(DBX) Dropbox - Ratings and Ratios
Cloud Storage, File Sync, Team Collaboration, E-Sign
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 27.5% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 44.3% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -2.11% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.18 |
| Alpha | -9.95 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.25 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.367 |
| Beta | 0.872 |
| Beta Downside | 0.848 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 37.39% |
| Mean DD | 13.76% |
| Median DD | 12.83% |
Description: DBX Dropbox November 03, 2025
Dropbox, Inc. (NASDAQ:DBX) operates a cloud-based content collaboration platform that lets individuals, families, teams, and organizations store, share, and co-edit files. Users can sign up for free and upgrade to paid plans that unlock premium features such as advanced admin controls, increased storage, and integrated e-signatures. The service is deployed across a broad set of verticals-including professional services, technology, media, education, industrial, consumer-retail, and financial services-and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.
Key recent metrics: FY 2023 revenue reached $2.2 billion, with subscription revenue growing ≈ 14 % YoY and an annual churn rate of roughly 4 % among paid users. The company’s operating margin has improved to about 10 % as it scales enterprise contracts, while the broader cloud-storage market is projected to expand at a CAGR of ≈ 15 % through 2028, driven by remote-work adoption and AI-enhanced workflow automation. Competitive pressure remains high from integrated suites such as Google Drive and Microsoft OneDrive, prompting Dropbox to double-down on AI-driven collaboration tools and tighter security integrations.
If you want a data-rich, side-by-side comparison of Dropbox’s valuation and growth outlook versus its peers, the analyst dashboards on ValueRay provide a useful next step for deeper research.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.5
| Net Income (500.7m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 152.2m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.33 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -0.25pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -32.34% (prev -6.17%; Δ -26.17pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.33 (>3.0%) and CFO 930.2m > Net Income 500.7m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (1.77b) to EBITDA (578.2m) ratio: 3.06 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.57 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (267.4m) change vs 12m ago -15.49% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 80.53% (prev 82.43%; Δ -1.90pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 94.45% (prev 98.56%; Δ -4.11pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 7.93 (EBITDA TTM 578.2m / Interest Expense TTM 58.3m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -5.89
| (A) -0.29 = (Total Current Assets 1.08b - Total Current Liabilities 1.90b) / Total Assets 2.80b |
| (B) -1.30 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -3.63b / Total Assets 2.80b |
| warn (B) unusual magnitude: -1.30 — check mapping/units |
| (C) 0.17 = EBIT TTM 462.3m / Avg Total Assets 2.69b |
| (D) -0.84 = Book Value of Equity -3.63b / Total Liabilities 4.33b |
| Total Rating: -5.89 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 79.53
| 1. Piotroski 5.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 9.14% |
| 3. FCF Margin 36.12% |
| 4. Debt/Equity -1.96 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 3.06 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 22.94)% |
| 7. RoE -40.95% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 86.74% |
| 9. EPS Trend 96.05% |
What is the price of DBX shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.87%, over one month by -1.28%, over three months by +2.95% and over the past year by +3.35%.
Is DBX a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 0
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 8
- Sell: 3
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the DBX price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 28.3 | -3.6% |
| Analysts Target Price | 28.3 | -3.6% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 30 | 2.2% |
DBX Fundamental Data Overview November 25, 2025
P/E Trailing = 16.8523
P/E Forward = 9.8039
P/S = 3.0679
P/B = 29.8101
P/EG = 1.8849
Beta = 0.638
Revenue TTM = 2.54b USD
EBIT TTM = 462.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = 578.2m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.79b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 706.4m USD (from shortLongTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.00b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last fiscal year)
Net Debt = 1.77b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 10.02b USD (7.76b + Debt 3.00b - CCE 730.7m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 7.93 (Ebit TTM 462.3m / Interest Expense TTM 58.3m)
FCF Yield = 9.14% (FCF TTM 916.4m / Enterprise Value 10.02b)
FCF Margin = 36.12% (FCF TTM 916.4m / Revenue TTM 2.54b)
Net Margin = 19.74% (Net Income TTM 500.7m / Revenue TTM 2.54b)
Gross Margin = 80.53% ((Revenue TTM 2.54b - Cost of Revenue TTM 494.1m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 79.78% (prev 79.78%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.58 (Enterprise Value 10.02b / Total Assets 2.80b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.68% (Interest Expense 20.3m / Debt 3.00b)
Taxrate = 21.25% (33.4m / 157.2m)
NOPAT = 364.1m (EBIT 462.3m * (1 - 21.25%))
Current Ratio = 0.57 (Total Current Assets 1.08b / Total Current Liabilities 1.90b)
Debt / Equity = -1.96 (negative equity) (Debt 3.00b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -1.53b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.06 (Net Debt 1.77b / EBITDA 578.2m)
Debt / FCF = 1.93 (Net Debt 1.77b / FCF TTM 916.4m)
Total Stockholder Equity = -1.22b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 17.91% (Net Income 500.7m / Total Assets 2.80b)
RoE = -40.95% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM 500.7m / Total Stockholder Equity -1.22b)
RoCE = 81.21% (EBIT 462.3m / Capital Employed (Equity -1.22b + L.T.Debt 1.79b))
RoIC = 29.74% (NOPAT 364.1m / Invested Capital 1.22b)
WACC = 6.81% (E(7.76b)/V(10.75b) * Re(9.23%) + D(3.00b)/V(10.75b) * Rd(0.68%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 9.23% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -11.82%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 75.16% ; FCFE base≈890.3m ; Y1≈952.3m ; Y5≈1.16b
Fair Price DCF = 93.76 (DCF Value 16.35b / Shares Outstanding 174.4m; 5y FCF grow 7.78% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 96.05 | EPS CAGR: 17.05% | SUE: 3.74 | # QB: 7
Revenue Correlation: 86.74 | Revenue CAGR: 3.11% | SUE: 2.49 | # QB: 4
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.74 | Chg30d=+0.011 | Revisions Net=+2 | Analysts=8
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.98 | Chg30d=+0.074 | Revisions Net=+4 | Growth EPS=+6.4% | Growth Revenue=-0.9%
Additional Sources for DBX Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle