(DHL) Deutsche Post - Overview
Stock: Express Delivery, Freight Services, Warehousing, Parcel Delivery, Mail
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 29.9% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -4.49% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.44 |
| Alpha | -1.74 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.512 |
| Beta Downside | 0.419 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 27.04% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.23 |
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Description: DHL Deutsche Post March 04, 2026
Deutsche Post AG (DHL) is a German mail and logistics company with global operations across Europe, the Americas, Asia Pacific, the Middle East, and Africa. The companys business model is diversified across five key segments.
The Express segment focuses on time-definite delivery services, a critical component of modern e-commerce fulfillment. Global Forwarding, Freight handles air, ocean, and overland freight, serving as a core function for international trade. Supply Chain provides customized logistics and warehousing solutions, essential for optimizing complex global supply chains. eCommerce specializes in parcel delivery and international cross-border services, addressing the growing demand for online retail shipping. Finally, Post & Parcel Germany manages domestic mail and parcel delivery, a foundational service in its home market.
Further research on platforms like ValueRay can provide deeper insights into DHLs operational metrics and market positioning.
Headlines to watch out for
- Global trade volumes impact freight forwarding demand
- E-commerce growth drives parcel delivery revenue
- Fuel price fluctuations affect transportation costs
- Labor costs influence express and parcel profitability
- Regulatory changes in postal services impact German segment
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.0
| Net Income: 3.50b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.08 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.41 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -0.56% < 20% (prev -1.22%; Δ 0.66% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.12 > 3% & CFO 8.76b > Net Income 3.50b |
| Net Debt (22.07b) to EBITDA (10.91b): 2.02 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.98 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (1.17b) vs 12m ago -0.92% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 10.84% > 18% (prev 0.10%; Δ 1.07k% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 115.0% > 50% (prev 120.5%; Δ -5.50% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 4.72 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 10.91b / Interest Expense TTM 1.28b) |
Altman Z'' 1.77
| A: -0.01 (Total Current Assets 20.95b - Total Current Liabilities 21.41b) / Total Assets 74.25b |
| B: 0.27 (Retained Earnings 19.77b / Total Assets 74.25b) |
| C: 0.08 (EBIT TTM 6.04b / Avg Total Assets 72.06b) |
| D: 0.36 (Book Value of Equity 18.57b / Total Liabilities 51.62b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 1.77 = BBB |
Beneish M -2.99
| DSRI: 1.10 (Receivables 13.15b/12.12b, Revenue 82.86b/84.19b) |
| GMI: 0.95 (GM 10.84% / 10.25%) |
| AQI: 1.15 (AQ_t 0.30 / AQ_t-1 0.26) |
| SGI: 0.98 (Revenue 82.86b / 84.19b) |
| TATA: -0.07 (NI 3.50b - CFO 8.76b) / TA 74.25b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.99 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
What is the price of DHL shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -4.38%, over one month by -12.00%, over three months by -5.89% and over the past year by +7.74%.
Is DHL a buy, sell or hold?
What are the forecasts/targets for the DHL price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 47.8 | 8.9% |
| Analysts Target Price | - | - |
DHL Fundamental Data Overview March 17, 2026
P/E Trailing = 14.6971
P/E Forward = 13.8696
P/S = 0.6237
P/B = 2.3681
P/EG = 1.7177
Revenue TTM = 82.86b EUR
EBIT TTM = 6.04b EUR
EBITDA TTM = 10.91b EUR
Long Term Debt = 20.32b EUR (from longTermDebt, two quarters ago)
Short Term Debt = 4.07b EUR (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 25.45b EUR (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 22.07b EUR (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 72.40b EUR (52.03b + Debt 25.45b - CCE 5.08b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.72 (Ebit TTM 6.04b / Interest Expense TTM 1.28b)
EV/FCF = 12.14x (Enterprise Value 72.40b / FCF TTM 5.96b)
FCF Yield = 8.23% (FCF TTM 5.96b / Enterprise Value 72.40b)
FCF Margin = 7.20% (FCF TTM 5.96b / Revenue TTM 82.86b)
Net Margin = 4.23% (Net Income TTM 3.50b / Revenue TTM 82.86b)
Gross Margin = 10.84% ((Revenue TTM 82.86b - Cost of Revenue TTM 73.87b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 12.09% (prev 10.92%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.98 (Enterprise Value 72.40b / Total Assets 74.25b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.37% (Interest Expense 348.0m / Debt 25.45b)
Taxrate = 27.86% (436.0m / 1.56b)
NOPAT = 4.36b (EBIT 6.04b * (1 - 27.86%))
Current Ratio = 0.98 (Total Current Assets 20.95b / Total Current Liabilities 21.41b)
Debt / Equity = 1.15 (Debt 25.45b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 22.23b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.02 (Net Debt 22.07b / EBITDA 10.91b)
Debt / FCF = 3.70 (Net Debt 22.07b / FCF TTM 5.96b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 22.04b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.86% (Net Income 3.50b / Total Assets 74.25b)
RoE = 15.89% (Net Income TTM 3.50b / Total Stockholder Equity 22.04b)
RoCE = 14.26% (EBIT 6.04b / Capital Employed (Equity 22.04b + L.T.Debt 20.32b))
RoIC = 19.63% (NOPAT 4.36b / Invested Capital 22.20b)
WACC = 5.56% (E(52.03b)/V(77.48b) * Re(7.80%) + D(25.45b)/V(77.48b) * Rd(1.37%) * (1-Tc(0.28)))
Discount Rate = 7.80% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 7.95%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -1.44%
[DCF] Terminal Value 86.37% ; FCFF base≈5.71b ; Y1≈5.73b ; Y5≈6.11b
[DCF] Fair Price = 141.3 (EV 182.09b - Net Debt 22.07b = Equity 160.02b / Shares 1.13b; r=5.90% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -0.15% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -55.54 | EPS CAGR: -4.75% | SUE: -1.19 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -50.42 | Revenue CAGR: -0.60% | SUE: -1.04 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.75 | Chg7d=+0.004 | Chg30d=+0.004 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=2
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=3.24 | Chg7d=-0.065 | Chg30d=-0.067 | Revisions Net=-8 | Growth EPS=+6.7% | Growth Revenue=+2.0%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=3.62 | Chg7d=-0.065 | Chg30d=-0.067 | Revisions Net=-7 | Growth EPS=+11.5% | Growth Revenue=+4.5%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -1.00 (0 Up / 1 Down within 30d for Next Quarter)
[Growth] Implied Growth Rate = 1.1% (Discount Rate 7.9% - Earnings Yield 6.8%)
[Growth] Growth Spread = +1.1% (Analyst 2.3% - Implied 1.1%)