DTG Stock Analysis: Daimler Truck Holding | XETRA

Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery | XETRA, Germany | Market Cap: 31.435m EUR | 12M Return: 26.2% | DE000DTR0CK8 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Commercial Trucks, Passenger Buses, Industrial Engines, Vehicle Financing
Total Rating 58
Safety 81
Buy Signal -0.35
Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery
Industry Rotation: -7.6
Market Cap: 35.2B
Avg Turnover: 45.7M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility29.0%
VaR 5th Pctl4.55%
VaR vs Median-4.62%
Choppyness61.7%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.82
Rel. Str. IBD52.8
Rel. Str. Peer Group60.3
Character TTM
Beta0.463
Beta Downside0.080
Hurst Exponent0.409
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD34.57%
CAGR/Max DD0.50
CAGR/Mean DD1.51
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of DTG over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-09": 0.44, "2021-12": 1.74, "2022-03": 0.45, "2022-06": 1.04, "2022-09": 1.42, "2022-12": 0.79, "2023-03": 0.9, "2023-06": 1.26, "2023-09": 1.13, "2023-12": 1.48, "2024-03": 1, "2024-06": 1.01, "2024-09": 0.77, "2024-12": 1.621, "2025-03": 1.09, "2025-06": 0.85, "2025-09": 0.63, "2025-12": 0.72, "2026-03": 0.32, "2026-06": 2.12,
EPS CAGR: -12.71%
EPS Trend: -66.2%
Last SUE: 4.00
Qual. Beats: 1
Revenue Revenue of DTG over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-09: 9160, 2021-12: 11346, 2022-03: 10551, 2022-06: 12104, 2022-09: 13507, 2022-12: 14783, 2023-03: 13200, 2023-06: 13880, 2023-09: 13860, 2023-12: 14950, 2024-03: 13263, 2024-06: 12425, 2024-09: 12177, 2024-12: 14350, 2025-03: 12449, 2025-06: 11674, 2025-09: 10551, 2025-12: 11797, 2026-03: 9981, 2026-06: 12292,
Rev. CAGR: -8.77%
Rev. Trend: -96.5%
Last SUE: -0.11
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Below Avwap Earnings
Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 4.8 years of data

Jan +8.1% 25
Feb +1.5% 21
Mar -3.3% 0
Apr -3.3% 46
May -1.4% 22
Jun +2.4% 0
Jul +4.4% 24
Aug -6.0% 56
Sep -1.2% 34
Oct +0.2% 11
Nov +1.6% 13
Dec +3.8% 21

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: DTG Daimler Truck Holding

Daimler Truck Holding AG, headquartered in Leinfelden-Echterdingen, Germany and founded in 1896, is one of the worlds largest manufacturers of commercial vehicles. The company operates through five reporting segments: Trucks North America, Mercedes-Benz Trucks, Trucks Asia, Daimler Buses, and Financial Services, producing light, medium, and heavy-duty trucks along with city buses, intercity buses, coaches, bus chassis, industrial engines, and special-purpose vehicles. Its brands span multiple continents and price points, including Mercedes-Benz, Freightliner, Western Star, FUSO, BharatBenz, RIZON, Setra, and Thomas Built Buses.

Beyond vehicle manufacturing, Daimler Truck offers a broad portfolio of financial services such as rental, leasing, and vehicle financing, as well as charging infrastructure, insurance brokerage, and integrated services tailored for zero-emission vehicles. The company also provides connected fleet solutions (e.g., Detroit Connect, Fleetboard, Mercedes-Benz Uptime) and operates an aftersales and spare parts business, which typically represents a meaningful share of revenue and profit for heavy-duty OEMs.

The company sits within the global heavy commercial vehicle industry, where demand is driven by freight activity, construction, and public transport needs, and is shaped by a long-running industry transition from diesel powertrains to battery-electric and hydrogen fuel-cell alternatives. Daimler Truck competes with other major OEMs such as Volvo Trucks, Traton (Volkswagens truck unit, which includes MAN and Scania), and PACCAR (Kenworth, Peterbilt, DAF), with key customer groups being logistics fleets, construction operators, and public transit authorities.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • North America truck orders recover from cycle lows
  • EU zero-emission truck demand lags targets
  • Financial Services margin pressure from rate cuts
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 4.5
Net Income: 2.56b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.67 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 36.28% < 20% (prev 36.12%; Δ 0.16% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.05 > 3% & CFO 3.79b > Net Income 2.56b
Net Debt (19.1b) to EBITDA (3.62b): 5.28 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.70 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (762.0m) vs 12m ago -0.91% < -2%
Gross Margin: 17.91% > 18% (prev 19.81%; Δ -1.90% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 61.95% > 50% (prev 70.91%; Δ -8.96% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 7.72 > 6 (EBIT TTM 2.60b / Interest Expense TTM 337.0m)
Altman Z'' 2.61
A: 0.22 (Total Current Assets 39.3b - Total Current Liabilities 23.1b) / Total Assets 72.6b
B: 0.13 (Retained Earnings 9.58b / Total Assets 72.6b)
C: 0.04 (EBIT TTM 2.60b / Avg Total Assets 72.0b)
D: 0.45 (Book Value of Equity 22.6b / Total Liabilities 49.7b)
Altman-Z'' = 2.61 = A
Beneish M -2.74
DSRI: 1.31 (Receivables 17.1b/14.8b, Revenue 44.6b/50.6b)
GMI: 1.11 (GM 19.81% / 17.91%)
AQI: 1.04 (AQ_t 0.30 / AQ_t-1 0.29)
SGI: 0.88 (Revenue 44.6b / 50.6b)
TATA: -0.02 (NI 2.56b - CFO 3.79b) / TA 72.6b)
Beneish M = -2.74 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of DTG shares?

As of October 16, 2026, the stock is trading at EUR 41.07 with a total of 1,347,161 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.93%, over one month by -5.02%, over three months by -4.40% and over the past year by +26.23%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 40.00 (which is 2.6% or 1.2 ATR below the current price).

Is DTG a buy, sell or hold?

Daimler Truck Holding has no consensus analysts rating.

Daimler Truck Holding (DTG) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 13 October 2026
Market Cap USD = 35.2b (31.4b EUR * 1.12012 EUR.USD)
P/E Trailing = 28.7153
P/E Forward = 8.19
P/S = 0.7045
P/B = 1.455
P/EG = 0.3267
Revenue TTM = 44.6b EUR
EBIT TTM = 2.60b EUR
EBITDA TTM = 3.62b EUR
Long Term Debt = 18.0b EUR (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 10.3b EUR (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 29.7b EUR (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 583.0m
Net Debt = 19.1b EUR (calculated: Debt 29.7b - CCE 10.6b)
Enterprise Value = 50.5b EUR (31.4b + Debt 29.7b - CCE 10.6b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 7.72 (Ebit TTM 2.60b / Interest Expense TTM 337.0m)
EV/FCF = 19.47x (Enterprise Value 50.5b / FCF TTM 2.60b)
FCF Yield = 5.14% (FCF TTM 2.60b / Enterprise Value 50.5b)
FCF Margin = 5.82% (FCF TTM 2.60b / Revenue TTM 44.6b)
Net Margin = 5.73% (Net Income TTM 2.56b / Revenue TTM 44.6b)
Gross Margin = 17.91% ((Revenue TTM 44.6b - Cost of Revenue TTM 36.6b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 17.82% (prev 17.72%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.70 (Enterprise Value 50.5b / Total Assets 72.6b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.13% (Interest Expense 337.0m / Debt 29.7b)
Taxrate = 43.44% (854.0m / 1.97b)
NOPAT = 1.47b (EBIT 2.60b * (1 - 43.44%))
Current Ratio = 1.70 (Total Current Assets 39.3b / Total Current Liabilities 23.1b)
Debt / Equity = 1.32 (Debt 29.7b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 22.6b)
Debt / EBITDA = 5.28 (Net Debt 19.1b / EBITDA 3.62b)
Debt / FCF = 7.36 (Net Debt 19.1b / FCF TTM 2.60b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 21.8b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.55% (Net Income 2.56b / Total Assets 72.6b)
RoE = 11.75% (Net Income TTM 2.56b / Total Stockholder Equity 21.8b)
RoCE = 6.55% (EBIT 2.60b / Capital Employed (Equity 21.8b + L.T.Debt 18.0b))
RoIC = 2.56% (NOPAT 1.47b / Invested Capital 57.6b)
WACC = 4.22% (E(31.4b)/V(61.2b) * Re(7.61%) + D(29.7b)/V(61.2b) * Rd(1.13%) * (1-Tc(0.43)))
Discount Rate = 7.61% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -95.87 | Cagr: -2.36%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈2.10b ; Y1≈2.41b ; Y5≈3.54b
[DCF] Fair Price = 45.04 (EV 53.3b - Net Debt 19.1b = Equity 34.2b / Shares 760.2m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -66.24 | EPS CAGR: -12.71% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: -96.51 | Revenue CAGR: -8.77% | SUE: -0.11 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.06 | Chg30d=-9.98% | Revisions=+25% | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=3.81 | Chg30d=-0.49% | Revisions=+50% | GrowthEPS=+15.6% | GrowthRev=-0.3%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=4.77 | Chg30d=-0.27% | Revisions=+57% | GrowthEPS=+25.3% | GrowthRev=+8.8%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +73% (up=8, down=0)