OCFC Stock Analysis: OceanFirst Financial | NASDAQ

Banks - Regional | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 1.611m USD | 12M Return: -2.4% | US6752341080 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Deposits, Commercial Loans, Residential Mortgages, Asset Management
Total Rating 27
Safety 52
Buy Signal -0.58
Banks - Regional
Industry Rotation: +4.0
Market Cap: 1.61B
Avg Turnover: 18.3M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility25.5%
VaR 5th Pctl4.07%
VaR vs Median-3.24%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio-0.08
Rel. Str. IBD24.8
Rel. Str. Peer Group7.8
Character TTM
Beta0.727
Beta Downside0.744
Hurst Exponent0.536
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD29.83%
CAGR/Max DD0.37
CAGR/Mean DD1.08
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of OCFC over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-09": 0.45, "2021-12": 0.48, "2022-03": 0.49, "2022-06": 0.59, "2022-09": 0.6, "2022-12": 0.67, "2023-03": 0.55, "2023-06": 0.46, "2023-09": 0.32, "2023-12": 0.45, "2024-03": 0.44, "2024-06": 0.39, "2024-09": 0.39, "2024-12": 0.38, "2025-03": 0.35, "2025-06": 0.31, "2025-09": 0.36, "2025-12": 0.41, "2026-03": 0.43, "2026-06": 0.43,
EPS CAGR: -8.06%
EPS Trend: -74.1%
Last SUE: 0.39
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of OCFC over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-09: 93.966, 2021-12: 96.697, 2022-03: 98.853, 2022-06: 105.442, 2022-09: 124.418, 2022-12: 156.585, 2023-03: 139.826, 2023-06: 157.81, 2023-09: 168.018, 2023-12: 171.304, 2024-03: 172.838, 2024-06: 169.336, 2024-09: 175.056, 2024-12: 170.718, 2025-03: 163.786, 2025-06: 165.402, 2025-09: 173.328, 2025-12: 157.879, 2026-03: 166.483, 2026-06: 209.604,
Rev. CAGR: 2.17%
Rev. Trend: 55.8%
Last SUE: 0.69
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Strong Share Dilution
Below Avwap Earnings
Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

Shakeout

Seasonality 11.7 years of data

Jan +0.6% 10
Feb -0.7% 29
Mar -5.2% 22
Apr -2.5% 11
May -3.1% 18
Jun +2.2% 23
Jul -1.2% 16
Aug -0.8% 20
Sep -2.9% 29
Oct +1.0% 14
Nov +4.0% 42
Dec -0.5% 2

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: OCFC OceanFirst Financial

OceanFirst Financial Corp. (OCFC) is a bank holding company that operates OceanFirst Bank N.A., a community bank serving retail and commercial customers across the United States. The companys core activities include gathering deposits (money market, savings, checking, and time deposits, including brokered deposits) and originating a diverse loan portfolio spanning commercial real estate, multi-family, construction, commercial and industrial, residential mortgage, and consumer lending such as home equity and student loans. Beyond traditional lending, it invests in mortgage-backed and U.S. government securities, and provides complementary services including trust and asset management, bankcard services, and commercial loan swap income.

Founded in 1902 and headquartered in Toms River, New Jersey, OceanFirst has operated for more than a century, reflecting the long-standing presence typical of community-oriented U.S. regional banks. As a bank holding company, OCFCs structure allows it to own and oversee the chartered bank and any non-bank subsidiaries, a standard regulatory arrangement supervised by the Federal Reserve. Classified as a small-cap stock in the GICS Regional Banks sub-industry, the company competes in a sector characterized by locally focused deposit gathering and relationship-driven commercial lending, distinguishing it from larger money-center and super-regional banks.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Net interest margin compression on Fed rate cuts
  • Commercial real estate loan portfolio credit risk rises
  • Deposit costs pressure margins as competition for funding intensifies
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 2.0
Net Income: 47.9m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.00 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.16 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 43.01% < 20% (prev -1.38k%; Δ 1.43k% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.01 > 3% & CFO 121.7m > Net Income 47.9m
Net Debt (-53.7m) to EBITDA (77.6m): -0.69 < 3
Current Ratio: 5.96 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (70.2m) vs 12m ago 21.33% < -2%
Gross Margin: 54.86% > 18% (prev 55.23%; Δ -0.36% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 3.87% > 50% (prev 5.06%; Δ -1.20% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 0.21 > 6 (EBIT TTM 63.9m / Interest Expense TTM 308.7m)
Altman Z'' 0.32
A: 0.01 (Total Current Assets 365.6m - Total Current Liabilities 61.3m) / Total Assets 23.3b
B: 0.03 (Retained Earnings 657.1m / Total Assets 23.3b)
C: 0.00 (EBIT TTM 63.9m / Avg Total Assets 18.3b)
D: 0.12 (Book Value of Equity 2.41b / Total Liabilities 20.9b)
Altman-Z'' = 0.32 = B
Beneish M -2.14
DSRI: 1.98 (Receivables 91.5m/44.0m, Revenue 707.3m/675.0m)
GMI: 1.01 (GM 55.23% / 54.86%)
AQI: 1.06 (AQ_t 0.98 / AQ_t-1 0.92)
SGI: 1.05 (Revenue 707.3m / 675.0m)
TATA: -0.00 (NI 47.9m - CFO 121.7m) / TA 23.3b)
Beneish M = -2.14 (Cap -4..+1) = BB
What is the price of OCFC shares?

As of October 06, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 16.82 with a total of 837,600 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.60%, over one month by -11.19%, over three months by -10.79% and over the past year by -2.43%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 16.30 (which is 3.1% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).

Is OCFC a buy, sell or hold?

OceanFirst Financial has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.86. Therefore, it is recommended to buy OCFC.

  • StrongBuy: 3
  • Buy: 0
  • Hold: 4
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the OCFC price?
Analysts Target Price 22.3 32.3%
OceanFirst Financial (OCFC) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 01 October 2026
Market Cap USD = 1.61b (1.61b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 20.5802
P/E Forward = 10.5042
P/S = 3.7674
P/B = 0.6965
P/EG = 1.1498
Revenue TTM = 707.3m USD
EBIT TTM = 63.9m USD
EBITDA TTM = 77.6m USD
Long Term Debt = 2.23b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 61.3m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.29b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 1.14m
Net Debt = -53.7m USD (calculated: Debt 2.29b - CCE 2.34b)
Enterprise Value = 1.56b USD (1.61b + Debt 2.29b - CCE 2.34b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.21 (Ebit TTM 63.9m / Interest Expense TTM 308.7m)
EV/FCF = 13.82x (Enterprise Value 1.56b / FCF TTM 112.7m)
FCF Yield = 7.24% (FCF TTM 112.7m / Enterprise Value 1.56b)
FCF Margin = 15.93% (FCF TTM 112.7m / Revenue TTM 707.3m)
Net Margin = 6.77% (Net Income TTM 47.9m / Revenue TTM 707.3m)
Gross Margin = 54.86% ((Revenue TTM 707.3m - Cost of Revenue TTM 319.2m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 57.60% (prev 55.20%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.07 (Enterprise Value 1.56b / Total Assets 23.3b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 13.49% (Interest Expense 308.7m / Debt 2.29b)
Taxrate = 24.96% (16.0m / 63.9m)
NOPAT = 48.0m (EBIT 63.9m * (1 - 24.96%))
Current Ratio = 5.96 (Total Current Assets 365.6m / Total Current Liabilities 61.3m)
Debt / Equity = 0.95 (Debt 2.29b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.41b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.69 (Net Debt -53.7m / EBITDA 77.6m)
Debt / FCF = -0.48 (Net Debt -53.7m / FCF TTM 112.7m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.85b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.26% (Net Income 47.9m / Total Assets 23.3b)
RoE = 2.59% (Net Income TTM 47.9m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.85b)
RoCE = 1.57% (EBIT 63.9m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.85b + L.T.Debt 2.23b))
RoIC = 0.21% (NOPAT 48.0m / Invested Capital 23.2b)
WACC = 9.47% (E(1.61b)/V(3.90b) * Re(8.54%) + D(2.29b)/V(3.90b) * Rd(13.49%) * (1-Tc(0.25)))
Discount Rate = 8.54% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 39.22 | Cagr: 8.23%
[DCF] Terminal Value 74.43% ; FCFF base≈84.9m ; Y1≈97.3m ; Y5≈143.3m
[DCF] Fair Price = 19.19 (EV 1.80b - Net Debt -53.7m = Equity 1.85b / Shares 96.6m; r=9.47% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -74.14 | EPS CAGR: -8.06% | SUE: 0.39 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 55.79 | Revenue CAGR: 2.17% | SUE: 0.69 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.42 | Chg30d=-1.97% | Revisions=-62% | Analysts=6
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.78 | Chg30d=-1.02% | Revisions=-57% | GrowthEPS=+24.7% | GrowthRev=+48.2%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=2.30 | Chg30d=-0.55% | Revisions=-22% | GrowthEPS=+29.1% | GrowthRev=+26.8%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -61% (up=2, down=13)