(DHL) Deutsche Post - Overview
Exchange: XETRA •
Country: Germany •
Currency: EUR •
Type: Common Stock •
ISIN: DE0005552004
Stock: Express, Freight, Supply, Parcel, Mail
Total Rating 51
Risk 85
Buy Signal 0.03
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 5.01% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 5.43% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 8.20% |
| Payout Consistency | 97.2% |
| Payout Ratio | 86.5% |
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 23.0% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -6.53% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.36 |
| Alpha | 43.96 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.176 |
| Beta Downside | 0.239 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 27.04% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.45 |
Description: DHL Deutsche Post January 29, 2026
Deutsche Post AG (XETRA:DHL) is a global mail and logistics provider operating across Europe, the Americas, Asia-Pacific, the Middle East and Africa. Its operations are organized into five segments: Express (time-definite courier services), Global Forwarding & Freight (air, ocean and overland freight), Supply Chain (warehousing, transport and value-added logistics), eCommerce (cross-border parcel delivery) and Post & Parcel Germany (domestic mail and parcel services).
In FY 2025 the company reported €90.2 billion in revenue, a 3 % year-over-year increase, with an adjusted EBIT margin of 7.5 %. The Express segment generated €22 billion, up 4 % YoY, while eCommerce parcel volumes grew 9 % driven by continued online-shopping demand. Supply Chain revenue rose 5 % as reshoring and inventory-optimization trends lifted demand for modular logistics solutions. A key macro driver remains global freight volumes, projected to expand ~5 % in 2026 per UNCTAD forecasts, supporting growth in the Forwarding & Freight segment.
For a deeper quantitative dive, you might explore the ValueRay platform’s detailed driver-level forecasts.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.0
| Net Income: 3.54b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.10 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 2.62 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -1.95% < 20% (prev -2.26%; Δ 0.30% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.14 > 3% & CFO 9.39b > Net Income 3.54b |
| Net Debt (22.73b) to EBITDA (11.23b): 2.02 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.92 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (1.13b) vs 12m ago -5.16% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 16.18% > 18% (prev 0.10%; Δ 1608 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 123.1% > 50% (prev 123.9%; Δ -0.78% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 5.04 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 11.23b / Interest Expense TTM 1.26b) |
Altman Z'' 1.79
| A: -0.02 (Total Current Assets 19.61b - Total Current Liabilities 21.24b) / Total Assets 68.75b |
| B: 0.28 (Retained Earnings 19.15b / Total Assets 68.75b) |
| C: 0.09 (EBIT TTM 6.38b / Avg Total Assets 67.81b) |
| D: 0.38 (Book Value of Equity 18.01b / Total Liabilities 46.91b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 1.79 = BBB |
Beneish M -3.47
| DSRI: 0.98 (Receivables 11.45b/11.65b, Revenue 83.47b/82.83b) |
| GMI: 0.61 (GM 16.18% / 9.92%) |
| AQI: 1.02 (AQ_t 0.27 / AQ_t-1 0.27) |
| SGI: 1.01 (Revenue 83.47b / 82.83b) |
| TATA: -0.09 (NI 3.54b - CFO 9.39b) / TA 68.75b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.47 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
What is the price of DHL shares?
As of February 09, 2026, the stock is trading at EUR 49.70 with a total of 1,036,759 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.48%, over one month by +3.41%, over three months by +12.95% and over the past year by +48.09%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.48%, over one month by +3.41%, over three months by +12.95% and over the past year by +48.09%.
Is DHL a buy, sell or hold?
Deutsche Post has no consensus analysts rating.
What are the forecasts/targets for the DHL price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 45.2 | -9% |
| Analysts Target Price | - | - |
| ValueRay Target Price | 55 | 10.7% |
DHL Fundamental Data Overview February 03, 2026
Market Cap USD = 64.54b (54.57b EUR * 1.1827 EUR.USD)
P/E Trailing = 15.4137
P/E Forward = 14.3885
P/S = 0.6492
P/B = 2.4643
P/EG = 1.782
Revenue TTM = 83.47b EUR
EBIT TTM = 6.38b EUR
EBITDA TTM = 11.23b EUR
Long Term Debt = 20.32b EUR (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 5.96b EUR (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 26.28b EUR (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 22.73b EUR (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 77.30b EUR (54.57b + Debt 26.28b - CCE 3.55b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 5.04 (Ebit TTM 6.38b / Interest Expense TTM 1.26b)
EV/FCF = 11.81x (Enterprise Value 77.30b / FCF TTM 6.55b)
FCF Yield = 8.47% (FCF TTM 6.55b / Enterprise Value 77.30b)
FCF Margin = 7.84% (FCF TTM 6.55b / Revenue TTM 83.47b)
Net Margin = 4.24% (Net Income TTM 3.54b / Revenue TTM 83.47b)
Gross Margin = 16.18% ((Revenue TTM 83.47b - Cost of Revenue TTM 69.96b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 10.92% (prev 10.04%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.12 (Enterprise Value 77.30b / Total Assets 68.75b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.18% (Interest Expense 309.0m / Debt 26.28b)
Taxrate = 29.94% (380.0m / 1.27b)
NOPAT = 4.47b (EBIT 6.38b * (1 - 29.94%))
Current Ratio = 0.92 (Total Current Assets 19.61b / Total Current Liabilities 21.24b)
Debt / Equity = 1.22 (Debt 26.28b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 21.54b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.02 (Net Debt 22.73b / EBITDA 11.23b)
Debt / FCF = 3.47 (Net Debt 22.73b / FCF TTM 6.55b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 22.43b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.22% (Net Income 3.54b / Total Assets 68.75b)
RoE = 15.77% (Net Income TTM 3.54b / Total Stockholder Equity 22.43b)
RoCE = 14.92% (EBIT 6.38b / Capital Employed (Equity 22.43b + L.T.Debt 20.32b))
RoIC = 17.71% (NOPAT 4.47b / Invested Capital 25.23b)
WACC = 4.70% (E(54.57b)/V(80.85b) * Re(6.56%) + D(26.28b)/V(80.85b) * Rd(1.18%) * (1-Tc(0.30)))
Discount Rate = 6.56% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 7.95%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -3.07%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 86.37% ; FCFF base≈5.77b ; Y1≈5.79b ; Y5≈6.18b
Fair Price DCF = 142.6 (EV 184.22b - Net Debt 22.73b = Equity 161.48b / Shares 1.13b; r=5.90% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -0.15% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -70.85 | EPS CAGR: -51.69% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -66.02 | Revenue CAGR: -3.91% | SUE: -0.13 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.69 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=3
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=3.31 | Chg30d=-0.033 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+8.3% | Growth Revenue=+2.1%
P/E Trailing = 15.4137
P/E Forward = 14.3885
P/S = 0.6492
P/B = 2.4643
P/EG = 1.782
Revenue TTM = 83.47b EUR
EBIT TTM = 6.38b EUR
EBITDA TTM = 11.23b EUR
Long Term Debt = 20.32b EUR (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 5.96b EUR (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 26.28b EUR (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 22.73b EUR (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 77.30b EUR (54.57b + Debt 26.28b - CCE 3.55b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 5.04 (Ebit TTM 6.38b / Interest Expense TTM 1.26b)
EV/FCF = 11.81x (Enterprise Value 77.30b / FCF TTM 6.55b)
FCF Yield = 8.47% (FCF TTM 6.55b / Enterprise Value 77.30b)
FCF Margin = 7.84% (FCF TTM 6.55b / Revenue TTM 83.47b)
Net Margin = 4.24% (Net Income TTM 3.54b / Revenue TTM 83.47b)
Gross Margin = 16.18% ((Revenue TTM 83.47b - Cost of Revenue TTM 69.96b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 10.92% (prev 10.04%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.12 (Enterprise Value 77.30b / Total Assets 68.75b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.18% (Interest Expense 309.0m / Debt 26.28b)
Taxrate = 29.94% (380.0m / 1.27b)
NOPAT = 4.47b (EBIT 6.38b * (1 - 29.94%))
Current Ratio = 0.92 (Total Current Assets 19.61b / Total Current Liabilities 21.24b)
Debt / Equity = 1.22 (Debt 26.28b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 21.54b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.02 (Net Debt 22.73b / EBITDA 11.23b)
Debt / FCF = 3.47 (Net Debt 22.73b / FCF TTM 6.55b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 22.43b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.22% (Net Income 3.54b / Total Assets 68.75b)
RoE = 15.77% (Net Income TTM 3.54b / Total Stockholder Equity 22.43b)
RoCE = 14.92% (EBIT 6.38b / Capital Employed (Equity 22.43b + L.T.Debt 20.32b))
RoIC = 17.71% (NOPAT 4.47b / Invested Capital 25.23b)
WACC = 4.70% (E(54.57b)/V(80.85b) * Re(6.56%) + D(26.28b)/V(80.85b) * Rd(1.18%) * (1-Tc(0.30)))
Discount Rate = 6.56% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 7.95%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -3.07%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 86.37% ; FCFF base≈5.77b ; Y1≈5.79b ; Y5≈6.18b
Fair Price DCF = 142.6 (EV 184.22b - Net Debt 22.73b = Equity 161.48b / Shares 1.13b; r=5.90% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -0.15% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -70.85 | EPS CAGR: -51.69% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -66.02 | Revenue CAGR: -3.91% | SUE: -0.13 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.69 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=3
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=3.31 | Chg30d=-0.033 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+8.3% | Growth Revenue=+2.1%