(HLAG) Hapag Lloyd - Ratings and Ratios
Container Shipping, Reefer, Dangerous Goods, Digital Platform, Terminal
HLAG EPS (Earnings per Share)
HLAG Revenue
Description: HLAG Hapag Lloyd
Hapag-Lloyd AG (XETRA:HLAG) is a German liner shipping group that runs both a Liner Shipping business and a Terminal & Infrastructure segment. Its fleet of 299 vessels (2.3 million TEU capacity as of 31 Dec 2024) transports dry, special, dangerous, coffee, and refrigerated cargo, and it offers a suite of digital services-including bilateral EDI, an API developer portal, the WAVE BL digital bill of lading, and integration with INTTRA, Infor Nexus, and CargoSmart-to streamline customers’ supply-chain data flows.
Beyond sea transport, Hapag-Lloyd provides inland container movement via truck and rail and operates its own container terminals, giving it end-to-end logistics coverage. Recent KPIs show the company’s EBITDA margin rose to ~9 % in FY 2024, while its average vessel utilization hovered around 85 %-both metrics are above the 2023 industry averages, reflecting a rebound in global trade volumes after the pandemic slowdown.
Key economic drivers for Hapag-Lloyd include the Baltic Dry Index (BDI) trend, which has been volatile but trending upward in 2024, and the ongoing shift toward digital freight platforms that reward carriers with integrated data services. The company’s exposure to the Asia-Europe trade lane, which accounts for roughly 45 % of its TEU volume, makes it sensitive to Chinese manufacturing output and EU import demand.
For a deeper, data-driven assessment of HLAG’s valuation relative to peers and macro trends, you may find the analytical tools on ValueRay worth exploring.
HLAG Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 23,270m |
| Sub-Industry | Marine Transportation |
| IPO / Inception |
HLAG Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | -19.8% |
| Fundamental | 72.8% |
| Dividend Rating | 69.4% |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -29.3% |
| Analyst Rating | - |
HLAG Dividends
| Dividend Yield 12m | 6.77% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 24.67% |
| Annual Growth 5y | 70.29% |
| Payout Consistency | 67.4% |
| Payout Ratio | 61.1% |
HLAG Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | -82.1% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | -70.2% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | 21.7% |
| CAGR 5y | 2.20% |
| CAGR/Max DD 3y (Calmar Ratio) | 0.04 |
| CAGR/Mean DD 3y (Pain Ratio) | 0.06 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | -0.09 |
| Alpha | -38.12 |
| Beta | 1.298 |
| Volatility | 43.90% |
| Current Volume | 22k |
| Average Volume 20d | 15.1k |
| Stop Loss | 117.4 (-3.1%) |
| Signal | 0.88 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 8.5
| Net Income (2.36b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 1.20b TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.08 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 6.84pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 11.66% (prev 19.12%; Δ -7.46pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.16 (>3.0%) and CFO 4.77b > Net Income 2.36b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (2.67b) to EBITDA (4.94b) ratio: 0.54 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.37 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (175.8m) change vs 12m ago 0.0% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 15.55% (prev 9.02%; Δ 6.53pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 67.82% (prev 56.15%; Δ 11.67pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 7.88 (EBITDA TTM 4.94b / Interest Expense TTM 347.3m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 4.23
| (A) 0.08 = (Total Current Assets 8.66b - Total Current Liabilities 6.33b) / Total Assets 29.22b |
| (B) 0.52 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 15.32b / Total Assets 29.22b |
| (C) 0.09 = EBIT TTM 2.74b / Avg Total Assets 29.48b |
| (D) 1.31 = Book Value of Equity 15.02b / Total Liabilities 11.50b |
| Total Rating: 4.23 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 72.80
| 1. Piotroski 8.50pt = 3.50 |
| 2. FCF Yield 12.00% = 5.0 |
| 3. FCF Margin 12.25% = 3.06 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.35 = 2.44 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 0.54 = 2.28 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 9.59)% = 11.99 |
| 7. RoE 12.24% = 1.02 |
| 8. Rev. Trend -53.34% = -4.00 |
| 9. EPS Trend -49.62% = -2.48 |
What is the price of HLAG shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +7.07%, over one month by -1.14%, over three months by -6.05% and over the past year by -18.37%.
Is Hapag Lloyd a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of HLAG is around 112.89 EUR . This means that HLAG is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -6.78%.
Is HLAG a buy, sell or hold?
What are the forecasts/targets for the HLAG price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 107.1 | -11.6% |
| Analysts Target Price | - | - |
| ValueRay Target Price | 126.1 | 4.1% |
HLAG Fundamental Data Overview
Market Cap EUR = 19.95b (19.95b EUR * 1.0 EUR.EUR)
P/E Trailing = 8.4512
P/E Forward = 20.4918
P/S = 0.9978
P/B = 1.1783
Beta = 1.298
Revenue TTM = 19.99b EUR
EBIT TTM = 2.74b EUR
EBITDA TTM = 4.94b EUR
Long Term Debt = 2.21b EUR (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.61b EUR (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 6.26b EUR (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 2.67b EUR (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 20.42b EUR (19.95b + Debt 6.26b - CCE 5.80b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 7.88 (Ebit TTM 2.74b / Interest Expense TTM 347.3m)
FCF Yield = 12.00% (FCF TTM 2.45b / Enterprise Value 20.42b)
FCF Margin = 12.25% (FCF TTM 2.45b / Revenue TTM 19.99b)
Net Margin = 11.81% (Net Income TTM 2.36b / Revenue TTM 19.99b)
Gross Margin = 15.55% ((Revenue TTM 19.99b - Cost of Revenue TTM 16.88b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 6.38% (prev 11.96%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.70 (Enterprise Value 20.42b / Total Assets 29.22b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.42% (Interest Expense 89.0m / Debt 6.26b)
Taxrate = -47.70% (negative due to tax credits) (-84.9m / 178.0m)
NOPAT = 4.04b (EBIT 2.74b * (1 - -47.70%)) [negative tax rate / tax credits]
Current Ratio = 1.37 (Total Current Assets 8.66b / Total Current Liabilities 6.33b)
Debt / Equity = 0.35 (Debt 6.26b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 17.66b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.54 (Net Debt 2.67b / EBITDA 4.94b)
Debt / FCF = 1.09 (Net Debt 2.67b / FCF TTM 2.45b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 19.31b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 8.08% (Net Income 2.36b / Total Assets 29.22b)
RoE = 12.24% (Net Income TTM 2.36b / Total Stockholder Equity 19.31b)
RoCE = 12.72% (EBIT 2.74b / Capital Employed (Equity 19.31b + L.T.Debt 2.21b))
RoIC = 18.31% (NOPAT 4.04b / Invested Capital 22.07b)
WACC = 8.72% (E(19.95b)/V(26.21b) * Re(10.80%) + D(6.26b)/V(26.21b) * Rd(1.42%) * (1-Tc(-0.48)))
Discount Rate = 10.80% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 81.65 | Cagr: 0.01%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 64.04% ; FCFE base≈1.65b ; Y1≈1.32b ; Y5≈886.9m
Fair Price DCF = 62.31 (DCF Value 10.95b / Shares Outstanding 175.8m; 5y FCF grow -24.33% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -49.62 | EPS CAGR: -66.24% | SUE: 0.52 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -53.34 | Revenue CAGR: -23.68% | SUE: 1.26 | # QB: 1