TGB Stock Analysis: Taseko Mines | AMEX

Copper | AMEX, USA | Market Cap: 3.221m USD | 12M Return: 113.6% | CA89472Y1079 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Copper, Molybdenum, Gold, Silver
Total Rating 50
Safety 53
Buy Signal 0.22
Copper
Industry Rotation: -15.1
Market Cap: 3.22B
Avg Turnover: 45.8M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility67.2%
VaR 5th Pctl11.5%
VaR vs Median3.48%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio1.36
Rel. Str. IBD94.1
Rel. Str. Peer Group97.3
Character TTM
Beta2.328
Beta Downside1.768
Hurst Exponent0.411
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD44.26%
CAGR/Max DD2.17
CAGR/Mean DD6.20
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of TGB over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-09": 0.1, "2021-12": 0.05, "2022-03": 0.02, "2022-06": -0.06, "2022-09": 0.02, "2022-12": 0.02, "2023-03": 0.02, "2023-06": -0.02, "2023-09": 0.07, "2023-12": 0.08, "2024-03": 0.03, "2024-06": 0.1, "2024-09": 0.03, "2024-12": 0.03, "2025-03": -0.02, "2025-06": -0.04, "2025-09": 0.02, "2025-12": 0.08, "2026-03": 0.08, "2026-06": 0.08,
Last SUE: 0.00
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of TGB over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-09: 102.852218, 2021-12: 102.972, 2022-03: 93.962743, 2022-06: 68.948206, 2022-09: 65.105537, 2022-12: 71.151165, 2023-03: 115.519, 2023-06: 86.552312, 2023-09: 143.835, 2023-12: 153.694, 2024-03: 146.947, 2024-06: 137.73, 2024-09: 155.617, 2024-12: 167.799, 2025-03: 139.149, 2025-06: 116.082, 2025-09: 173.906, 2025-12: 243.767, 2026-03: 234.554588, 2026-06: 232.610146,
Rev. CAGR: 21.35%
Rev. Trend: 90.5%
Last SUE: -4.00
Qual. Beats: -1

Warnings

P/E Ratio 440.0
Strong Share Dilution
Altman Z'' In Financial Distress Zone

Tailwinds

Rs Leader
Idiosyncratic Leader
Avwap Ph Week

Seasonality 11.7 years of data

Jan +7.6% 8
Feb +2.6% 8
Mar -2.1% 15
Apr +3.0% 29
May -5.0% 8
Jun +1.9% 5
Jul -2.3% 8
Aug -1.9% 18
Sep +3.2% 28
Oct -2.7% 0
Nov +5.7% 14
Dec +5.7% 26

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: TGB Taseko Mines

Trekor Metals Limited (formerly Taseko Mines Limited until its June 2026 rebranding) is a Canadian mining company focused on acquiring and developing mineral properties, with exploration interests in copper, molybdenum, gold, niobium, and silver deposits.

The companys principal assets are the 100%-owned Gibraltar mine in south-central British Columbia and the Florence Copper project in Arizona. The firm is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada, and was originally incorporated in 1966.

As a copper-focused miner in the Materials sector, the company operates in a commodity industry where revenue is closely tied to global copper prices and mine output volumes. Its two-asset portfolio-one producing mine and one development-stage project-reflects a typical mid-cap base-metals producer structure, balancing near-term cash flow generation against longer-term growth optionality from development-stage copper assets.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Copper prices rally on supply deficits and demand growth
  • Florence Copper project advances toward commercial production
  • Gibraltar mine output and molybdenum byproduct margins expand
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 5.0
Net Income: 9.14m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.14 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 11.12 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 5.57% < 20% (prev 0.80%; Δ 4.77% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.22 > 3% & CFO 415.0m > Net Income 9.14m
Net Debt (628.8m) to EBITDA (251.7m): 2.50 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.24 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (373.8m) vs 12m ago 17.21% < -2%
Gross Margin: 36.78% > 18% (prev 13.05%; Δ 23.73% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 42.71% > 50% (prev 25.57%; Δ 17.14% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 1.73 > 6 (EBIT TTM 130.9m / Interest Expense TTM 75.7m)
Altman Z'' 1.01
A: 0.03 (Total Current Assets 255.5m - Total Current Liabilities 206.2m) / Total Assets 1.88b
B: -0.03 (Retained Earnings -48.3m / Total Assets 1.88b)
C: 0.06 (EBIT TTM 130.9m / Avg Total Assets 2.07b)
D: 0.47 (Book Value of Equity 602.5m / Total Liabilities 1.28b)
Altman-Z'' = 1.01 = BB
Beneish M -2.41
DSRI: 2.00 (Receivables 19.2m/6.29m, Revenue 884.8m/578.6m)
GMI: 0.35 (GM 13.05% / 36.78%)
AQI: 1.04 (AQ_t 0.03 / AQ_t-1 0.03)
SGI: 1.53 (Revenue 884.8m / 578.6m)
TATA: -0.22 (NI 9.14m - CFO 415.0m) / TA 1.88b)
Beneish M = -2.41 (Cap -4..+1) = BBB
What is the price of TGB shares?

As of October 03, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 8.95 with a total of 4,814,195 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.95%, over one month by +7.57%, over three months by +29.15% and over the past year by +113.60%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 7.70 (which is 14% or 2.6 ATR below the current price).

Is TGB a buy, sell or hold?

Taseko Mines has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.71. Therefore, it is recommended to buy TGB.

  • StrongBuy: 5
  • Buy: 2
  • Hold: 0
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the TGB price?
Analysts Target Price 10.4 16.1%
Taseko Mines (TGB) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 30 September 2026
Market Cap USD = 3.22b (3.22b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
Market Cap CAD = 4.59b (3.22b USD * 1.4247 USD.CAD)
P/E Trailing = 440.0
P/E Forward = 11.0132
P/S = 3.269
P/B = 5.6002
P/EG = 0.3333
Revenue TTM = 884.8m CAD
EBIT TTM = 130.9m CAD
EBITDA TTM = 251.7m CAD
Long Term Debt = 721.0m CAD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 18.0m CAD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 760.6m CAD (corrected: LT Debt 721.0m + ST Debt 18.0m) + Leases 21.7m
Net Debt = 628.8m CAD (calculated: Debt 760.6m - CCE 131.8m)
Enterprise Value = 5.22b CAD (4.59b + Debt 760.6m - CCE 131.8m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.73 (Ebit TTM 130.9m / Interest Expense TTM 75.7m)
EV/FCF = 19.17x (Enterprise Value 5.22b / FCF TTM 272.2m)
FCF Yield = 5.22% (FCF TTM 272.2m / Enterprise Value 5.22b)
FCF Margin = 30.77% (FCF TTM 272.2m / Revenue TTM 884.8m)
Net Margin = 1.03% (Net Income TTM 9.14m / Revenue TTM 884.8m)
Gross Margin = 36.78% ((Revenue TTM 884.8m - Cost of Revenue TTM 559.4m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 34.71% (prev 34.69%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.77 (Enterprise Value 5.22b / Total Assets 1.88b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 9.95% (Interest Expense 75.7m / Debt 760.6m)
Taxrate = 45.95% (13.3m / 28.9m)
NOPAT = 70.7m (EBIT 130.9m * (1 - 45.95%))
Current Ratio = 1.24 (Total Current Assets 255.5m / Total Current Liabilities 206.2m)
Debt / Equity = 1.26 (Debt 760.6m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 602.5m)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.50 (Net Debt 628.8m / EBITDA 251.7m)
Debt / FCF = 2.31 (Net Debt 628.8m / FCF TTM 272.2m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 687.2m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.44% (Net Income 9.14m / Total Assets 1.88b)
RoE = 1.33% (Net Income TTM 9.14m / Total Stockholder Equity 687.2m)
RoCE = 9.29% (EBIT 130.9m / Capital Employed (Equity 687.2m + L.T.Debt 721.0m))
RoIC = 4.29% (NOPAT 70.7m / Invested Capital 1.65b)
WACC = 12.92% (E(4.59b)/V(5.35b) * Re(14.17%) + D(760.6m)/V(5.35b) * Rd(9.95%) * (1-Tc(0.46)))
Discount Rate = 14.17% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> capped to 13.17%
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 92.02 | Cagr: 11.61%
[DCF] Terminal Value 64.65% ; FCFF base≈193.8m ; Y1≈222.1m ; Y5≈326.9m
[DCF] Fair Price = 5.68 (EV 2.71b - Net Debt 628.8m = Equity 2.08b / Shares 366.0m; r=12.92% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: 0.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 90.54 | Revenue CAGR: 21.35% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: -1
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.16 | Chg30d=-7.25% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=3
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.57 | Chg30d=+0.65% | Revisions=-17% | GrowthEPS=+717.9% | GrowthRev=+83.0%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=1.12 | Chg30d=+0.79% | Revisions=+62% | GrowthEPS=+95.9% | GrowthRev=+24.3%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +25% (up=6, down=3)