BPE5 Stock Analysis: BP (Reg. Shares) | XETRA
Oil & Gas Integrated | XETRA, Germany | Market Cap: 101.306m EUR | 12M Return: 46.8% | GB0007980591 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 7.56M
EPS Trend: -60.5%
Qual. Beats: -1
Rev. Trend: -46.0%
Qual. Beats: 1
Warnings
No concerns identified
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
BP p.l.c. is a London-headquartered integrated energy company founded in 1908 that operates across three reporting segments: Gas & Low Carbon Energy, Oil Production & Operations, and Customers & Products. Its portfolio spans upstream natural gas production and trading, renewables (solar, wind, hydrogen), refining and oil trading, crude oil production, and downstream activities such as Castrol lubricants and fluids, EV charging, convenience and retail fuel, and aviation fuels including sustainable aviation fuel.
As an integrated oil & gas major, BP combines upstream (exploration and production) with downstream (refining, marketing, and retail) operations, a structure common to the GICS Integrated Oil & Gas sub-industry. The company is one of the so-called supermajors alongside peers such as Shell, ExxonMobil, and Chevron, and its inclusion of Castrol and a growing low-carbon and EV charging footprint reflects the broader energy sectors shift toward diversification beyond traditional hydrocarbons.
- Brent crude price volatility pressures oil production margins
- Refining margins weaken on oversupply and seasonal demand softness
- Gas and low carbon energy segment accelerates renewable investment spending
- Share buyback program continues as oil major returns capital to shareholders
| Net Income: 5.36b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.05 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 2.43 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 12.04% < 20% (prev 9.70%; Δ 2.35% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.10 > 3% & CFO 28.9b > Net Income 5.36b |
| Net Debt (49.8b) to EBITDA (38.9b): 1.28 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.27 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (15.7b) vs 12m ago -1.19% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 21.94% > 18% (prev 16.17%; Δ 5.77% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 74.28% > 50% (prev 65.13%; Δ 9.15% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 4.44 > 6 (EBIT TTM 21.3b / Interest Expense TTM 4.78b) |
| A: 0.09 (Total Current Assets 121b - Total Current Liabilities 95.3b) / Total Assets 295b |
| B: 0.05 (Retained Earnings 14.0b / Total Assets 295b) |
| C: 0.07 (EBIT TTM 21.3b / Avg Total Assets 290b) |
| D: 0.27 (Book Value of Equity 58.4b / Total Liabilities 218b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 1.51 = BB |
| DSRI: 1.12 (Receivables 36.2b/27.8b, Revenue 215b/185b) |
| GMI: 0.74 (GM 16.17% / 21.94%) |
| AQI: 0.91 (AQ_t 0.26 / AQ_t-1 0.29) |
| SGI: 1.16 (Revenue 215b / 185b) |
| TATA: -0.08 (NI 5.36b - CFO 28.9b) / TA 295b) |
| Beneish M = -3.11 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of October 11, 2026, the stock is trading at EUR 6.95 with a total of 1,413,799 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +6.01%, over one month by +7.34%, over three months by +24.58% and over the past year by +46.81%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 6.50 (which is 6.5% or 2.6 ATR below the current price).
BP (Reg. Shares) has no consensus analysts rating.
Market Cap USD = 113b (101b EUR * 1.11996 EUR.USD)
P/E Trailing = 21.1484
P/E Forward = 10.1833
P/S = 0.4702
P/B = 1.9667
P/EG = 0.0582
Revenue TTM = 215b USD
EBIT TTM = 21.3b USD
EBITDA TTM = 38.9b USD
Long Term Debt = 52.4b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 8.85b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 87.0b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 14.4b
Net Debt = 49.8b USD (calculated: Debt 87.0b - CCE 37.2b)
Enterprise Value = 163b USD (113b + Debt 87.0b - CCE 37.2b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.44 (Ebit TTM 21.3b / Interest Expense TTM 4.78b)
EV/FCF = 10.17x (Enterprise Value 163b / FCF TTM 16.0b)
FCF Yield = 9.83% (FCF TTM 16.0b / Enterprise Value 163b)
FCF Margin = 7.46% (FCF TTM 16.0b / Revenue TTM 215b)
Net Margin = 2.49% (Net Income TTM 5.36b / Revenue TTM 215b)
Gross Margin = 21.94% ((Revenue TTM 215b - Cost of Revenue TTM 168b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 19.74% (prev 24.08%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.55 (Enterprise Value 163b / Total Assets 295b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 5.50% (Interest Expense 4.78b / Debt 87.0b)
Taxrate = 44.64% (3.45b / 7.73b)
NOPAT = 11.8b (EBIT 21.3b * (1 - 44.64%))
Current Ratio = 1.27 (Total Current Assets 121b / Total Current Liabilities 95.3b)
Debt / Equity = 1.49 (Debt 87.0b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 58.4b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.28 (Net Debt 49.8b / EBITDA 38.9b)
Debt / FCF = 3.10 (Net Debt 49.8b / FCF TTM 16.0b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 56.4b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.85% (Net Income 5.36b / Total Assets 295b)
RoE = 9.50% (Net Income TTM 5.36b / Total Stockholder Equity 56.4b)
RoCE = 19.53% (EBIT 21.3b / Capital Employed (Equity 56.4b + L.T.Debt 52.4b))
RoIC = 5.96% (NOPAT 11.8b / Invested Capital 197b)
WACC = 4.89% (E(113b)/V(200b) * Re(6.30%) + D(87.0b)/V(200b) * Rd(5.50%) * (1-Tc(0.45)))
Discount Rate = 6.30% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -28.33 | Cagr: -3.95%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈13.1b ; Y1≈15.0b ; Y5≈22.0b
[DCF] Fair Price = 18.24 (EV 332b - Net Debt 49.8b = Equity 282b / Shares 15.5b; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -60.54 | EPS CAGR: -63.54% | SUE: -0.88 | # QB: -1
Revenue Correlation: -45.95 | Revenue CAGR: -3.40% | SUE: 1.37 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.00 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=N/A | Analysts=0
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.00 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=N/A | GrowthEPS=+0.0% | GrowthRev=+19.6%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=0.00 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=N/A | GrowthEPS=+0.0% | GrowthRev=-8.8%