR: -6.32% | SUE: -0.49 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=2.50 | Chg30d=-4.95% | Revisions=+25% | Analysts=2
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.80 | Chg30d=-27.43% | Revisions=+25% | Analysts=2
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=8.25 | Chg30d=-23.16% | Revisions=+46% | GrowthEPS=-30.6% | GrowthRev=-2.2%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=10.28 | Chg30d=-14.31% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+24.5% | GrowthRev=+4.2%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +32% (up=15, down=7)