(TUI1) TUI - Ratings and Ratios
Exchange: XETRA •
Country: Germany •
Currency: EUR •
Type: Common Stock •
ISIN: DE000TUAG505
Hotels, Cruises, Airlines, Tours, Experiences
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 40.0% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 62.0% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -5.75% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.42 |
| Alpha | 2.59 |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.11 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.467 |
| Beta | 0.513 |
| Beta Downside | 0.766 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 57.90% |
| Mean DD | 35.53% |
| Median DD | 36.74% |
Description: TUI1 TUI January 10, 2026
TUI AG (XETRA:TUI1) is a global tourism conglomerate that operates a portfolio of hotel and resort brands-including Mora, Royalton, Riu, and TUI Blue-as well as cruise lines such as TUI Cruises, Hapag-Lloyd Cruises, and Marella. The group also runs an online marketplace for tours and activities and maintains its own airline fleet, distributing services directly, through its own airlines, and via third-party channels like online travel agents.
Key recent metrics: FY 2023 revenue reached €19.3 bn, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 12.5 % and an average hotel occupancy of 78 % across Europe, the core market. The business is sensitive to discretionary consumer spending, Euro-to-Dollar exchange rates, and fuel price volatility-factors that have moderated growth but also present upside if inflation eases and travel demand rebounds.
For a deeper quantitative assessment, consider reviewing TUI’s detailed valuation and risk profile on ValueRay.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.0
| Net Income (635.9m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 1.45b TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.07 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 0.53pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -19.00% (prev -20.54%; Δ 1.54pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.11 (>3.0%) and CFO 1.96b > Net Income 635.9m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (1.32b) to EBITDA (2.14b) ratio: 0.61 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.55 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (544.7m) change vs 12m ago 7.35% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 8.33% (prev 8.33%; Δ 0.01pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 136.0% (prev 133.0%; Δ 2.92pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 3.36 (EBITDA TTM 2.14b / Interest Expense TTM 376.8m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -2.11
| (A) -0.25 = (Total Current Assets 5.68b - Total Current Liabilities 10.28b) / Total Assets 18.15b |
| (B) -0.29 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -5.33b / Total Assets 18.15b |
| (C) 0.07 = EBIT TTM 1.26b / Avg Total Assets 17.78b |
| (D) 0.03 = Book Value of Equity 507.4m / Total Liabilities 15.46b |
| Total Rating: -2.11 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 78.21
| 1. Piotroski 4.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 20.75% |
| 3. FCF Margin 5.07% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 2.52 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 0.61 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 59.44)% |
| 7. RoE 57.11% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 56.38% |
| 9. EPS Trend 30.64% |
What is the price of TUI1 shares?
As of January 22, 2026, the stock is trading at EUR 8.89 with a total of 2,286,680 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.51%, over one month by -5.87%, over three months by +18.12% and over the past year by +8.89%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.51%, over one month by -5.87%, over three months by +18.12% and over the past year by +8.89%.
Is TUI1 a buy, sell or hold?
TUI has no consensus analysts rating.
What are the forecasts/targets for the TUI1 price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 11.3 | 26.8% |
| Analysts Target Price | - | - |
| ValueRay Target Price | 9.4 | 6.1% |
TUI1 Fundamental Data Overview January 19, 2026
Market Cap USD = 5.34b (4.60b EUR * 1.1624 EUR.USD)
P/E Trailing = 7.7436
P/E Forward = 6.4851
P/S = 0.1901
P/B = 2.6084
P/EG = 1.07
Revenue TTM = 24.18b EUR
EBIT TTM = 1.26b EUR
EBITDA TTM = 2.14b EUR
Long Term Debt = 1.56b EUR (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.11b EUR (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 4.44b EUR (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.32b EUR (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 5.90b EUR (4.60b + Debt 4.44b - CCE 3.13b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.36 (Ebit TTM 1.26b / Interest Expense TTM 376.8m)
EV/FCF = 4.82x (Enterprise Value 5.90b / FCF TTM 1.23b)
FCF Yield = 20.75% (FCF TTM 1.23b / Enterprise Value 5.90b)
FCF Margin = 5.07% (FCF TTM 1.23b / Revenue TTM 24.18b)
Net Margin = 2.63% (Net Income TTM 635.9m / Revenue TTM 24.18b)
Gross Margin = 8.33% ((Revenue TTM 24.18b - Cost of Revenue TTM 22.16b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 14.14% (prev 7.54%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.33 (Enterprise Value 5.90b / Total Assets 18.15b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.44% (Interest Expense 63.9m / Debt 4.44b)
Taxrate = 18.55% (207.4m / 1.12b)
NOPAT = 1.03b (EBIT 1.26b * (1 - 18.55%))
Current Ratio = 0.55 (Total Current Assets 5.68b / Total Current Liabilities 10.28b)
Debt / Equity = 2.52 (Debt 4.44b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.76b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.61 (Net Debt 1.32b / EBITDA 2.14b)
Debt / FCF = 1.08 (Net Debt 1.32b / FCF TTM 1.23b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.11b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.58% (Net Income 635.9m / Total Assets 18.15b)
RoE = 57.11% (Net Income TTM 635.9m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.11b)
RoCE = 47.25% (EBIT 1.26b / Capital Employed (Equity 1.11b + L.T.Debt 1.56b))
RoIC = 63.99% (NOPAT 1.03b / Invested Capital 1.61b)
WACC = 4.55% (E(4.60b)/V(9.03b) * Re(7.81%) + D(4.44b)/V(9.03b) * Rd(1.44%) * (1-Tc(0.19)))
Discount Rate = 7.81% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 7.95%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 3.26%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 87.16% ; FCFF base≈1.17b ; Y1≈1.28b ; Y5≈1.61b
Fair Price DCF = 91.09 (EV 47.54b - Net Debt 1.32b = Equity 46.22b / Shares 507.4m; r=5.90% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 10.45% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 30.64 | EPS CAGR: 95.26% | SUE: 1.42 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 56.38 | Revenue CAGR: 44.42% | SUE: -0.60 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=-0.48 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-09-30): EPS=1.40 | Chg30d=+0.030 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+4.8% | Growth Revenue=+2.5%
EPS next Year (2027-09-30): EPS=1.57 | Chg30d=+0.038 | Revisions Net=-3 | Growth EPS=+12.0% | Growth Revenue=+3.0%
P/E Trailing = 7.7436
P/E Forward = 6.4851
P/S = 0.1901
P/B = 2.6084
P/EG = 1.07
Revenue TTM = 24.18b EUR
EBIT TTM = 1.26b EUR
EBITDA TTM = 2.14b EUR
Long Term Debt = 1.56b EUR (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.11b EUR (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 4.44b EUR (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.32b EUR (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 5.90b EUR (4.60b + Debt 4.44b - CCE 3.13b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.36 (Ebit TTM 1.26b / Interest Expense TTM 376.8m)
EV/FCF = 4.82x (Enterprise Value 5.90b / FCF TTM 1.23b)
FCF Yield = 20.75% (FCF TTM 1.23b / Enterprise Value 5.90b)
FCF Margin = 5.07% (FCF TTM 1.23b / Revenue TTM 24.18b)
Net Margin = 2.63% (Net Income TTM 635.9m / Revenue TTM 24.18b)
Gross Margin = 8.33% ((Revenue TTM 24.18b - Cost of Revenue TTM 22.16b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 14.14% (prev 7.54%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.33 (Enterprise Value 5.90b / Total Assets 18.15b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.44% (Interest Expense 63.9m / Debt 4.44b)
Taxrate = 18.55% (207.4m / 1.12b)
NOPAT = 1.03b (EBIT 1.26b * (1 - 18.55%))
Current Ratio = 0.55 (Total Current Assets 5.68b / Total Current Liabilities 10.28b)
Debt / Equity = 2.52 (Debt 4.44b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.76b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.61 (Net Debt 1.32b / EBITDA 2.14b)
Debt / FCF = 1.08 (Net Debt 1.32b / FCF TTM 1.23b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.11b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.58% (Net Income 635.9m / Total Assets 18.15b)
RoE = 57.11% (Net Income TTM 635.9m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.11b)
RoCE = 47.25% (EBIT 1.26b / Capital Employed (Equity 1.11b + L.T.Debt 1.56b))
RoIC = 63.99% (NOPAT 1.03b / Invested Capital 1.61b)
WACC = 4.55% (E(4.60b)/V(9.03b) * Re(7.81%) + D(4.44b)/V(9.03b) * Rd(1.44%) * (1-Tc(0.19)))
Discount Rate = 7.81% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 7.95%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 3.26%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 87.16% ; FCFF base≈1.17b ; Y1≈1.28b ; Y5≈1.61b
Fair Price DCF = 91.09 (EV 47.54b - Net Debt 1.32b = Equity 46.22b / Shares 507.4m; r=5.90% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 10.45% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 30.64 | EPS CAGR: 95.26% | SUE: 1.42 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 56.38 | Revenue CAGR: 44.42% | SUE: -0.60 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=-0.48 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-09-30): EPS=1.40 | Chg30d=+0.030 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+4.8% | Growth Revenue=+2.5%
EPS next Year (2027-09-30): EPS=1.57 | Chg30d=+0.038 | Revisions Net=-3 | Growth EPS=+12.0% | Growth Revenue=+3.0%