(NESTE) Neste Oil - HE

Sector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing | Exchange: HE (Finland) | Market Cap: 20.552m EUR | Total Return: 146.2% in 12m

Renewable Diesel, Aviation Fuel, Gasoline, Marine Fuel
Total Rating 62
Safety 82
Buy Signal 0.56
Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
Industry Rotation: -18.0
Market Cap: 23.9B
Avg Turnover: 18.3M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility51.9%
VaR 5th Pctl7.88%
VaR vs Median-9.62%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio2.28
Rel. Str. IBD87.4
Rel. Str. Peer Group85.3
Character TTM
Beta0.519
Beta Downside0.431
Hurst Exponent0.591
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD79.69%
CAGR/Max DD-0.09
CAGR/Mean DD-0.17
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of NESTE over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": 0.31, "2021-09": 0.42, "2021-12": 0.49, "2022-03": 0.45, "2022-06": 0.96, "2022-09": 0.79, "2022-12": 0.84, "2023-03": 0.72, "2023-06": 0.63, "2023-09": 0.88, "2023-12": 0.66, "2024-03": 0.33, "2024-06": -0.05, "2024-09": 0.02, "2024-12": -0.13, "2025-03": -0.04, "2025-06": 0.06, "2025-09": 0.23, "2025-12": 0.15, "2026-03": 0.65,
Last SUE: 2.03
Qual. Beats: 1
Revenue Revenue of NESTE over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 3022, 2021-09: 4026, 2021-12: 4967, 2022-03: 5523, 2022-06: 7039, 2022-09: 6582, 2022-12: 6562, 2023-03: 5298, 2023-06: 5351, 2023-09: 5973, 2023-12: 6303, 2024-03: 4801, 2024-06: 4642, 2024-09: 5624, 2024-12: 5569, 2025-03: 5017, 2025-06: 4511, 2025-09: 4534, 2025-12: 4953, 2026-03: 5163,
Rev. CAGR: -7.80%
Rev. Trend: -98.5%
Last SUE: 0.34
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Below Avwap Earnings

Tailwinds

Rs Leader, Idiosyncratic Leader, Confidence

Description: NESTE Neste Oil

Neste Oyj is a Finland-based energy company specializing in renewable diesel, sustainable aviation fuel (SAF), and traditional oil products. The company operates through three primary segments: Renewable Products, Oil Products, and Marketing & Services, serving a global client base that includes retailers, distributors, and industrial transport providers.

The business model relies on converting waste and residues into high-quality fuels, positioning the firm as a leader in the energy transition. As global regulations increasingly mandate lower carbon emissions in the aviation and heavy transport sectors, Neste leverages its proprietary NEXBTL technology to maintain a competitive advantage in the renewable refining space.

For a deeper look into the companys valuation and growth metrics, consider exploring the data on ValueRay. Founded in 1948 and headquartered in Espoo, the firm has evolved from a regional refiner into a global supplier of circular economy solutions and electric vehicle charging services.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Renewable products sales margin impacted by lower sales price and feedstock costs
  • Sustainable aviation fuel capacity expansion drives long-term revenue growth
  • Regulatory changes to biofuel mandates and tax credits affect demand
  • Refining margins in Oil Products segment fluctuate with global energy prices
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 4.5
Net Income: 717.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.09 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 10.48 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 15.48% < 20% (prev 13.06%; Δ 2.42% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.14 > 3% & CFO 2.45b > Net Income 717.0m
Net Debt (4.50b) to EBITDA (1.80b): 2.50 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.59 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (772.5m) vs 12m ago 0.55% < -2%
Gross Margin: 7.67% > 18% (prev 5.38%; Δ 2.29% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 112.2% > 50% (prev 129.6%; Δ -17.41% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 4.99 > 6 (EBIT TTM 869.0m / Interest Expense TTM 174.0m)
Altman Z'' 3.63
A: 0.16 (Total Current Assets 8.03b - Total Current Liabilities 5.06b) / Total Assets 18.1b
B: 0.44 (Retained Earnings 7.91b / Total Assets 18.1b)
C: 0.05 (EBIT TTM 869.0m / Avg Total Assets 17.1b)
D: 0.74 (Book Value of Equity 7.70b / Total Liabilities 10.4b)
Altman-Z'' = 3.63 = AA
Beneish M -3.03
DSRI: 1.54 (Receivables 2.12b/1.49b, Revenue 19.2b/20.9b)
GMI: 0.70 (GM 5.38% / 7.67%)
AQI: 0.81 (AQ_t 0.06 / AQ_t-1 0.07)
SGI: 0.92 (Revenue 19.2b / 20.9b)
TATA: -0.10 (NI 717.0m - CFO 2.45b) / TA 18.1b)
Beneish M = -3.03 (Cap -4..+1) = AA
What is the price of NESTE shares?

As of June 18, 2026, the stock is trading at EUR 26.75 with a total of 762,592 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -5.61%, over one month by -8.04%, over three months by -6.24% and over the past year by +146.24%.

Is NESTE a buy, sell or hold?

Neste Oil has no consensus analysts rating.

Neste Oil (NESTE) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 18 June 2026
Market Cap USD = 23.9b (20.6b EUR * 1.1612 EUR.USD)
P/E Trailing = 28.7634
P/E Forward = 11.3379
P/S = 1.0725
P/B = 2.694
P/EG = 0.3183
Revenue TTM = 19.2b EUR
EBIT TTM = 869.0m EUR
EBITDA TTM = 1.80b EUR
Long Term Debt = 3.96b EUR (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 509.0m EUR (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 6.14b EUR (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 930.0m
Net Debt = 4.50b EUR (calculated: Debt 6.14b - CCE 1.64b)
Enterprise Value = 25.0b EUR (20.6b + Debt 6.14b - CCE 1.64b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.99 (Ebit TTM 869.0m / Interest Expense TTM 174.0m)
EV/FCF = 15.80x (Enterprise Value 25.0b / FCF TTM 1.58b)
FCF Yield = 6.33% (FCF TTM 1.58b / Enterprise Value 25.0b)
FCF Margin = 8.27% (FCF TTM 1.58b / Revenue TTM 19.2b)
Net Margin = 3.74% (Net Income TTM 717.0m / Revenue TTM 19.2b)
Gross Margin = 7.67% ((Revenue TTM 19.2b - Cost of Revenue TTM 17.7b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 16.75% (prev -1.05%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.39 (Enterprise Value 25.0b / Total Assets 18.1b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.84% (Interest Expense 174.0m / Debt 6.14b)
Taxrate = 22.34% (206.0m / 922.0m)
NOPAT = 674.8m (EBIT 869.0m * (1 - 22.34%))
Current Ratio = 1.59 (Total Current Assets 8.03b / Total Current Liabilities 5.06b)
Debt / Equity = 0.80 (Debt 6.14b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 7.70b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.50 (Net Debt 4.50b / EBITDA 1.80b)
Debt / FCF = 2.84 (Net Debt 4.50b / FCF TTM 1.58b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 7.36b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.20% (Net Income 717.0m / Total Assets 18.1b)
RoE = 9.75% (Net Income TTM 717.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 7.36b)
RoCE = 7.68% (EBIT 869.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 7.36b + L.T.Debt 3.96b))
RoIC = 5.38% (NOPAT 674.8m / Invested Capital 12.6b)
WACC = 6.52% (E(20.6b)/V(26.7b) * Re(7.81%) + D(6.14b)/V(26.7b) * Rd(2.84%) * (1-Tc(0.22)))
Discount Rate = 7.81% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 42.22 | Cagr: 0.25%
[DCF] Terminal Value 75.44% ; FCFF base≈1.58b ; Y1≈1.59b ; Y5≈1.69b
[DCF] Fair Price = 28.28 (EV 26.2b - Net Debt 4.50b = Equity 21.7b / Shares 768.3m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 0.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: 2.03 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: -98.49 | Revenue CAGR: -7.80% | SUE: 0.34 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.92 | Chg30d=-0.62% | Revisions=+50% | Analysts=9
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.56 | Chg30d=-1.62% | Revisions=+27% | Analysts=9
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.61 | Chg30d=+3.06% | Revisions=+68% | GrowthEPS=+272.3% | GrowthRev=+12.3%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=2.03 | Chg30d=+0.75% | Revisions=+68% | GrowthEPS=-22.3% | GrowthRev=+11.7%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +68%