(TUI1) TUI - Overview
Sector: Consumer Cyclical | Industry: Travel Services | Exchange: XETRA (Germany) | Market Cap: 3.266m EUR | Total Return: -6.9% in 12m
Hotels, Cruises, Airline, Tour Packages, Excursions
Total Rating 24
Safety 25
Buy Signal -0.49
Travel Services
Industry Rotation: -9.1
Industry Rotation: -9.1
Market Cap:
3.80B
Avg Turnover: 28.1M
Avg Turnover: 28.1M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility39.9%
VaR 5th Pctl6.77%
VaR vs Median3.06%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio-0.03
Rel. Str. IBD11.4
Rel. Str. Peer Group16.7
Character TTM
Beta0.982
Beta Downside0.894
Hurst Exponent0.435
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD37.43%
CAGR/Max DD0.05
CAGR/Mean DD0.13
EPS (Earnings per Share)
EPS CAGR: 5.71%
EPS Trend: 12.9%
EPS Trend: 12.9%
Last SUE: -1.33
Qual. Beats: -1
Qual. Beats: -1
Revenue
Rev. CAGR: 7.67%
Rev. Trend: 94.2%
Rev. Trend: 94.2%
Last SUE: -0.10
Qual. Beats: 0
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Altman Z'' -2.67 < 1.0 - financial distress zone
Below Avwap Earnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Description: TUI1 TUI
TUI AG is a vertically integrated tourism group headquartered in Hanover, Germany, operating across the global travel value chain. Its business model encompasses a diverse portfolio of hotels and resorts, cruise lines, and an airline fleet, supported by a digital platform for tours and activities.
The company maintains a multi-brand strategy, managing well-known hospitality names such as Riu and Robinson alongside specialized cruise brands like Hapag-Lloyd. As a participant in the Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines sub-industry, TUI relies on a mix of owned assets and third-party distribution channels to capture demand across various traveler segments.
The travel sector is characterized by high capital intensity and sensitivity to consumer discretionary spending patterns. Investors may find it useful to examine TUIs fundamental metrics and valuation trends on ValueRay.
- European consumer discretionary spending levels dictate holiday package booking volumes
- Jet fuel price volatility significantly impacts airline and cruise operating margins
- High debt servicing costs influence free cash flow and dividend potential
- Strategic expansion of owned hotel brands drives higher margin vertical integration
- Geopolitical instability in Mediterranean destinations disrupts core seasonal revenue streams
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict)
3.0
| Net Income: 701.9m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -2.42 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -19.52% < 20% (prev -23.32%; Δ 3.79% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.09 > 3% & CFO 1.59b > Net Income 701.9m |
| Net Debt (3.02b) to EBITDA (1.98b): 1.53 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.51 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (507.4m) vs 12m ago -0.54% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 8.36% > 18% (prev 0.08%; Δ 827.3% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 135.6% > 50% (prev 136.0%; Δ -0.39% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 3.16 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 1.98b / Interest Expense TTM 345.4m) |
Altman Z''
-2.67
| A: -0.26 (Total Current Assets 4.98b - Total Current Liabilities 9.70b) / Total Assets 18.14b |
| B: -0.29 (Retained Earnings -5.33b / Total Assets 18.14b) |
| C: 0.06 (EBIT TTM 1.09b / Avg Total Assets 17.82b) |
| D: -0.39 (Book Value of Equity -5.96b / Total Liabilities 15.09b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: -2.67 = D |
Beneish M
-3.57
| DSRI: 0.42 (Receivables 1.05b/2.45b, Revenue 24.16b/23.79b) |
| GMI: 0.99 (GM 8.36% / 8.28%) |
| AQI: 0.97 (AQ_t 0.34 / AQ_t-1 0.35) |
| SGI: 1.02 (Revenue 24.16b / 23.79b) |
| TATA: -0.05 (NI 701.9m - CFO 1.59b) / TA 18.14b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.57 (Cap -4..+1) = AAA |
What is the price of TUI1 shares?
As of May 21, 2026, the stock is trading at EUR 6.54 with a total of 4,519,764 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.80%, over one month by -10.34%, over three months by -19.59% and over the past year by -6.87%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.80%, over one month by -10.34%, over three months by -19.59% and over the past year by -6.87%.
Is TUI1 a buy, sell or hold?
TUI has no consensus analysts rating.
What are the forecasts/targets for the TUI1 price?
| Analysts Target Price | - | - |
TUI (TUI1) - Fundamental Data Overview
as of 19 May 2026
Market Cap USD = 3.80b (3.27b EUR * 1.1625 EUR.USD)P/E Trailing = 4.9508
P/E Forward = 4.4092
P/S = 0.1352
P/B = 1.9697
P/EG = 1.2998
Revenue TTM = 24.16b EUR
EBIT TTM = 1.09b EUR
EBITDA TTM = 1.98b EUR
Long Term Debt = 1.56b EUR (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 889.7m EUR (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 4.47b EUR (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 3.02b EUR (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 6.28b EUR (3.27b + Debt 4.47b - CCE 1.46b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.16 (Ebit TTM 1.09b / Interest Expense TTM 345.4m)
EV/FCF = 8.69x (Enterprise Value 6.28b / FCF TTM 722.5m)
FCF Yield = 11.51% (FCF TTM 722.5m / Enterprise Value 6.28b)
FCF Margin = 2.99% (FCF TTM 722.5m / Revenue TTM 24.16b)
Net Margin = 2.90% (Net Income TTM 701.9m / Revenue TTM 24.16b)
Gross Margin = 8.36% ((Revenue TTM 24.16b - Cost of Revenue TTM 22.15b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = -0.90% (prev 5.26%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.35 (Enterprise Value 6.28b / Total Assets 18.14b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.06% (Interest Expense 92.1m / Debt 4.47b)
Taxrate = 18.60% (192.4m / 1.03b)
NOPAT = 888.0m (EBIT 1.09b * (1 - 18.60%))
Current Ratio = 0.51 (Total Current Assets 4.98b / Total Current Liabilities 9.70b)
Debt / Equity = 2.21 (Debt 4.47b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.02b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.53 (Net Debt 3.02b / EBITDA 1.98b)
Debt / FCF = 4.18 (Net Debt 3.02b / FCF TTM 722.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.55b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.94% (Net Income 701.9m / Total Assets 18.14b)
RoE = 45.29% (Net Income TTM 701.9m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.55b)
RoCE = 35.06% (EBIT 1.09b / Capital Employed (Equity 1.55b + L.T.Debt 1.56b))
RoIC = 43.24% (NOPAT 888.0m / Invested Capital 2.05b)
WACC = 4.95% (E(3.27b)/V(7.74b) * Re(9.44%) + D(4.47b)/V(7.74b) * Rd(2.06%) * (1-Tc(0.19)))
Discount Rate = 9.44% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 9.20 | Cagr: -0.30%
[DCF] Terminal Value 87.29% ; FCFF base≈881.5m ; Y1≈975.9m ; Y5≈1.27b
[DCF] Fair Price = 67.54 (EV 37.30b - Net Debt 3.02b = Equity 34.27b / Shares 507.4m; r=6.0% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 12.32% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 12.90 | EPS CAGR: 5.71% | SUE: -1.33 | # QB: -1
Revenue Correlation: 94.20 | Revenue CAGR: 7.67% | SUE: -0.10 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.27 | Chg30d=-8.65% | Revisions=-20% | Analysts=2
EPS current Year (2026-09-30): EPS=1.09 | Chg30d=-20.63% | Revisions=-67% | GrowthEPS=-18.6% | GrowthRev=-2.6%
EPS next Year (2027-09-30): EPS=1.44 | Chg30d=-7.79% | Revisions=-67% | GrowthEPS=+31.7% | GrowthRev=+5.3%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -67%