(DTG) Daimler Truck Holding - Ratings and Ratios
Trucks, Buses, Engines, Chassis, Financial
DTG EPS (Earnings per Share)
DTG Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 30.5% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 45.2% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -10.05% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.08 |
| Alpha | -6.15 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.317 |
| Beta | 0.307 |
| Beta Downside | 0.363 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 34.57% |
| Mean DD | 11.24% |
| Median DD | 10.82% |
Description: DTG Daimler Truck Holding October 14, 2025
Daimler Truck Holding AG (XETRA:DTG) designs, manufactures and sells a full range of light, medium and heavy-duty trucks, as well as city, intercity and coach buses, across Europe, North America, Asia, Latin America and other international markets.
The business is organized into five operating segments: Trucks North America, Mercedes-Benz Trucks, Trucks Asia, Daimler Buses and Financial Services. Each segment combines vehicle sales with complementary after-sales, parts and connectivity solutions such as Detroit Connect, truckonnect, OMNIplus ON, Mercedes-Benz Uptime and Fleetboard.
Beyond the core vehicle portfolio (Mercedes-Benz, Freightliner, Western Star, FUSO, BharatBenz, RIZON, Setra and Thomas Built Buses), the company monetises financing, leasing, rental, insurance brokerage, payment services and charging infrastructure for zero-emission trucks, creating recurring revenue streams that cushion cyclical demand for new trucks.
Key recent metrics: FY 2023 revenue reached €45.5 bn, with an EBIT margin of 6.8 %-up 0.4 pp year-over-year-driven by higher freight-liner sales in North America and a 12 % rise in bus chassis shipments in Europe. The firm’s order backlog stood at €9.2 bn, indicating robust demand despite supply-chain constraints.
Sector drivers that will shape DTG’s outlook include the EU’s 2035 zero-emission vehicle mandate, accelerating the rollout of electric and hydrogen trucks, and the North American “Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act,” which is expected to boost long-haul freight volumes by 3-5 % annually through 2028.
For a deeper quantitative assessment, you may explore ValueRay’s detailed valuation models and scenario analysis.
DTG Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 30,585m |
| Sub-Industry | Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment |
| IPO / Inception | |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -12.4% |
| Analyst Rating | - |
DTG Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 5.40% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 6.62% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 46.15% |
| Payout Consistency | 100.0% |
| Payout Ratio | 45.3% |
DTG Growth Ratios
| CAGR 3y | 9.84% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | 0.28 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | 0.88 |
| Current Volume | 1109.4k |
| Average Volume | 1109.4k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.0
| Net Income (2.40b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 3.10b TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.02 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 4.29pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 35.44% (prev 27.89%; Δ 7.55pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.04 (>3.0%) and CFO 3.09b > Net Income 2.40b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (20.06b) to EBITDA (4.58b) ratio: 4.38 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.84 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (769.0m) change vs 12m ago -4.11% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 20.03% (prev 21.26%; Δ -1.23pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 71.13% (prev 75.18%; Δ -4.04pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 10.57 (EBITDA TTM 4.58b / Interest Expense TTM 323.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 2.56
| (A) 0.26 = (Total Current Assets 40.03b - Total Current Liabilities 21.73b) / Total Assets 71.43b |
| (B) 0.13 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 9.06b / Total Assets 71.43b |
| (C) 0.05 = EBIT TTM 3.42b / Avg Total Assets 72.56b |
| (D) 0.14 = Book Value of Equity 7.10b / Total Liabilities 50.34b |
| Total Rating: 2.56 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 47.06
| 1. Piotroski 4.0pt = -1.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield 3.14% = 1.57 |
| 3. FCF Margin 2.63% = 0.66 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.31 = 1.70 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 4.38 = -2.50 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 0.68)% = 0.84 |
| 7. RoE 11.11% = 0.93 |
| 8. Rev. Trend -55.76% = -4.18 |
| 9. EPS Trend -19.03% = -0.95 |
What is the price of DTG shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.01%, over one month by +1.24%, over three months by -13.48% and over the past year by +1.32%.
Is Daimler Truck Holding a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of DTG is around 34.89 EUR . This means that DTG is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -0.82%.
Is DTG a buy, sell or hold?
What are the forecasts/targets for the DTG price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 42.5 | 20.9% |
| Analysts Target Price | - | - |
| ValueRay Target Price | 37.2 | 5.7% |
DTG Fundamental Data Overview January 01, 1970
Market Cap EUR = 26.35b (26.35b EUR * 1.0 EUR.EUR)
P/E Trailing = 12.3566
P/E Forward = 7.1327
P/S = 0.5182
P/B = 1.3273
Beta = 0.995
Revenue TTM = 51.61b EUR
EBIT TTM = 3.42b EUR
EBITDA TTM = 4.58b EUR
Long Term Debt = 19.31b EUR (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 7.18b EUR (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 26.84b EUR (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 20.06b EUR (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 43.31b EUR (26.35b + Debt 26.84b - CCE 9.89b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 10.57 (Ebit TTM 3.42b / Interest Expense TTM 323.0m)
FCF Yield = 3.14% (FCF TTM 1.36b / Enterprise Value 43.31b)
FCF Margin = 2.63% (FCF TTM 1.36b / Revenue TTM 51.61b)
Net Margin = 4.66% (Net Income TTM 2.40b / Revenue TTM 51.61b)
Gross Margin = 20.03% ((Revenue TTM 51.61b - Cost of Revenue TTM 41.28b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 18.25% (prev 21.97%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.61 (Enterprise Value 43.31b / Total Assets 71.43b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.31% (Interest Expense 82.0m / Debt 26.84b)
Taxrate = 39.21% (158.0m / 403.0m)
NOPAT = 2.08b (EBIT 3.42b * (1 - 39.21%))
Current Ratio = 1.84 (Total Current Assets 40.03b / Total Current Liabilities 21.73b)
Debt / Equity = 1.31 (Debt 26.84b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 20.49b)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.38 (Net Debt 20.06b / EBITDA 4.58b)
Debt / FCF = 14.75 (Net Debt 20.06b / FCF TTM 1.36b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 21.63b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.37% (Net Income 2.40b / Total Assets 71.43b)
RoE = 11.11% (Net Income TTM 2.40b / Total Stockholder Equity 21.63b)
RoCE = 8.34% (EBIT 3.42b / Capital Employed (Equity 21.63b + L.T.Debt 19.31b))
RoIC = 4.31% (NOPAT 2.08b / Invested Capital 48.17b)
WACC = 3.64% (E(26.35b)/V(53.19b) * Re(7.15%) + D(26.84b)/V(53.19b) * Rd(0.31%) * (1-Tc(0.39)))
Discount Rate = 7.15% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -2.32%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 70.46% ; FCFE base≈1.36b ; Y1≈892.9m ; Y5≈408.3m
Fair Price DCF = 10.79 (DCF Value 8.03b / Shares Outstanding 743.6m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -19.03 | EPS CAGR: -7.90% | SUE: -0.76 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -55.76 | Revenue CAGR: -5.17% | SUE: -2.96 | # QB: 0