BPE5 Stock Analysis: BP (Reg. Shares) | XETRA

Oil & Gas Integrated | XETRA, Germany | Market Cap: 95.030m EUR | 12M Return: 33.6% | GB0007980591 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Oil, Natural Gas, Lubricants, Bioenergy
Total Rating 51
Safety 58
Buy Signal -0.43
Oil & Gas Integrated
Industry Rotation: +13.1
Market Cap: 110B
Avg Turnover: 7.68M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility29.9%
VaR 5th Pctl5.36%
VaR vs Median8.65%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.96
Rel. Str. IBD56.2
Rel. Str. Peer Group7.1
Character TTM
Beta0.105
Beta Downside0.380
Hurst Exponent0.504
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD36.24%
CAGR/Max DD0.22
CAGR/Mean DD0.57
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of BPE5 over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": 0.12, "2021-09": -0.1071, "2021-12": 0.102, "2022-03": -0.9311, "2022-06": 0.4427, "2022-09": -0.1137, "2022-12": 0.5725, "2023-03": 0.42, "2023-06": 0.092, "2023-09": 0.19, "2023-12": 0.02, "2024-03": 0.1216, "2024-06": -0.0072, "2024-09": 0.14, "2024-12": -0.1156, "2025-03": 0.0406, "2025-06": 0.0906, "2025-09": 0.0631, "2025-12": -0.1908, "2026-03": 0.2097, "2026-06": null,
EPS CAGR: -74.77%
EPS Trend: -78.6%
Last SUE: 0.29
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of BPE5 over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 36028.569, 2021-09: 35463.695, 2021-12: 50598.13, 2022-03: 48176.191, 2022-06: 65676.519963, 2022-09: 51770.588, 2022-12: 72571.836, 2023-03: 57154.022, 2023-06: 49099.055, 2023-09: 51199.546, 2023-12: 53124.197275, 2024-03: 48384.856, 2024-06: 47447.617, 2024-09: 47254, 2024-12: 44664.839, 2025-03: 46905, 2025-06: 46627, 2025-09: 48386, 2025-12: 47383, 2026-03: 51076.459, 2026-06: 68313.359,
Rev. CAGR: -3.40%
Rev. Trend: -46.0%
Last SUE: 1.37
Qual. Beats: 1

Warnings

No concerns identified

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 11.6 years of data

Jan +3.5% 9
Feb -0.1% 16
Mar +1.9% 19
Apr +0.2% 5
May +1.5% 5
Jun -1.0% 11
Jul -1.6% 14
Aug -0.1% 11
Sep +3.2% 12
Oct -1.2% 14
Nov +0.4% 11
Dec +0.2% 0

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: BPE5 BP (Reg. Shares)

BP p.l.c. is a global integrated energy company engaged across the full energy value chain, including exploration, production, refining, marketing, and trading of oil and gas. The integrated oil and gas model combines upstream operations (crude oil and natural gas production) with downstream activities (refining, distribution, and retail), allowing companies to hedge against commodity price volatility across different segments of the energy market.

The company operates through three reporting segments: Gas & Low Carbon Energy, Oil Production & Operations, and Customers & Products. Its portfolio spans traditional hydrocarbons as well as low-carbon and renewable businesses such as solar, wind, hydrogen, bioenergy, and EV charging. It also supplies aviation fuel products, including jet fuel, UL91 aviation fuel, and sustainable aviation fuel, and operates retail convenience stores alongside its Castrol-branded lubricants and fluids business.

BP was founded in 1908 and is headquartered in London, United Kingdom. As a constituent of the integrated oil and gas sub-industry, it competes alongside other major energy majors that have historically controlled significant reserves, refining capacity, and global distribution networks.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Crude oil prices swing upstream earnings and refining margins
  • Low carbon pivot pressures dividend and buyback capacity
  • EV charging and convenience retail accelerate downstream growth
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 6.5
Net Income: 5.36b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.05 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 2.43 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 12.04% < 20% (prev 9.70%; Δ 2.35% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.10 > 3% & CFO 28.9b > Net Income 5.36b
Net Debt (49.8b) to EBITDA (38.9b): 1.28 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.27 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (15.7b) vs 12m ago -1.19% < -2%
Gross Margin: 21.94% > 18% (prev 16.17%; Δ 5.77% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 74.28% > 50% (prev 65.13%; Δ 9.15% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 4.44 > 6 (EBIT TTM 21.3b / Interest Expense TTM 4.78b)
Altman Z'' 1.51
A: 0.09 (Total Current Assets 121b - Total Current Liabilities 95.3b) / Total Assets 295b
B: 0.05 (Retained Earnings 14.0b / Total Assets 295b)
C: 0.07 (EBIT TTM 21.3b / Avg Total Assets 290b)
D: 0.27 (Book Value of Equity 58.4b / Total Liabilities 218b)
Altman-Z'' = 1.51 = BB
Beneish M -3.11
DSRI: 1.12 (Receivables 36.2b/27.8b, Revenue 215b/185b)
GMI: 0.74 (GM 16.17% / 21.94%)
AQI: 0.91 (AQ_t 0.26 / AQ_t-1 0.29)
SGI: 1.16 (Revenue 215b / 185b)
TATA: -0.08 (NI 5.36b - CFO 28.9b) / TA 295b)
Beneish M = -3.11 (Cap -4..+1) = AA
What is the price of BPE5 shares?

As of August 16, 2026, the stock is trading at EUR 6.12 with a total of 607,876 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.56%, over one month by +2.78%, over three months by -0.74% and over the past year by +33.56%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 5.70 (which is 6.9% or 2.6 ATR below the current price).

Is BPE5 a buy, sell or hold?

BP (Reg. Shares) has no consensus analysts rating.

BP (Reg. Shares) (BPE5) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 12 August 2026
Market Cap USD = 110b (95.0b EUR * 1.1537 EUR.USD)
Market Cap USD = 110b (95.0b EUR * 1.1537 EUR.USD)
P/E Trailing = 20.5
P/E Forward = 7.3314
P/S = 0.441
P/B = 1.8417
P/EG = 0.0419
Revenue TTM = 215b USD
EBIT TTM = 21.3b USD
EBITDA TTM = 38.9b USD
Long Term Debt = 52.4b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 8.85b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 87.0b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 14.4b
Net Debt = 49.8b USD (calculated: Debt 87.0b - CCE 37.2b)
Enterprise Value = 159b USD (110b + Debt 87.0b - CCE 37.2b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.44 (Ebit TTM 21.3b / Interest Expense TTM 4.78b)
EV/FCF = 9.93x (Enterprise Value 159b / FCF TTM 16.0b)
FCF Yield = 10.07% (FCF TTM 16.0b / Enterprise Value 159b)
FCF Margin = 7.46% (FCF TTM 16.0b / Revenue TTM 215b)
Net Margin = 2.49% (Net Income TTM 5.36b / Revenue TTM 215b)
Gross Margin = 21.94% ((Revenue TTM 215b - Cost of Revenue TTM 168b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 19.74% (prev 24.08%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.54 (Enterprise Value 159b / Total Assets 295b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 5.50% (Interest Expense 4.78b / Debt 87.0b)
Taxrate = 44.64% (3.45b / 7.73b)
NOPAT = 11.8b (EBIT 21.3b * (1 - 44.64%))
Current Ratio = 1.27 (Total Current Assets 121b / Total Current Liabilities 95.3b)
Debt / Equity = 1.49 (Debt 87.0b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 58.4b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.28 (Net Debt 49.8b / EBITDA 38.9b)
Debt / FCF = 3.10 (Net Debt 49.8b / FCF TTM 16.0b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 56.4b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.85% (Net Income 5.36b / Total Assets 295b)
RoE = 9.50% (Net Income TTM 5.36b / Total Stockholder Equity 56.4b)
RoCE = 19.53% (EBIT 21.3b / Capital Employed (Equity 56.4b + L.T.Debt 52.4b))
RoIC = 5.96% (NOPAT 11.8b / Invested Capital 197b)
WACC = 4.89% (E(110b)/V(197b) * Re(6.35%) + D(87.0b)/V(197b) * Rd(5.50%) * (1-Tc(0.45)))
Discount Rate = 6.35% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -28.33 | Cagr: -3.95%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈13.1b ; Y1≈15.0b ; Y5≈22.0b
[DCF] Fair Price = 18.24 (EV 332b - Net Debt 49.8b = Equity 282b / Shares 15.5b; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -78.61 | EPS CAGR: -74.77% | SUE: 0.29 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -45.95 | Revenue CAGR: -3.40% | SUE: 1.37 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.00 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=N/A | Analysts=0
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.00 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=N/A | Analysts=0
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.00 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=N/A | GrowthEPS=+0.0% | GrowthRev=+15.7%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=0.00 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=N/A | GrowthEPS=+0.0% | GrowthRev=-9.4%