(RIO1) Rio Tinto - Ratings and Ratios
Iron Ore, Aluminium, Copper, Borates, Titanium dioxide
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 5.44% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 9.03% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 3.26% |
| Payout Consistency | 87.7% |
| Payout Ratio | 63.4% |
| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 21.1% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 33.5% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -3.53% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.09 |
| Alpha | 21.21 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.23 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.457 |
| Beta | 0.209 |
| Beta Downside | 0.438 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 25.70% |
| Mean DD | 11.55% |
| Median DD | 11.88% |
Description: RIO1 Rio Tinto December 03, 2025
Rio Tinto Group (XETRA: RIO1) is a globally diversified miner that extracts and processes a range of commodities through four operating segments: Iron Ore, Aluminium, Copper, and Minerals. The Iron Ore segment runs large-scale open-pit mines and produces salt and gypsum in Western Australia; the Aluminium segment covers the full value chain from bauxite mining to alumina refining, primary smelting and recycling; the Copper segment extracts copper along with gold, silver, molybdenum and other by-products while pursuing new exploration; the Minerals segment handles borates, titanium-dioxide feedstock, iron concentrate, diamonds, and is expanding into battery-grade materials such as lithium. The company also owns the associated refineries, smelters, power and shipping assets needed to move these products to market. Founded in 1873, Rio Tinto is headquartered in London and trades under the “Diversified Metals & Mining” GICS sub-industry.
Key recent metrics underline the firm’s exposure to macro trends: FY 2023 revenue reached roughly US $63 billion, with iron ore contributing about 60 % of earnings; free cash flow was US $14 billion, supporting a dividend yield near 5 % and a US $10 billion share-repurchase program. Commodity-price drivers remain pivotal-iron-ore spot prices have averaged US $115 / tonne in 2023, while copper prices rose ≈ 30 % year-on-year, reflecting accelerating demand from renewable-energy infrastructure and electric-vehicle production. The company’s emerging lithium-battery material projects align with the projected 10 % CAGR in global battery-grade lithium demand through 2030, a sector driver that could diversify earnings away from traditional bulk metals.
For a deeper quantitative view of Rio Tinto’s valuation and risk profile, the ValueRay platform provides a concise, data-driven dashboard worth exploring.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 8.0
| Net Income (21.02b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 6.47b TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.10 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -3.54pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 6.69% (prev 12.57%; Δ -5.88pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.25 (>3.0%) and CFO 30.71b > Net Income 21.02b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (14.62b) to EBITDA (41.96b) ratio: 0.35 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.53 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (1.64b) change vs 12m ago 0.46% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 42.51% (prev 37.01%; Δ 5.50pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 98.83% (prev 84.28%; Δ 14.55pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 16.09 (EBITDA TTM 41.96b / Interest Expense TTM 1.93b) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 4.30
| (A) 0.06 = (Total Current Assets 20.96b - Total Current Liabilities 13.74b) / Total Assets 120.81b |
| (B) 0.36 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 43.38b / Total Assets 120.81b |
| (C) 0.28 = EBIT TTM 30.98b / Avg Total Assets 109.18b |
| (D) 0.80 = Book Value of Equity 46.80b / Total Liabilities 58.84b |
| Total Rating: 4.30 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 77.04
| 1. Piotroski 8.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 8.42% |
| 3. FCF Margin 11.37% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.41 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 0.35 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 23.53)% |
| 7. RoE 37.66% |
| 8. Rev. Trend -37.84% |
| 10. EPS Trend data missing |
What is the price of RIO1 shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.03%, over one month by +10.78%, over three months by +22.10% and over the past year by +28.43%.
Is RIO1 a buy, sell or hold?
What are the forecasts/targets for the RIO1 price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | - | - |
| Analysts Target Price | - | - |
| ValueRay Target Price | 66.2 | -3.7% |
RIO1 Fundamental Data Overview December 29, 2025
Market Cap USD = 131.46b (111.68b EUR * 1.1771 EUR.USD)
P/E Trailing = 12.8708
P/E Forward = 11.5875
P/S = 2.0786
P/B = 2.2574
Beta = 0.604
Revenue TTM = 107.91b USD
EBIT TTM = 30.98b USD
EBITDA TTM = 41.96b USD
Long Term Debt = 21.58b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 875.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 23.64b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 14.62b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 145.77b USD (131.46b + Debt 23.64b - CCE 9.33b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 16.09 (Ebit TTM 30.98b / Interest Expense TTM 1.93b)
FCF Yield = 8.42% (FCF TTM 12.27b / Enterprise Value 145.77b)
FCF Margin = 11.37% (FCF TTM 12.27b / Revenue TTM 107.91b)
Net Margin = 19.48% (Net Income TTM 21.02b / Revenue TTM 107.91b)
Gross Margin = 42.51% ((Revenue TTM 107.91b - Cost of Revenue TTM 62.04b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 27.62% (prev 80.33%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.21 (Enterprise Value 145.77b / Total Assets 120.81b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.25% (Interest Expense 296.0m / Debt 23.64b)
Taxrate = 32.67% (2.20b / 6.74b)
NOPAT = 20.86b (EBIT 30.98b * (1 - 32.67%))
Current Ratio = 1.53 (Total Current Assets 20.96b / Total Current Liabilities 13.74b)
Debt / Equity = 0.41 (Debt 23.64b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 58.20b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.35 (Net Debt 14.62b / EBITDA 41.96b)
Debt / FCF = 1.19 (Net Debt 14.62b / FCF TTM 12.27b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 55.82b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 17.40% (Net Income 21.02b / Total Assets 120.81b)
RoE = 37.66% (Net Income TTM 21.02b / Total Stockholder Equity 55.82b)
RoCE = 40.02% (EBIT 30.98b / Capital Employed (Equity 55.82b + L.T.Debt 21.58b))
RoIC = 29.42% (NOPAT 20.86b / Invested Capital 70.91b)
WACC = 5.88% (E(131.46b)/V(155.10b) * Re(6.79%) + D(23.64b)/V(155.10b) * Rd(1.25%) * (1-Tc(0.33)))
Discount Rate = 6.79% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 0.15%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 75.38% ; FCFE base≈12.70b ; Y1≈10.62b ; Y5≈7.87b
Fair Price DCF = 115.3 (DCF Value 144.65b / Shares Outstanding 1.25b; 5y FCF grow -19.83% → 3.0% )
Revenue Correlation: -37.84 | Revenue CAGR: 2.81% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0