(DEZ) Deutz - Overview
Stock: Diesel, Gas, Hydrogen, Electric, Spare Parts
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 2.33% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 3.20% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 4.26% |
| Payout Consistency | 55.5% |
| Payout Ratio | 94.4% |
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 44.4% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -12.6% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.95 |
| Alpha | 143.08 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.233 |
| Beta Downside | 0.644 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 38.72% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.76 |
Description: DEZ Deutz January 19, 2026
Deutz AG (XETRA:DEZ) designs, builds, and sells diesel, gas, and emerging hydrogen and electric powertrains across Europe, the Middle East, Africa, APAC, and the United States, operating through its “Classic” (traditional internal-combustion) and “Green” (electrified, hybrid, hydrogen) segments. Its portfolio spans a wide range of engines-from compact units to high-power off-highway models-and a full suite of aftermarket parts, lifecycle services, and rapid-charging solutions for construction, agricultural, material-handling, stationary, commercial-vehicle, and rail applications.
Key recent metrics show DEZ generated roughly €4.5 billion in revenue in FY 2023, with an EBIT margin near 6% and an order backlog of about €2 billion, indicating solid demand despite a tightening diesel market. The company’s growth outlook is tied to macro drivers such as stricter EU emissions standards, the global construction-equipment rebound, and the accelerating shift toward electrified and hydrogen-fuelled powertrains-sectors where DEZ’s “Green” segment is expanding its R&D spend to roughly 5% of sales.
For a deeper quantitative assessment, consider reviewing ValueRay’s detailed valuation models and scenario analyses for DEZ.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.0
| Net Income: 37.9m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.40 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 6.06% < 20% (prev 10.13%; Δ -4.07% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.08 > 3% & CFO 149.7m > Net Income 37.9m |
| Net Debt (269.2m) to EBITDA (139.7m): 1.93 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.16 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (144.4m) vs 12m ago 12.43% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 22.05% > 18% (prev 0.22%; Δ 2183 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 109.7% > 50% (prev 105.6%; Δ 4.12% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 2.12 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 139.7m / Interest Expense TTM 20.8m) |
Altman Z'' 2.11
| A: 0.06 (Total Current Assets 860.3m - Total Current Liabilities 738.6m) / Total Assets 1.93b |
| B: 0.22 (Retained Earnings 418.3m / Total Assets 1.93b) |
| C: 0.02 (EBIT TTM 44.0m / Avg Total Assets 1.83b) |
| D: 0.79 (Book Value of Equity 772.8m / Total Liabilities 982.8m) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 2.11 = BBB |
Beneish M -2.94
| DSRI: 1.02 (Receivables 224.9m/200.0m, Revenue 2.01b/1.83b) |
| GMI: 0.99 (GM 22.05% / 21.78%) |
| AQI: 1.12 (AQ_t 0.33 / AQ_t-1 0.30) |
| SGI: 1.10 (Revenue 2.01b / 1.83b) |
| TATA: -0.06 (NI 37.9m - CFO 149.7m) / TA 1.93b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.94 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
What is the price of DEZ shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.04%, over one month by +13.68%, over three months by +40.61% and over the past year by +149.91%.
Is DEZ a buy, sell or hold?
What are the forecasts/targets for the DEZ price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 11.2 | -1.1% |
| Analysts Target Price | - | - |
| ValueRay Target Price | 13.1 | 15.8% |
DEZ Fundamental Data Overview February 03, 2026
P/E Trailing = 38.6786
P/S = 0.8232
P/B = 1.7373
Revenue TTM = 2.01b EUR
EBIT TTM = 44.0m EUR
EBITDA TTM = 139.7m EUR
Long Term Debt = 61.4m EUR (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 219.4m EUR (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 335.9m EUR (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 269.2m EUR (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 1.92b EUR (1.65b + Debt 335.9m - CCE 66.7m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.12 (Ebit TTM 44.0m / Interest Expense TTM 20.8m)
EV/FCF = 27.74x (Enterprise Value 1.92b / FCF TTM 69.3m)
FCF Yield = 3.61% (FCF TTM 69.3m / Enterprise Value 1.92b)
FCF Margin = 3.45% (FCF TTM 69.3m / Revenue TTM 2.01b)
Net Margin = 1.89% (Net Income TTM 37.9m / Revenue TTM 2.01b)
Gross Margin = 22.05% ((Revenue TTM 2.01b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.57b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 23.47% (prev 20.79%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.00 (Enterprise Value 1.92b / Total Assets 1.93b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.31% (Interest Expense 4.40m / Debt 335.9m)
Taxrate = 28.49% (4.90m / 17.2m)
NOPAT = 31.5m (EBIT 44.0m * (1 - 28.49%))
Current Ratio = 1.16 (Total Current Assets 860.3m / Total Current Liabilities 738.6m)
Debt / Equity = 0.36 (Debt 335.9m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 943.6m)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.93 (Net Debt 269.2m / EBITDA 139.7m)
Debt / FCF = 3.88 (Net Debt 269.2m / FCF TTM 69.3m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 857.5m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.07% (Net Income 37.9m / Total Assets 1.93b)
RoE = 4.42% (Net Income TTM 37.9m / Total Stockholder Equity 857.5m)
RoCE = 4.79% (EBIT 44.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 857.5m + L.T.Debt 61.4m))
RoIC = 3.23% (NOPAT 31.5m / Invested Capital 974.7m)
WACC = 5.78% (E(1.65b)/V(1.99b) * Re(6.77%) + D(335.9m)/V(1.99b) * Rd(1.31%) * (1-Tc(0.28)))
Discount Rate = 6.77% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 7.95%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 6.52%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 81.60% ; FCFF base≈56.8m ; Y1≈39.1m ; Y5≈19.6m
Fair Price DCF = 2.29 (EV 619.0m - Net Debt 269.2m = Equity 349.8m / Shares 152.6m; r=5.90% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -36.48% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -45.09 | EPS CAGR: -10.25% | SUE: 0.39 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 20.17 | Revenue CAGR: 2.85% | SUE: 0.17 | # QB: 0
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.90 | Chg30d=+0.062 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+64.9% | Growth Revenue=+15.8%