BPE5 Stock Analysis: BP (Reg. Shares) | XETRA

Oil & Gas Integrated | XETRA, Germany | Market Cap: 84.081m EUR | 12M Return: 30.8% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Oil, Natural Gas, Lubricants, Bioenergy
Total Rating 42
Safety 55
Buy Signal -0.48
Oil & Gas Integrated
Industry Rotation: -7.9
Market Cap: 96.0B
Avg Turnover: 7.35M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility29.0%
VaR 5th Pctl5.22%
VaR vs Median9.26%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio1.00
Rel. Str. IBD35
Rel. Str. Peer Group22.5
Character TTM
Beta0.316
Beta Downside0.564
Hurst Exponent0.436
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD36.25%
CAGR/Max DD0.15
CAGR/Mean DD0.39
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of BPE5 over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": 0.12, "2021-09": -0.1071, "2021-12": 0.102, "2022-03": -0.9311, "2022-06": 0.4427, "2022-09": -0.1137, "2022-12": 0.5725, "2023-03": 0.42, "2023-06": 0.092, "2023-09": 0.19, "2023-12": 0.02, "2024-03": 0.1216, "2024-06": -0.0072, "2024-09": 0.14, "2024-12": -0.1156, "2025-03": 0.0406, "2025-06": 0.0906, "2025-09": 0.0631, "2025-12": -0.1908, "2026-03": 0.2097,
EPS CAGR: -74.77%
EPS Trend: -78.6%
Last SUE: 0.29
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of BPE5 over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 36028.569, 2021-09: 35463.695, 2021-12: 50598.13, 2022-03: 48176.191, 2022-06: 65676.519963, 2022-09: 51770.588, 2022-12: 72571.836, 2023-03: 57154.022, 2023-06: 49099.055, 2023-09: 51199.546, 2023-12: 53124.197275, 2024-03: 48384.856, 2024-06: 47447.617, 2024-09: 47254, 2024-12: 44664.839, 2025-03: 46905, 2025-06: 46627, 2025-09: 48386, 2025-12: 47383, 2026-03: 51076.459,
Rev. CAGR: -7.03%
Rev. Trend: -84.5%
Last SUE: 0.80
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Below Avwap Earnings
Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 10.5 years of data

Jan +2.1% 0
Feb -0.1% 12
Mar +1.1% 14
Apr +0.1% 0
May +0.4% 0
Jun -1.1% 14
Jul -1.6% 28
Aug -0.3% 24
Sep +3.9% 0
Oct -1.5% 28
Nov +0.2% 0
Dec -0.4% 0

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: BPE5 BP (Reg. Shares)

BP p.l.c. is a global integrated energy company engaged across the full energy value chain, including exploration, production, refining, marketing, and trading of oil and gas. The integrated oil and gas model combines upstream operations (crude oil and natural gas production) with downstream activities (refining, distribution, and retail), allowing companies to hedge against commodity price volatility across different segments of the energy market.

The company operates through three reporting segments: Gas & Low Carbon Energy, Oil Production & Operations, and Customers & Products. Its portfolio spans traditional hydrocarbons as well as low-carbon and renewable businesses such as solar, wind, hydrogen, bioenergy, and EV charging. It also supplies aviation fuel products, including jet fuel, UL91 aviation fuel, and sustainable aviation fuel, and operates retail convenience stores alongside its Castrol-branded lubricants and fluids business.

BP was founded in 1908 and is headquartered in London, United Kingdom. As a constituent of the integrated oil and gas sub-industry, it competes alongside other major energy majors that have historically controlled significant reserves, refining capacity, and global distribution networks.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Crude oil prices swing upstream earnings and refining margins
  • Low carbon pivot pressures dividend and buyback capacity
  • EV charging and convenience retail accelerate downstream growth
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 5.0
Net Income: 3.12b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.89 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 11.84% < 20% (prev -2.42%; Δ 14.26% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.08 > 3% & CFO 24.4b > Net Income 3.12b
Net Debt (52.8b) to EBITDA (35.5b): 1.49 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.22 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (15.7b) vs 12m ago -2.71% < -2%
Gross Margin: 21.84% > 18% (prev 15.26%; Δ 6.58% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 74.50% > 50% (prev 85.44%; Δ -10.94% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 3.57 > 6 (EBIT TTM 17.3b / Interest Expense TTM 4.85b)
Altman Z'' 1.36
A: 0.08 (Total Current Assets 127b - Total Current Liabilities 105b) / Total Assets 301b
B: 0.05 (Retained Earnings 14.0b / Total Assets 301b)
C: 0.07 (EBIT TTM 17.3b / Avg Total Assets 260b)
D: 0.25 (Book Value of Equity 55.9b / Total Liabilities 224b)
Altman-Z'' = 1.36 = BB
Beneish M -2.96
DSRI: 1.46 (Receivables 35.0b/23.1b, Revenue 193b/186b)
GMI: 0.70 (GM 15.26% / 21.84%)
AQI: 0.90 (AQ_t 0.25 / AQ_t-1 0.28)
SGI: 1.04 (Revenue 193b / 186b)
TATA: -0.07 (NI 3.12b - CFO 24.4b) / TA 301b)
Beneish M = -2.96 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of BPE5 shares?

As of July 05, 2026, the stock is trading at EUR 5.45 with a total of 668,897 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.29%, over one month by -13.75%, over three months by -19.42% and over the past year by +30.82%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 5.20 (which is 4.6% or 1.7 ATR below the current price).

Is BPE5 a buy, sell or hold?

BP (Reg. Shares) has no consensus analysts rating.

BP (Reg. Shares) (BPE5) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 02 July 2026
Market Cap USD = 96.0b (84.1b EUR * 1.1421 EUR.USD)
Market Cap USD = 96.0b (84.1b EUR * 1.1421 EUR.USD)
P/E Trailing = 30.2333
P/E Forward = 6.8681
P/S = 0.4356
P/B = 1.7252
P/EG = 0.0392
Revenue TTM = 193b USD
EBIT TTM = 17.3b USD
EBITDA TTM = 35.5b USD
Long Term Debt = 52.2b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 10.5b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 88.5b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 14.4b
Net Debt = 52.8b USD (calculated: Debt 88.5b - CCE 35.7b)
Enterprise Value = 149b USD (96.0b + Debt 88.5b - CCE 35.7b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.57 (Ebit TTM 17.3b / Interest Expense TTM 4.85b)
EV/FCF = 13.03x (Enterprise Value 149b / FCF TTM 11.4b)
FCF Yield = 7.67% (FCF TTM 11.4b / Enterprise Value 149b)
FCF Margin = 5.90% (FCF TTM 11.4b / Revenue TTM 193b)
Net Margin = 1.61% (Net Income TTM 3.12b / Revenue TTM 193b)
Gross Margin = 21.84% ((Revenue TTM 193b - Cost of Revenue TTM 151b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 24.08% (prev 16.20%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.49 (Enterprise Value 149b / Total Assets 301b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 5.48% (Interest Expense 4.85b / Debt 88.5b)
Taxrate = 42.81% (3.08b / 7.20b)
NOPAT = 9.91b (EBIT 17.3b * (1 - 42.81%))
Current Ratio = 1.22 (Total Current Assets 127b / Total Current Liabilities 105b)
Debt / Equity = 1.58 (Debt 88.5b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 55.9b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.49 (Net Debt 52.8b / EBITDA 35.5b)
Debt / FCF = 4.63 (Net Debt 52.8b / FCF TTM 11.4b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 56.6b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.20% (Net Income 3.12b / Total Assets 301b)
RoE = 5.52% (Net Income TTM 3.12b / Total Stockholder Equity 56.6b)
RoCE = 15.92% (EBIT 17.3b / Capital Employed (Equity 56.6b + L.T.Debt 52.2b))
RoIC = 5.01% (NOPAT 9.91b / Invested Capital 198b)
WACC = 5.19% (E(96.0b)/V(185b) * Re(7.09%) + D(88.5b)/V(185b) * Rd(5.48%) * (1-Tc(0.43)))
Discount Rate = 7.09% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -77.78 | Cagr: -4.25%
[DCF] Terminal Value 76.89% ; FCFF base≈10.9b ; Y1≈12.1b ; Y5≈15.4b
[DCF] Fair Price = 11.84 (EV 236b - Net Debt 52.8b = Equity 183b / Shares 15.5b; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 12.05% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -78.61 | EPS CAGR: -74.77% | SUE: 0.29 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -84.55 | Revenue CAGR: -7.03% | SUE: 0.80 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.00 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=N/A | Analysts=0
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.00 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=N/A | Analysts=0
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.00 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=N/A | GrowthEPS=+0.0% | GrowthRev=+19.2%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=0.00 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=N/A | GrowthEPS=+0.0% | GrowthRev=-11.7%