(DTG) Daimler Truck Holding - Ratings and Ratios
Trucks, Buses, Engines, Chassis, Services
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 5.13% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 6.62% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 46.15% |
| Payout Consistency | 100.0% |
| Payout Ratio | 45.3% |
| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 29.5% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 42.5% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -12.37% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.20 |
| Alpha | -4.14 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.38 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.362 |
| Beta | 0.340 |
| Beta Downside | 0.317 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 34.57% |
| Mean DD | 11.71% |
| Median DD | 11.95% |
Description: DTG Daimler Truck Holding December 17, 2025
Daimler Truck Holding AG (XETRA: DTG) designs, manufactures and sells a full range of light, medium and heavy-duty trucks, as well as city, intercity and coach buses, across Europe, North America, Asia, Latin America and other international markets. Its operations are organised into five reporting segments – Trucks North America, Mercedes-Benz Trucks, Trucks Asia, Daimler Buses and Financial Services – and the portfolio is sold under brands such as Mercedes-Benz, Freightliner, Western Star, FUSO, BharatBenz, RIZON, Setra and Thomas Built Buses.
As of FY 2023 the company reported revenue of roughly €45 billion and an adjusted EBIT margin of about 6 %, consistent with the historical range of 5-7 % for the heavy-vehicle sector. The Financial Services arm contributed roughly €5 billion of revenue, reflecting the importance of leasing and rental in a capital-intensive market. Key performance indicators that analysts watch include truck-unit volumes (≈ 800 k units in 2023), average selling price trends (up ≈ 3 % YoY) and order-backlog levels (≈ €12 billion at year-end), which together drive cash-flow generation for both the manufacturing and financing businesses.
Sector-wide, DTG’s outlook is shaped by three primary drivers: (1) the global shift toward zero-emission commercial vehicles – accelerated by EU CO₂ standards and US state mandates – which is prompting the rollout of electric drivetrains and related charging infrastructure; (2) cyclical freight demand that correlates with macro-economic activity, especially in North America where e-commerce growth has lifted truck orders; and (3) tightening credit conditions that can suppress leasing activity, a risk that the firm mitigates through its diversified financial services platform. If you want a deeper quantitative assessment, you might explore ValueRay’s detailed valuation models for DTG.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.0
| Net Income (2.23b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 2.94b TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.04 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 6.28pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 41.85% (prev 27.26%; Δ 14.58pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.06 (>3.0%) and CFO 4.23b > Net Income 2.23b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (21.75b) to EBITDA (4.24b) ratio: 5.13 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 2.03 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (766.0m) change vs 12m ago -3.40% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 19.42% (prev 20.99%; Δ -1.57pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 67.51% (prev 74.58%; Δ -7.08pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 8.77 (EBITDA TTM 4.24b / Interest Expense TTM 355.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 2.75
| (A) 0.29 = (Total Current Assets 40.35b - Total Current Liabilities 19.84b) / Total Assets 71.93b |
| (B) 0.13 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 9.57b / Total Assets 71.93b |
| (C) 0.04 = EBIT TTM 3.11b / Avg Total Assets 72.62b |
| (D) 0.15 = Book Value of Equity 7.65b / Total Liabilities 50.38b |
| Total Rating: 2.75 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 56.12
| 1. Piotroski 5.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 5.47% |
| 3. FCF Margin 5.35% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.40 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 5.13 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 0.93)% |
| 7. RoE 10.35% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 1.58% |
| 9. EPS Trend 16.22% |
What is the price of DTG shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.07%, over one month by +2.58%, over three months by -2.73% and over the past year by +6.27%.
Is DTG a buy, sell or hold?
What are the forecasts/targets for the DTG price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 41.9 | 13.1% |
| Analysts Target Price | - | - |
| ValueRay Target Price | 42.4 | 14.5% |
DTG Fundamental Data Overview December 21, 2025
Market Cap EUR = 28.70b (28.70b EUR * 1.0 EUR.EUR)
P/E Trailing = 13.0874
P/E Forward = 11.3122
P/S = 0.5645
P/B = 1.3657
P/EG = 1.8166
Beta = 0.995
Revenue TTM = 49.02b EUR
EBIT TTM = 3.11b EUR
EBITDA TTM = 4.24b EUR
Long Term Debt = 16.50b EUR (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 7.15b EUR (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 29.42b EUR (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 21.75b EUR (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 47.98b EUR (28.70b + Debt 29.42b - CCE 10.13b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 8.77 (Ebit TTM 3.11b / Interest Expense TTM 355.0m)
FCF Yield = 5.47% (FCF TTM 2.62b / Enterprise Value 47.98b)
FCF Margin = 5.35% (FCF TTM 2.62b / Revenue TTM 49.02b)
Net Margin = 4.54% (Net Income TTM 2.23b / Revenue TTM 49.02b)
Gross Margin = 19.42% ((Revenue TTM 49.02b - Cost of Revenue TTM 39.51b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 17.55% (prev 18.25%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.67 (Enterprise Value 47.98b / Total Assets 71.93b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.28% (Interest Expense 82.0m / Debt 29.42b)
Taxrate = 28.47% (162.0m / 569.0m)
NOPAT = 2.23b (EBIT 3.11b * (1 - 28.47%))
Current Ratio = 2.03 (Total Current Assets 40.35b / Total Current Liabilities 19.84b)
Debt / Equity = 1.40 (Debt 29.42b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 20.98b)
Debt / EBITDA = 5.13 (Net Debt 21.75b / EBITDA 4.24b)
Debt / FCF = 8.29 (Net Debt 21.75b / FCF TTM 2.62b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 21.52b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.10% (Net Income 2.23b / Total Assets 71.93b)
RoE = 10.35% (Net Income TTM 2.23b / Total Stockholder Equity 21.52b)
RoCE = 8.19% (EBIT 3.11b / Capital Employed (Equity 21.52b + L.T.Debt 16.50b))
RoIC = 4.62% (NOPAT 2.23b / Invested Capital 48.21b)
WACC = 3.69% (E(28.70b)/V(58.12b) * Re(7.27%) + D(29.42b)/V(58.12b) * Rd(0.28%) * (1-Tc(0.28)))
Discount Rate = 7.27% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -2.51%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 70.46% ; FCFE base≈2.62b ; Y1≈1.72b ; Y5≈788.1m
Fair Price DCF = 20.23 (DCF Value 15.49b / Shares Outstanding 765.6m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 16.22 | EPS CAGR: -3.85% | SUE: -0.76 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 1.58 | Revenue CAGR: -1.92% | SUE: -1.22 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.63 | Chg30d=-0.598 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=1
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=3.98 | Chg30d=-0.397 | Revisions Net=-4 | Growth EPS=+12.8% | Growth Revenue=+4.6%