(NDAQ) Nasdaq - Ratings and Ratios
Indices, Surveillance, Verafin, AxiomSL, Calypso
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 1.43% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 3.24% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | -16.57% |
| Payout Consistency | 92.7% |
| Payout Ratio | 32.0% |
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 20.5% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 32.8% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -2.99% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.41 |
| Alpha | -1.67 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.36 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.530 |
| Beta | 0.868 |
| Beta Downside | 0.998 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 30.64% |
| Mean DD | 11.49% |
| Median DD | 10.40% |
Description: NDAQ Nasdaq September 26, 2025
Nasdaq, Inc. (NASDAQ:NDAQ) is a technology-focused provider to capital markets and adjacent industries, organized into three operating segments: Capital Access Platforms, Financial Technology, and Market Services. The firm distributes both historical and real-time market data, licenses Nasdaq-branded indices, and offers a suite of governance, sustainability, and investor-relations solutions. It also runs a portfolio of software platforms-including Verafin (AML/fraud detection), AxiomSL (regulatory reporting), Calypso (cross-asset trading and risk), and a surveillance SaaS-to support compliance, risk management, and trade workflow for exchanges, clearing houses, and institutional participants.
According to Nasdaq’s FY 2023 Form 10-K, total revenue reached approximately **$6.2 billion**, with the Data Services line (historical/real-time market data) contributing roughly **45 %** of that total and delivering an operating margin near **30 %**. The company reported diluted earnings per share of **$2.30**, and its cash-equity and derivatives trading volumes grew **~7 % YoY**, reflecting continued demand for electronic execution and post-trade services. A key sector driver is the accelerating shift toward algorithmic and high-frequency trading, which boosts the premium placed on low-latency data feeds and real-time analytics.
Nasdaq’s growth outlook is contingent on several uncertain factors: (1) **Trading volume volatility**-revenues from exchange and clearing services are highly correlated with global equity and derivatives turnover, which can swing with macro-economic cycles; (2) **Regulatory evolution**-new reporting or surveillance mandates could expand demand for Nasdaq’s SaaS solutions but also raise compliance costs; and (3) **Competitive pressure** from rivals such as Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) and CME Group, which may erode market-share if they launch more integrated data-plus-execution bundles. The recent acquisition of Verafin (2020) has begun to diversify revenue, yet its contribution to total earnings remains modest (<5 % of FY 2023 revenue), so the extent of future cross-selling opportunities is still uncertain.
If you’re interested in a deeper quantitative comparison of Nasdaq’s valuation metrics versus peers, a quick look at **ValueRay** can surface the most recent analyst consensus, forward-looking cash-flow estimates, and scenario-based risk assessments.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.0
| Net Income (1.62b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 490.1m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.07 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 2.06pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -1.32% (prev -5.35%; Δ 4.02pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.08 (>3.0%) and CFO 2.33b > Net Income 1.62b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (9.08b) to EBITDA (2.98b) ratio: 3.05 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.99 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (579.0m) change vs 12m ago -0.00% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 49.72% (prev 41.61%; Δ 8.11pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 26.69% (prev 22.95%; Δ 3.73pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 6.45 (EBITDA TTM 2.98b / Interest Expense TTM 365.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 1.89
| (A) -0.00 = (Total Current Assets 7.60b - Total Current Liabilities 7.71b) / Total Assets 30.65b |
| (B) 0.30 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 9.22b / Total Assets 30.65b |
| (C) 0.08 = EBIT TTM 2.36b / Avg Total Assets 30.61b |
| (D) 0.40 = Book Value of Equity 7.38b / Total Liabilities 18.62b |
| Total Rating: 1.89 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 72.84
| 1. Piotroski 6.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 3.72% |
| 3. FCF Margin 25.69% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.79 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 3.05 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 1.18)% |
| 7. RoE 13.96% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 86.78% |
| 9. EPS Trend 80.98% |
What is the price of NDAQ shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.60%, over one month by +1.35%, over three months by -4.92% and over the past year by +10.21%.
Is NDAQ a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 6
- Buy: 7
- Hold: 5
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the NDAQ price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 102.4 | 13.8% |
| Analysts Target Price | 102.4 | 13.8% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 93.6 | 4% |
NDAQ Fundamental Data Overview November 20, 2025
P/E Trailing = 30.7214
P/E Forward = 23.4192
P/S = 6.0428
P/B = 4.0625
P/EG = 1.3625
Beta = 1.03
Revenue TTM = 8.17b USD
EBIT TTM = 2.36b USD
EBITDA TTM = 2.98b USD
Long Term Debt = 8.67b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 431.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 9.55b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 9.08b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 56.38b USD (49.36b + Debt 9.55b - CCE 2.53b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 6.45 (Ebit TTM 2.36b / Interest Expense TTM 365.0m)
FCF Yield = 3.72% (FCF TTM 2.10b / Enterprise Value 56.38b)
FCF Margin = 25.69% (FCF TTM 2.10b / Revenue TTM 8.17b)
Net Margin = 19.89% (Net Income TTM 1.62b / Revenue TTM 8.17b)
Gross Margin = 49.72% ((Revenue TTM 8.17b - Cost of Revenue TTM 4.11b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 80.34% (prev 41.20%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.84 (Enterprise Value 56.38b / Total Assets 30.65b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.88% (Interest Expense 84.0m / Debt 9.55b)
Taxrate = 20.04% (106.0m / 529.0m)
NOPAT = 1.88b (EBIT 2.36b * (1 - 20.04%))
Current Ratio = 0.99 (Total Current Assets 7.60b / Total Current Liabilities 7.71b)
Debt / Equity = 0.79 (Debt 9.55b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 12.02b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.05 (Net Debt 9.08b / EBITDA 2.98b)
Debt / FCF = 4.33 (Net Debt 9.08b / FCF TTM 2.10b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 11.64b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.30% (Net Income 1.62b / Total Assets 30.65b)
RoE = 13.96% (Net Income TTM 1.62b / Total Stockholder Equity 11.64b)
RoCE = 11.60% (EBIT 2.36b / Capital Employed (Equity 11.64b + L.T.Debt 8.67b))
RoIC = 9.01% (NOPAT 1.88b / Invested Capital 20.91b)
WACC = 7.83% (E(49.36b)/V(58.91b) * Re(9.21%) + D(9.55b)/V(58.91b) * Rd(0.88%) * (1-Tc(0.20)))
Discount Rate = 9.21% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 2.55%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 75.84% ; FCFE base≈1.84b ; Y1≈2.05b ; Y5≈2.70b
Fair Price DCF = 66.62 (DCF Value 38.04b / Shares Outstanding 571.0m; 5y FCF grow 13.13% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 80.98 | EPS CAGR: 8.86% | SUE: 2.09 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: 86.78 | Revenue CAGR: 8.00% | SUE: 0.78 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for NDAQ Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle