DHL Stock Analysis: Deutsche Post | XETRA
Integrated Freight & Logistics | XETRA, Germany | Market Cap: 61.583m EUR | 12M Return: 40.9% | DE0005552004 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 89.6M
EPS Trend: 27.5%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 40.3%
Qual. Beats: 1
Warnings
Tailwinds
Seasonality 11.6 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Deutsche Post AG, headquartered in Bonn and incorporated in 1995, is a German-based mail and logistics group operating across Europe, the Americas, Asia Pacific, the Middle East, and Africa. Its business is organized into five segments: Express (time-definite courier services), Global Forwarding & Freight (air, ocean, and overland freight forwarding), Supply Chain (warehousing, transport, and value-added logistics solutions), eCommerce (parcel delivery and cross-border services), and Post & Parcel Germany (domestic mail, parcels, and related services such as registered mail and redirection).
The group operates within the GICS Air Freight & Logistics sub-industry, spanning competitive express parcel and contract logistics markets alongside its legacy postal business. In Germany, the Post & Parcel segment operates under a regulated universal service obligation, while its international logistics operations are exposed to global trade volumes and the structural growth of cross-border e-commerce shipping.
- Global trade weakness pressures Express and Forwarding freight volumes
- Post & Parcel Germany margins squeezed by Amazon and Hermes competition
- Supply Chain revenue stabilizes as contract renewals offset industrial slowdown
| Net Income: 3.72b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.08 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.40 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 0.74% < 20% (prev -1.34%; Δ 2.08% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.12 > 3% & CFO 9.06b > Net Income 3.72b |
| Net Debt (38.5b) to EBITDA (11.9b): 3.23 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.03 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (1.12b) vs 12m ago -0.86% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 11.47% > 18% (prev 10.42%; Δ 1.05% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 121.1% > 50% (prev 124.6%; Δ -3.48% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 4.94 > 6 (EBIT TTM 6.96b / Interest Expense TTM 1.41b) |
| A: 0.01 (Total Current Assets 21.9b - Total Current Liabilities 21.2b) / Total Assets 73.0b |
| B: 0.27 (Retained Earnings 19.4b / Total Assets 73.0b) |
| C: 0.10 (EBIT TTM 6.96b / Avg Total Assets 70.2b) |
| D: 0.44 (Book Value of Equity 22.3b / Total Liabilities 50.2b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 2.06 = BBB |
| DSRI: 1.22 (Receivables 13.1b/10.6b, Revenue 85.0b/83.9b) |
| GMI: 0.91 (GM 10.42% / 11.47%) |
| AQI: 1.03 (AQ_t 0.27 / AQ_t-1 0.26) |
| SGI: 1.01 (Revenue 85.0b / 83.9b) |
| TATA: -0.07 (NI 3.72b - CFO 9.06b) / TA 73.0b) |
| Beneish M = -2.91 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of August 17, 2026, the stock is trading at EUR 55.26 with a total of 1,753,581 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.11%, over one month by -3.02%, over three months by +16.93% and over the past year by +40.90%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 53.90 (which is 2.5% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).
Deutsche Post has no consensus analysts rating.
P/E Trailing = 16.9146
P/E Forward = 16.0514
P/S = 0.7256
P/B = 2.7525
P/EG = 2.7366
Revenue TTM = 85.0b EUR
EBIT TTM = 6.96b EUR
EBITDA TTM = 11.9b EUR
Long Term Debt = 9.05b EUR (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 4.35b EUR (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 42.8b EUR (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 14.8b
Net Debt = 38.5b EUR (calculated: Debt 42.8b - CCE 4.29b)
Enterprise Value = 100b EUR (61.6b + Debt 42.8b - CCE 4.29b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.94 (Ebit TTM 6.96b / Interest Expense TTM 1.41b)
EV/FCF = 16.18x (Enterprise Value 100b / FCF TTM 6.18b)
FCF Yield = 6.18% (FCF TTM 6.18b / Enterprise Value 100b)
FCF Margin = 7.28% (FCF TTM 6.18b / Revenue TTM 85.0b)
Net Margin = 4.38% (Net Income TTM 3.72b / Revenue TTM 85.0b)
Gross Margin = 11.47% ((Revenue TTM 85.0b - Cost of Revenue TTM 75.3b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 11.82% (prev 10.96%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.37 (Enterprise Value 100b / Total Assets 73.0b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.30% (Interest Expense 1.41b / Debt 42.8b)
Taxrate = 29.89% (1.70b / 5.67b)
NOPAT = 4.88b (EBIT 6.96b * (1 - 29.89%))
Current Ratio = 1.03 (Total Current Assets 21.9b / Total Current Liabilities 21.2b)
Debt / Equity = 1.92 (Debt 42.8b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 22.3b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.23 (Net Debt 38.5b / EBITDA 11.9b)
Debt / FCF = 6.22 (Net Debt 38.5b / FCF TTM 6.18b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 22.4b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.30% (Net Income 3.72b / Total Assets 73.0b)
RoE = 16.64% (Net Income TTM 3.72b / Total Stockholder Equity 22.4b)
RoCE = 22.18% (EBIT 6.96b / Capital Employed (Equity 22.4b + L.T.Debt 9.05b))
RoIC = 9.41% (NOPAT 4.88b / Invested Capital 51.9b)
WACC = 5.23% (E(61.6b)/V(104b) * Re(7.26%) + D(42.8b)/V(104b) * Rd(3.30%) * (1-Tc(0.30)))
Discount Rate = 7.26% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -84.24 | Cagr: -2.79%
[DCF] Terminal Value 75.89% ; FCFF base≈6.10b ; Y1≈6.30b ; Y5≈7.06b
[DCF] Fair Price = 63.75 (EV 109b - Net Debt 38.5b = Equity 70.8b / Shares 1.11b; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 3.45% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 27.48 | EPS CAGR: 2.12% | SUE: 0.25 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 40.33 | Revenue CAGR: 0.69% | SUE: 2.28 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.82 | Chg30d=+5.06% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=3
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=3.46 | Chg30d=+1.51% | Revisions=+73% | GrowthEPS=+13.7% | GrowthRev=+4.9%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=3.77 | Chg30d=+1.06% | Revisions=+73% | GrowthEPS=+9.2% | GrowthRev=+3.1%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +84% (up=16, down=0)