(MDB) MongoDB - Overview
Sector: Technology | Industry: Software - Infrastructure | Exchange: NASDAQ (USA) | Market Cap: 26.213m USD | Total Return: 74.2% in 12m
Industry Rotation: +9.6
Avg Turnover: 458M
EPS Trend: 85.4%
Qual. Beats: 7
Rev. Trend: 99.7%
Qual. Beats: 16
Warnings
High Debt/EBITDA (128.8) with thin interest coverage (-10.0)
Interest Coverage Ratio -10.0 is critical
Altman Z'' 0.04 < 1.0 - financial distress zone
Choppy
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
MongoDB (NASDAQ: MDB) operates a global general-purpose database platform centered on its document-based architecture. The company utilizes a freemium business model, offering the Community Server as a free entry point for developers while generating revenue through MongoDB Atlas, its managed multi-cloud database-as-a-service (DBaaS), and MongoDB Enterprise Advanced for hybrid and on-premises environments.
The company competes in the NoSQL database market, a sector characterized by non-relational data structures that offer higher scalability and flexibility for modern web applications compared to traditional SQL databases. Originally incorporated as 10gen in 2007, the New York-based firm also provides professional consulting and training services to support its enterprise software deployments.
Analyzing the performance metrics on ValueRay can help determine if the current valuation aligns with the companys growth profile.
- MongoDB Atlas consumption growth drives recurring cloud revenue and platform adoption
- Enterprise infrastructure spending shifts impact migration pace and contract renewal rates
- Generative AI workload expansion accelerates demand for flexible document database architecture
- Operating margin expansion depends on balancing R&D investment with sales productivity gains
- Competition from hyperscale cloud providers pressures pricing power and market share growth
| Net Income: -71.2m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.14 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 10.01 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 99.25% < 20% (prev 117.7%; Δ -18.45% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.14 > 3% & CFO 513.5m > Net Income -71.2m |
| Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio: 4.65 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (86.5m) vs 12m ago 2.20% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 71.75% > 18% (prev 0.73%; Δ 7.10k% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 68.54% > 50% (prev 58.49%; Δ 10.05% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -10.05 > 6 (EBITDA TTM -18.3m / Interest Expense TTM 5.29m) |
| A: 0.65 (Total Current Assets 3.11b - Total Current Liabilities 669.5m) / Total Assets 3.76b |
| B: -0.51 (Retained Earnings -1.91b / Total Assets 3.76b) |
| C: -0.01 (EBIT TTM -53.2m / Avg Total Assets 3.59b) |
| D: -2.35 (Book Value of Equity -1.90b / Total Liabilities 806.5m) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 0.04 = B |
| DSRI: 1.03 (Receivables 499.0m/393.1m, Revenue 2.46b/2.01b) |
| GMI: 1.02 (GM 71.75% / 73.19%) |
| AQI: 1.23 (AQ_t 0.15 / AQ_t-1 0.12) |
| SGI: 1.23 (Revenue 2.46b / 2.01b) |
| TATA: -0.16 (NI -71.2m - CFO 513.5m) / TA 3.76b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.84 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
Over the past week, the price has changed by +8.63%, over one month by +24.62%, over three months by -4.48% and over the past year by +74.20%.
- StrongBuy: 19
- Buy: 9
- Hold: 12
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 356.1 | 8.2% |
P/S = 10.6393
P/B = 9.1107
P/EG = 1.6716
Revenue TTM = 2.46b USD
EBIT TTM = -53.2m USD
EBITDA TTM = -18.3m USD
Long Term Debt = 32.9m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 9.26m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 32.9m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -2.35b USD (recalculated: Debt 32.9m - CCE 2.39b)
Enterprise Value = 23.86b USD (26.21b + Debt 32.9m - CCE 2.39b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -10.05 (Ebit TTM -53.2m / Interest Expense TTM 5.29m)
EV/FCF = 46.92x (Enterprise Value 23.86b / FCF TTM 508.5m)
FCF Yield = 2.13% (FCF TTM 508.5m / Enterprise Value 23.86b)
FCF Margin = 20.64% (FCF TTM 508.5m / Revenue TTM 2.46b)
Net Margin = -2.89% (Net Income TTM -71.2m / Revenue TTM 2.46b)
Gross Margin = 71.75% ((Revenue TTM 2.46b - Cost of Revenue TTM 696.1m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 73.04% (prev 71.48%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 6.35 (Enterprise Value 23.86b / Total Assets 3.76b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.65% (Interest Expense 212k / Debt 32.9m)
Taxrate = 19.96% (3.87m / 19.4m)
NOPAT = -42.5m (EBIT -53.2m * (1 - 19.96%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 4.65 (Total Current Assets 3.11b / Total Current Liabilities 669.5m)
Debt / Equity = 0.01 (Debt 32.9m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.95b)
Debt / EBITDA = 128.8 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -2.35b / EBITDA -18.3m)
Debt / FCF = -4.63 (Net Debt -2.35b / FCF TTM 508.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.95b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -1.98% (Net Income -71.2m / Total Assets 3.76b)
RoE = -2.41% (Net Income TTM -71.2m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.95b)
RoCE = -1.78% (EBIT -53.2m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.95b + L.T.Debt 32.9m))
RoIC = -1.44% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -42.5m / Invested Capital 2.95b)
WACC = 12.53% (E(26.21b)/V(26.25b) * Re(12.55%) + D(32.9m)/V(26.25b) * Rd(0.65%) * (1-Tc(0.20)))
Discount Rate = 12.55% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 86.67 | Cagr: 8.77%
[DCF] Terminal Value 68.22% ; FCFF base≈353.4m ; Y1≈435.9m ; Y5≈743.7m
[DCF] Fair Price = 110.5 (EV 6.53b - Net Debt -2.35b = Equity 8.88b / Shares 80.4m; r=12.53% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 85.43 | EPS CAGR: 45.45% | SUE: 1.16 | # QB: 7
Revenue Correlation: 99.66 | Revenue CAGR: 22.27% | SUE: 2.61 | # QB: 16
EPS current Quarter (2026-07-31): EPS=1.28 | Chg30d=+0.20% | Revisions=+33% | Analysts=34
EPS current Year (2027-01-31): EPS=5.84 | Chg30d=+0.07% | Revisions=+33% | GrowthEPS=+17.5% | GrowthRev=+17.7%
EPS next Year (2028-01-31): EPS=7.08 | Chg30d=+0.51% | Revisions=+43% | GrowthEPS=+21.3% | GrowthRev=+17.2%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +43%