(HOT) HOCHTIEF Aktiengesellschaft - Ratings and Ratios
Exchange: XETRA •
Country: Germany •
Currency: EUR •
Type: Common Stock •
ISIN: DE0006070006
Construction, Engineering, Infrastructure, PPP, Maintenance
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 1.48% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 7.99% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 7.41% |
| Payout Consistency | 89.1% |
| Payout Ratio | 55.3% |
| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 42.2% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 62.3% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -10.33% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 2.66 |
| Alpha | 165.24 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 3.68 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.453 |
| Beta | 0.371 |
| Beta Downside | 0.486 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 24.81% |
| Mean DD | 3.52% |
| Median DD | 2.63% |
Description: HOT HOCHTIEF Aktiengesellschaft December 19, 2025
HOCHTIEF Aktiengesellschaft (XETRA:HOT) is a global construction firm headquartered in Essen, Germany, offering end-to-end services for large-scale building, civil engineering, and industrial projects. Its portfolio spans engineering, project management, supply-chain and procurement, construction management, and public-private partnership (PPP) execution, serving both public and private clients across infrastructure, industry, and natural-resource sectors.
Key indicators (FY 2023) show revenue of roughly €23 billion and an order backlog near €30 billion, with an EBIT margin of about 4 %. The company’s performance is closely tied to EU infrastructure spending cycles, the health of the construction supply chain, and financing conditions for PPPs, which are sensitive to prevailing interest-rate trends. HOCHTIEF is majority-owned (≈70 %) by Spain-based ACS Group, linking its strategic direction to broader European construction market dynamics.
For a deeper, data-driven assessment of HOT’s valuation and risk profile, you may find the analytics on ValueRay worth a quick look.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.5
| Net Income (852.3m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 2.27b TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.06 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 0.39pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 4.71% (prev 5.94%; Δ -1.23pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.09 (>3.0%) and CFO 2.07b > Net Income 852.3m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (3.56b) to EBITDA (2.35b) ratio: 1.52 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.13 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (75.2m) change vs 12m ago 0.01% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 21.05% (prev 12.06%; Δ 8.99pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 158.8% (prev 128.8%; Δ 30.07pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 3.32 (EBITDA TTM 2.35b / Interest Expense TTM 501.7m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 0.76
| (A) 0.08 = (Total Current Assets 15.12b - Total Current Liabilities 13.34b) / Total Assets 23.59b |
| (B) -0.05 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -1.07b / Total Assets 23.59b |
| (C) 0.07 = EBIT TTM 1.66b / Avg Total Assets 23.82b |
| (D) -0.05 = Book Value of Equity -1.12b / Total Liabilities 22.51b |
| Total Rating: 0.76 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 77.12
| 1. Piotroski 5.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 5.23% |
| 3. FCF Margin 4.01% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 8.51 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 1.52 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 33.72)% |
| 7. RoE 85.11% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 91.04% |
| 9. EPS Trend 55.05% |
What is the price of HOT shares?
As of January 10, 2026, the stock is trading at EUR 354.20 with a total of 54,663 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.67%, over one month by +10.34%, over three months by +32.16% and over the past year by +174.98%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.67%, over one month by +10.34%, over three months by +32.16% and over the past year by +174.98%.
Is HOT a buy, sell or hold?
HOCHTIEF Aktiengesellschaft has no consensus analysts rating.
What are the forecasts/targets for the HOT price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 284.7 | -19.6% |
| Analysts Target Price | - | - |
| ValueRay Target Price | 615.9 | 73.9% |
HOT Fundamental Data Overview January 03, 2026
Market Cap USD = 29.73b (25.46b EUR * 1.1677 EUR.USD)
P/E Trailing = 29.894
P/E Forward = 27.7008
P/S = 0.673
P/B = 25.7944
P/EG = 2.04
Beta = 0.611
Revenue TTM = 37.83b EUR
EBIT TTM = 1.66b EUR
EBITDA TTM = 2.35b EUR
Long Term Debt = 7.42b EUR (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 741.2m EUR (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 8.37b EUR (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 3.56b EUR (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 29.02b EUR (25.46b + Debt 8.37b - CCE 4.80b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.32 (Ebit TTM 1.66b / Interest Expense TTM 501.7m)
FCF Yield = 5.23% (FCF TTM 1.52b / Enterprise Value 29.02b)
FCF Margin = 4.01% (FCF TTM 1.52b / Revenue TTM 37.83b)
Net Margin = 2.25% (Net Income TTM 852.3m / Revenue TTM 37.83b)
Gross Margin = 21.05% ((Revenue TTM 37.83b - Cost of Revenue TTM 29.87b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 9.28% (prev 22.58%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.23 (Enterprise Value 29.02b / Total Assets 23.59b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.46% (Interest Expense 122.0m / Debt 8.37b)
Taxrate = 32.34% (97.5m / 301.5m)
NOPAT = 1.13b (EBIT 1.66b * (1 - 32.34%))
Current Ratio = 1.13 (Total Current Assets 15.12b / Total Current Liabilities 13.34b)
Debt / Equity = 8.51 (Debt 8.37b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 983.0m)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.52 (Net Debt 3.56b / EBITDA 2.35b)
Debt / FCF = 2.35 (Net Debt 3.56b / FCF TTM 1.52b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.00b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.58% (Net Income 852.3m / Total Assets 23.59b)
RoE = 85.11% (Net Income TTM 852.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.00b)
RoCE = 19.76% (EBIT 1.66b / Capital Employed (Equity 1.00b + L.T.Debt 7.42b))
RoIC = 39.45% (NOPAT 1.13b / Invested Capital 2.85b)
WACC = 5.72% (E(25.46b)/V(33.83b) * Re(7.28%) + D(8.37b)/V(33.83b) * Rd(1.46%) * (1-Tc(0.32)))
Discount Rate = 7.28% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 7.95%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 0.02%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 88.43% ; FCFF base≈1.49b ; Y1≈1.84b ; Y5≈3.14b
Fair Price DCF = 1167 (EV 91.36b - Net Debt 3.56b = Equity 87.80b / Shares 75.2m; r=5.90% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 55.05 | EPS CAGR: 122.6% | SUE: 0.84 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 91.04 | Revenue CAGR: 14.88% | SUE: 0.59 | # QB: 0
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=12.31 | Chg30d=+0.563 | Revisions Net=+3 | Growth EPS=+19.1% | Growth Revenue=+11.7%
P/E Trailing = 29.894
P/E Forward = 27.7008
P/S = 0.673
P/B = 25.7944
P/EG = 2.04
Beta = 0.611
Revenue TTM = 37.83b EUR
EBIT TTM = 1.66b EUR
EBITDA TTM = 2.35b EUR
Long Term Debt = 7.42b EUR (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 741.2m EUR (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 8.37b EUR (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 3.56b EUR (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 29.02b EUR (25.46b + Debt 8.37b - CCE 4.80b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.32 (Ebit TTM 1.66b / Interest Expense TTM 501.7m)
FCF Yield = 5.23% (FCF TTM 1.52b / Enterprise Value 29.02b)
FCF Margin = 4.01% (FCF TTM 1.52b / Revenue TTM 37.83b)
Net Margin = 2.25% (Net Income TTM 852.3m / Revenue TTM 37.83b)
Gross Margin = 21.05% ((Revenue TTM 37.83b - Cost of Revenue TTM 29.87b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 9.28% (prev 22.58%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.23 (Enterprise Value 29.02b / Total Assets 23.59b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.46% (Interest Expense 122.0m / Debt 8.37b)
Taxrate = 32.34% (97.5m / 301.5m)
NOPAT = 1.13b (EBIT 1.66b * (1 - 32.34%))
Current Ratio = 1.13 (Total Current Assets 15.12b / Total Current Liabilities 13.34b)
Debt / Equity = 8.51 (Debt 8.37b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 983.0m)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.52 (Net Debt 3.56b / EBITDA 2.35b)
Debt / FCF = 2.35 (Net Debt 3.56b / FCF TTM 1.52b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.00b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.58% (Net Income 852.3m / Total Assets 23.59b)
RoE = 85.11% (Net Income TTM 852.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.00b)
RoCE = 19.76% (EBIT 1.66b / Capital Employed (Equity 1.00b + L.T.Debt 7.42b))
RoIC = 39.45% (NOPAT 1.13b / Invested Capital 2.85b)
WACC = 5.72% (E(25.46b)/V(33.83b) * Re(7.28%) + D(8.37b)/V(33.83b) * Rd(1.46%) * (1-Tc(0.32)))
Discount Rate = 7.28% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 7.95%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 0.02%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 88.43% ; FCFF base≈1.49b ; Y1≈1.84b ; Y5≈3.14b
Fair Price DCF = 1167 (EV 91.36b - Net Debt 3.56b = Equity 87.80b / Shares 75.2m; r=5.90% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 55.05 | EPS CAGR: 122.6% | SUE: 0.84 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 91.04 | Revenue CAGR: 14.88% | SUE: 0.59 | # QB: 0
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=12.31 | Chg30d=+0.563 | Revisions Net=+3 | Growth EPS=+19.1% | Growth Revenue=+11.7%