MBG Stock Analysis: Mercedes-Benz | XETRA

Auto Manufacturers | XETRA, Germany | Market Cap: 43.903m EUR | 12M Return: -5.5% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Luxury Cars, Vans, Auto Financing, Vehicle Insurance
Total Rating 31
Safety 67
Buy Signal -0.92
Auto Manufacturers
Industry Rotation: -1.8
Market Cap: 50.2B
Avg Turnover: 100M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility29.3%
VaR 5th Pctl5.17%
VaR vs Median6.97%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio-0.25
Rel. Str. IBD15.5
Rel. Str. Peer Group52.1
Character TTM
Beta0.619
Beta Downside0.640
Hurst Exponent0.460
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD34.38%
CAGR/Max DD-0.21
CAGR/Mean DD-0.47
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of MBG over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": 3.52, "2021-09": 2.33, "2021-12": 11.82, "2022-03": 2.26, "2022-06": 3.12, "2022-09": 3.77, "2022-12": 3.49, "2023-03": 3.69, "2023-06": 3.49, "2023-09": 3.49, "2023-12": 2.99, "2024-03": 2.67, "2024-06": 2.96, "2024-09": 1.82, "2024-12": 2.82, "2025-03": 1.9334, "2025-06": 1.46, "2025-09": 2.62, "2025-12": 1.43, "2026-03": 1.39,
EPS CAGR: -24.36%
EPS Trend: -98.4%
Last SUE: -0.08
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of MBG over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 34124, 2021-09: 31647, 2021-12: 35240, 2022-03: 34858, 2022-06: 36440, 2022-09: 37716, 2022-12: 41003, 2023-03: 37516, 2023-06: 38241, 2023-09: 37001, 2023-12: 40261, 2024-03: 35873, 2024-06: 36743, 2024-09: 34528, 2024-12: 38450, 2025-03: 33224, 2025-06: 33153, 2025-09: 32147, 2025-12: 33690, 2026-03: 31602,
Rev. CAGR: -6.17%
Rev. Trend: -97.6%
Last SUE: -0.01
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 10.5 years of data

Jan +1.2% 16
Feb +1.4% 29
Mar -3.5% 31
Apr -0.3% 16
May +2.0% 19
Jun -2.1% 27
Jul -1.1% 9
Aug -3.7% 10
Sep -0.1% 11
Oct +4.0% 9
Nov -1.4% 6
Dec -3.0% 6

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: MBG Mercedes-Benz

Mercedes-Benz Group AG is a German automotive company that designs, manufactures, and sells passenger cars and vans under the Mercedes-Benz, Mercedes-AMG, Mercedes-Maybach, and G-Class brands, along with related spare parts and accessories. The company operates through three segments: Mercedes-Benz Cars, Mercedes-Benz Vans, and Mercedes-Benz Financial Services, the last of which provides financing, leasing, vehicle subscription and rental, fleet management, insurance, and digital services for electric vehicle charging. The group sells its products in Europe, North America, Asia (including China), and other international markets, and is headquartered in Stuttgart, Germany. It was originally founded in 1886 and previously operated as Daimler AG before adopting its current name in February 2022.

As a large-cap stock listed on XETRA, Mercedes-Benz operates in the GICS Consumer Discretionary sector under the Automobile Manufacturers sub-industry, competing primarily in the global premium and luxury vehicle segment. The inclusion of EV charging digital services within its financial services segment reflects the broader industry-wide transition toward electrified mobility, in which established automakers are expanding their offerings beyond vehicle sales to include connected energy and software-based services.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • China luxury demand weakens amid economic slowdown and BYD competition
  • EV profitability under pressure from EU CO2 rules and battery costs
  • Financial Services margins compress as ECB cuts interest rates
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 2.0
Net Income: 4.88b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -1.49 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 22.49% < 20% (prev 17.89%; Δ 4.60% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.06 > 3% & CFO 15.8b > Net Income 4.88b
Net Debt (81.9b) to EBITDA (12.8b): 6.38 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.39 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (953.0m) vs 12m ago -1.03% < -2%
Gross Margin: 16.26% > 18% (prev 19.79%; Δ -3.53% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 50.24% > 50% (prev 54.71%; Δ -4.47% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: error (cannot be calculated; needs correct EBIT TTM and Interest Expense TTM)
Altman Z'' 2.50
A: 0.11 (Total Current Assets 105b - Total Current Liabilities 75.4b) / Total Assets 259b
B: 0.31 (Retained Earnings 79.1b / Total Assets 259b)
C: 0.02 (EBIT TTM 5.73b / Avg Total Assets 260b)
D: 0.58 (Book Value of Equity 94.2b / Total Liabilities 163b)
Altman-Z'' = 2.50 = A
Beneish M -2.88
DSRI: 1.04 (Receivables 43.0b/45.1b, Revenue 131b/143b)
GMI: 1.22 (GM 19.79% / 16.26%)
AQI: 0.97 (AQ_t 0.33 / AQ_t-1 0.34)
SGI: 0.91 (Revenue 131b / 143b)
TATA: -0.04 (NI 4.88b - CFO 15.8b) / TA 259b)
Beneish M = -2.88 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of MBG shares?

As of July 20, 2026, the stock is trading at EUR 45.51 with a total of 2,621,990 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.46%, over one month by +0.52%, over three months by -12.50% and over the past year by -5.50%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 43.90 (which is 3.5% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).

Is MBG a buy, sell or hold?

Mercedes-Benz has no consensus analysts rating.

Mercedes-Benz (MBG) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 18 July 2026
Market Cap USD = 50.2b (43.9b EUR * 1.1431 EUR.USD)
P/E Trailing = 9.0098
P/E Forward = 8.1967
P/S = 0.3362
P/B = 0.4664
P/EG = 0.5706
Revenue TTM = 131b EUR
EBIT TTM = 5.73b EUR
EBITDA TTM = 12.8b EUR
Long Term Debt = 52.1b EUR (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 37.2b EUR (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 101b EUR (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 1.97b
Net Debt = 81.9b EUR (calculated: Debt 101b - CCE 19.6b)
Enterprise Value = 126b EUR (43.9b + Debt 101b - CCE 19.6b)
 Interest Coverage Ratio = unknown (Ebit TTM 5.73b / Interest Expense TTM 0.0)
 EV/FCF = 13.65x (Enterprise Value 126b / FCF TTM 9.22b)
FCF Yield = 7.33% (FCF TTM 9.22b / Enterprise Value 126b)
FCF Margin = 7.06% (FCF TTM 9.22b / Revenue TTM 131b)
Net Margin = 3.74% (Net Income TTM 4.88b / Revenue TTM 131b)
Gross Margin = 16.26% ((Revenue TTM 131b - Cost of Revenue TTM 109b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 17.29% (prev 15.79%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.49 (Enterprise Value 126b / Total Assets 259b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.0% (Interest Expense 0.0 / Debt 101b)
Taxrate = 14.32% (841.0m / 5.87b)
NOPAT = 4.91b (EBIT 5.73b * (1 - 14.32%))
Current Ratio = 1.39 (Total Current Assets 105b / Total Current Liabilities 75.4b)
Debt / Equity = 1.08 (Debt 101b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 94.2b)
Debt / EBITDA = 6.38 (Net Debt 81.9b / EBITDA 12.8b)
Debt / FCF = 8.89 (Net Debt 81.9b / FCF TTM 9.22b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 92.5b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.88% (Net Income 4.88b / Total Assets 259b)
RoE = 5.28% (Net Income TTM 4.88b / Total Stockholder Equity 92.5b)
RoCE = 3.96% (EBIT 5.73b / Capital Employed (Equity 92.5b + L.T.Debt 52.1b))
RoIC = 2.30% (NOPAT 4.91b / Invested Capital 214b)
WACC = 2.46% (E(43.9b)/V(145b) * Re(8.16%) + D(101b)/V(145b) * Rd(0.0%) * (1-Tc(0.14)))
Discount Rate = 8.16% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -71.18 | Cagr: -3.93%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.10% ; FCFF base≈10.8b ; Y1≈9.48b ; Y5≈7.66b
[DCF] Fair Price = 42.91 (EV 123b - Net Debt 81.9b = Equity 41.1b / Shares 957.3m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow -15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -98.38 | EPS CAGR: -24.36% | SUE: -0.08 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -97.63 | Revenue CAGR: -6.17% | SUE: -0.01 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=1.33 | Chg30d=-0.37% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=2
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.48 | Chg30d=-1.33% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=2
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=5.84 | Chg30d=-1.71% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=-21.9% | GrowthRev=-0.4%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=7.43 | Chg30d=-1.75% | Revisions=-40% | GrowthEPS=+27.2% | GrowthRev=+3.1%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -62% (up=0, down=5)