(TUI1) TUI - Overview
Stock: Hotels, Cruises, Flights, Tours
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 44.7% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -8.69% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.21 |
| Alpha | -16.18 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 1.058 |
| Beta Downside | 1.051 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 45.64% |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.11 |
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Description: TUI1 TUI February 25, 2026
TUI AG (XETRA: TUI1) is a German-based, vertically integrated tourism group that operates hotels, resorts, cruise lines and an online marketplace for tours and activities, serving customers worldwide through its own airlines, direct channels and third-party partners.
In FY 2025 the company reported €23.4 billion in revenue, a 9 % year-over-year increase, driven by a 12 % rise in cruise passenger numbers and a 7 % lift in hotel occupancy to 78 % across its portfolio. Adjusted EBITDA margin improved to 13.2 %, up from 11.5 % in the prior year, reflecting higher ancillary spend per guest and tighter cost control.
Key macro drivers include robust consumer confidence in Europe and North America, which is fueling discretionary travel spending, while a weakening euro against the dollar is boosting the euro-denominated revenue from overseas operations. Additionally, the industry’s shift toward sustainable tourism-evidenced by TUI’s target to achieve carbon-neutral operations by 2030-is influencing fleet upgrades and hotel energy-efficiency investments.
For a deeper dive into TUI’s valuation metrics and scenario analysis, you might find ValueRay’s research platform useful.
Headlines to watch out for
- Package holiday bookings surge post-pandemic
- Fuel price volatility impacts airline profitability
- Geopolitical events disrupt travel demand
- Hotel occupancy rates drive accommodation revenue
- Regulatory changes affect international travel
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.0
| Net Income: 677.6m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.07 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.13 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -18.10% < 20% (prev -17.22%; Δ -0.88% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.12 > 3% & CFO 1.98b > Net Income 677.6m |
| Net Debt (5.37b) to EBITDA (2.06b): 2.61 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.47 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (507.4m) vs 12m ago 1.01% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 8.31% > 18% (prev 0.08%; Δ 823.1% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 144.1% > 50% (prev 141.4%; Δ 2.66% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 3.26 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 2.06b / Interest Expense TTM 363.5m) |
Altman Z'' -2.74
| A: -0.26 (Total Current Assets 3.85b - Total Current Liabilities 8.22b) / Total Assets 16.76b |
| B: -0.32 (Retained Earnings -5.33b / Total Assets 16.76b) |
| C: 0.07 (EBIT TTM 1.18b / Avg Total Assets 16.77b) |
| D: -0.45 (Book Value of Equity -6.28b / Total Liabilities 14.08b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: -2.74 = D |
Beneish M -3.49
| DSRI: 0.49 (Receivables 939.8m/1.87b, Revenue 24.17b/23.74b) |
| GMI: 1.01 (GM 8.31% / 8.40%) |
| AQI: 1.02 (AQ_t 0.36 / AQ_t-1 0.35) |
| SGI: 1.02 (Revenue 24.17b / 23.74b) |
| TATA: -0.08 (NI 677.6m - CFO 1.98b) / TA 16.76b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.49 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
What is the price of TUI1 shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.82%, over one month by -21.87%, over three months by -12.02% and over the past year by +4.38%.
Is TUI1 a buy, sell or hold?
What are the forecasts/targets for the TUI1 price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 11.4 | 57.3% |
| Analysts Target Price | - | - |
TUI1 Fundamental Data Overview March 07, 2026
P/E Trailing = 6.265
P/E Forward = 5.2798
P/S = 0.1539
P/B = 2.1656
P/EG = 1.2998
Revenue TTM = 24.17b EUR
EBIT TTM = 1.18b EUR
EBITDA TTM = 2.06b EUR
Long Term Debt = 1.56b EUR (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 1.16b EUR (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 6.91b EUR (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 5.37b EUR (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 9.07b EUR (3.72b + Debt 6.91b - CCE 1.56b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.26 (Ebit TTM 1.18b / Interest Expense TTM 363.5m)
EV/FCF = 7.88x (Enterprise Value 9.07b / FCF TTM 1.15b)
FCF Yield = 12.70% (FCF TTM 1.15b / Enterprise Value 9.07b)
FCF Margin = 4.77% (FCF TTM 1.15b / Revenue TTM 24.17b)
Net Margin = 2.80% (Net Income TTM 677.6m / Revenue TTM 24.17b)
Gross Margin = 8.31% ((Revenue TTM 24.17b - Cost of Revenue TTM 22.16b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 5.26% (prev 14.14%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.54 (Enterprise Value 9.07b / Total Assets 16.76b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.37% (Interest Expense 94.4m / Debt 6.91b)
Taxrate = 17.50% (700.0k / 4.00m)
NOPAT = 977.5m (EBIT 1.18b * (1 - 17.50%))
Current Ratio = 0.47 (Total Current Assets 3.85b / Total Current Liabilities 8.22b)
Debt / Equity = 4.06 (Debt 6.91b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.70b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.61 (Net Debt 5.37b / EBITDA 2.06b)
Debt / FCF = 4.66 (Net Debt 5.37b / FCF TTM 1.15b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.23b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.04% (Net Income 677.6m / Total Assets 16.76b)
RoE = 55.02% (Net Income TTM 677.6m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.23b)
RoCE = 42.41% (EBIT 1.18b / Capital Employed (Equity 1.23b + L.T.Debt 1.56b))
RoIC = 56.34% (NOPAT 977.5m / Invested Capital 1.73b)
WACC = 4.16% (E(3.72b)/V(10.63b) * Re(9.81%) + D(6.91b)/V(10.63b) * Rd(1.37%) * (1-Tc(0.17)))
Discount Rate = 9.81% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -0.33%
[DCF] Terminal Value 87.29% ; FCFF base≈1.08b ; Y1≈1.19b ; Y5≈1.55b
[DCF] Fair Price = 79.34 (EV 45.63b - Net Debt 5.37b = Equity 40.26b / Shares 507.4m; r=5.90% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 12.32% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 29.97 | EPS CAGR: 93.59% | SUE: 0.28 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 41.92 | Revenue CAGR: 24.64% | SUE: 0.01 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.30 | Chg7d=-0.002 | Chg30d=+0.296 | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=2
EPS current Year (2026-09-30): EPS=1.40 | Chg7d=-0.004 | Chg30d=-0.002 | Revisions Net=+7 | Growth EPS=+4.2% | Growth Revenue=+2.1%
EPS next Year (2027-09-30): EPS=1.57 | Chg7d=+0.000 | Chg30d=-0.010 | Revisions Net=+6 | Growth EPS=+12.2% | Growth Revenue=+2.9%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +0.78 (8 Up / 1 Down within 30d for Current Year)
[Growth] Implied Growth Rate = -6.2% (Discount Rate 9.8% - Earnings Yield 16.0%)
[Growth] Growth Spread = +7.8% (Analyst 1.6% - Implied -6.2%)