(DHL) Deutsche Post - Overview
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Integrated Freight & Logistics | Exchange: XETRA (Germany) | Market Cap: 52.381m EUR | Total Return: 34.5% in 12m
Parcel Delivery, Freight Forwarding, Logistics, Mail, Warehousing
Total Rating 46
Safety 79
Buy Signal 0.20
Integrated Freight & Logistics
Industry Rotation: +1.3
Industry Rotation: +1.3
Market Cap:
60.9B
Avg Turnover: 81.6M
Avg Turnover: 81.6M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility23.9%
VaR 5th Pctl3.97%
VaR vs Median1.07%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio1.01
Rel. Str. IBD68.1
Rel. Str. Peer Group59.1
Character TTM
Beta0.487
Beta Downside0.385
Hurst Exponent0.469
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD27.04%
CAGR/Max DD0.35
CAGR/Mean DD0.90
EPS (Earnings per Share)
EPS CAGR: -2.87%
EPS Trend: -30.4%
EPS Trend: -30.4%
Last SUE: 0.00
Qual. Beats: 0
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue
Rev. CAGR: -0.72%
Rev. Trend: -27.2%
Rev. Trend: -27.2%
Last SUE: -0.70
Qual. Beats: 0
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
No concerns identified
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Description: DHL Deutsche Post
Deutsche Post AG, operating under the DHL brand, is a global logistics provider headquartered in Bonn, Germany. The company maintains a diversified business model organized into five core segments: Express, Global Forwarding/Freight, Supply Chain, eCommerce, and Post & Parcel Germany. Its operations span the entire logistics value chain, from domestic mail delivery in Germany to international time-definite courier services and complex supply chain management.
The Air Freight & Logistics sector is highly sensitive to global trade volumes and industrial production cycles. As a Big Four global integrator, DHL utilizes a hub-and-spoke network to optimize cross-border commerce and multi-modal transport. Investors looking for deeper fundamental insights may find further analysis on ValueRay helpful. The company’s Supply Chain division specifically focuses on high-margin contract logistics, providing warehousing and value-added services tailored to specific industries like healthcare and technology.
- Global trade volume fluctuations impact air and ocean freight forwarding margins
- B2C e-commerce growth drives parcel volume across European and North American markets
- High labor costs and union negotiations pressure Post & Parcel Germany profitability
- Fuel price volatility and jet kerosene costs influence Express segment operating margins
- Decarbonization capital expenditures for electric fleets impact long-term free cash flow targets
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict)
2.5
| Net Income: 3.53b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.08 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.35 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 2.51% < 20% (prev 1.66%; Δ 0.85% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.12 > 3% & CFO 8.97b > Net Income 3.53b |
| Net Debt (36.05b) to EBITDA (9.79b): 3.68 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.10 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (1.13b) vs 12m ago -4.04% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 11.03% > 18% (prev 0.10%; Δ 1.09k% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 112.9% > 50% (prev 118.3%; Δ -5.37% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 4.60 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 9.79b / Interest Expense TTM 1.34b) |
Altman Z''
2.06
| A: 0.03 (Total Current Assets 23.76b - Total Current Liabilities 21.69b) / Total Assets 74.41b |
| B: 0.28 (Retained Earnings 20.57b / Total Assets 74.41b) |
| C: 0.08 (EBIT TTM 6.14b / Avg Total Assets 73.02b) |
| D: 0.39 (Book Value of Equity 19.67b / Total Liabilities 50.56b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 2.06 = BBB |
Beneish M
-3.11
| DSRI: 1.05 (Receivables 11.81b/11.59b, Revenue 82.47b/84.74b) |
| GMI: 0.94 (GM 11.03% / 10.40%) |
| AQI: 1.04 (AQ_t 0.26 / AQ_t-1 0.25) |
| SGI: 0.97 (Revenue 82.47b / 84.74b) |
| TATA: -0.07 (NI 3.53b - CFO 8.97b) / TA 74.41b) |
| Beneish M = -3.11 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
What is the price of DHL shares?
As of May 23, 2026, the stock is trading at EUR 47.91 with a total of 1,370,476 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +6.58%, over one month by +6.68%, over three months by +5.08% and over the past year by +34.48%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +6.58%, over one month by +6.68%, over three months by +5.08% and over the past year by +34.48%.
Is DHL a buy, sell or hold?
Deutsche Post has no consensus analysts rating.
What are the forecasts/targets for the DHL price?
| Analysts Target Price | - | - |
Deutsche Post (DHL) - Fundamental Data Overview
as of 19 May 2026
Market Cap USD = 60.89b (52.38b EUR * 1.1625 EUR.USD)P/E Trailing = 15.1456
P/E Forward = 14.7275
P/S = 0.6308
P/B = 2.2409
P/EG = 2.6738
Revenue TTM = 82.47b EUR
EBIT TTM = 6.14b EUR
EBITDA TTM = 9.79b EUR
Long Term Debt = 9.05b EUR (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 5.48b EUR (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 43.84b EUR (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 14.79b
Net Debt = 36.05b EUR (calculated: Debt 43.84b - CCE 7.79b)
Enterprise Value = 88.43b EUR (52.38b + Debt 43.84b - CCE 7.79b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.60 (Ebit TTM 6.14b / Interest Expense TTM 1.34b)
EV/FCF = 14.28x (Enterprise Value 88.43b / FCF TTM 6.19b)
FCF Yield = 7.00% (FCF TTM 6.19b / Enterprise Value 88.43b)
FCF Margin = 7.51% (FCF TTM 6.19b / Revenue TTM 82.47b)
Net Margin = 4.28% (Net Income TTM 3.53b / Revenue TTM 82.47b)
Gross Margin = 11.03% ((Revenue TTM 82.47b - Cost of Revenue TTM 73.37b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 10.96% (prev 12.09%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.19 (Enterprise Value 88.43b / Total Assets 74.41b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.82% (Interest Expense 361.0m / Debt 43.84b)
Taxrate = 30.96% (387.0m / 1.25b)
NOPAT = 4.24b (EBIT 6.14b * (1 - 30.96%))
Current Ratio = 1.10 (Total Current Assets 23.76b / Total Current Liabilities 21.69b)
Debt / Equity = 1.87 (Debt 43.84b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 23.40b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.68 (Net Debt 36.05b / EBITDA 9.79b)
Debt / FCF = 5.82 (Net Debt 36.05b / FCF TTM 6.19b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 21.95b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.83% (Net Income 3.53b / Total Assets 74.41b)
RoE = 16.07% (Net Income TTM 3.53b / Total Stockholder Equity 21.95b)
RoCE = 19.82% (EBIT 6.14b / Capital Employed (Equity 21.95b + L.T.Debt 9.05b))
RoIC = 8.41% (NOPAT 4.24b / Invested Capital 50.41b)
WACC = 4.45% (E(52.38b)/V(96.23b) * Re(7.70%) + D(43.84b)/V(96.23b) * Rd(0.82%) * (1-Tc(0.31)))
Discount Rate = 7.70% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 7.92%
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -77.78 | Cagr: -2.97%
[DCF] Terminal Value 86.38% ; FCFF base≈6.00b ; Y1≈6.02b ; Y5≈6.44b
[DCF] Fair Price = 138.6 (EV 191.15b - Net Debt 36.05b = Equity 155.10b / Shares 1.12b; r=6.0% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -0.15% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -30.35 | EPS CAGR: -2.87% | SUE: 0.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -27.17 | Revenue CAGR: -0.72% | SUE: -0.70 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.77 | Chg30d=-0.44% | Revisions=N/A | Analysts=3
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.72 | Chg30d=-7.10% | Revisions=N/A | Analysts=2
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=3.28 | Chg30d=+0.57% | Revisions=+27% | GrowthEPS=+7.8% | GrowthRev=+2.3%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=3.64 | Chg30d=+1.29% | Revisions=+33% | GrowthEPS=+10.9% | GrowthRev=+3.5%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +33%