(HOT) HOCHTIEF Aktiengesellschaft - Overview
Stock: Construction, Engineering, Infrastructure, Project Management, PPP
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 42.8% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -7.11% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 2.19 |
| Alpha | 110.53 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.555 |
| Beta Downside | 0.213 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 24.81% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 3.13 |
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Description: HOT HOCHTIEF Aktiengesellschaft March 13, 2026
HOCHTIEF Aktiengesellschaft (HOT) is a global construction company. It specializes in large-scale building, civil engineering, and industrial projects.
The companys business model includes a comprehensive suite of services, from initial engineering and project management to procurement and execution of civil works. This integrated approach is common in the construction sector, where companies often manage complex projects from conception to completion.
HOT also engages in public-private partnerships (PPPs), a prevalent funding model for infrastructure projects globally. Additionally, it undertakes infrastructure investment activities, diversifying its revenue streams beyond traditional construction contracts.
Founded in 1873 and headquartered in Essen, Germany, HOCHTIEF is a subsidiary of ACS, Actividades de Construcción y Servicios, S.A.
For more detailed analysis, consider exploring ValueRays comprehensive reports.
Headlines to watch out for
- Global infrastructure spending drives project pipeline
- Raw material price volatility impacts project costs
- Public-private partnership project awards boost order backlog
- Interest rate hikes increase financing expenses
- Regulatory changes in construction standards affect project viability
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.5
| Net Income: 902.3m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.06 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.25 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 4.86% < 20% (prev 5.43%; Δ -0.57% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.08 > 3% & CFO 2.04b > Net Income 902.3m |
| Net Debt (2.43b) to EBITDA (2.43b): 1.00 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.13 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (75.2m) vs 12m ago 0.01% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 16.03% > 18% (prev 0.18%; Δ 1.59k% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 154.2% > 50% (prev 135.1%; Δ 19.12% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 3.47 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 2.43b / Interest Expense TTM 508.1m) |
Altman Z'' 0.78
| A: 0.07 (Total Current Assets 15.87b - Total Current Liabilities 14.01b) / Total Assets 24.94b |
| B: -0.05 (Retained Earnings -1.18b / Total Assets 24.94b) |
| C: 0.07 (EBIT TTM 1.76b / Avg Total Assets 24.80b) |
| D: -0.03 (Book Value of Equity -662.6m / Total Liabilities 23.55b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 0.78 = B |
Beneish M -2.75
| DSRI: 0.98 (Receivables 8.07b/7.16b, Revenue 38.24b/33.30b) |
| GMI: 1.11 (GM 16.03% / 17.74%) |
| AQI: 1.23 (AQ_t 0.30 / AQ_t-1 0.25) |
| SGI: 1.15 (Revenue 38.24b / 33.30b) |
| TATA: -0.05 (NI 902.3m - CFO 2.04b) / TA 24.94b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.75 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
What is the price of HOT shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.70%, over one month by -1.35%, over three months by +11.96% and over the past year by +122.38%.
Is HOT a buy, sell or hold?
What are the forecasts/targets for the HOT price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 353.3 | -7.1% |
| Analysts Target Price | - | - |
HOT Fundamental Data Overview March 13, 2026
P/E Trailing = 32.0566
P/E Forward = 32.4675
P/S = 0.7576
P/B = 23.4398
P/EG = 2.7963
Revenue TTM = 38.24b EUR
EBIT TTM = 1.76b EUR
EBITDA TTM = 2.43b EUR
Long Term Debt = 7.40b EUR (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 412.2m EUR (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 8.65b EUR (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 2.43b EUR (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 31.40b EUR (28.97b + Debt 8.65b - CCE 6.23b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.47 (Ebit TTM 1.76b / Interest Expense TTM 508.1m)
EV/FCF = 19.46x (Enterprise Value 31.40b / FCF TTM 1.61b)
FCF Yield = 5.14% (FCF TTM 1.61b / Enterprise Value 31.40b)
FCF Margin = 4.22% (FCF TTM 1.61b / Revenue TTM 38.24b)
Net Margin = 2.36% (Net Income TTM 902.3m / Revenue TTM 38.24b)
Gross Margin = 16.03% ((Revenue TTM 38.24b - Cost of Revenue TTM 32.11b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 7.01% (prev 9.28%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.26 (Enterprise Value 31.40b / Total Assets 24.94b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.39% (Interest Expense 120.0m / Debt 8.65b)
Taxrate = 30.64% (122.1m / 398.7m)
NOPAT = 1.22b (EBIT 1.76b * (1 - 30.64%))
Current Ratio = 1.13 (Total Current Assets 15.87b / Total Current Liabilities 14.01b)
Debt / Equity = 6.83 (Debt 8.65b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.27b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.00 (Net Debt 2.43b / EBITDA 2.43b)
Debt / FCF = 1.51 (Net Debt 2.43b / FCF TTM 1.61b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.05b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.64% (Net Income 902.3m / Total Assets 24.94b)
RoE = 85.89% (Net Income TTM 902.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.05b)
RoCE = 20.89% (EBIT 1.76b / Capital Employed (Equity 1.05b + L.T.Debt 7.40b))
RoIC = 41.65% (NOPAT 1.22b / Invested Capital 2.94b)
WACC = 6.35% (E(28.97b)/V(37.62b) * Re(7.96%) + D(8.65b)/V(37.62b) * Rd(1.39%) * (1-Tc(0.31)))
Discount Rate = 7.96% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 0.02%
[DCF] Terminal Value 86.84% ; FCFF base≈1.63b ; Y1≈2.01b ; Y5≈3.42b
[DCF] Fair Price = 1.12k (EV 86.46b - Net Debt 2.43b = Equity 84.03b / Shares 75.2m; r=6.35% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 81.56 | EPS CAGR: 18.41% | SUE: 0.84 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 91.20 | Revenue CAGR: 18.65% | SUE: -1.11 | # QB: 0
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=13.11 | Chg7d=+0.709 | Chg30d=+0.699 | Revisions Net=+3 | Growth EPS=+25.0% | Growth Revenue=+15.4%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=15.74 | Chg7d=+1.101 | Chg30d=+1.091 | Revisions Net=+3 | Growth EPS=+20.1% | Growth Revenue=+10.4%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +1.00 (3 Up / 0 Down within 30d for Current Year)
[Growth] Implied Growth Rate = 4.8% (Discount Rate 8.0% - Earnings Yield 3.1%)
[Growth] Growth Spread = +5.6% (Analyst 10.4% - Implied 4.8%)