AEVA Stock Analysis: Aeva Technologies, Common | NASDAQ

Software - Infrastructure | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 1.324m USD | 12M Return: 83.6% | US00835Q1031 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Lidar, Perception Software, Sensing Systems, Autonomy Software
Total Rating 27
Safety 29
Buy Signal 0.15
Software - Infrastructure
Industry Rotation: +1.9
Market Cap: 1.32B
Avg Turnover: 23.4M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility150%
VaR 5th Pctl25.2%
VaR vs Median2.17%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio1.05
Rel. Str. IBD96.4
Rel. Str. Peer Group98.5
Character TTM
Beta4.290
Beta Downside3.003
Hurst Exponent0.566
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD75.68%
CAGR/Max DD0.92
CAGR/Mean DD1.68
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of AEVA over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": -0.55, "2021-09": -0.45, "2021-12": -0.15, "2022-03": -0.65, "2022-06": -0.65, "2022-09": -0.7, "2022-12": -0.2, "2023-03": -0.65, "2023-06": -0.65, "2023-09": -0.65, "2023-12": -0.18, "2024-03": -0.56, "2024-06": -0.57, "2024-09": -0.55, "2024-12": -0.49, "2025-03": -0.45, "2025-06": -0.44, "2025-09": -0.56, "2025-12": -0.49, "2026-03": -0.41, "2026-06": -0.54,
Last SUE: 0.15
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of AEVA over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 2.601, 2021-09: 3.483, 2021-12: 2.873, 2022-03: 1.137, 2022-06: 1.493, 2022-09: 1.374, 2022-12: 0.188, 2023-03: 1.148, 2023-06: 0.743, 2023-09: 0.81, 2023-12: 1.611, 2024-03: 2.107, 2024-06: 2.012, 2024-09: 2.25, 2024-12: 2.696, 2025-03: 3.368, 2025-06: 5.511, 2025-09: 3.579, 2025-12: 5.621, 2026-03: 6.262, 2026-06: 6.136,
Rev. CAGR: 103.99%
Rev. Trend: 98.9%
Last SUE: 0.26
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Strong Share Dilution
Altman Z'' In Financial Distress Zone
Extended 1w
Below Avwap Earnings

Tailwinds

Rs Leader
Ep Pivot

Seasonality 6.3 years of data

Jan -3.6% 10
Feb -1.4% 0
Mar -9.3% 17
Apr -12.5% 38
May +20.5% 50
Jun +7.7% 36
Jul +7.1% 10
Aug -6.3% 27
Sep -11.5% 49
Oct +3.9% 11
Nov +16.2% 12
Dec -0.1% 9

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: AEVA Aeva Technologies, Common

Aeva Technologies, Inc. (NASDAQ: AEVA) is a U.S.-based designer and manufacturer of LiDAR sensing systems and supporting perception software, with operations in North America, Europe, Oceania, and Asia. The company was founded in 2017 and is headquartered in Mountain View, California. It sells into automotive, consumer devices, industrial automation, and security end markets, and is classified in the automotive parts and equipment sub-industry within the consumer discretionary sector.

Aevas product line is built around frequency modulated continuous wave (FMCW) sensing technology, a LiDAR approach that can measure both range and velocity simultaneously. Its offerings include the Aeva Omni short-range 4D LiDAR, the Atlas family of long-range 4D LiDAR sensors (including Atlas Ultra, aimed at SAE Level 3 and 4 automated driving), CityOS software for real-time traffic intelligence, and the Eve1 line of laser displacement sensors for industrial automation.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Atlas Ultra design wins accelerate automotive autonomy adoption
  • Cash burn and dilution risk from ongoing capital raises
  • Hesai and Chinese LiDAR rivals pressure pricing power
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 1.0
Net Income: -32.4m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: -0.12 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 287.3 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 822.9% < 20% (prev -270.5%; Δ 1.09k% < -1%)
CFO/TA -0.60 > 3% & CFO -137.3m > Net Income -32.4m
Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0)
Current Ratio: 7.85 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (63.7m) vs 12m ago 15.99% < -2%
Gross Margin: 27.22% > 18% (prev -28.64%; Δ 55.87% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 13.54% > 50% (prev 15.17%; Δ -1.62% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: error (cannot be calculated; needs correct EBIT TTM and Interest Expense TTM)
Altman Z'' -8.67
A: 0.78 (Total Current Assets 203.7m - Total Current Liabilities 26.0m) / Total Assets 227.8m
B: -3.83 (Retained Earnings -871.9m / Total Assets 227.8m)
C: -0.22 (EBIT TTM -34.5m / Avg Total Assets 159.5m)
D: 0.14 (Book Value of Equity 27.5m / Total Liabilities 200.3m)
Altman-Z'' = -8.67 = D
Beneish M -3.60
DSRI: 0.23 (Receivables 3.71m/10.5m, Revenue 21.6m/13.8m)
GMI: 1.00 (fallback, negative margins)
AQI: 0.34 (AQ_t 0.03 / AQ_t-1 0.09)
SGI: 1.56 (Revenue 21.6m / 13.8m)
TATA: 0.46 (NI -32.4m - CFO -137.3m) / TA 227.8m)
Beneish M = -3.60 (Cap -4..+1) = AAA
What is the price of AEVA shares?

As of August 07, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 25.26 with a total of 8,372,668 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +53.46%, over one month by +4.38%, over three months by +52.44% and over the past year by +83.58%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 19.90 (which is 21.2% or 2.7 ATR below the current price).

Is AEVA a buy, sell or hold?

Aeva Technologies, Common has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.40. Therefore, it is recommended to buy AEVA.

  • StrongBuy: 3
  • Buy: 1
  • Hold: 1
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the AEVA price?
Analysts Target Price 25.1 -0.5%
Aeva Technologies, Common (AEVA) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 07 August 2026
Market Cap USD = 1.32b (1.32b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/S = 63.1462
P/B = 79.0275
Revenue TTM = 21.6m USD
EBIT TTM = -34.5m USD
EBITDA TTM = -27.9m USD
Long Term Debt = 96.7m USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 2.03m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 107.6m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 5.26m
Net Debt = -22.3m USD (calculated: Debt 107.6m - CCE 129.9m)
Enterprise Value = 1.30b USD (1.32b + Debt 107.6m - CCE 129.9m)
 Interest Coverage Ratio = unknown (Ebit TTM -34.5m / Interest Expense TTM 0.0)
 EV/FCF = -46.72x (Enterprise Value 1.30b / FCF TTM -27.9m)
FCF Yield = -2.14% (FCF TTM -27.9m / Enterprise Value 1.30b)
 FCF Margin = -129.0% (FCF TTM -27.9m / Revenue TTM 21.6m)
 Net Margin = -150.1% (Net Income TTM -32.4m / Revenue TTM 21.6m)
Gross Margin = 27.22% ((Revenue TTM 21.6m - Cost of Revenue TTM 15.7m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 35.67% (prev 31.00%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 5.72 (Enterprise Value 1.30b / Total Assets 227.8m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.0% (Interest Expense 0.0 / Debt 107.6m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US federal default 21%)
NOPAT = -27.3m (EBIT -34.5m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 6.12 (Total Current Assets 203.7m / Total Current Liabilities 33.3m)
Debt / Equity = 3.91 (Debt 107.6m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 27.5m)
 Debt / EBITDA = 0.80 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -22.3m / EBITDA -27.9m)
 Debt / FCF = 0.80 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -22.3m / FCF TTM -27.9m)
 Total Stockholder Equity = 15.4m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -20.33% (Net Income -32.4m / Total Assets 227.8m)
RoE = -210.7% (Net Income TTM -32.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 15.4m)
RoCE = -30.81% (EBIT -34.5m / Capital Employed (Equity 15.4m + L.T.Debt 96.7m))
 RoIC = -13.45% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -27.3m / Invested Capital 202.8m)
 WACC = 19.49% (E(1.32b)/V(1.43b) * Re(21.07%) + D(107.6m)/V(1.43b) * Rd(0.0%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 21.07% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> capped to 13.17%
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 89.12 | Cagr: 8.79%
 [DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -27.9m)
 EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: 0.15 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 98.93 | Revenue CAGR: 104.0% | SUE: 0.26 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=-0.43 | Chg30d=-0.58% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=4
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-1.69 | Chg30d=-0.15% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+3.4% | GrowthRev=+81.8%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=-1.55 | Chg30d=-0.49% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=+8.4% | GrowthRev=+126.1%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -17% (up=1, down=2)