(BPE5) BP p.l.c. - Ratings and Ratios
Gas, Oil, Power, Renewable, Retail, Lubricants
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 6.24% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 14.58% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | -0.74% |
| Payout Consistency | 92.2% |
| Payout Ratio | 3.6% |
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 22.4% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 36.7% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -0.47% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.63 |
| Alpha | 13.51 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.09 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.354 |
| Beta | 0.081 |
| Beta Downside | 0.764 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 36.25% |
| Mean DD | 13.87% |
| Median DD | 13.82% |
Description: BPE5 BP p.l.c. September 26, 2025
BP p.l.c. (XETRA:BPE5) is an integrated energy group that generates revenue across three primary segments: Gas & Low-Carbon Energy, Oil Production & Operations, and Customers & Products.
In the Gas & Low-Carbon Energy division, BP produces natural gas, operates solar and on-shore/off-shore wind farms, and is expanding into hydrogen, carbon capture, power trading, and storage. As of Q2 2024, the company reported a 12 % year-over-year increase in renewable-energy capacity, now exceeding 5 GW of combined solar and wind assets.
The Oil Production & Operations segment continues to deliver crude oil and natural gas liquids, with proven reserves of roughly 18 billion barrels of oil equivalent (BOE) and a 2023 upstream cash flow of $13.2 bn. A key economic driver for this segment is the global Brent price, which has averaged $84 per barrel in the past 12 months, influencing upstream profitability.
Customers & Products covers retail fuel stations, EV-charging networks, Castrol lubricants, aviation fuel, B2B services, midstream logistics, refining, oil trading, and bioenergy. The retail network comprises over 2,800 sites worldwide, and EV-charging usage grew 38 % YoY in H1 2024, reflecting accelerating electrification trends.
BP’s strategic shift toward low-carbon solutions is underpinned by its 2025 target to reduce net-upstream carbon intensity by 30 % and its 2030 ambition to increase renewable generation capacity to 15 GW. The company’s 2023 capital allocation split-≈55 % to low-carbon projects and ≈45 % to traditional oil & gas-signals a material rebalancing of its asset base.
For a deeper quantitative view of BP’s valuation metrics, cash-flow forecasts, and scenario analysis, you may find it worthwhile to explore the detailed model on ValueRay.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.5
| Net Income (1.56b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 11.20b TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.04 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -1.24pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 8.30% (prev 8.49%; Δ -0.19pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.09 (>3.0%) and CFO 24.32b > Net Income 1.56b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (25.28b) to EBITDA (22.00b) ratio: 1.15 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.19 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (15.44b) change vs 12m ago -7.61% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 16.79% (prev 17.57%; Δ -0.78pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 67.84% (prev 72.75%; Δ -4.91pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 1.76 (EBITDA TTM 22.00b / Interest Expense TTM 5.11b) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 0.98
| (A) 0.06 = (Total Current Assets 95.86b - Total Current Liabilities 80.36b) / Total Assets 280.46b |
| (B) 0.08 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 22.53b / Total Assets 280.46b |
| (C) 0.03 = EBIT TTM 9.02b / Avg Total Assets 275.08b |
| (D) 0.13 = Book Value of Equity 27.02b / Total Liabilities 202.81b |
| Total Rating: 0.98 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 53.41
| 1. Piotroski 3.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 8.30% |
| 3. FCF Margin 5.72% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.23 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 1.15 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -0.36)% |
| 7. RoE 2.82% |
| 8. Rev. Trend -53.87% |
| 9. EPS Trend 4.87% |
What is the price of BPE5 shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.52%, over one month by +6.50%, over three months by +5.88% and over the past year by +18.65%.
Is BPE5 a buy, sell or hold?
What are the forecasts/targets for the BPE5 price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | - | - |
| Analysts Target Price | - | - |
| ValueRay Target Price | 5 | -4.6% |
BPE5 Fundamental Data Overview November 26, 2025
Market Cap USD = 91.88b (79.19b EUR * 1.1602 EUR.USD)
P/E Trailing = 57.4111
P/E Forward = 12.1655
P/S = 0.4259
P/B = 1.5681
P/EG = 0.1342
Beta = 0.048
Revenue TTM = 186.62b USD
EBIT TTM = 9.02b USD
EBITDA TTM = 22.00b USD
Long Term Debt = 54.10b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 6.09b USD (from shortLongTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 71.55b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last fiscal year)
Net Debt = 25.28b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 128.52b USD (91.88b + Debt 71.55b - CCE 34.91b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.76 (Ebit TTM 9.02b / Interest Expense TTM 5.11b)
FCF Yield = 8.30% (FCF TTM 10.67b / Enterprise Value 128.52b)
FCF Margin = 5.72% (FCF TTM 10.67b / Revenue TTM 186.62b)
Net Margin = 0.84% (Net Income TTM 1.56b / Revenue TTM 186.62b)
Gross Margin = 16.79% ((Revenue TTM 186.62b - Cost of Revenue TTM 155.29b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 18.31% (prev 18.32%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.46 (Enterprise Value 128.52b / Total Assets 280.46b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.77% (Interest Expense 1.27b / Debt 71.55b)
Taxrate = 53.37% (1.73b / 3.24b)
NOPAT = 4.21b (EBIT 9.02b * (1 - 53.37%))
Current Ratio = 1.19 (Total Current Assets 95.86b / Total Current Liabilities 80.36b)
Debt / Equity = 1.23 (Debt 71.55b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 58.24b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.15 (Net Debt 25.28b / EBITDA 22.00b)
Debt / FCF = 2.37 (Net Debt 25.28b / FCF TTM 10.67b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 55.46b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.56% (Net Income 1.56b / Total Assets 280.46b)
RoE = 2.82% (Net Income TTM 1.56b / Total Stockholder Equity 55.46b)
RoCE = 8.24% (EBIT 9.02b / Capital Employed (Equity 55.46b + L.T.Debt 54.10b))
RoIC = 3.55% (NOPAT 4.21b / Invested Capital 118.42b)
WACC = 3.91% (E(91.88b)/V(163.43b) * Re(6.31%) + D(71.55b)/V(163.43b) * Rd(1.77%) * (1-Tc(0.53)))
Discount Rate = 6.31% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -5.45%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 73.59% ; FCFE base≈11.84b ; Y1≈9.00b ; Y5≈5.52b
Fair Price DCF = 6.77 (DCF Value 103.80b / Shares Outstanding 15.33b; 5y FCF grow -28.47% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 4.87 | EPS CAGR: -12.02% | SUE: -1.63 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -53.87 | Revenue CAGR: -1.17% | SUE: 0.16 | # QB: 0