TUI1 Stock Analysis: TUI | XETRA
Travel Services | XETRA, Germany | Market Cap: 3.378m EUR | 12M Return: -7.4% | DE000TUAG505 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 19.2M
EPS Trend: 45.2%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 89.0%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
TUI AG is an international tourism company headquartered in Hanover, Germany, originally founded in 1968 and renamed from Preussag AG in June 2002. The company operates a vertically integrated travel and hospitality business spanning hotels and resorts under numerous proprietary brands (including TUI Blue, Robinson, Riu, and Royalton), cruise lines (TUI Cruises, Hapag-Lloyd Cruises, and Marella), an online marketplace for tours and activities, and its own aircraft fleet. Distribution is handled through a mix of direct-to-customer channels, retail markets and airlines, and third-party online travel agents and tour operators.
Listed on XETRA under the ticker TUI1, the company sits within the Consumer Discretionary sector under the Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines sub-industry. Its integrated model-combining accommodation, cruise, aviation, and digital distribution under one umbrella-distinguishes it from pure-play hoteliers or cruise operators, as vertical integration allows the group to capture multiple stages of the holiday value chain.
- European holiday demand recovery lifts tour operator segment revenue
- Cruise joint venture margins expand with new ship capacity additions
- Aviation fuel costs and geopolitical risks pressure airline margins
| Net Income: 601.3m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.02 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -3.15 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -21.15% < 20% (prev -24.00%; Δ 2.85% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.06 > 3% & CFO 1.25b > Net Income 601.3m |
| Net Debt (4.62b) to EBITDA (1.87b): 2.48 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.55 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (507.4m) vs 12m ago -0.23% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 8.19% > 18% (prev 8.52%; Δ -0.33% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 123.6% > 50% (prev 127.5%; Δ -3.95% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 2.84 > 6 (EBIT TTM 959.9m / Interest Expense TTM 337.4m) |
| A: -0.26 (Total Current Assets 6.04b - Total Current Liabilities 11.1b) / Total Assets 19.5b |
| B: -0.27 (Retained Earnings -5.33b / Total Assets 19.5b) |
| C: 0.05 (EBIT TTM 959.9m / Avg Total Assets 19.2b) |
| D: 0.11 (Book Value of Equity 1.83b / Total Liabilities 16.7b) |
| Altman-Z'' = -2.13 = D |
| DSRI: 0.44 (Receivables 1.33b/3.09b, Revenue 23.8b/24.2b) |
| GMI: 1.04 (GM 8.52% / 8.19%) |
| AQI: 0.99 (AQ_t 0.33 / AQ_t-1 0.33) |
| SGI: 0.98 (Revenue 23.8b / 24.2b) |
| TATA: -0.03 (NI 601.3m - CFO 1.25b) / TA 19.5b) |
| Beneish M = -3.47 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of October 19, 2026, the stock is trading at EUR 6.75 with a total of 1,792,405 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.84%, over one month by +2.12%, over three months by -4.04% and over the past year by -7.42%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 6.30 (which is 6.7% or 2.5 ATR below the current price).
TUI has no consensus analysts rating.
P/E Trailing = 6.1648
P/E Forward = 4.3995
P/S = 0.142
P/B = 1.8206
P/EG = 1.2998
Revenue TTM = 23.8b EUR
EBIT TTM = 959.9m EUR
EBITDA TTM = 1.87b EUR
Long Term Debt = 1.56b EUR (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 887.4m EUR (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 6.85b EUR (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 2.28b
Net Debt = 4.62b EUR (calculated: Debt 6.85b - CCE 2.23b)
Enterprise Value = 8.00b EUR (3.38b + Debt 6.85b - CCE 2.23b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.84 (Ebit TTM 959.9m / Interest Expense TTM 337.4m)
EV/FCF = 19.54x (Enterprise Value 8.00b / FCF TTM 409.5m)
FCF Yield = 5.12% (FCF TTM 409.5m / Enterprise Value 8.00b)
FCF Margin = 1.72% (FCF TTM 409.5m / Revenue TTM 23.8b)
Net Margin = 2.53% (Net Income TTM 601.3m / Revenue TTM 23.8b)
Gross Margin = 8.19% ((Revenue TTM 23.8b - Cost of Revenue TTM 21.8b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 6.80% (prev -0.90%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.41 (Enterprise Value 8.00b / Total Assets 19.5b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.92% (Interest Expense 337.4m / Debt 6.85b)
Taxrate = 18.50% (181.1m / 979.1m)
NOPAT = 782.4m (EBIT 959.9m * (1 - 18.50%))
Current Ratio = 0.55 (Total Current Assets 6.04b / Total Current Liabilities 11.1b)
Debt / Equity = 3.75 (Debt 6.85b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.83b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.48 (Net Debt 4.62b / EBITDA 1.87b)
Debt / FCF = 11.29 (Net Debt 4.62b / FCF TTM 409.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.83b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.12% (Net Income 601.3m / Total Assets 19.5b)
RoE = 32.88% (Net Income TTM 601.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.83b)
RoCE = 28.31% (EBIT 959.9m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.83b + L.T.Debt 1.56b))
RoIC = 9.60% (NOPAT 782.4m / Invested Capital 8.15b)
WACC = 5.34% (E(3.38b)/V(10.2b) * Re(8.04%) + D(6.85b)/V(10.2b) * Rd(4.92%) * (1-Tc(0.18)))
Discount Rate = 8.04% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 20.92 | Cagr: 0.02%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.10% ; FCFF base≈644.3m ; Y1≈565.0m ; Y5≈456.5m
[DCF] Fair Price = 5.33 (EV 7.33b - Net Debt 4.62b = Equity 2.70b / Shares 507.4m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow -15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 45.18 | EPS CAGR: 18.42% | SUE: -0.79 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 88.96 | Revenue CAGR: 5.78% | SUE: -0.76 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-12-31): EPS=-0.10 | Chg30d=-45.62% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=2
EPS current Year (2026-09-30): EPS=1.03 | Chg30d=+0.27% | Revisions=+29% | GrowthEPS=-22.9% | GrowthRev=-2.9%
EPS next Year (2027-09-30): EPS=1.33 | Chg30d=-2.70% | Revisions=-57% | GrowthEPS=+28.8% | GrowthRev=+3.5%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -25% (up=3, down=6)