(MBG) Mercedes-Benz - Ratings and Ratios
Cars, Vans, Financing, Mobility
MBG EPS (Earnings per Share)
MBG Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 23.9% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 39.1% |
| Reward | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.74 |
| Alpha Jensen | 13.05 |
| Character | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.470 |
| Beta | 0.726 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 34.38% |
| Mean DD | 13.64% |
Description: MBG Mercedes-Benz September 29, 2025
Mercedes-Benz Group AG (XETRA: MBG) is a German-based automotive conglomerate that designs, manufactures, and sells passenger cars and commercial vans under the Mercedes-Benz, Mercedes-AMG, Mercedes-Maybach, and G-Class marques, complemented by a portfolio of spare parts and accessories.
The firm operates through three primary segments: Mercedes-Benz Cars, Mercedes-Benz Vans, and Mercedes-Benz Mobility. The Mobility arm delivers financing, leasing, subscription, rental, fleet management, insurance brokerage, and digital services such as charging-station payment solutions, thereby monetising the brand beyond vehicle sales.
Historically known as Daimler AG, the company rebranded to Mercedes-Benz Group AG in February 2022. Founded in 1886 and headquartered in Stuttgart, it remains one of the world’s oldest and most recognizable automotive manufacturers.
Recent data (FY 2023) show total revenue of roughly €150 billion, with an adjusted EBIT margin of about 9 % and a free-cash-flow conversion rate near 6 %. Electric-vehicle (EV) sales now represent ~20 % of total deliveries, reflecting the group’s accelerated rollout of the EQ line and the impact of EU CO₂-emission standards. Key macro drivers include tightening European emission regulations, the ongoing semiconductor shortage that constrains production capacity, and the sensitivity of vehicle-financing demand to prevailing interest-rate cycles.
For a deeper quantitative breakdown of MBG’s valuation metrics and scenario analysis, the ValueRay platform offers a useful starting point.
MBG Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 64,966m |
| Sub-Industry | Automobile Manufacturers |
| IPO / Inception | |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | 7.05% |
| Analyst Rating | - |
MBG Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 7.23% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 13.29% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 33.60% |
| Payout Consistency | 76.3% |
| Payout Ratio | 48.7% |
MBG Growth Ratios
| CAGR | 5.44% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | 0.16 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | 0.40 |
| Current Volume | 2543.1k |
| Average Volume | 1927.2k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.5
| Net Income (6.25b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 8.22b TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.06 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 2.43pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 15.28% (prev 18.64%; Δ -3.36pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.08 (>3.0%) and CFO 20.80b > Net Income 6.25b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (88.68b) to EBITDA (15.26b) ratio: 5.81 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.27 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (962.9m) change vs 12m ago 0.57% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 17.85% (prev 19.90%; Δ -2.05pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 52.90% (prev 56.26%; Δ -3.36pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 64.71 (EBITDA TTM 15.26b / Interest Expense TTM 125.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 2.22
| (A) 0.08 = (Total Current Assets 97.27b - Total Current Liabilities 76.34b) / Total Assets 255.84b |
| (B) 0.30 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 75.62b / Total Assets 255.84b |
| (C) 0.03 = EBIT TTM 8.09b / Avg Total Assets 258.93b |
| (D) 0.49 = Book Value of Equity 79.99b / Total Liabilities 163.23b |
| Total Rating: 2.22 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 51.21
| 1. Piotroski 4.50pt = -0.50 |
| 2. FCF Yield 10.81% = 5.0 |
| 3. FCF Margin 10.74% = 2.69 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.12 = 1.91 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 5.81 = -2.50 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 3.20)% = 4.00 |
| 7. RoE 6.77% = 0.56 |
| 8. Rev. Trend -81.34% = -6.10 |
| 9. EPS Trend -77.11% = -3.86 |
What is the price of MBG shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.08%, over one month by +11.23%, over three months by +13.78% and over the past year by +24.06%.
Is Mercedes-Benz a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of MBG is around 63.82 EUR . This means that MBG is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of 7.37%.
Is MBG a buy, sell or hold?
What are the forecasts/targets for the MBG price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 61 | 2.6% |
| Analysts Target Price | - | - |
| ValueRay Target Price | 67.7 | 13.9% |
MBG Fundamental Data Overview January 01, 1970
Market Cap EUR = 56.28b (56.28b EUR * 1.0 EUR.EUR)
P/E Trailing = 9.0201
P/E Forward = 8.1037
P/S = 0.4109
P/B = 0.5874
P/EG = 53.1861
Beta = 0.726
Revenue TTM = 136.97b EUR
EBIT TTM = 8.09b EUR
EBITDA TTM = 15.26b EUR
Long Term Debt = 60.84b EUR (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 38.35b EUR (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 102.34b EUR (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 88.68b EUR (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 136.13b EUR (56.28b + Debt 102.34b - CCE 22.50b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 64.71 (Ebit TTM 8.09b / Interest Expense TTM 125.0m)
FCF Yield = 10.81% (FCF TTM 14.71b / Enterprise Value 136.13b)
FCF Margin = 10.74% (FCF TTM 14.71b / Revenue TTM 136.97b)
Net Margin = 4.56% (Net Income TTM 6.25b / Revenue TTM 136.97b)
Gross Margin = 17.85% ((Revenue TTM 136.97b - Cost of Revenue TTM 112.53b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 15.58% (prev 16.41%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.53 (Enterprise Value 136.13b / Total Assets 255.84b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.02% (Interest Expense 22.0m / Debt 102.34b)
Taxrate = -39.67% (negative due to tax credits) (-338.0m / 852.0m)
NOPAT = 11.30b (EBIT 8.09b * (1 - -39.67%)) [negative tax rate / tax credits]
Current Ratio = 1.27 (Total Current Assets 97.27b / Total Current Liabilities 76.34b)
Debt / Equity = 1.12 (Debt 102.34b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 91.71b)
Debt / EBITDA = 5.81 (Net Debt 88.68b / EBITDA 15.26b)
Debt / FCF = 6.03 (Net Debt 88.68b / FCF TTM 14.71b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 92.37b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.44% (Net Income 6.25b / Total Assets 255.84b)
RoE = 6.77% (Net Income TTM 6.25b / Total Stockholder Equity 92.37b)
RoCE = 5.28% (EBIT 8.09b / Capital Employed (Equity 92.37b + L.T.Debt 60.84b))
RoIC = 6.31% (NOPAT 11.30b / Invested Capital 179.15b)
WACC = 3.10% (E(56.28b)/V(158.62b) * Re(8.69%) + D(102.34b)/V(158.62b) * Rd(0.02%) * (1-Tc(-0.40)))
Discount Rate = 8.69% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -3.91%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 72.85% ; FCFE base≈12.31b ; Y1≈10.31b ; Y5≈7.66b
Fair Price DCF = 130.3 (DCF Value 125.51b / Shares Outstanding 962.9m; 5y FCF grow -19.68% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -77.11 | EPS CAGR: -9.90% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: -81.34 | Revenue CAGR: -8.47% | SUE: -0.95 | # QB: 0