MS51 Stock Analysis: Super Micro Computer | XETRA

Computer Hardware | XETRA, Germany | Market Cap: 15.745m EUR | 12M Return: -42.1% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

AI Servers, Storage Systems, Workstations, Networking Devices
Total Rating 23
Safety 31
Buy Signal -0.64
Computer Hardware
Industry Rotation: -18.2
Market Cap: 18.0B
Avg Turnover: 3.05M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility95.3%
VaR 5th Pctl14.3%
VaR vs Median-6.59%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio-0.31
Rel. Str. IBD13.2
Rel. Str. Peer Group20.5
Character TTM
Beta2.525
Beta Downside2.977
Hurst Exponent0.517
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD81.93%
CAGR/Max DD-0.52
CAGR/Mean DD-0.75
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of MS51 over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": 0.0616, "2021-09": 0.0408, "2021-12": 0.0686, "2022-03": 0.1276, "2022-06": 0.2435, "2022-09": 0.3328, "2022-12": 0.3078, "2023-03": 0.1423, "2023-06": 0.3148, "2023-09": 0.2524, "2023-12": 0.474, "2024-03": 0.6036, "2024-06": 0.4316, "2024-09": 0.6083, "2024-12": 0.4725, "2025-03": 0.1662, "2025-06": 0.2756, "2025-09": 0.2193, "2025-12": 0.518, "2026-03": 0.619,
EPS CAGR: 7.03%
EPS Trend: 23.9%
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of MS51 over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: null, 2021-09: null, 2021-12: null, 2022-03: null, 2022-06: 5196.099, 2022-09: null, 2022-12: null, 2023-03: null, 2023-06: 7123.482, 2023-09: null, 2023-12: null, 2024-03: null, 2024-06: 14989.251, 2024-09: 5937.256, 2024-12: 5677.962, 2025-03: 4599.913, 2025-06: 5756.911, 2025-09: 5017.79, 2025-12: 12682.491, 2026-03: 10243.014,
Rev. CAGR: 75.63%
Rev. Trend: 98.3%
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Beneish M-Score Likely Earnings Manipulation
Choppy
Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 2.2 years of data

Jan -6.0% -
Feb +6.0% -
Mar -34.3% -
Apr +3.2% 0
May +44.9% 40
Jun -9.6% 0
Jul +29.1% -
Aug -29.8% -
Sep +6.5% -
Oct +0.7% -
Nov -37.5% -
Dec -12.9% -

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: MS51 Super Micro Computer

Super Micro Computer (MS51) is a US-based designer and manufacturer of server, storage, and networking hardware, headquartered in San Jose, California, and incorporated in 1993. The company builds modular, open-standard systems that serve enterprise data centers, cloud computing, artificial intelligence, 5G, and edge computing markets, selling through direct sales, distributors, resellers, system integrators, and OEMs across the United States, Asia, Europe, and other international regions.

Its product portfolio spans liquid- and air-cooled AI servers with integrated GPUs or PCIe-based architectures, a range of blade and multi-node systems (SuperBlade, MicroBlade, FlexTwin, GrandTwin, BigTwin), storage and rackmount systems, embedded 5G/IoT/edge platforms, MicroCloud servers, workstations, and modular components such as server boards, chassis, and power supplies. The company also offers a remote server management software suite and provides rack-level integration, deployment, training, warranty, and technical support services for AI and HPC datacenter builds.

The server hardware sector is a foundational layer of the broader data center and cloud infrastructure industry, with demand closely tied to enterprise IT spending, cloud capacity buildouts, and the rapid expansion of AI training and inferencing workloads. Super Micros open-standard, modular architecture contrasts with proprietary systems from some larger competitors, allowing customers greater flexibility in component selection and faster deployment cycles for new platforms.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • AI server revenue surges on NVIDIA GPU demand
  • Hindenburg report triggers accounting probe and NASDAQ compliance risk
  • Liquid cooling systems win hyperscaler AI data center contracts
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 4.0
Net Income: 1.25b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: -0.29 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -4.90 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 39.90% < 20% (prev 53.94%; Δ -14.04% < -1%)
CFO/TA -0.29 > 3% & CFO -6.69b > Net Income 1.25b
Net Debt (-1.26b) to EBITDA (1.60b): -0.79 < 3
Current Ratio: 2.66 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (601.4m) vs 12m ago 0.77% < -2%
Gross Margin: 8.39% > 18% (prev 13.75%; Δ -5.36% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 197.1% > 50% (prev 139.6%; Δ 57.55% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 11.02 > 6 (EBIT TTM 1.51b / Interest Expense TTM 137.1m)
Altman Z'' 5.48
A: 0.57 (Total Current Assets 21.6b - Total Current Liabilities 8.12b) / Total Assets 23.5b
B: 0.19 (Retained Earnings 4.49b / Total Assets 23.5b)
C: 0.09 (EBIT TTM 1.51b / Avg Total Assets 17.1b)
D: 0.48 (Book Value of Equity 7.58b / Total Liabilities 15.9b)
Altman-Z'' = 5.48 = AAA
Beneish M -1.43
DSRI: 1.42 (Receivables 8.41b/2.64b, Revenue 33.7b/15.0b)
GMI: 1.64 (GM 13.75% / 8.39%)
AQI: 0.57 (AQ_t 0.04 / AQ_t-1 0.07)
SGI: 2.25 (Revenue 33.7b / 15.0b)
TATA: 0.34 (NI 1.25b - CFO -6.69b) / TA 23.5b)
Beneish M = -1.43 (Cap -4..+1) = D
What is the price of MS51 shares?

As of July 11, 2026, the stock is trading at EUR 25.10 with a total of 37,380 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.12%, over one month by -13.27%, over three months by +18.96% and over the past year by -42.14%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 22.80 (which is 9.2% or 1.2 ATR below the current price).

Is MS51 a buy, sell or hold?

Super Micro Computer has no consensus analysts rating.

Super Micro Computer (MS51) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 05 July 2026
Market Cap USD = 18.0b (15.7b EUR * 1.1431 EUR.USD)
Market Cap USD = 18.0b (15.7b EUR * 1.1431 EUR.USD)
P/E Trailing = 14.5749
P/E Forward = 8.7184
P/S = 0.4672
P/B = 2.3669
Revenue TTM = 33.7b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.51b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.60b USD
Long Term Debt = 6.68b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 2.10b USD (from shortLongTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 32.7m USD (Leases only: 32.7m)
Net Debt = -1.26b USD (calculated: Debt 32.7m - CCE 1.29b)
Enterprise Value = 16.7b USD (18.0b + Debt 32.7m - CCE 1.29b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 11.02 (Ebit TTM 1.51b / Interest Expense TTM 137.1m)
EV/FCF = -2.44x (Enterprise Value 16.7b / FCF TTM -6.85b)
FCF Yield = -40.92% (FCF TTM -6.85b / Enterprise Value 16.7b)
FCF Margin = -20.33% (FCF TTM -6.85b / Revenue TTM 33.7b)
Net Margin = 3.70% (Net Income TTM 1.25b / Revenue TTM 33.7b)
Gross Margin = 8.39% ((Revenue TTM 33.7b - Cost of Revenue TTM 30.9b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 9.95% (prev 6.30%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.71 (Enterprise Value 16.7b / Total Assets 23.5b)
 Interest Expense / Debt = 419.1% (Interest Expense 137.1m / Debt 32.7m)
 Taxrate = 18.51% (285.5m / 1.54b)
NOPAT = 1.23b (EBIT 1.51b * (1 - 18.51%))
Current Ratio = 2.66 (Total Current Assets 21.6b / Total Current Liabilities 8.12b)
Debt / Equity = 0.00 (Debt 32.7m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 7.58b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.79 (Net Debt -1.26b / EBITDA 1.60b)
 Debt / FCF = 0.18 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -1.26b / FCF TTM -6.85b)
 Total Stockholder Equity = 6.85b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 7.30% (Net Income 1.25b / Total Assets 23.5b)
RoE = 18.22% (Net Income TTM 1.25b / Total Stockholder Equity 6.85b)
RoCE = 11.17% (EBIT 1.51b / Capital Employed (Equity 6.85b + L.T.Debt 6.68b))
RoIC = 8.77% (NOPAT 1.23b / Invested Capital 14.0b)
WACC = 14.83% (E(18.0b)/V(18.0b) * Re(14.86%) + (debt cost/tax rate unavailable))
Discount Rate = 14.86% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> capped to 13.17%
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 90.48 | Cagr: 1.17%
 [DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -6.85b)
 EPS Correlation: 23.86 | EPS CAGR: 7.03% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 98.33 | Revenue CAGR: 75.63% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.00 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=N/A | Analysts=0
EPS current Year (2027-06-30): EPS=0.00 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=N/A | GrowthEPS=+0.0% | GrowthRev=+30.3%