(DHL) Deutsche Post - Ratings and Ratios
Express,Freight,Supply,Parcel,Mail
DHL EPS (Earnings per Share)
DHL Revenue
Description: DHL Deutsche Post September 29, 2025
Deutsche Post AG (XETRA:DHL) is a global mail and logistics provider operating across Europe, the Americas, Asia-Pacific, the Middle East and Africa. Its business is organized into five segments: Express (time-definite courier services), Global Forwarding & Freight (air, ocean and overland freight forwarding with multimodal solutions), Supply Chain (customized warehousing, transport and value-added logistics), eCommerce (parcel delivery and cross-border non-time-definite services) and Post & Parcel Germany (domestic document and parcel handling with ancillary services such as registered mail and storage).
In FY 2023 the company generated €81.8 billion in revenue, with the Express segment contributing roughly 38 % of total sales and posting a 7.2 % EBIT margin, while the Supply Chain segment grew 5.4 % YoY, driven by rising demand for contract logistics in the automotive and life-science sectors. DHL’s eCommerce parcel volume increased 12 % year-over-year, reflecting the continued acceleration of cross-border online shopping, and its network now spans more than 220 aircraft and 2,500 ground vehicles, supporting a capacity utilization rate that averages 84 % across its core hubs.
Key macro-drivers for DHL include global trade volumes (which have rebounded to 94 % of pre-pandemic levels), e-commerce penetration (projected to exceed 25 % of total retail sales in major markets by 2026), and fuel price volatility, which directly impacts the cost structure of the Express and Freight segments. Additionally, regulatory trends toward greener logistics-such as the EU’s Fit for 55 package-push the firm to invest in electric delivery fleets and carbon-neutral shipping solutions, potentially affecting capex requirements and operating margins.
For a deeper quantitative dive into DHLs valuation sensitivities, the ValueRay platform offers a transparent model worth reviewing.
DHL Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 51,929m |
| Sub-Industry | Air Freight & Logistics |
| IPO / Inception |
DHL Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | 36.0% |
| Fundamental | 69.1% |
| Dividend Rating | 74.4% |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -7.86% |
| Analyst Rating | - |
DHL Dividends
| Dividend Yield 12m | 4.65% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 5.55% |
| Annual Growth 5y | 94.23% |
| Payout Consistency | 92.0% |
| Payout Ratio | 79.7% |
DHL Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | -24% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | 68.8% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | -1.5% |
| CAGR 5y | 6.14% |
| CAGR/Max DD 3y (Calmar Ratio) | 0.23 |
| CAGR/Mean DD 3y (Pain Ratio) | 0.60 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | 0.76 |
| Alpha | -7.60 |
| Beta | 1.013 |
| Volatility | 22.99% |
| Current Volume | 920.3k |
| Average Volume 20d | 1332.3k |
| Stop Loss | 38.5 (-3.1%) |
| Signal | 0.02 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.0
| Net Income (3.45b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 5.04b TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.09 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 1.32pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -1.34% (prev -2.60%; Δ 1.26pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.13 (>3.0%) and CFO 8.84b > Net Income 3.45b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (-3.15b) to EBITDA (11.01b) ratio: -0.29 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.95 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (1.13b) change vs 12m ago -4.02% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 15.82% (prev 10.02%; Δ 5.80pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 124.4% (prev 120.8%; Δ 3.58pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 4.98 (EBITDA TTM 11.01b / Interest Expense TTM 1.25b) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 1.77
| (A) -0.02 = (Total Current Assets 19.65b - Total Current Liabilities 20.78b) / Total Assets 67.38b |
| (B) 0.27 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 18.14b / Total Assets 67.38b |
| (C) 0.09 = EBIT TTM 6.20b / Avg Total Assets 67.48b |
| (D) 0.37 = Book Value of Equity 17.09b / Total Liabilities 46.30b |
| Total Rating: 1.77 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 69.08
| 1. Piotroski 6.0pt = 1.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield 8.82% = 4.41 |
| 3. FCF Margin 7.12% = 1.78 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.25 = 1.76 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -0.29 = 2.50 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 11.21)% = 12.50 |
| 7. RoE 15.25% = 1.27 |
| 8. Rev. Trend -45.19% = -3.39 |
| 9. EPS Trend -55.11% = -2.76 |
What is the price of DHL shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.08%, over one month by +2.19%, over three months by +1.51% and over the past year by +11.85%.
Is Deutsche Post a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of DHL is around 40.14 EUR . This means that DHL is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of 0.98%.
Is DHL a buy, sell or hold?
What are the forecasts/targets for the DHL price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 42.7 | 7.4% |
| Analysts Target Price | - | - |
| ValueRay Target Price | 44 | 10.6% |
DHL Fundamental Data Overview January 01, 1970
Market Cap EUR = 45.06b (45.06b EUR * 1.0 EUR.EUR)
P/E Trailing = 13.4915
P/E Forward = 11.7233
P/S = 0.5331
P/B = 2.1336
P/EG = 1.5276
Beta = 1.013
Revenue TTM = 83.93b EUR
EBIT TTM = 6.20b EUR
EBITDA TTM = 11.01b EUR
Long Term Debt = 20.12b EUR (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 5.76b EUR (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 25.88b EUR (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -3.15b EUR (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 67.79b EUR (45.06b + Debt 25.88b - CCE 3.15b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.98 (Ebit TTM 6.20b / Interest Expense TTM 1.25b)
FCF Yield = 8.82% (FCF TTM 5.98b / Enterprise Value 67.79b)
FCF Margin = 7.12% (FCF TTM 5.98b / Revenue TTM 83.93b)
Net Margin = 4.11% (Net Income TTM 3.45b / Revenue TTM 83.93b)
Gross Margin = 15.82% ((Revenue TTM 83.93b - Cost of Revenue TTM 70.65b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 10.04% (prev 10.22%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.01 (Enterprise Value 67.79b / Total Assets 67.38b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.23% (Interest Expense 319.0m / Debt 25.88b)
Taxrate = 29.99% (368.0m / 1.23b)
NOPAT = 4.34b (EBIT 6.20b * (1 - 29.99%))
Current Ratio = 0.95 (Total Current Assets 19.65b / Total Current Liabilities 20.78b)
Debt / Equity = 1.25 (Debt 25.88b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 20.64b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.29 (Net Debt -3.15b / EBITDA 11.01b)
Debt / FCF = -0.53 (Net Debt -3.15b / FCF TTM 5.98b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 22.61b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.12% (Net Income 3.45b / Total Assets 67.38b)
RoE = 15.25% (Net Income TTM 3.45b / Total Stockholder Equity 22.61b)
RoCE = 14.50% (EBIT 6.20b / Capital Employed (Equity 22.61b + L.T.Debt 20.12b))
RoIC = 17.72% (NOPAT 4.34b / Invested Capital 24.49b)
WACC = 6.51% (E(45.06b)/V(70.94b) * Re(9.75%) + D(25.88b)/V(70.94b) * Rd(1.23%) * (1-Tc(0.30)))
Discount Rate = 9.75% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -3.07%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 71.72% ; FCFE base≈5.63b ; Y1≈5.45b ; Y5≈5.42b
Fair Price DCF = 64.00 (DCF Value 72.46b / Shares Outstanding 1.13b; 5y FCF grow -4.36% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -55.11 | EPS CAGR: -11.58% | SUE: 1.67 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: -45.19 | Revenue CAGR: -6.77% | SUE: -1.95 | # QB: 0