(TUI1) TUI - Ratings and Ratios
Hotels, Cruises, Tours, Airlines
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 41.7% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 64.8% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -5.64% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.40 |
| Alpha | -0.78 |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.05 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.496 |
| Beta | 0.502 |
| Beta Downside | 0.730 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 59.81% |
| Mean DD | 38.07% |
| Median DD | 39.61% |
Description: TUI1 TUI November 07, 2025
TUI AG (XETRA:TUI1) is a global tourism conglomerate that operates a portfolio of hotel and resort brands-including Mora, Royalton, Riu, Robinson, TUI Blue, TUI Magic Life, Atlantica, Grupotel, Iberotel, Akra, TUI Suneo, and AQI-and cruise lines such as Mein Schiff, Hapag-Lloyd Cruises, and Marella. In addition to lodging and cruising, the group runs an online marketplace for tours and activities, owns an airline fleet, and distributes its products through its own channels, airline partners, direct-to-consumer platforms, and third-party travel agents. The company, originally founded as Preussag AG in 1968 and renamed TUI AG in 2002, is headquartered in Hanover, Germany, and is classified under the GICS sub-industry “Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines.”
Key recent metrics indicate a FY 2023 revenue of roughly €18.6 billion and an adjusted EBITDA margin near 13%, reflecting a rebound from pandemic lows but still constrained by elevated fuel prices and uneven consumer confidence across Europe. The business is highly sensitive to macro-economic drivers such as disposable-income trends, Euro-zone inflation, and the pace of post-COVID travel recovery, while its digital booking platform has delivered a 15 % YoY increase in direct online sales-a strategic lever for margin improvement. Moreover, the cruise segment, which contributed about 20 % of total revenue, is benefitting from higher occupancy rates (≈85 %) as itineraries expand beyond the Mediterranean.
For a deeper quantitative assessment of TUI’s valuation relative to peers, you might explore the analytics on ValueRay.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.0
| Net Income (635.9m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 1.45b TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.07 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 0.53pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -19.00% (prev -20.54%; Δ 1.54pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.11 (>3.0%) and CFO 1.96b > Net Income 635.9m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (1.32b) to EBITDA (2.14b) ratio: 0.61 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.55 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (544.7m) change vs 12m ago 7.35% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 8.33% (prev 8.33%; Δ 0.01pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 136.0% (prev 133.0%; Δ 2.92pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 3.36 (EBITDA TTM 2.14b / Interest Expense TTM 376.8m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -2.11
| (A) -0.25 = (Total Current Assets 5.68b - Total Current Liabilities 10.28b) / Total Assets 18.15b |
| (B) -0.29 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -5.33b / Total Assets 18.15b |
| (C) 0.07 = EBIT TTM 1.26b / Avg Total Assets 17.78b |
| (D) 0.03 = Book Value of Equity 507.4m / Total Liabilities 15.46b |
| Total Rating: -2.11 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 78.39
| 1. Piotroski 4.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 20.62% |
| 3. FCF Margin 5.07% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 2.52 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 0.61 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 59.40)% |
| 7. RoE 57.11% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 56.38% |
| 9. EPS Trend 34.08% |
What is the price of TUI1 shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +6.38%, over one month by +22.81%, over three months by +19.09% and over the past year by +10.64%.
Is TUI1 a buy, sell or hold?
What are the forecasts/targets for the TUI1 price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 11.2 | 18.4% |
| Analysts Target Price | - | - |
| ValueRay Target Price | 10.2 | 7.6% |
TUI1 Fundamental Data Overview December 20, 2025
Market Cap EUR = 4.64b (4.64b EUR * 1.0 EUR.EUR)
P/E Trailing = 7.8085
P/E Forward = 5.8893
P/S = 0.1917
P/B = 2.3677
P/EG = 1.07
Beta = 1.535
Revenue TTM = 24.18b EUR
EBIT TTM = 1.26b EUR
EBITDA TTM = 2.14b EUR
Long Term Debt = 1.56b EUR (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.11b EUR (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 4.44b EUR (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.32b EUR (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 5.94b EUR (4.64b + Debt 4.44b - CCE 3.13b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.36 (Ebit TTM 1.26b / Interest Expense TTM 376.8m)
FCF Yield = 20.62% (FCF TTM 1.23b / Enterprise Value 5.94b)
FCF Margin = 5.07% (FCF TTM 1.23b / Revenue TTM 24.18b)
Net Margin = 2.63% (Net Income TTM 635.9m / Revenue TTM 24.18b)
Gross Margin = 8.33% ((Revenue TTM 24.18b - Cost of Revenue TTM 22.16b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 14.14% (prev 7.54%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.33 (Enterprise Value 5.94b / Total Assets 18.15b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.44% (Interest Expense 63.9m / Debt 4.44b)
Taxrate = 18.55% (207.4m / 1.12b)
NOPAT = 1.03b (EBIT 1.26b * (1 - 18.55%))
Current Ratio = 0.55 (Total Current Assets 5.68b / Total Current Liabilities 10.28b)
Debt / Equity = 2.52 (Debt 4.44b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.76b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.61 (Net Debt 1.32b / EBITDA 2.14b)
Debt / FCF = 1.08 (Net Debt 1.32b / FCF TTM 1.23b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.11b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.50% (Net Income 635.9m / Total Assets 18.15b)
RoE = 57.11% (Net Income TTM 635.9m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.11b)
RoCE = 47.25% (EBIT 1.26b / Capital Employed (Equity 1.11b + L.T.Debt 1.56b))
RoIC = 63.99% (NOPAT 1.03b / Invested Capital 1.61b)
WACC = 4.59% (E(4.64b)/V(9.07b) * Re(7.86%) + D(4.44b)/V(9.07b) * Rd(1.44%) * (1-Tc(0.19)))
Discount Rate = 7.86% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 3.26%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 79.52% ; FCFE base≈1.17b ; Y1≈1.28b ; Y5≈1.61b
Fair Price DCF = 55.36 (DCF Value 28.09b / Shares Outstanding 507.4m; 5y FCF grow 10.45% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 34.08 | EPS CAGR: 21.19% | SUE: 0.05 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 56.38 | Revenue CAGR: 44.42% | SUE: -0.60 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=-0.58 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=2
EPS current Year (2026-09-30): EPS=1.36 | Chg30d=-0.031 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+1.6% | Growth Revenue=+3.1%
EPS next Year (2027-09-30): EPS=1.52 | Chg30d=-0.028 | Revisions Net=+2 | Growth EPS=+11.3% | Growth Revenue=+3.2%