(GYC) Grand City Properties - Overview
Stock: Residential, Rental, Portfolio, Germany, UK
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 20.2% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -2.32% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.55 |
| Alpha | -14.35 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | -0.081 |
| Beta Downside | 0.087 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 37.05% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.00 |
Description: GYC Grand City Properties January 14, 2026
Grand City Properties S.A. (XETRA:GYC) is a Luxembourg-registered residential real-estate operator active primarily in Germany and the United Kingdom. The firm acquires, renovates, manages and lets apartments in high-density urban markets such as Berlin, the Rhine-Westphalia corridor, Hamburg, Frankfurt and London, positioning itself as a landlord of affordable-to-mid-range rental housing.
As of the latest FY2023 filing, the company’s portfolio was valued at roughly €4.5 billion, with an average occupancy rate above 95 % and a weighted-average rent growth of ~3 % YoY, reflecting Germany’s tight rental market and limited new supply. The business is sensitive to European interest-rate dynamics-higher borrowing costs can compress net operating income-but benefits from demographic trends (urban migration, household formation) that underpin demand for rental units in its core cities.
For a deeper, data-driven assessment of GYC’s valuation and risk profile, you might find the analytics on ValueRay worth a quick look.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.0
| Net Income: 574.4m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.02 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.07 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 190.7% < 20% (prev 212.2%; Δ -21.53% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.02 > 3% & CFO 253.3m > Net Income 574.4m |
| Net Debt (4.20b) to EBITDA (704.3m): 5.96 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.95 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (176.6m) vs 12m ago 3.88% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 49.84% > 18% (prev 0.56%; Δ 4928 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 4.60% > 50% (prev 5.43%; Δ -0.83% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 11.00 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 704.3m / Interest Expense TTM 63.5m) |
Altman Z'' 2.65
| A: 0.09 (Total Current Assets 2.00b - Total Current Liabilities 1.02b) / Total Assets 11.24b |
| B: 0.34 (Retained Earnings 3.77b / Total Assets 11.24b) |
| C: 0.06 (EBIT TTM 698.1m / Avg Total Assets 11.13b) |
| D: 0.54 (Book Value of Equity 3.63b / Total Liabilities 6.71b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 2.65 = A |
Beneish M -2.60
| DSRI: 1.47 (Receivables 524.2m/418.2m, Revenue 512.1m/598.9m) |
| GMI: 1.12 (GM 49.84% / 55.93%) |
| AQI: 1.01 (AQ_t 0.82 / AQ_t-1 0.81) |
| SGI: 0.86 (Revenue 512.1m / 598.9m) |
| TATA: 0.03 (NI 574.4m - CFO 253.3m) / TA 11.24b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.60 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
What is the price of GYC shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.39%, over one month by -0.41%, over three months by -10.20% and over the past year by -13.16%.
Is GYC a buy, sell or hold?
What are the forecasts/targets for the GYC price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 12.9 | 32.4% |
| Analysts Target Price | - | - |
| ValueRay Target Price | 9.8 | -0.2% |
GYC Fundamental Data Overview February 02, 2026
P/E Trailing = 4.3443
P/E Forward = 8.6957
P/S = 2.7669
P/B = 0.3237
Revenue TTM = 512.1m EUR
EBIT TTM = 698.1m EUR
EBITDA TTM = 704.3m EUR
Long Term Debt = 3.71b EUR (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 549.0m EUR (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 5.46b EUR (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 4.20b EUR (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 6.08b EUR (1.88b + Debt 5.46b - CCE 1.26b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 11.00 (Ebit TTM 698.1m / Interest Expense TTM 63.5m)
EV/FCF = 24.21x (Enterprise Value 6.08b / FCF TTM 251.2m)
FCF Yield = 4.13% (FCF TTM 251.2m / Enterprise Value 6.08b)
FCF Margin = 49.06% (FCF TTM 251.2m / Revenue TTM 512.1m)
Net Margin = 112.2% (Net Income TTM 574.4m / Revenue TTM 512.1m)
Gross Margin = 49.84% ((Revenue TTM 512.1m - Cost of Revenue TTM 256.9m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 55.59% (prev 58.66%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.54 (Enterprise Value 6.08b / Total Assets 11.24b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.30% (Interest Expense 16.6m / Debt 5.46b)
Taxrate = 19.37% (58.2m / 300.3m)
NOPAT = 562.9m (EBIT 698.1m * (1 - 19.37%))
Current Ratio = 1.95 (Total Current Assets 2.00b / Total Current Liabilities 1.02b)
Debt / Equity = 1.38 (Debt 5.46b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.96b)
Debt / EBITDA = 5.96 (Net Debt 4.20b / EBITDA 704.3m)
Debt / FCF = 16.72 (Net Debt 4.20b / FCF TTM 251.2m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 4.72b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.16% (Net Income 574.4m / Total Assets 11.24b)
RoE = 12.18% (Net Income TTM 574.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 4.72b)
RoCE = 8.29% (EBIT 698.1m / Capital Employed (Equity 4.72b + L.T.Debt 3.71b))
RoIC = 6.08% (NOPAT 562.9m / Invested Capital 9.25b)
WACC = 1.62% (E(1.88b)/V(7.34b) * Re(5.62%) + D(5.46b)/V(7.34b) * Rd(0.30%) * (1-Tc(0.19)))
Discount Rate = 5.62% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 7.95%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 1.23%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 87.06% ; FCFF base≈252.2m ; Y1≈272.2m ; Y5≈335.9m
Fair Price DCF = 32.56 (EV 9.94b - Net Debt 4.20b = Equity 5.74b / Shares 176.1m; r=5.90% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 8.99% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 9.90 | EPS CAGR: -13.58% | SUE: 0.60 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 36.94 | Revenue CAGR: 12.45% | SUE: 0.01 | # QB: 0
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.05 | Chg30d=-0.014 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=-4.2% | Growth Revenue=+2.3%