(DHL) Deutsche Post - Ratings and Ratios
Express, Logistics, Mail, Freight, Parcel Delivery
DHL EPS (Earnings per Share)
DHL Revenue
Description: DHL Deutsche Post
Deutsche Post AG is a global logistics company operating through five key segments: Express, Global Forwarding, Freight, Supply Chain, eCommerce, and Post & Parcel Germany, offering a range of services including time-definite courier, freight forwarding, customized logistics, and parcel delivery. The companys diverse portfolio enables it to cater to various customer needs across different regions, including Germany, Europe, the Americas, Asia Pacific, the Middle East, and Africa.
From a strategic perspective, Deutsche Post AGs business model is diversified across different segments, reducing dependence on a single revenue stream. The Express segment, for instance, provides a stable source of income, while the Global Forwarding, Freight segment offers growth opportunities through its multimodal and sector-specific solutions. The Supply Chain segments customized logistics services and the eCommerce segments parcel delivery services are also key drivers of revenue.
To evaluate Deutsche Post AGs performance, key performance indicators (KPIs) such as Revenue Growth, Operating Margin, and Return on Equity (RoE) are essential. With a RoE of 14.71%, the company demonstrates a strong ability to generate profits from shareholder equity. Additionally, the companys Market Capitalization of 45.3 billion EUR and a Forward P/E ratio of 12.97 indicate a relatively stable and attractive investment opportunity. Other relevant KPIs include the companys Debt-to-Equity ratio, Interest Coverage ratio, and Cash Conversion Cycle, which can provide further insights into its financial health and operational efficiency.
Deutsche Post AGs competitive position in the air freight and logistics industry is also noteworthy. As a leading player in the market, the company benefits from its extensive network, brand recognition, and economies of scale. To maintain its competitive edge, the company must continue to invest in digitalization, optimize its operations, and expand its services to meet evolving customer demands.
DHL Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 55,121m |
| Sub-Industry | Air Freight & Logistics |
| IPO / Inception |
DHL Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | 29.8% |
| Fundamental | 63.9% |
| Dividend Rating | 73.0% |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -0.80% |
| Analyst Rating | - |
DHL Dividends
| Dividend Yield 12m | 4.75% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 5.94% |
| Annual Growth 5y | 70.08% |
| Payout Consistency | 90.0% |
| Payout Ratio | 62.7% |
DHL Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | 21.3% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | 55.7% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | 5.6% |
| CAGR 5y | 5.76% |
| CAGR/Max DD 5y | 0.12 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | 0.41 |
| Alpha | 3.11 |
| Beta | 0.534 |
| Volatility | 23.98% |
| Current Volume | 787.2k |
| Average Volume 20d | 1549k |
| Stop Loss | 40.1 (-3.1%) |
| Signal | -1.31 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.5
| Net Income (3.45b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 5.04b TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.09 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 1.32pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -1.34% (prev -2.60%; Δ 1.26pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.16 (>3.0%) and CFO 10.84b > Net Income 3.45b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (20.30b) to EBITDA (8.27b) ratio: 2.45 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.95 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (1.13b) change vs 12m ago -4.01% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 25.57% (prev 10.02%; Δ 15.55pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 124.4% (prev 120.8%; Δ 3.58pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 4.68 (EBITDA TTM 8.27b / Interest Expense TTM 994.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 1.76
| (A) -0.02 = (Total Current Assets 19.65b - Total Current Liabilities 20.78b) / Total Assets 67.38b |
| (B) 0.29 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 19.51b / Total Assets 67.38b |
| (C) 0.07 = EBIT TTM 4.65b / Avg Total Assets 67.48b |
| (D) 0.44 = Book Value of Equity 20.64b / Total Liabilities 46.74b |
| Total Rating: 1.76 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 63.87
| 1. Piotroski 6.50pt = 1.50 |
| 2. FCF Yield 9.30% = 4.65 |
| 3. FCF Margin 7.12% = 1.78 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.97 = 2.05 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 2.43 = -0.84 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC 7.72% = 9.65 |
| 7. RoE 15.25% = 1.27 |
| 8. Rev. Trend -45.20% = -2.26 |
| 9. Rev. CAGR -6.77% = -1.13 |
| 10. EPS Trend -54.35% = -1.36 |
| 11. EPS CAGR -11.58% = -1.45 |
What is the price of DHL shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.72%, over one month by +6.46%, over three months by +6.02% and over the past year by +14.71%.
Is Deutsche Post a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of DHL is around 41.71 EUR . This means that DHL is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of 0.77%.
Is DHL a buy, sell or hold?
What are the forecasts/targets for the DHL price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 43.6 | 5.3% |
| Analysts Target Price | - | - |
| ValueRay Target Price | 45.3 | 9.5% |
DHL Fundamental Data Overview
Market Cap EUR = 47.31b (47.31b EUR * 1.0 EUR.EUR)
CCE Cash And Equivalents = 3.15b EUR (last quarter)
P/E Trailing = 14.1661
P/E Forward = 13.8122
P/S = 0.5597
P/B = 2.2866
P/EG = 1.7998
Beta = 1.036
Revenue TTM = 83.93b EUR
EBIT TTM = 4.65b EUR
EBITDA TTM = 8.27b EUR
Long Term Debt = 20.12b EUR (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = unknown (0.0)
Debt = 20.12b EUR (Calculated: Short Term 0.0 + Long Term 20.12b)
Net Debt = 20.30b EUR (from netDebt column, last fiscal year)
Enterprise Value = 64.28b EUR (47.31b + Debt 20.12b - CCE 3.15b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.68 (Ebit TTM 4.65b / Interest Expense TTM 994.0m)
FCF Yield = 9.30% (FCF TTM 5.98b / Enterprise Value 64.28b)
FCF Margin = 7.12% (FCF TTM 5.98b / Revenue TTM 83.93b)
Net Margin = 4.11% (Net Income TTM 3.45b / Revenue TTM 83.93b)
Gross Margin = 25.57% ((Revenue TTM 83.93b - Cost of Revenue TTM 62.47b) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.11 (Enterprise Value 64.28b / Book Value Of Equity 20.64b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.34% (Interest Expense 68.0m / Debt 20.12b)
Taxrate = 29.51% (from yearly Income Tax Expense: 1.49b / 5.06b)
NOPAT = 3.28b (EBIT 4.65b * (1 - 29.51%))
Current Ratio = 0.95 (Total Current Assets 19.65b / Total Current Liabilities 20.78b)
Debt / Equity = 0.97 (Debt 20.12b / last Quarter total Stockholder Equity 20.64b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.43 (Net Debt 20.30b / EBITDA 8.27b)
Debt / FCF = 3.37 (Debt 20.12b / FCF TTM 5.98b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 22.61b (last 4 quarters mean)
RoA = 5.12% (Net Income 3.45b, Total Assets 67.38b )
RoE = 15.25% (Net Income TTM 3.45b / Total Stockholder Equity 22.61b)
RoCE = 10.89% (Ebit 4.65b / (Equity 22.61b + L.T.Debt 20.12b))
RoIC = 13.39% (NOPAT 3.28b / Invested Capital 24.49b)
WACC = 5.67% (E(47.31b)/V(67.43b) * Re(7.98%)) + (D(20.12b)/V(67.43b) * Rd(0.34%) * (1-Tc(0.30)))
Shares Correlation 5-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -2.10%
Discount Rate = 7.98% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + ERP 8.05%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 77.81% ; FCFE base≈5.63b ; Y1≈5.45b ; Y5≈5.42b
Fair Price DCF = 85.25 (DCF Value 96.51b / Shares Outstanding 1.13b; 5y FCF grow -4.36% → 3.0% )
Revenue Correlation: -45.20 | Revenue CAGR: -6.77%
Revenue Growth Correlation: 67.11%
EPS Correlation: -54.35 | EPS CAGR: -11.58%
Growth-of-Growth: 31.16