VOW Stock Analysis: Volkswagen | XETRA

Auto Manufacturers | XETRA, Germany | Market Cap: 38.299m EUR | 12M Return: -15.8% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Passenger Cars, Luxury Vehicles, Motorcycles, Trucks, Buses
Total Rating 21
Safety 60
Buy Signal -0.90
Auto Manufacturers
Industry Rotation: -5.8
Market Cap: 43.7B
Avg Turnover: 8.69M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility32.3%
VaR 5th Pctl5.69%
VaR vs Median6.89%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio-0.78
Rel. Str. IBD9.4
Rel. Str. Peer Group38
Character TTM
Beta0.430
Beta Downside0.377
Hurst Exponent0.457
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD42.40%
CAGR/Max DD-0.38
CAGR/Mean DD-0.66
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of VOW over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": 9.7, "2021-09": 6.16, "2021-12": 7.94, "2022-03": 13.05, "2022-06": 7.46, "2022-09": 3.9, "2022-12": 7.93, "2023-03": 8.43, "2023-06": 6.48, "2023-09": 7.76, "2023-12": 9.31, "2024-03": 6.5151, "2024-06": 6.2079, "2024-09": 2.42, "2024-12": 6.2458, "2025-03": 3.6525, "2025-06": 4.34, "2025-09": -0.96, "2025-12": 6.28, "2026-03": 2.5733,
EPS CAGR: -31.22%
EPS Trend: -93.6%
Last SUE: -0.76
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of VOW over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 67293, 2021-09: 56931, 2021-12: 63601, 2022-03: 62711, 2022-06: 69500, 2022-09: 70673, 2022-12: 76165, 2023-03: 76198, 2023-06: 80059, 2023-09: 78845, 2023-12: 87182, 2024-03: 75461, 2024-06: 83339, 2024-09: 78478, 2024-12: 87377, 2025-03: 77558, 2025-06: 80806, 2025-09: 80305, 2025-12: 83244, 2026-03: 75657,
Rev. CAGR: 1.47%
Rev. Trend: 59.7%
Last SUE: -0.87
Qual. Beats: -2

Warnings

High Debt While Negative Cash Flow
Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 10.5 years of data

Jan +6.6% 29
Feb +0.6% 2
Mar -3.6% 46
Apr +2.1% 12
May +5.6% 39
Jun -6.8% 43
Jul -0.1% 8
Aug -1.6% 33
Sep -1.0% 11
Oct -0.9% 8
Nov +4.7% 23
Dec +1.5% 12

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: VOW Volkswagen

Volkswagen AG is a German automobile manufacturer founded in 1937 and headquartered in Wolfsburg, operating as a subsidiary of Porsche Automobil Holding SE. The company sells passenger cars and commercial vehicles globally under a broad brand portfolio, including Volkswagen Passenger Cars, Skoda, SEAT/CUPRA, Audi, Lamborghini, Bentley, Ducati, Porsche, Scania, MAN, TRATON, and Bugatti Rimac, serving individual, corporate, and fleet customers.

The group operates through three segments: Passenger Cars and Light Commercial Vehicles (vehicle and engine development, production, parts, and mobility solutions, spanning compact cars, luxury vehicles, and motorcycles); Commercial Vehicles (trucks, buses, engines, and related services); and Financial Services (dealer and customer financing, leasing, direct banking, insurance, and fleet management). Volkswagen additionally runs businesses in large-bore diesel engines, turbomachinery, and propulsion components.

Volkswagen sits within the Consumer Discretionary sector (GICS: Automobile Manufacturers) and exemplifies the multi-brand strategy common among large global automakers, which use portfolio breadth to address varied price points and regional markets. The integrated Financial Services segment reflects a standard industry practice of pairing vehicle sales with captive financing and leasing to support demand and customer retention.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • China BEV price war with BYD pressures Volkswagen market share
  • TRATON margins improve as European truck demand recovers
  • EU CO2 fines and Chinese import tariffs weigh on passenger car profitability
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 2.0
Net Income: 6.62b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: -0.01 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.28 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 5.44% < 20% (prev 6.67%; Δ -1.23% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.03 > 3% & CFO 17.2b > Net Income 6.62b
Net Debt (220b) to EBITDA (42.0b): 5.23 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.07 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (501.3m) vs 12m ago -0.00% < -2%
Gross Margin: 17.00% > 18% (prev 18.54%; Δ -1.54% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 49.03% > 50% (prev 51.11%; Δ -2.08% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 4.99 > 6 (EBIT TTM 9.72b / Interest Expense TTM 1.95b)
Altman Z'' 1.46
A: 0.03 (Total Current Assets 267b - Total Current Liabilities 250b) / Total Assets 666b
B: 0.24 (Retained Earnings 163b / Total Assets 666b)
C: 0.01 (EBIT TTM 9.72b / Avg Total Assets 653b)
D: 0.37 (Book Value of Equity 176b / Total Liabilities 475b)
Altman-Z'' = 1.46 = BB
Beneish M -3.19
DSRI: 0.76 (Receivables 92.3b/124b, Revenue 320b/327b)
GMI: 1.09 (GM 18.54% / 17.00%)
AQI: 0.95 (AQ_t 0.36 / AQ_t-1 0.38)
SGI: 0.98 (Revenue 320b / 327b)
TATA: -0.02 (NI 6.62b - CFO 17.2b) / TA 666b)
Beneish M = -3.19 (Cap -4..+1) = AA
What is the price of VOW shares?

As of July 09, 2026, the stock is trading at EUR 74.15 with a total of 77,173 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.49%, over one month by -11.79%, over three months by -14.93% and over the past year by -15.83%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 70.90 (which is 4.4% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).

Is VOW a buy, sell or hold?

Volkswagen has no consensus analysts rating.

Volkswagen (VOW) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 05 July 2026
Market Cap USD = 43.7b (38.3b EUR * 1.1405 EUR.USD)
P/E Trailing = 6.2572
P/E Forward = 3.651
P/S = 0.1197
P/B = 0.1922
P/EG = 0.6637
Revenue TTM = 320b EUR
EBIT TTM = 9.72b EUR
EBITDA TTM = 42.0b EUR
Long Term Debt = 123b EUR (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 143b EUR (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 299b EUR (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 7.63b
Net Debt = 220b EUR (calculated: Debt 299b - CCE 79.4b)
Enterprise Value = 258b EUR (38.3b + Debt 299b - CCE 79.4b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.99 (Ebit TTM 9.72b / Interest Expense TTM 1.95b)
EV/FCF = -36.66x (Enterprise Value 258b / FCF TTM -7.04b)
FCF Yield = -2.73% (FCF TTM -7.04b / Enterprise Value 258b)
FCF Margin = -2.20% (FCF TTM -7.04b / Revenue TTM 320b)
Net Margin = 2.07% (Net Income TTM 6.62b / Revenue TTM 320b)
Gross Margin = 17.00% ((Revenue TTM 320b - Cost of Revenue TTM 266b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 16.70% (prev 15.77%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.39 (Enterprise Value 258b / Total Assets 666b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.65% (Interest Expense 1.95b / Debt 299b)
Taxrate = 25.50% (2.15b / 8.43b)
NOPAT = 7.24b (EBIT 9.72b * (1 - 25.50%))
Current Ratio = 1.07 (Total Current Assets 267b / Total Current Liabilities 250b)
Debt / Equity = 1.70 (Debt 299b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 176b)
Debt / EBITDA = 5.23 (Net Debt 220b / EBITDA 42.0b)
 Debt / FCF = -31.22 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 220b / FCF TTM -7.04b)
 Total Stockholder Equity = 176b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.01% (Net Income 6.62b / Total Assets 666b)
RoE = 3.77% (Net Income TTM 6.62b / Total Stockholder Equity 176b)
RoCE = 3.25% (EBIT 9.72b / Capital Employed (Equity 176b + L.T.Debt 123b))
RoIC = 1.33% (NOPAT 7.24b / Invested Capital 543b)
WACC = 1.28% (E(38.3b)/V(337b) * Re(7.50%) + D(299b)/V(337b) * Rd(0.65%) * (1-Tc(0.25)))
Discount Rate = 7.50% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -35.78 | Cagr: -0.00%
 [DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -7.04b)
 EPS Correlation: -93.56 | EPS CAGR: -31.22% | SUE: -0.76 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 59.69 | Revenue CAGR: 1.47% | SUE: -0.87 | # QB: -2
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.00 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=N/A | Analysts=0
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.00 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=N/A | Analysts=0
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=28.44 | Chg30d=+1.08% | Revisions=-17% | GrowthEPS=+113.7% | GrowthRev=+1.0%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=34.61 | Chg30d=+1.50% | Revisions=-17% | GrowthEPS=+21.7% | GrowthRev=+2.0%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -22% (up=2, down=4)