NDA Stock Analysis: Aurubis | XETRA

Metal Fabrication | XETRA, Germany | Market Cap: 7.880m EUR | 12M Return: 83.1% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Copper Products, Metal Recycling, Precious Metals, Industrial Metals
Total Rating 50
Safety 78
Buy Signal 0.08
Metal Fabrication
Industry Rotation: -25.5
Market Cap: 8.98B
Avg Turnover: 24.5M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility39.2%
VaR 5th Pctl6.55%
VaR vs Median1.59%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio1.65
Rel. Str. IBD80.1
Rel. Str. Peer Group77.2
Character TTM
Beta1.308
Beta Downside1.289
Hurst Exponent0.490
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD31.33%
CAGR/Max DD0.94
CAGR/Mean DD2.73
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of NDA over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": 1.45, "2021-09": 2.94, "2021-12": 2.7, "2022-03": 4.79, "2022-06": 1.79, "2022-09": 2.9013, "2022-12": 2.26, "2023-03": 2.42, "2023-06": 2.11, "2023-09": -1.25, "2023-12": 1.3285, "2024-03": 2.41, "2024-06": 1.66, "2024-09": 1.54, "2024-12": 2.26, "2025-03": 1.73, "2025-06": 0.94, "2025-09": 1.04, "2025-12": 1.86, "2026-03": 2.15,
EPS CAGR: 0.07%
EPS Trend: 0.3%
Last SUE: -0.33
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of NDA over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 4673.704, 2021-09: 4159.682, 2021-12: 4455, 2022-03: 4909.336, 2022-06: 5061.664, 2022-09: 4094.522, 2022-12: 4169, 2023-03: 4729.123, 2023-06: 4166.726, 2023-09: 4112.708, 2023-12: 3934, 2024-03: 4352.639, 2024-06: 4710.354, 2024-09: 4207.261, 2024-12: 4224, 2025-03: 5004, 2025-06: 4616, 2025-09: 4390, 2025-12: 5284, 2026-03: 6036,
Rev. CAGR: 5.82%
Rev. Trend: 86.2%
Last SUE: -0.57
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Below Avwap Earnings

Tailwinds

Seasonal Tailwind
Confidence

Seasonality 10.5 years of data

Jan -0.1% 0
Feb -0.2% 0
Mar -0.6% 13
Apr +0.6% 13
May +1.9% 14
Jun -2.1% 14
Jul +5.5% 54
Aug -3.9% 24
Sep -7.3% 47
Oct +6.1% 40
Nov +0.6% 11
Dec +0.1% 8

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: NDA Aurubis

Aurubis AG is a German metal processor headquartered in Hamburg that operates one of Europes largest integrated copper smelter networks. The company processes metal concentrates and a wide range of recycling raw materials-including scrap metals, electronic waste, printed circuit boards, and industrial residues-into refined copper and a broad portfolio of by-products such as gold, silver, tin, lead, tellurium, and selenium. Beyond primary smelting, Aurubis manufactures downstream copper and alloy products including cast rods, specialty wires, rolled products, and architectural components, and also markets co-products like sulfuric acid and iron silicate. The business model is notable for its vertical integration, combining primary concentrate processing with secondary raw material recycling to recover multiple metals from complex feed streams.

Aurubis was incorporated in 1866 and was known as Norddeutsche Affinerie AG until adopting its current name in April 2009. As a member of the Industrials sector classified under Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components, the company sits at the intersection of mining, metallurgy, and recycling-making its earnings sensitive to global copper prices, treatment and refining charges, and the availability of scrap feed materials.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Copper prices and TC/RCs drive core smelting segment earnings
  • Energy and natural gas costs pressure European smelting margins
  • Recycling and multi-metal expansion projects lift future processing capacity
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 3.5
Net Income: 920.9m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: -0.00 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.71 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 18.13% < 20% (prev 16.11%; Δ 2.02% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.06 > 3% & CFO 651.0m > Net Income 920.9m
Net Debt (402.0m) to EBITDA (1.49b): 0.27 < 3
Current Ratio: 2.14 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (43.7m) vs 12m ago 0.0% < -2%
Gross Margin: 8.43% > 18% (prev 11.41%; Δ -2.98% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 211.7% > 50% (prev 211.7%; Δ -0.02% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 65.21 > 6 (EBIT TTM 1.24b / Interest Expense TTM 19.0m)
Altman Z'' 6.03
A: 0.35 (Total Current Assets 6.91b - Total Current Liabilities 3.22b) / Total Assets 10.6b
B: 0.51 (Retained Earnings 5.37b / Total Assets 10.6b)
C: 0.13 (EBIT TTM 1.24b / Avg Total Assets 9.60b)
D: 1.19 (Book Value of Equity 5.77b / Total Liabilities 4.86b)
Altman-Z'' = 6.03 = AAA
Beneish M -2.86
DSRI: 0.81 (Receivables 788.0m/870.0m, Revenue 20.3b/18.1b)
GMI: 1.35 (GM 11.41% / 8.43%)
AQI: 0.85 (AQ_t 0.03 / AQ_t-1 0.04)
SGI: 1.12 (Revenue 20.3b / 18.1b)
TATA: 0.03 (NI 920.9m - CFO 651.0m) / TA 10.6b)
Beneish M = -2.86 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of NDA shares?

As of July 13, 2026, the stock is trading at EUR 170.40 with a total of 142,997 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -5.60%, over one month by -13.37%, over three months by -5.23% and over the past year by +83.08%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 150.90 (which is 11.4% or 2.6 ATR below the current price).

Is NDA a buy, sell or hold?

Aurubis has no consensus analysts rating.

Aurubis (NDA) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 07 July 2026
Market Cap USD = 8.98b (7.88b EUR * 1.14 EUR.USD)
P/E Trailing = 8.5626
P/E Forward = 8.9686
P/S = 0.387
P/B = 1.3667
P/EG = 1.8321
Revenue TTM = 20.3b EUR
EBIT TTM = 1.24b EUR
EBITDA TTM = 1.49b EUR
Long Term Debt = 452.0m EUR (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 60.0m EUR (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 569.0m EUR (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 45.0m
Net Debt = 402.0m EUR (calculated: Debt 569.0m - CCE 167.0m)
Enterprise Value = 8.28b EUR (7.88b + Debt 569.0m - CCE 167.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 65.21 (Ebit TTM 1.24b / Interest Expense TTM 19.0m)
EV/FCF = -1000.0x (Enterprise Value 8.28b / FCF TTM -2.00m)
FCF Yield = -0.02% (FCF TTM -2.00m / Enterprise Value 8.28b)
FCF Margin = -0.01% (FCF TTM -2.00m / Revenue TTM 20.3b)
Net Margin = 4.53% (Net Income TTM 920.9m / Revenue TTM 20.3b)
Gross Margin = 8.43% ((Revenue TTM 20.3b - Cost of Revenue TTM 18.6b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 11.30% (prev 8.78%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.78 (Enterprise Value 8.28b / Total Assets 10.6b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.34% (Interest Expense 19.0m / Debt 569.0m)
Taxrate = 25.82% (321.0m / 1.24b)
NOPAT = 919.0m (EBIT 1.24b * (1 - 25.82%))
Current Ratio = 2.14 (Total Current Assets 6.91b / Total Current Liabilities 3.22b)
Debt / Equity = 0.10 (Debt 569.0m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 5.77b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.27 (Net Debt 402.0m / EBITDA 1.49b)
 Debt / FCF = -201.0 (out of range, set to none) (Net Debt 402.0m / FCF TTM -2.00m)
 Total Stockholder Equity = 5.27b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 9.59% (Net Income 920.9m / Total Assets 10.6b)
RoE = 17.46% (Net Income TTM 920.9m / Total Stockholder Equity 5.27b)
RoCE = 21.64% (EBIT 1.24b / Capital Employed (Equity 5.27b + L.T.Debt 452.0m))
RoIC = 12.58% (NOPAT 919.0m / Invested Capital 7.30b)
WACC = 10.03% (E(7.88b)/V(8.45b) * Re(10.58%) + D(569.0m)/V(8.45b) * Rd(3.34%) * (1-Tc(0.26)))
Discount Rate = 10.58% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -18.26 | Cagr: 0.0%
 [DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -2.00m)
 EPS Correlation: 0.26 | EPS CAGR: 0.07% | SUE: -0.33 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 86.24 | Revenue CAGR: 5.82% | SUE: -0.57 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=2.31 | Chg30d=+4.24% | Revisions=+25% | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-09-30): EPS=8.83 | Chg30d=+0.45% | Revisions=+36% | GrowthEPS=+47.8% | GrowthRev=+30.8%
EPS next Year (2027-09-30): EPS=10.38 | Chg30d=+1.01% | Revisions=+55% | GrowthEPS=+17.6% | GrowthRev=+6.9%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +55% (up=14, down=3)