(TRFE) Invesco US Treasury Bond - Ratings and Ratios
US Treasury Bonds, Euro Hedging, Government Debt, Currency Derivatives
Description: TRFE Invesco US Treasury Bond
The Invesco US Treasury Bond UCITS ETF EUR Hdg Dist is an exchange-traded fund listed on the XETRA exchange with the ticker symbol TRFE. It is designed to provide investors with exposure to US Treasury bonds while hedging against currency fluctuations, distributing income in Euros.
From a technical analysis perspective, the ETF is currently trading at €31.77, slightly above its short-term moving averages (SMA20: €31.67, SMA50: €31.71), indicating a potential bullish trend. The Average True Range (ATR) of 0.11, or 0.36%, suggests relatively low volatility. Given the current price is below the 52-week high of €32.76 and above the 52-week low of €30.66, it indicates a stable trading range.
The fund has a substantial Assets Under Management (AUM) of €1092.13 million, indicating a considerable investor base and liquidity. As an ETF focused on US Treasury bonds, it is likely to be influenced by interest rate changes and economic indicators related to the US economy.
Forecasting the ETFs performance involves analyzing both technical indicators and fundamental data. Given the current technical setup, with the price above its short-term moving averages and relatively low volatility, a potential short-term target could be the 52-week high of €32.76. However, this would depend on broader market conditions, particularly US interest rate decisions and Eurozone economic health. If US Treasury yields continue to be stable or decrease, and the Eurozone economy remains steady, the ETF could see a positive trajectory. Conversely, any significant increase in US Treasury yields or deterioration in the Eurozone economy could negatively impact the ETFs price.
Considering the hedging against currency fluctuations, the ETFs performance in Euros will also be influenced by EUR/USD exchange rate movements. A stronger Euro against the USD could negatively impact the hedged returns if not properly managed by the funds hedging strategy.
Additional Sources for TRFE ETF
TRFE ETF Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 1,289m |
| Category | Other Bond |
| IPO / Inception | 2022-02-01 |
TRFE ETF Ratings
| Growth Rating | -25.9 |
| Fundamental | - |
| Dividend Rating | 68.5 |
| Rel. Strength | 3.35 |
| Analysts | - |
| Fair Price Momentum | 30.78 EUR |
| Fair Price DCF | - |
TRFE Dividends
| Dividend Yield 12m | 3.82% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 3.39% |
| Annual Growth 5y | 31.91% |
| Payout Consistency | 100.0% |
| Payout Ratio | % |
TRFE Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | -3.3% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | -17.1% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | -38.7% |
| CAGR 5y | -3.32% |
| CAGR/Max DD 5y | -0.19 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | -0.82 |
| Alpha | -1.35 |
| Beta | -0.107 |
| Volatility | 5.30% |
| Current Volume | 2k |
| Average Volume 20d | 1.2k |
As of July 04, 2025, the stock is trading at EUR 31.89 with a total of 2,036 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.29%, over one month by +0.83%, over three months by -1.17% and over the past year by +2.10%.
Probably not. Based on ValueRay´s Analyses, Invesco US Treasury Bond (XETRA:TRFE) is currently (July 2025) not a good stock to buy. It has a ValueRay Growth Rating of -25.93 and therefor a somwhat technical negative rating according to historical growth.
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of TRFE is around 30.78 EUR . This means that TRFE is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -3.48%.
Invesco US Treasury Bond has no consensus analysts rating.
According to our own proprietary Forecast Model, TRFE Invesco US Treasury Bond will be worth about 33.2 in July 2026. The stock is currently trading at 31.89. This means that the stock has a potential upside of +4.23%.
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | - | - |
| Analysts Target Price | - | - |
| ValueRay Target Price | 33.2 | 4.2% |