(OSBC) Old Second Bancorp - Ratings and Ratios
Deposits, Loans, Mortgages, Digital Banking, Treasury
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 1.22% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 2.65% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 51.37% |
| Payout Consistency | 72.1% |
| Payout Ratio | 13.0% |
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 28.8% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 42.5% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -10.19% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.37 |
| Alpha | -1.58 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.28 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.683 |
| Beta | 0.829 |
| Beta Downside | 0.979 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 36.27% |
| Mean DD | 12.74% |
| Median DD | 12.13% |
Description: OSBC Old Second Bancorp November 30, 2025
Old Second Bancorp, Inc. (NASDAQ: OSBC) is the holding company for Old Second National Bank, a community-bank focused institution headquartered in Aurora, Illinois. The bank offers a full suite of deposit products (checking, savings, money-market, CDs, IRAs) and a broad array of loan services ranging from commercial and real-estate financing to residential mortgages, home-equity lines, consumer installment loans, and agricultural credit. It also provides digital banking, cash-management tools, and custodial services for individuals, businesses, and non-profits.
As of the most recent quarter, OSBC reported total assets of roughly **$2.6 billion**, a **net interest margin of 3.2 %**, and a **CET1 capital ratio of 11.5 %**, comfortably above the 8 % regulatory minimum for regional banks. The loan-to-deposit ratio sits near **78 %**, indicating a conservative funding profile, while return on assets (ROA) has steadied around **0.75 %** over the past twelve months.
The regional-bank sector is currently driven by the Federal Reserve’s high-interest-rate environment, which boosts net interest income but also raises credit-risk concerns as commercial borrowers face tighter financing conditions. Additionally, modest population growth in OSBC’s core Illinois market supports incremental deposit inflows, while the ongoing shortage of affordable multifamily housing fuels demand for the bank’s multifamily and construction loan lines.
For a deeper quantitative comparison, you might explore OSBC’s metrics on ValueRay.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.0
| Net Income (70.6m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 22.1m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.01 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -0.77pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -1213 % (prev -931.5%; Δ -281.6pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.01 (>3.0%) and CFO 102.0m > Net Income 70.6m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (172.9m) to EBITDA (106.0m) ratio: 1.63 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.25 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (53.5m) change vs 12m ago 17.14% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 76.97% (prev 78.22%; Δ -1.24pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 5.81% (prev 5.85%; Δ -0.04pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 1.66 (EBITDA TTM 106.0m / Interest Expense TTM 56.7m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -3.76
| (A) -0.64 = (Total Current Assets 1.49b - Total Current Liabilities 5.95b) / Total Assets 6.99b |
| (B) 0.07 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 512.1m / Total Assets 6.99b |
| (C) 0.01 = EBIT TTM 93.9m / Avg Total Assets 6.33b |
| (D) 0.09 = Book Value of Equity 532.9m / Total Liabilities 6.13b |
| Total Rating: -3.76 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 72.59
| 1. Piotroski 3.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 28.71% |
| 3. FCF Margin 26.81% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.33 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 1.63 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -0.16)% |
| 7. RoE 9.57% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 83.98% |
| 9. EPS Trend 56.59% |
What is the price of OSBC shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.54%, over one month by +11.59%, over three months by +12.76% and over the past year by +12.40%.
Is OSBC a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 3
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the OSBC price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 22.1 | 7.7% |
| Analysts Target Price | 22.1 | 7.7% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 22.4 | 9.2% |
OSBC Fundamental Data Overview December 02, 2025
P/E Trailing = 12.7365
P/E Forward = 8.5985
P/S = 3.4373
P/B = 1.1455
P/EG = 2.6
Beta = 0.829
Revenue TTM = 367.9m USD
EBIT TTM = 93.9m USD
EBITDA TTM = 106.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 100.1m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 189.3m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 289.4m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 172.9m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 343.6m USD (992.8m + Debt 289.4m - CCE 938.6m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.66 (Ebit TTM 93.9m / Interest Expense TTM 56.7m)
FCF Yield = 28.71% (FCF TTM 98.6m / Enterprise Value 343.6m)
FCF Margin = 26.81% (FCF TTM 98.6m / Revenue TTM 367.9m)
Net Margin = 19.20% (Net Income TTM 70.6m / Revenue TTM 367.9m)
Gross Margin = 76.97% ((Revenue TTM 367.9m - Cost of Revenue TTM 84.7m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 64.54% (prev 84.05%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.05 (Enterprise Value 343.6m / Total Assets 6.99b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 7.36% (Interest Expense 21.3m / Debt 289.4m)
Taxrate = 24.46% (3.20m / 13.1m)
NOPAT = 70.9m (EBIT 93.9m * (1 - 24.46%))
Current Ratio = 0.25 (Total Current Assets 1.49b / Total Current Liabilities 5.95b)
Debt / Equity = 0.33 (Debt 289.4m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 866.7m)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.63 (Net Debt 172.9m / EBITDA 106.0m)
Debt / FCF = 1.75 (Net Debt 172.9m / FCF TTM 98.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 737.7m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.01% (Net Income 70.6m / Total Assets 6.99b)
RoE = 9.57% (Net Income TTM 70.6m / Total Stockholder Equity 737.7m)
RoCE = 11.20% (EBIT 93.9m / Capital Employed (Equity 737.7m + L.T.Debt 100.1m))
RoIC = 8.12% (NOPAT 70.9m / Invested Capital 872.9m)
WACC = 8.28% (E(992.8m)/V(1.28b) * Re(9.07%) + D(289.4m)/V(1.28b) * Rd(7.36%) * (1-Tc(0.24)))
Discount Rate = 9.07% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 8.55%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 78.18% ; FCFE base≈108.7m ; Y1≈134.1m ; Y5≈228.8m
Fair Price DCF = 61.09 (DCF Value 3.22b / Shares Outstanding 52.7m; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 56.59 | EPS CAGR: 10.86% | SUE: 0.35 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 83.98 | Revenue CAGR: 31.93% | SUE: 1.24 | # QB: 1
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.51 | Chg30d=+0.015 | Revisions Net=+5 | Analysts=6
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.16 | Chg30d=+0.088 | Revisions Net=+5 | Growth EPS=+6.9% | Growth Revenue=+13.7%
Additional Sources for OSBC Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle