(HOT) HOCHTIEF Aktiengesellschaft - Ratings and Ratios
Construction, Infrastructure, Engineering, Services, Maintenance
HOT EPS (Earnings per Share)
HOT Revenue
Description: HOT HOCHTIEF Aktiengesellschaft
HOCHTIEF Aktiengesellschaft is a global construction company operating through three divisions: HOCHTIEF Americas, HOCHTIEF Asia Pacific, and HOCHTIEF Europe. The company provides a range of services including building and transportation infrastructure construction, mineral processing, engineering, concessions, and operations and maintenance. With a presence in various regions, HOCHTIEF is involved in public-private partnerships (PPP) and develops concessions and operator projects in areas such as roads, social infrastructure, energy, and digital.
From a financial perspective, HOCHTIEF has a market capitalization of €12.6 billion, indicating a significant presence in the construction and engineering sector. The companys Return on Equity (RoE) is exceptionally high at 99.56%, suggesting efficient use of shareholder capital. However, the Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio of 13.28 and forward P/E of 17.73 indicate that the stock may be undervalued relative to its future earnings potential. To further assess the companys financial health, other key performance indicators (KPIs) such as Debt-to-Equity ratio, Interest Coverage, and Operating Margin should be examined.
Additional KPIs that could provide insight into HOCHTIEFs performance include Revenue Growth, Earnings Per Share (EPS) growth, and the companys ability to generate cash from operations. Analyzing these metrics over time can help identify trends and assess the companys ability to sustain its growth and profitability. Furthermore, comparing HOCHTIEFs KPIs to those of its peers in the construction and engineering sector can provide a more comprehensive understanding of its relative performance.
Given HOCHTIEFs global presence and diversified services, the companys exposure to various markets and economies could be both a strength and a weakness. Assessing the companys geographic revenue distribution, project pipeline, and bidding activity can provide insight into its growth prospects and potential risks. Moreover, evaluating HOCHTIEFs sustainability initiatives, safety record, and innovation efforts can help investors understand its long-term viability and potential for creating value.
HOT Stock Overview
Market Cap in USD | 20,575m |
Sub-Industry | Construction & Engineering |
IPO / Inception |
HOT Stock Ratings
Growth Rating | 94.2% |
Fundamental | 75.0% |
Dividend Rating | 50.2% |
Return 12m vs S&P 500 | 91.6% |
Analyst Rating | - |
HOT Dividends
Dividend Yield 12m | 2.72% |
Yield on Cost 5y | 8.85% |
Annual Growth 5y | -5.38% |
Payout Consistency | 88.9% |
Payout Ratio | 57.4% |
HOT Growth Ratios
Growth Correlation 3m | 94.8% |
Growth Correlation 12m | 95.2% |
Growth Correlation 5y | 78% |
CAGR 5y | 75.89% |
CAGR/Max DD 3y | 3.06 |
CAGR/Mean DD 3y | 29.13 |
Sharpe Ratio 12m | 2.23 |
Alpha | 103.15 |
Beta | 0.952 |
Volatility | 27.72% |
Current Volume | 38.8k |
Average Volume 20d | 44.5k |
Stop Loss | 226.2 (-3%) |
Signal | 0.24 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.5
Net Income (820.3m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 2.22b TTM) |
FCFTA 0.06 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 0.18pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
NWC/Revenue 2.22% (prev 6.68%; Δ -4.46pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
CFO/TA 0.09 (>3.0%) and CFO 1.98b > Net Income 820.3m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
Net Debt (-4.39b) to EBITDA (2.33b) ratio: -1.89 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
Current Ratio 1.06 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
Outstanding Shares last Quarter (75.2m) change vs 12m ago 0.02% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
Gross Margin 26.56% (prev 9.76%; Δ 16.80pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
Asset Turnover 158.2% (prev 124.0%; Δ 34.16pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
Interest Coverage Ratio 3.24 (EBITDA TTM 2.33b / Interest Expense TTM 502.2m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 0.46
(A) 0.04 = (Total Current Assets 14.86b - Total Current Liabilities 14.04b) / Total Assets 23.11b |
(B) -0.05 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -1.25b / Total Assets 23.11b |
(C) 0.07 = EBIT TTM 1.62b / Avg Total Assets 23.40b |
(D) -0.06 = Book Value of Equity -1.38b / Total Liabilities 22.32b |
Total Rating: 0.46 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 74.96
1. Piotroski 5.50pt = 0.50 |
2. FCF Yield 7.54% = 3.77 |
3. FCF Margin 3.91% = 0.98 |
4. Debt/Equity 9.35 = -2.50 |
5. Debt/Ebitda 2.89 = -1.61 |
6. ROIC - WACC 42.99% = 12.50 |
7. RoE 87.65% = 2.50 |
8. Rev. Trend 83.76% = 4.19 |
9. Rev. CAGR 10.52% = 1.32 |
10. EPS Trend 68.60% = 1.71 |
11. EPS CAGR 16.04% = 1.60 |
What is the price of HOT shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.01%, over one month by +5.05%, over three months by +47.32% and over the past year by +126.56%.
Is HOCHTIEF Aktiengesellschaft a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of HOT is around 337.31 EUR . This means that HOT is currently undervalued and has a potential upside of +44.64% (Margin of Safety).
Is HOT a buy, sell or hold?
What are the forecasts/targets for the HOT price?
Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
---|---|---|
Wallstreet Target Price | 174.7 | -25.1% |
Analysts Target Price | - | - |
ValueRay Target Price | 372.2 | 59.6% |
HOT Fundamental Data Overview
Market Cap EUR = 17.55b (17.55b EUR * 1.0 EUR.EUR)
CCE Cash And Equivalents = 5.06b EUR (last quarter)
P/E Trailing = 21.4141
P/E Forward = 23.1481
P/S = 0.474
P/B = 24.3469
P/EG = 2.04
Beta = 0.85
Revenue TTM = 37.02b EUR
EBIT TTM = 1.62b EUR
EBITDA TTM = 2.33b EUR
Long Term Debt = 6.51b EUR (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 223.0m EUR (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 6.74b EUR (Calculated: Short Term 223.0m + Long Term 6.51b)
Net Debt = -4.39b EUR (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 19.22b EUR (17.55b + Debt 6.74b - CCE 5.06b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.24 (Ebit TTM 1.62b / Interest Expense TTM 502.2m)
FCF Yield = 7.54% (FCF TTM 1.45b / Enterprise Value 19.22b)
FCF Margin = 3.91% (FCF TTM 1.45b / Revenue TTM 37.02b)
Net Margin = 2.22% (Net Income TTM 820.3m / Revenue TTM 37.02b)
Gross Margin = 26.56% ((Revenue TTM 37.02b - Cost of Revenue TTM 27.19b) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = -13.93 (set to none) (Enterprise Value 19.22b / Book Value Of Equity -1.38b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.98% (Interest Expense 133.3m / Debt 6.74b)
Taxrate = 13.61% (136.6m / 1.00b)
NOPAT = 1.40b (EBIT 1.62b * (1 - 13.61%))
Current Ratio = 1.06 (Total Current Assets 14.86b / Total Current Liabilities 14.04b)
Debt / Equity = 9.35 (Debt 6.74b / last Quarter total Stockholder Equity 720.7m)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.89 (Net Debt -4.39b / EBITDA 2.33b)
Debt / FCF = 4.65 (Debt 6.74b / FCF TTM 1.45b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 935.9m (last 4 quarters mean)
RoA = 3.55% (Net Income 820.3m, Total Assets 23.11b )
RoE = 87.65% (Net Income TTM 820.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 935.9m)
RoCE = 21.81% (Ebit 1.62b / (Equity 935.9m + L.T.Debt 6.51b))
RoIC = 50.35% (NOPAT 1.40b / Invested Capital 2.79b)
WACC = 7.35% (E(17.55b)/V(24.28b) * Re(9.52%)) + (D(6.74b)/V(24.28b) * Rd(1.98%) * (1-Tc(0.14)))
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 89.83 | Cagr: 0.01%
Discount Rate = 9.52% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 76.79% ; FCFE base≈1.45b ; Y1≈1.78b ; Y5≈3.05b
Fair Price DCF = 528.4 (DCF Value 39.76b / Shares Outstanding 75.2m; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 3.0% )
Revenue Correlation: 83.76 | Revenue CAGR: 10.52%
Rev Growth-of-Growth: 13.67
EPS Correlation: 68.60 | EPS CAGR: 16.04%
EPS Growth-of-Growth: -1.95