RRTL Stock Analysis: RTL | XETRA
Broadcasting | XETRA, Germany | Market Cap: 4.828m EUR | 12M Return: -8.2% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 2.55M
EPS Trend: -98.3%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: -53.5%
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
RTL Group S.A. is a Luxembourg-based entertainment company and a subsidiary of Bertelsmann Capital Holding GmbH. Its operations span TV channels, radio stations, and streaming services (RTL+, Videoland, M6+) across several European markets, including France, Germany, the Netherlands, Spain, Luxembourg, and Hungary. Beyond broadcasting, the company owns Fremantle, a major global content producer and distributor of scripted and unscripted programming, along with digital businesses such as Bedrock (streaming technology), Smartclip (ad-tech), and We Are Era (social media). Founded in 1924, RTL Group operates a vertically integrated media model that combines linear broadcasting, content production, streaming platforms, and advertising technology.
The company sits within the European Broadcasting sub-industry, a sector undergoing a structural shift from traditional linear TV toward on-demand streaming and digital advertising. RTLs hybrid model, pairing broadcast assets with production (Fremantle) and ad-tech (Smartclip), reflects a broader industry trend of broadcasters diversifying revenue beyond advertising-dependent linear TV.
- Fremantle production revenue expands on global content demand
- RTL+ and M6+ subscriber growth lifts streaming revenue
- European linear TV ad weakness pressures broadcast margins
| Net Income: 979.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -1.51 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 25.87% < 20% (prev 20.16%; Δ 5.72% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.05 > 3% & CFO 561.0m > Net Income 979.0m |
| Net Debt (974.0m) to EBITDA (506.0m): 1.92 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.43 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (153.2m) vs 12m ago -1.02% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 54.22% > 18% (prev 35.15%; Δ 19.07% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 58.09% > 50% (prev 75.15%; Δ -17.06% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 2.88 > 6 (EBIT TTM 256.0m / Interest Expense TTM 89.0m) |
| A: 0.15 (Total Current Assets 5.16b - Total Current Liabilities 3.60b) / Total Assets 10.5b |
| B: 0.45 (Retained Earnings 4.72b / Total Assets 10.5b) |
| C: 0.02 (EBIT TTM 256.0m / Avg Total Assets 10.4b) |
| D: 0.95 (Book Value of Equity 4.70b / Total Liabilities 4.97b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 3.60 = A |
| DSRI: 2.31 (Receivables 3.04b/1.68b, Revenue 6.02b/7.69b) |
| GMI: 0.65 (GM 35.15% / 54.22%) |
| AQI: 0.97 (AQ_t 0.46 / AQ_t-1 0.47) |
| SGI: 0.78 (Revenue 6.02b / 7.69b) |
| TATA: 0.04 (NI 979.0m - CFO 561.0m) / TA 10.5b) |
| Beneish M = -2.43 (Cap -4..+1) = BBB |
As of July 15, 2026, the stock is trading at EUR 31.10 with a total of 75,918 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.51%, over one month by -3.27%, over three months by -16.74% and over the past year by -8.16%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 30.10 (which is 3.2% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).
RTL has no consensus analysts rating.
P/E Trailing = 208.0
P/E Forward = 11.9048
P/S = 0.8023
P/B = 1.0272
Revenue TTM = 6.02b EUR
EBIT TTM = 256.0m EUR
EBITDA TTM = 506.0m EUR
Long Term Debt = 436.0m EUR (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 431.0m EUR (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.43b EUR (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 316.0m
Net Debt = 974.0m EUR (calculated: Debt 1.43b - CCE 457.0m)
Enterprise Value = 5.80b EUR (4.83b + Debt 1.43b - CCE 457.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.88 (Ebit TTM 256.0m / Interest Expense TTM 89.0m)
EV/FCF = 12.86x (Enterprise Value 5.80b / FCF TTM 451.0m)
FCF Yield = 7.77% (FCF TTM 451.0m / Enterprise Value 5.80b)
FCF Margin = 7.49% (FCF TTM 451.0m / Revenue TTM 6.02b)
Net Margin = 16.27% (Net Income TTM 979.0m / Revenue TTM 6.02b)
Gross Margin = 54.22% ((Revenue TTM 6.02b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.75b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 53.57% (prev 53.57%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.55 (Enterprise Value 5.80b / Total Assets 10.5b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 6.22% (Interest Expense 89.0m / Debt 1.43b)
Taxrate = 25.0% (non-US conservative default 25%)
NOPAT = 192.0m (EBIT 256.0m * (1 - 25.00%))
Current Ratio = 1.43 (Total Current Assets 5.16b / Total Current Liabilities 3.60b)
Debt / Equity = 0.30 (Debt 1.43b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 4.70b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.92 (Net Debt 974.0m / EBITDA 506.0m)
Debt / FCF = 2.16 (Net Debt 974.0m / FCF TTM 451.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 4.29b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 9.45% (Net Income 979.0m / Total Assets 10.5b)
RoE = 22.80% (Net Income TTM 979.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 4.29b)
RoCE = 5.41% (EBIT 256.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 4.29b + L.T.Debt 436.0m))
RoIC = 2.74% (NOPAT 192.0m / Invested Capital 7.02b)
WACC = 5.49% (E(4.83b)/V(6.26b) * Re(5.74%) + D(1.43b)/V(6.26b) * Rd(6.22%) * (1-Tc(0.25)))
Discount Rate = 5.74% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -69.63 | Cagr: -0.46%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.10% ; FCFF base≈508.6m ; Y1≈446.0m ; Y5≈360.4m
[DCF] Fair Price = 31.08 (EV 5.78b - Net Debt 974.0m = Equity 4.81b / Shares 154.7m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow -15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -98.31 | EPS CAGR: -35.10% | SUE: 0.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -53.47 | Revenue CAGR: -8.40% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
EPS current Year (2025-12-31): EPS=2.10 | Chg30d=-6.48% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=-38.0% | GrowthRev=-1.8%
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.36 | Chg30d=+0.06% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+174.2% | GrowthRev=+1.8%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +40% (up=2, down=0)