(HOT) HOCHTIEF Aktiengesellschaft - Ratings and Ratios
Construction, Infrastructure, Engineering, Services, Investment
HOT EPS (Earnings per Share)
HOT Revenue
Description: HOT HOCHTIEF Aktiengesellschaft October 16, 2025
HOCHTIEF Aktiengesellschaft (XETRA:HOT) is a globally active construction firm headquartered in Essen, Germany, offering end-to-end services for large-scale building, civil engineering, and industrial projects. Its portfolio spans engineering design, project management, supply-chain and procurement, construction management, and the execution of public-private partnership (PPP) contracts, as well as infrastructure investment activities.
Key data points to note: HOCHTIEF reported €13.0 billion in revenue for FY 2023, with an order backlog of roughly €9 billion, indicating a multi-year pipeline. The company’s EBIT margin has been pressured by rising material costs, sitting at 3.2 % in 2023, but its order-to-cash cycle benefits from the long-duration nature of PPP projects. Macro-drivers include Europe’s infrastructure renewal agenda, the EU’s “NextGenerationEU” stimulus, and the global shortage of skilled construction labor, all of which can affect project timelines and pricing power.
For a deeper, data-rich assessment of HOCHTIEF’s valuation and risk profile, you may find the analytics on ValueRay useful as a next step in your research.
HOT Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 21,558m |
| Sub-Industry | Construction & Engineering |
| IPO / Inception |
HOT Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | 94.7% |
| Fundamental | 86.6% |
| Dividend Rating | 44.0% |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | 101% |
| Analyst Rating | - |
HOT Dividends
| Dividend Yield 12m | 2.01% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 9.82% |
| Annual Growth 5y | -6.67% |
| Payout Consistency | 88.8% |
| Payout Ratio | 73.3% |
HOT Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | 81.8% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | 95.2% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | 80.8% |
| CAGR 5y | 76.12% |
| CAGR/Max DD 3y (Calmar Ratio) | 3.07 |
| CAGR/Mean DD 3y (Pain Ratio) | 21.21 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | 2.02 |
| Alpha | 121.62 |
| Beta | 0.824 |
| Volatility | 32.88% |
| Current Volume | 66.2k |
| Average Volume 20d | 60.9k |
| Stop Loss | 251.3 (-3.6%) |
| Signal | 1.10 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.5
| Net Income (820.3m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 2.22b TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.06 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 0.18pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 2.22% (prev 6.68%; Δ -4.46pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.09 (>3.0%) and CFO 1.98b > Net Income 820.3m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (-4.39b) to EBITDA (2.33b) ratio: -1.89 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.06 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (75.2m) change vs 12m ago 0.02% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 26.56% (prev 9.76%; Δ 16.80pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 158.2% (prev 124.0%; Δ 34.16pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 3.24 (EBITDA TTM 2.33b / Interest Expense TTM 502.2m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 0.46
| (A) 0.04 = (Total Current Assets 14.86b - Total Current Liabilities 14.04b) / Total Assets 23.11b |
| (B) -0.05 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -1.25b / Total Assets 23.11b |
| (C) 0.07 = EBIT TTM 1.62b / Avg Total Assets 23.40b |
| (D) -0.06 = Book Value of Equity -1.38b / Total Liabilities 22.32b |
| Total Rating: 0.46 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 86.55
| 1. Piotroski 5.50pt = 0.50 |
| 2. FCF Yield 10.13% = 5.0 |
| 3. FCF Margin 3.91% = 0.98 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.93 = 2.09 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -1.89 = 2.50 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 32.31)% = 12.50 |
| 7. RoE 87.65% = 2.50 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 83.76% = 6.28 |
| 9. EPS Trend 83.99% = 4.20 |
What is the price of HOT shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.04%, over one month by +1.80%, over three months by +35.94% and over the past year by +140.50%.
Is HOCHTIEF Aktiengesellschaft a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of HOT is around 374.18 EUR . This means that HOT is currently undervalued and has a potential upside of +43.58% (Margin of Safety).
Is HOT a buy, sell or hold?
What are the forecasts/targets for the HOT price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 205.5 | -21.1% |
| Analysts Target Price | - | - |
| ValueRay Target Price | 419.9 | 61.1% |
HOT Fundamental Data Overview January 01, 1970
Market Cap EUR = 18.71b (18.71b EUR * 1.0 EUR.EUR)
P/E Trailing = 22.8283
P/E Forward = 25.4453
P/S = 0.5053
P/B = 26.7691
P/EG = 2.04
Beta = 0.824
Revenue TTM = 37.02b EUR
EBIT TTM = 1.62b EUR
EBITDA TTM = 2.33b EUR
Long Term Debt = 6.51b EUR (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 223.0m EUR (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 668.0m EUR (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -4.39b EUR (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 14.31b EUR (18.71b + Debt 668.0m - CCE 5.06b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.24 (Ebit TTM 1.62b / Interest Expense TTM 502.2m)
FCF Yield = 10.13% (FCF TTM 1.45b / Enterprise Value 14.31b)
FCF Margin = 3.91% (FCF TTM 1.45b / Revenue TTM 37.02b)
Net Margin = 2.22% (Net Income TTM 820.3m / Revenue TTM 37.02b)
Gross Margin = 26.56% ((Revenue TTM 37.02b - Cost of Revenue TTM 27.19b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 22.58% (prev 26.72%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.62 (Enterprise Value 14.31b / Total Assets 23.11b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 19.95% (Interest Expense 133.3m / Debt 668.0m)
Taxrate = 28.72% (81.2m / 282.7m)
NOPAT = 1.16b (EBIT 1.62b * (1 - 28.72%))
Current Ratio = 1.06 (Total Current Assets 14.86b / Total Current Liabilities 14.04b)
Debt / Equity = 0.93 (Debt 668.0m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 720.7m)
Debt / EBITDA = -1.89 (Net Debt -4.39b / EBITDA 2.33b)
Debt / FCF = -3.03 (Net Debt -4.39b / FCF TTM 1.45b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 935.9m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.55% (Net Income 820.3m / Total Assets 23.11b)
RoE = 87.65% (Net Income TTM 820.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 935.9m)
RoCE = 21.81% (EBIT 1.62b / Capital Employed (Equity 935.9m + L.T.Debt 6.51b))
RoIC = 41.54% (NOPAT 1.16b / Invested Capital 2.79b)
WACC = 9.23% (E(18.71b)/V(19.37b) * Re(9.05%) + D(668.0m)/V(19.37b) * Rd(19.95%) * (1-Tc(0.29)))
Discount Rate = 9.05% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 0.02%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 78.24% ; FCFE base≈1.45b ; Y1≈1.78b ; Y5≈3.05b
Fair Price DCF = 571.1 (DCF Value 42.97b / Shares Outstanding 75.2m; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 83.99 | EPS CAGR: 10.49% | SUE: 0.84 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 83.76 | Revenue CAGR: 10.52% | SUE: 0.83 | # QB: 0