RRTL Stock Analysis: RTL | XETRA
Broadcasting | XETRA, Germany | Market Cap: 4.836m EUR | 12M Return: -8% | LU0061462528 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 2.47M
EPS Trend: -98.3%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: -59.3%
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.6 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
RTL Group S.A. is a Luxembourg-based entertainment company and a subsidiary of Bertelsmann Capital Holding GmbH. Its operations span TV channels, radio stations, and streaming services (RTL+, Videoland, M6+) across several European markets, including France, Germany, the Netherlands, Spain, Luxembourg, and Hungary. Beyond broadcasting, the company owns Fremantle, a major global content producer and distributor of scripted and unscripted programming, along with digital businesses such as Bedrock (streaming technology), Smartclip (ad-tech), and We Are Era (social media). Founded in 1924, RTL Group operates a vertically integrated media model that combines linear broadcasting, content production, streaming platforms, and advertising technology.
The company sits within the European Broadcasting sub-industry, a sector undergoing a structural shift from traditional linear TV toward on-demand streaming and digital advertising. RTLs hybrid model, pairing broadcast assets with production (Fremantle) and ad-tech (Smartclip), reflects a broader industry trend of broadcasters diversifying revenue beyond advertising-dependent linear TV.
- Fremantle production revenue expands on global content demand
- RTL+ and M6+ subscriber growth lifts streaming revenue
- European linear TV ad weakness pressures broadcast margins
| Net Income: 993.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.03 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -3.45 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 9.22% < 20% (prev 13.81%; Δ -4.59% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.04 > 3% & CFO 448.0m > Net Income 993.0m |
| Net Debt (1.77b) to EBITDA (535.0m): 3.31 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.15 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (151.3m) vs 12m ago -2.25% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 54.66% > 18% (prev 54.84%; Δ -0.18% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 61.87% > 50% (prev 63.56%; Δ -1.70% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 3.56 > 6 (EBIT TTM 317.0m / Interest Expense TTM 89.0m) |
| A: 0.06 (Total Current Assets 4.38b - Total Current Liabilities 3.81b) / Total Assets 10.1b |
| B: 0.47 (Retained Earnings 4.72b / Total Assets 10.1b) |
| C: 0.03 (EBIT TTM 317.0m / Avg Total Assets 9.90b) |
| D: 0.73 (Book Value of Equity 3.96b / Total Liabilities 5.40b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 2.87 = A |
| DSRI: 1.22 (Receivables 2.17b/1.79b, Revenue 6.13b/6.16b) |
| GMI: 1.00 (GM 54.84% / 54.66%) |
| AQI: 1.02 (AQ_t 0.50 / AQ_t-1 0.49) |
| SGI: 0.99 (Revenue 6.13b / 6.16b) |
| TATA: 0.05 (NI 993.0m - CFO 448.0m) / TA 10.1b) |
| Beneish M = -2.83 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of September 02, 2026, the stock is trading at EUR 32.00 with a total of 61,474 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.23%, over one month by -1.39%, over three months by +1.27% and over the past year by -8.04%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 31.10 (which is 2.8% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).
RTL has no consensus analysts rating.
P/E Trailing = 54.322
P/E Forward = 12.1507
P/S = 0.7893
P/B = 1.2129
Revenue TTM = 6.13b EUR
EBIT TTM = 317.0m EUR
EBITDA TTM = 535.0m EUR
Long Term Debt = 436.0m EUR (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 887.0m EUR (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.02b EUR (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 316.0m
Net Debt = 1.77b EUR (calculated: Debt 2.02b - CCE 252.0m)
Enterprise Value = 6.61b EUR (4.84b + Debt 2.02b - CCE 252.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.56 (Ebit TTM 317.0m / Interest Expense TTM 89.0m)
EV/FCF = 19.27x (Enterprise Value 6.61b / FCF TTM 343.0m)
FCF Yield = 5.19% (FCF TTM 343.0m / Enterprise Value 6.61b)
FCF Margin = 5.60% (FCF TTM 343.0m / Revenue TTM 6.13b)
Net Margin = 16.21% (Net Income TTM 993.0m / Revenue TTM 6.13b)
Gross Margin = 54.66% ((Revenue TTM 6.13b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.78b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 55.88% (prev 55.88%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.65 (Enterprise Value 6.61b / Total Assets 10.1b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.40% (Interest Expense 89.0m / Debt 2.02b)
Taxrate = 44.54% (102.0m / 229.0m)
NOPAT = 175.8m (EBIT 317.0m * (1 - 44.54%))
Current Ratio = 1.15 (Total Current Assets 4.38b / Total Current Liabilities 3.81b)
Debt / Equity = 0.51 (Debt 2.02b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.96b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.31 (Net Debt 1.77b / EBITDA 535.0m)
Debt / FCF = 5.17 (Net Debt 1.77b / FCF TTM 343.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 4.33b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 10.03% (Net Income 993.0m / Total Assets 10.1b)
RoE = 22.93% (Net Income TTM 993.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 4.33b)
RoCE = 6.65% (EBIT 317.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 4.33b + L.T.Debt 436.0m))
RoIC = 2.54% (NOPAT 175.8m / Invested Capital 6.93b)
WACC = 4.46% (E(4.84b)/V(6.86b) * Re(5.30%) + D(2.02b)/V(6.86b) * Rd(4.40%) * (1-Tc(0.45)))
Discount Rate = 5.30% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -86.36 | Cagr: -1.01%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.10% ; FCFF base≈471.0m ; Y1≈413.0m ; Y5≈333.7m
[DCF] Fair Price = 23.75 (EV 5.36b - Net Debt 1.77b = Equity 3.58b / Shares 150.9m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow -15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -98.31 | EPS CAGR: -35.10% | SUE: 0.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -59.32 | Revenue CAGR: -9.75% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
EPS current Year (2025-12-31): EPS=2.10 | Chg30d=-6.48% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=-38.0% | GrowthRev=-1.8%
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.20 | Chg30d=-6.97% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+155.1% | GrowthRev=+18.5%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +40% (up=2, down=0)